Max Belyeu

OF Spokane Indians

Age 23 L/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2225ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+COL	90	.150/.244/.300	4	3	2	—	.108/.178/.217
2026	22	A+COL	281	.233/.341/.475	13	4	61	—	.169/.258/.333
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBCOL	1	.227/.296/.406	0	0	84	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCOL	57	.230/.300/.413	2	1	87	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCOL	111	.232/.302/.418	4	2	89	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.6M2033Arb-2$0.4M2034Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO86

wOBA60

wRC+54

Speed51

BB%42

Chase%32

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsParker Meadows (age 23) · Justin Nelson (age 23) · Daniel Palka (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .296 / .406

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%8

BABIP294

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	90	80	12	0	0	4	9	32	1	3	0	150	244	300	544	150	182	36	10	251	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	281	240	56	11	4	13	30	92	9	4	4	233	341	475	816	242	319	33	11	358	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	90	83	9	0	0	3	6	43	1	3	0	108	178	217	395	108	149	48	7	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	281	249	42	8	3	9	21	124	9	4	4	169	258	333	591	165	280	44	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	90	83	9	0	0	3	6	43	1	3	0	108	178	217	395	108	162	48	7	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	90	80	12	0	0	4	9	32	1	3	0	150	244	300	544	150	182	36	10	251	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	281	249	42	8	3	9	21	124	9	4	4	169	258	333	591	165	284	44	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	281	240	56	11	4	13	30	92	9	4	4	233	341	475	816	242	319	33	11	358	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	90	83	9	0	0	3	6	43	1	3	0	108	178	217	395	108	149	48	7	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	281	249	42	8	3	9	21	124	9	4	4	169	258	333	591	165	280	44	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	90	83	9	0	0	3	6	43	1	3	0	108	178	217	395	108	149	48	7	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	281	249	42	8	3	9	21	124	9	4	4	169	258	333	591	165	280	44	7	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	0%	391	354	75	13	2	13	28	118	6	7	2	214	284	372	656	159	278	30	7	292	84	-7	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	227	296	406	702	179	294	0	0	310	84	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	187	168	37	7	1	6	14	55	3	3	1	217	288	379	667	162	280	29	7	297	87	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	252	227	50	9	1	9	19	74	4	5	2	219	290	383	673	164	281	29	8	299	89	-3	+0	+0	-2	+5	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	305	274	61	11	2	10	23	88	5	6	2	220	292	385	677	165	281	29	8	301	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	52%	332	299	66	12	2	11	25	95	5	6	2	221	292	384	676	163	281	29	8	301	90	-4	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	345	311	68	12	2	11	26	99	5	6	2	220	291	381	672	160	280	29	8	299	89	-5	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	344	310	68	12	2	11	26	99	5	5	2	218	289	374	663	157	279	29	8	295	86	-6	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	COL	52%	337	305	66	12	2	10	25	98	4	5	3	214	285	366	651	152	277	29	7	291	83	-7	-0	-2	-2	+7	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	57	52	11	2	0	2	4	17	1	1	0	230	300	413	713	183	295	30	7	315	87	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	111	100	23	4	1	4	8	32	2	2	1	232	302	418	720	186	296	29	7	318	89	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	155	140	33	6	1	6	12	45	2	3	1	234	304	420	724	186	296	29	8	319	90	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	52%	174	156	36	6	1	7	13	50	3	3	1	234	304	418	722	184	296	29	7	319	90	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	184	165	39	7	1	7	14	53	3	3	1	233	303	414	717	181	295	29	8	317	89	-2	+0	-0	-1	+4	0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	181	163	38	7	1	7	14	52	2	3	1	230	300	407	707	176	294	29	8	313	86	-3	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	COL	52%	176	159	35	6	1	6	13	51	2	3	1	227	296	398	694	171	291	29	7	308	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1038	935	215	38	6	39	78	300	15	18	6	230	300	409	708	179	292	29	8	315	82	-15	+1	-2	-6	+22	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	135	24	4	24	49	188	9	11	4	230	300	408	708	177	294	29	8	315	82	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	2632	2369	497	88	16	85	197	823	44	46	19	210	283	368	651	158	280	31	7	289	82	-34	+2	-4	-14	+49	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	123	22	4	21	49	203	11	11	5	210	284	369	653	159	280	31	8	289	82	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Spokane Indians · 281 PAwOBA .348 → .259 (−89)K% 32.7% → 44.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.74%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	44.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.68%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	7.56%
