Colton Eastman
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%22.0%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 19 | 129 | 534 | 134 | 37 | 14 | 79% | 5.4 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 3.71 | 4.45 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 19 | 129 | 534 | 134 | 37 | 14 | 79% | 5.4 | 25.1% | 6.9% | 18.2% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 3.29 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 54 | 222 | 48 | 23 | 5 | 73% | 3.6 | 18.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 3.33 | 4.01 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 54 | 222 | 48 | 23 | 5 | 73% | 3.6 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 2.3% | 3.33 | 3.80 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 101 | 444 | 86 | 66 | 12 | 96% | 4.0 | 16.5% | 15.9% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 5.30 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 101 | 444 | 86 | 66 | 12 | 96% | 4.0 | 19.4% | 14.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.90 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 22 | 10 | 66 | 317 | 59 | 41 | 12 | 45% | 3.0 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.26 | 5.74 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 22 | 10 | 66 | 317 | 59 | 41 | 12 | 45% | 3.0 | 18.6% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 7.26 | 5.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 42 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 42 | 179 | 39 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 16 | 66 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.38 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 90 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 86 | 64 | 349 | 1517 | 269 | 180 | 50 | 74% | 4.1 | 17.7% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.90 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 37 | 200 | 869 | 154 | 103 | 28 | 74% | 4.1 | 17.7% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.90 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Colton Eastman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 22.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.76 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 42 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 81 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 76 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 76 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 74 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 73 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 72 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 72 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 71 |
| Connor Schultz R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 70 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 68 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 68 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 67 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.89 | 250 | 66 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.49 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.56 | 3.57 | 283 | 66 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.84 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.10 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 305 | +1.26 | 3.84 | 567 | 66 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 65 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 65 |
| Andrew Triggs R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.57 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.66 | 242 | 65 |
| Chuck King R 2025 · 3.70 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.70 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 237 | 65 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 44 | 21.9% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.65 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |