Jalen Hairston — OGILVIE

Jalen Hairston3B Daytona Tortugas

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION137 act + 91 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .252 / .305

PA91

HR2

K%33

BB%5

BABIP281

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	124	116	16	3	0	1	7	42	1	7	0	138	194	190	383	52	205	34	6	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	124	112	24	4	0	2	10	30	1	7	0	214	282	304	586	89	275	24	8	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	CIN	—	137	127	31	7	0	5	6	51	3	0	3	244	294	417	711	173	361	37	4	303	90	-2	-1	+0	+0	+4	0.2
YTD	22	A	CIN	—	137	124	39	8	0	7	9	36	3	0	3	315	375	548	923	234	390	26	7	402	166	+10	-1	+0	+0	+4	1.4
ROS	22	A	CIN	0%	91	85	17	3	0	2	5	30	1	1	1	199	252	305	557	105	288	33	5	263	60	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
ROS	22	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	256	54	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	CIN	—	137	128	31	7	0	5	6	51	3	0	3	242	294	414	708	172	356	37	4	303	90	-2	-1	+0	+0	+4	0.2
TOT	22	A	CIN	—	228	212	48	10	0	7	11	81	4	1	4	226	277	372	649	146	327	35	5	287	78	-6	-1	+0	+1	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CIN	34%	249	229	48	9	1	6	15	78	3	4	2	210	267	336	603	127	287	31	6	270	65	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	344	315	67	13	1	8	22	105	4	6	3	213	273	337	609	124	289	31	6	275	69	-12	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	396	362	79	15	2	10	26	119	5	8	4	218	280	354	633	135	289	30	7	279	71	-13	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	430	394	85	16	2	11	28	129	5	9	4	216	276	350	627	135	289	30	7	280	72	-13	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.1
2027	23	MLB	CIN	34%	86	80	16	3	0	2	5	27	1	1	1	200	256	312	568	112	290	31	6	264	60	-4	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	CIN	46%	159	146	32	6	1	4	10	49	2	3	1	219	278	356	635	137	291	31	6	269	64	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	CIN	52%	205	187	41	8	1	5	13	62	3	4	2	219	281	353	634	134	292	30	6	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	CIN	54%	233	213	47	9	1	6	15	70	3	5	2	221	281	357	638	136	292	30	6	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	683	627	136	26	3	17	43	208	9	13	6	217	277	349	627	132	294	30	6	271	66	-26	+0	+0	+2	+19	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	130	25	3	16	41	198	9	12	6	218	279	350	629	132	295	30	6	271	66	-25	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1634	1501	312	59	6	38	103	503	19	35	14	208	267	331	598	123	283	31	6	268	63	-68	+1	+0	+6	+46	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	123	23	2	15	41	200	8	14	6	206	267	327	593	121	281	31	6	268	63	-27	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	124	112	24	4	0	2	10	30	1	7	0	214	282	304	586	89	275	24	8	269	64	-5	+1	—	—	+4	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	830	19	15	212	269	337	+3	+2	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	15	12	212	269	337	+2.4	+1.2	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jalen Hairston (OGILVIE)	22	22→27	38→43	48→53	43	226/277/372	146	327	7	1	35%	5%	78	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕D.J. Wilson 2019 · A	22	36	42→55	50	39	182/240/287	105	275	9	13	36%	7%	41	-2.3	183/249/284	101	305	9	14	40%	7%	44	-2.1	110/193/203	93	185	13	21	46%	8%	1	-1.4
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	38→43	43→45	51→50	39	190/263/305	115	288	11	13	36%	7%	57	-1.2	212/286/344	132	314	13	12	34%	8%	76	+0.1	211/289/350	139	310	15	12	34%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Estee Harris 2006 · A	21	36→31	43→50	50	37	187/233/300	113	268	11	14	34%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/287	99	315	9	13	41%	6%	40	-2.4	172/224/263	91	318	8	13	46%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	40→45	41→50	52→50	36	194/244/288	94	292	8	9	35%	5%	43	-2.2	197/248/299	102	283	10	12	32%	6%	47	-1.9	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Miguel Aparicio 2021 · A	22	38→35	43→50	51→50	37	193/232/306	113	253	9	8	28%	4%	42	-2.3	206/266/364	158	283	19	8	33%	6%	73	-0.1	182/251/357	175	240	24	6	35%	6%	62	-0.3
✕Tyler Frost 2018 · A	22	42→32	43→50	54→50	40	206/259/322	115	285	9	6	30%	6%	58	-1.2	182/240/297	115	298	12	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	163/224/276	113	271	13	7	43%	6%	30	-2.4
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	196/284/305	109	362	11	4	44%	10%	66	-0.6	177/274/284	107	334	12	2	45%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Mitchell Hansen 2018 · A	22	40→37	44→45	51→50	38	201/248/315	115	282	11	10	32%	6%	52	-1.6	195/242/297	102	293	8	9	34%	5%	44	-2.1	159/200/249	89	247	6	8	37%	4%	11	-1.9
✕Brandon Dulin 2015 · A	22	36→30	42→45	51→40	35	184/234/285	101	260	9	7	32%	4%	38	-2.6	197/245/314	117	277	13	4	33%	5%	50	-1.7	189/240/316	127	261	17	1	34%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	41	181/235/274	93	246	8	11	29%	6%	36	-2.7	225/291/315	90	302	7	9	26%	8%	70	-0.3	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2014 · A	21	36	40→55	47→50	37	182/225/273	91	248	7	7	29%	4%	30	-3.1	210/243/318	108	279	10	8	28%	4%	50	-1.8	218/245/341	123	279	12	9	27%	4%	53	-0.5
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Gage Canning 2019 · A	22	42→36	44→40	50	37	206/259/329	123	314	11	8	37%	6%	60	-1.0	195/245/283	88	323	7	9	39%	5%	42	-2.3	191/241/271	80	315	6	8	39%	5%	33	-1.9
✕Francisco Santana 2010 · A	22	43	42→50	57→55	43	212/261/324	112	266	9	13	24%	6%	59	-1.1	198/235/292	94	282	7	8	31%	4%	39	-2.5	164/182/259	96	230	6	6	32%	2%	4	-1.5