HBP% /PA	3.20%	—	×0.810	—	×0.998	2.59%
Singles /BIP	18.92%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.017	×0.998	17.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.43%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.017	×0.998	6.26%
Triples /BIP	2.70%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.017	×0.998	2.25%
Home runs /BIP	8.78%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.998	7.28%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .348 → .259; ISO .242 → .174; BABIP .319 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Spokane Indians · 90 PAwOBA .244 → .171 (−73)K% 35.6% → 47.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.56%	÷1.005	×1.350	—	—	47.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.030	×0.710	—	×1.012	6.98%
HBP% /PA	1.11%	—	×0.810	—	×1.012	0.91%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.068	×0.910	×0.962	×1.012	13.82%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.002	×0.830	×0.962	×1.012	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.820	×0.962	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷0.999	×0.830	—	×1.012	7.01%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 114, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .244 → .171; ISO .150 → .105; BABIP .182 → .149. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,038	34	17	220	287	380	-6	+0	0.8	0.8
/162	664	22	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Belyeu (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	212/282/369	157	278	5	3	30%	7%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Justin Nelson 2006 · A	23	43→41	52→55	47→45	45	225/290/398	173	287	19	10	28%	8%	93	+0.8	212/282/387	175	300	20	6	34%	8%	87	+0.4	202/277/382	179	287	21	3	36%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A	23	39→43	49→55	47→50	41	205/264/354	149	277	17	6	32%	7%	73	-0.6	211/262/382	171	301	22	10	36%	6%	79	-0.2	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2022 · AA	23	37→47	52→55	45	41	202/256/366	164	249	21	7	29%	6%	73	-0.6	227/290/398	171	280	21	8	26%	8%	93	+0.8	223/290/390	167	271	21	8	26%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	35→44	55→50	51→50	42	196/262/374	178	265	24	7	35%	8%	78	-0.3	206/272/354	148	304	17	12	36%	8%	76	-0.4	223/304/366	143	320	18	8	34%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A	23	41→48	47→55	46→45	43	209/275/346	136	285	15	8	31%	8%	75	-0.5	231/288/381	150	301	14	6	27%	7%	88	+0.4	237/306/397	160	290	18	4	24%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Keegan McGovern 2019 · A	23	44	53→60	47→30	40	226/281/397	171	308	21	5	33%	6%	89	+0.5	198/272/350	152	314	19	5	41%	7%	76	-0.4	158/248/298	139	264	19	5	44%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	40→48	52→55	46→45	48	209/301/378	169	282	20	5	32%	10%	93	+0.8	223/297/391	168	287	20	3	28%	8%	94	+0.9	227/301/404	177	282	22	1	27%	8%	98	+1.0
✕Matt Clark 2010 · A	23	43→45	51→55	49→30	42	221/282/383	162	296	19	3	32%	7%	86	+0.3	231/288/397	166	307	22	2	31%	7%	92	+0.7	229/287/393	164	299	22	0	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Brock Lundquist 2019 · A	23	45→44	47→50	48→45	42	227/293/360	133	302	15	4	29%	6%	85	+0.2	207/271/318	111	301	11	6	33%	7%	67	-1.1	184/250/279	96	278	9	6	35%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Daniel Johnson 2018 · A	23	46→51	50→55	48→55	39	235/279/388	153	287	18	13	25%	4%	86	+0.3	242/290/392	150	313	15	15	27%	5%	91	+0.6	229/282/384	156	310	16	14	30%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	38→43	48→55	49→50	46	194/274/343	149	274	15	12	34%	9%	74	-0.5	212/288/380	168	308	18	12	35%	9%	88	+0.4	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕George Valera 2024 · AAA	23	42→43	49→50	42→45	49	213/301/363	150	293	17	5	32%	10%	89	+0.5	221/292/363	142	301	16	6	30%	9%	85	+0.2	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0
●Will Benson 2021 · A	23	34→44	50→55	52→55	43	182/262/331	149	278	18	14	40%	9%	68	-1.0	211/311/379	168	313	17	18	35%	12%	97	+1.1	224/328/404	179	321	17	26	32%	12%	107	+1.3
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/275/352	143	286	15	11	31%	7%	76	-0.4	216/263/365	149	280	15	11	28%	5%	74	-0.5	214/256/366	152	271	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Jordan Beck 2024 · AA	23	43→49	51→50	50	46	220/290/383	163	296	19	13	31%	9%	89	+0.5	226/286/364	138	314	14	16	31%	8%	83	+0.1	224/283/356	132	309	13	18	30%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	41→43	46→55	50→45	44	205/277/341	136	298	13	10	34%	8%	75	-0.5	217/287/367	150	293	17	6	30%	8%	84	+0.2	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2

Max Belyeu

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps