Riley Huge P Lansing Lugnuts
Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 240 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 134
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
K%24.2%
BB%16.5%
K-BB%7.7%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 120 IP
K: +2.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -12.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-13BBCONTACT: -3.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +16.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+16STAMTotal WAR: +0.22 (120 IP)+0.2WAR
0.00.10.10.10.0262830
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5555
CTRL2020
CMD4545
K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202523AStockton Ports43055242773650%1.323.5%17.6%6.0%2.2%5.244.54
202523AStockton Ports43055242773650%1.331.8%14.9%16.9%2.1%5.243.45
▸ 2026 Season
202624A+Lansing Lugnuts25030158433230%1.221.0%23.3%-2.3%2.4%8.405.58-0.4
ROS24MLBOAK860903809263110%1.024.2%16.5%7.7%2.9%5.125.12+0.1
ROS24MLBOAK024.2%16.5%7.7%2.9%5.125.12
2026 TOT24MLBOAK120538135951425.1%17.6%7.5%2.6%5.945.24+0.2
2026 FULL24MLBOAK0200024.2%16.5%7.7%2.9%5.124.74-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBOAK870913859455110%1.024.4%14.4%10.0%2.9%4.914.83+0.4
202826MLBOAK870913859453110%1.024.4%13.8%10.6%2.9%4.804.76+0.5
202927MLBOAK850903799251110%1.124.3%13.6%10.7%3.0%4.784.77+0.4
202725MLBOAK37039165402450%1.124.4%14.4%10.0%2.9%4.914.83-0.1
202826MLBOAK58061258633670%1.124.4%13.8%10.6%2.9%4.804.76-0.1
202927MLBOAK66069291714090%1.024.3%13.6%10.7%3.0%4.784.77-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career161017071617499210%1.124.4%13.9%10.5%2.9%4.824.40+2.0
/ 200 IP1900200844205117250%1.124.4%13.9%10.5%2.9%4.824.40+2.3
Career68085400907990%1.222.5%19.8%2.7%2.3%6.354.95+0.1
/ 200 IP1600200941212187210%1.222.5%19.8%2.7%2.3%6.354.95+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Riley Huge (OGILVIE) 5.12 24.2%16.5%2.9% 4.79 24.4%10.4%272 -0.33
Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.40 FIP 24 SU 4.40 23.3%13.0%3.0%.255 4.15 23.7%2.3%45 -0.25 4.15 112 84
Christian Chamberlain L 2026 · 4.53 FIP 24 SU 4.53 27.0%18.9%2.4%.238 3.91 20.7%0.5%43 -0.62 3.91 148 83
Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.10 FIP 24 SU 4.10 23.4%13.2%2.4%.281 3.81 20.9%6.8%52 -0.29 3.12 161 82
Ty Damron L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 24 SU 4.24 24.3%14.0%2.6%.358 4.61 19.7%10.3%134 +0.37 3.22 346 81
Ben Harris L 2026 · 5.54 FIP 24 SU 5.54 23.8%19.6%3.6%.291 5.17 21.6%-2.0%30 -0.37 3.02 183 81
Caleb Frare L 2026 · 5.53 FIP 24 SU 5.53 22.6%21.3%3.0%.307 3.04 28.0%15.6%80 -2.49 2.26 237 80
Andy Oliver L 2029 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.4%16.9%1.5%.283 5.02 19.2%8.6%108 +0.94 4.08 165 80
Ty Madrigal L 2026 · 4.64 FIP 24 SU 4.64 19.3%15.7%2.2%.329 5.86 17.6%2.4%49 +1.22 4.64 107 80
Caleb Wurster L 2026 · 4.49 FIP 24 SU 4.49 25.0%16.1%2.7%.241 10.79 13.9%-5.0%11 +6.30 3.44 100 79
Jimmy Burnette L 2026 · 4.63 FIP 24 SU 4.63 25.5%18.2%2.5%.336 3.66 20.0%4.1%59 -0.97 3.06 158 79
Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP 24 SU 4.54 20.8%11.5%3.2%.268 3.58 22.5%15.3%123 -0.96 1.84 238 79
Seth Clark L 2026 · 5.52 FIP 24 SU 5.52 18.9%16.2%3.6%.267 4.51 17.7%-2.7%32 -1.01 4.30 128 79
Keylan Killgore L 2024 · 4.30 FIP 22 SU 4.30 20.7%12.7%2.5%.307 3.82 161 79
John Beller L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 24 SU 4.00 21.6%14.2%1.7%.331 4.00 170 79
Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP 24 SU 4.92 19.3%13.1%3.3%.294 3.70 21.4%10.0%63 -1.22 2.65 160 78
Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP 24 SU 4.46 18.6%13.7%2.2%.267 3.30 20.8%10.4%38 -1.16 3.11 151 78
Mitchell Tyranski L 2027 · 5.25 FIP 25 SU 5.25 20.4%13.6%3.9%.269 4.20 20.7%6.1%103 -1.05 3.46 145 78
Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.74 FIP 23 SU 4.74 23.8%16.4%2.9%.305 3.95 26.2%15.2%87 -0.79 3.67 165 77
Cy Nielson L 2026 · 4.57 FIP 24 SU 4.57 20.9%12.7%2.9%.361 4.55 19.2%6.2%40 -0.02 3.01 201 77
Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.69 FIP 24 SU 4.69 24.7%15.6%3.1%.320 4.57 22.5%10.5%163 -0.12 4.13 265 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION49024.3%14.6%1.134.90
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyson Ross ('19)410721.3%10.8%0.844.31
Ian Anderson ('22)39122.5%10.4%0.963.97
Brandon Finnegan ('18)38019.7%11.6%1.574.19
Francisco Liriano ('19)513022.3%11.2%1.094.30