Vince Sanchez
P
ACL D-backs Red
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP10
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 11 | 11 | 43 | 165 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 100% | 3.9 | 15.2% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 2.49 | 3.84 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | 11 | 11 | 43 | 165 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 100% | 3.9 | 22.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 0.6% | 2.49 | 2.73 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 9 | 5 | 18 | 83 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 56% | 2.0 | 16.4% | 19.6% | -3.2% | 4.0% | 5.60 | 6.41 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 9 | 5 | 18 | 83 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 56% | 2.0 | 24.1% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 5.60 | 4.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.2% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 3.78 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 20 | 16 | 61 | 248 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 80% | 3.0 | 15.6% | 14.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.39 | 4.70 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 52 | 200 | 813 | 127 | 115 | 17 | 80% | 3.0 | 15.6% | 14.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.39 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Vince Sanchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.16 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 20 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Clarke Schmidt R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.53 | 23.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 108 | -0.30 | 2.76 | 537 | 83 |
| Caleb Sampen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .358 | 3.46 | 15.2% | 6.8% | 139 | +0.00 | 3.03 | 213 | 83 |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 82 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 81 |
| Jonathan Stiever R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.39 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.32 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 219 | -0.07 | 3.96 | 247 | 78 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 78 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 78 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 77 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 77 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 77 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 77 |
| Grant Holman R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 76 |
| River Ryan R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 76 |
| Chris Clark R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 21 | SP | 3.41 | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .362 | 4.78 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 303 | +1.37 | 3.41 | 322 | 76 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2029 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 76 |
| Miguelangel Boadas R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.44 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 1.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 129 | 76 |
| Eric Cerantola R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.56 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | .392 | 4.05 | 24.8% | 9.6% | 198 | -0.51 | 3.53 | 281 | 76 |
| Brendan Beck R 2029 · 3.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.18 | 22.5% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .289 | 3.78 | 20.9% | 13.1% | 225 | +0.60 | 3.18 | 256 | 76 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 76 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2028 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 75 |