Colton Eastman
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.3
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.0%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%11.9%
IP64
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 24 | 19 | 129 | 534 | 134 | 37 | 14 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 3.71 | 4.33 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 15 | 11 | 54 | 222 | 48 | 23 | 5 | 18.0% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 3.33 | 4.19 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 25 | 24 | 101 | 444 | 86 | 66 | 12 | 16.5% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 5.38 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 22 | 10 | 66 | 317 | 59 | 41 | 12 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 7.26 | 5.73 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 60 | 28 | 8 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.61 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 58 | 27 | 8 | 21.9% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 56 | 26 | 8 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 53 | 25 | 8 | 21.6% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 50 | 24 | 8 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 47 | 24 | 8 | 21.0% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 43 | 23 | 7 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 5.00 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 39 | 22 | 7 | 20.2% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 5.13 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 64 | 349 | 1517 | 269 | 180 | 50 | 17.7% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.91 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 37 | 200 | 869 | 154 | 103 | 29 | 17.7% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.91 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Colton Eastman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.70 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 181 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 89 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 88 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 87 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 85 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 85 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 85 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 84 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.77 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.74 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | -0.03 | 2.26 | 602 | 84 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 83 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.92 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | .272 | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 62 | -0.30 | 3.62 | 224 | 83 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 82 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 82 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.44 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .348 | 2.85 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.59 | 2.85 | 199 | 82 |
| Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.63 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 124 | 82 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 82 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .353 | 4.68 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 127 | +0.87 | 2.67 | 279 | 82 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 82 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.