Colton Eastman — OGILVIE

Colton Eastman P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%18.7%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	19	129	534	134	37	14	79%	5.4	19.4%	7.9%	11.5%	3.4%	3.71	4.32	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	19	129	534	134	37	14	79%	5.4	25.1%	6.9%	18.2%	2.6%	3.71	3.29	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	54	222	48	23	5	73%	3.6	18.0%	11.2%	6.7%	2.1%	3.33	4.17	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	54	222	48	23	5	73%	3.6	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	2.3%	3.33	3.80	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	101	444	86	66	12	96%	4.0	16.5%	15.9%	0.7%	3.0%	4.63	5.37	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	101	444	86	66	12	96%	4.0	19.4%	14.9%	4.5%	2.7%	4.63	4.90	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	22	10	66	317	59	41	12	45%	3.0	15.4%	11.6%	3.8%	4.2%	7.26	5.57	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	22	10	66	317	59	41	12	45%	3.0	15.4%	11.6%	3.8%	4.2%	7.26	5.57	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	22	10	66	317	59	41	12	45%	3.0	18.6%	12.9%	5.7%	3.8%	7.26	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	OAK	1	1	4	17	3	2	1	100%	4.0	18.7%	10.5%	8.2%	3.1%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	OAK	7	7	42	179	34	19	6	100%	6.0	18.8%	10.7%	8.1%	3.3%	4.98	5.06	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	OAK	3	3	16	68	13	7	2	100%	5.3	18.8%	10.7%	8.1%	3.3%	4.98	5.06	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	66	12	7	2	100%	5.2	18.8%	10.7%	8.1%	3.3%	4.98	4.68	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	154	90	26	100%	6.0	18.8%	10.7%	8.1%	3.3%	4.98	4.68	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		86	64	349	1517	266	174	49	74%	4.1	17.5%	11.5%	6.0%	3.3%	4.59	4.87	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	37	200	869	152	100	28	74%	4.1	17.5%	11.5%	6.0%	3.3%	4.59	4.87	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Colton Eastman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	18.7%	10.5%	3.1%	—	5.06	18.8%	8.1%	42	+0.12	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	81
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	79
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	78
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	76
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	74
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	74
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	72
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	72
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	71
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	71
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	71
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	71
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	70
Tyler Cloyd R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	17.6%	12.4%	1.3%	.211	4.86	16.9%	9.7%	230	+0.97	3.89	250	70
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	70
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	70
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	69
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	69
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	69
Kenneth Sigman R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP-	4.05	13.9%	7.7%	2.1%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	267	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	44	18.7%	10.6%	1.24	4.96
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50