Luis Cesar

P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 183 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKMIA	12	10	47	2.30	4.57	19.4%	15.8%	—	K 13.2% · BB 19.8% · FIP 6.24
2025	21	ROKMIA	10	0	26	4.85	3.79	20.9%	18.6%	—	K 14.2% · BB 23.3% · FIP 4.84
2026	22	MIX3 levels	18	0	26	7.18	5.30	23.0%	23.0%	—	K 17.5% · BB 28.0% · FIP 5.90
2027PROJ	23	MLBMIA	13	0	14	5.93	5.93	19.6%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIA	10	0	10	5.56	5.43	20.7%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsColby Langford (age 22) · Braeden Fausnaught (age 24) · Max Roberts (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130138vR 146

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%19.6%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.4%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	2	2	5	21	3	4	0	100%	2.5	14.3%	19.0%	-4.8%	0.0%	1.80	4.31	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	2	2	5	21	3	4	0	100%	2.5	14.3%	19.0%	-4.8%	0.0%	1.80	4.30	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	11	9	40	188	41	31	2	82%	3.6	14.8%	20.6%	-5.8%	1.5%	4.08	5.28	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	11	9	40	188	41	31	2	82%	3.6	21.8%	16.5%	5.3%	1.1%	4.08	4.03	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	12	10	47	196	38	31	4	83%	3.9	13.2%	19.8%	-6.6%	3.2%	2.30	6.24	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	12	10	47	196	38	31	4	83%	3.9	13.2%	19.8%	-6.6%	3.2%	2.30	6.24	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	12	10	47	196	38	31	4	83%	3.9	19.4%	15.8%	3.6%	2.0%	2.30	4.57	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	10	0	26	129	27	24	0	0%	2.6	14.2%	23.3%	-9.0%	0.0%	4.85	4.84	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	10	0	26	129	27	24	0	0%	2.6	14.2%	23.3%	-9.0%	0.0%	4.85	4.84	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	10	0	26	129	27	24	0	0%	2.6	20.9%	18.6%	2.3%	0.0%	4.85	3.79	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	0	26	139	32	32	2	0%	1.5	17.5%	28.0%	-10.4%	1.3%	7.18	5.90	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	0	26	139	32	32	2	0%	1.5	17.5%	28.0%	-10.4%	1.3%	7.18	5.90	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	0	26	139	32	32	2	0%	1.5	23.0%	23.0%	0.0%	1.4%	7.18	5.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIA	13	0	14	59	12	12	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	20.0%	-0.4%	2.9%	5.93	5.93	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	23	0	24	103	21	17	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.56	5.43	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	10	0	10	42	9	7	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.56	5.43	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	9	7	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.56	5.05	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	135	19	0%	1.1	20.7%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.56	5.05	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		53	21	144	673	99	150	11	40%	2.7	14.8%	22.3%	-7.6%	1.6%	4.12	5.57	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	29	200	935	138	209	15	40%	2.7	14.8%	22.3%	-7.6%	1.6%	4.12	5.57	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Cesar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	19.6%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.43	20.7%	3.9%	24	-0.50	—	—	—
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	83
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	80
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	78
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.06	18.5%	7.5%	165	-1.72	3.79	281	76
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	76
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	76
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	74
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	74
Bryan Warzek L 2019 · 5.92 FIP	22	SW	5.92	17.7%	24.4%	2.2%	.328	6.74	20.2%	1.9%	73	+0.82	1.91	138	73
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	73
Marino Santy L 2024 · 4.80 FIP	22	SW	4.80	17.6%	16.1%	2.1%	.322	4.51	20.3%	1.1%	82	-0.29	3.91	270	72
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	72
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	72
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	71
Randy Keisler L 2000 · 5.13 FIP	24	SW	5.13	11.5%	15.4%	1.9%	.405	6.43	15.3%	0.9%	51	+1.30	5.07	135	71
Julian Smith L 2019 · 4.79 FIP	22	SW	4.79	14.5%	17.4%	1.3%	.399	5.33	17.9%	5.8%	110	+0.54	2.87	189	70
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	70
Gabe Morales L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	23	SW	5.30	23.2%	22.1%	2.5%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	268	70
Jacob Kroeger L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	24	SU	5.71	20.1%	34.0%	0.0%	.346	4.20	19.1%	6.7%	141	-1.51	3.94	154	70
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	70