Riley Huge — OGILVIE

Riley Huge P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 240 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%24.2%

BB%18.3%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2020

CMD4545

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	43	0	55	242	77	36	5	0%	1.3	23.5%	17.6%	6.0%	2.4%	5.24	4.66	—
2025	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	43	0	55	242	77	36	5	0%	1.3	23.5%	17.6%	6.0%	2.4%	5.24	4.66	—
2025	23	A RAW	Stockton Ports	43	0	55	242	77	36	5	0%	1.3	31.8%	14.9%	16.9%	2.1%	5.24	3.45	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	41	0	54	260	63	40	5	0%	1.3	18.7%	17.7%	1.0%	2.4%	6.29	5.08	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	41	0	54	260	63	40	5	0%	1.3	18.7%	17.7%	1.0%	2.4%	6.29	5.08	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	OAK	41	0	54	260	63	40	5	0%	1.3	24.2%	15.4%	8.8%	1.9%	6.29	4.06	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	OAK	6	0	6	25	6	5	1	0%	1.0	24.2%	18.3%	5.9%	2.9%	5.36	5.36	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	60	285	69	45	6	—	—	24.2%	15.6%	8.6%	2.0%	6.20	5.11	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	OAK	87	0	91	385	94	60	11	0%	1.0	24.4%	15.7%	8.7%	2.9%	5.11	5.01	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	87	0	91	385	94	58	11	0%	1.0	24.4%	15.0%	9.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.93	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	85	0	90	379	92	56	11	0%	1.1	24.3%	14.8%	9.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.93	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	83	0	87	367	89	54	11	0%	1.0	24.1%	14.7%	9.4%	3.1%	4.97	5.00	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	79	0	83	351	84	52	11	0%	1.1	23.9%	14.9%	8.9%	3.2%	5.07	5.13	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	OAK	74	0	78	330	84	48	11	0%	1.1	25.5%	14.4%	11.1%	3.4%	5.05	5.04	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	OAK	37	0	39	165	40	26	5	0%	1.1	24.4%	15.7%	8.7%	2.9%	5.11	5.01	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	58	0	61	258	63	39	8	0%	1.1	24.4%	15.0%	9.4%	2.9%	4.98	4.93	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	66	0	69	291	71	43	9	0%	1.0	24.3%	14.8%	9.5%	3.0%	4.94	4.93	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	70	0	73	308	74	45	9	0%	1.0	24.1%	14.7%	9.4%	3.1%	4.97	5.00	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	70	0	73	308	74	46	10	0%	1.0	23.9%	14.9%	8.9%	3.2%	5.07	5.13	-0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	OAK	67	0	70	296	75	43	10	0%	1.0	25.5%	14.4%	11.1%	3.4%	5.05	5.04	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		367	0	385	1626	397	242	51	0%	1.0	24.4%	14.9%	9.6%	3.1%	5.01	4.63	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	206	126	26	0%	1.1	24.4%	14.9%	9.6%	3.1%	5.01	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		84	0	109	502	105	88	12	0%	1.3	21.0%	17.6%	3.4%	2.4%	5.76	4.88	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	0	200	918	193	162	22	0%	1.3	21.0%	17.6%	3.4%	2.4%	5.76	4.88	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Riley Huge (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	24.2%	18.3%	2.9%	—	4.96	24.4%	9.2%	272	-0.40	—	—	—
Christian Chamberlain L 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	26.3%	17.5%	2.2%	.238	3.91	20.7%	0.5%	43	-0.42	3.91	148	83
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	83
Caleb Frare L 2017 · 5.45 FIP	24	SU	5.45	22.6%	21.3%	2.9%	.307	3.14	28.0%	15.6%	80	-2.31	2.27	237	82
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.32	22.4%	2.6%	76	+0.56	3.06	183	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	79
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	79
Jimmy Burnette L 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	24.7%	16.3%	2.3%	.336	3.49	19.7%	4.9%	59	-0.85	3.01	158	78
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	78
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	78
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	78
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	77
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	77
Sam Selman L 2015 · 4.36 FIP	24	SU	4.36	20.9%	17.3%	1.5%	.346	3.30	26.1%	11.1%	128	-1.06	2.27	353	76
Bailey Horn L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	24	SU	4.71	24.7%	15.6%	3.1%	.320	4.41	21.4%	10.9%	163	-0.30	3.96	265	76
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	75
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	75
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	75
Chris Wright L 2023 · 4.80 FIP	24	SU	4.80	23.6%	17.3%	2.7%	.360	4.65	20.0%	0.9%	17	-0.15	3.03	169	75
Kumar Nambiar L 2022 · 4.75 FIP	24	SU	4.75	18.5%	14.3%	2.6%	.277	4.94	14.0%	1.0%	60	+0.19	3.10	221	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	24.4%	15.4%	1.19	5.07
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10