Geury Rodriguez

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 LHP 6'0" / 155 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL Rangers R…	7	3	19	2.79	1.34	34.2%	7.9%	—	K 23.3% · BB 9.9% · FIP 2.39
2025	20	MIX2 levels	15	0	26	4.15	3.72	33.0%	15.2%	—	K 22.7% · BB 17.6% · FIP 4.93
2026	21	ATEX	29	0	48	2.62	3.66	29.2%	15.3%	—	K 21.6% · BB 18.1% · FIP 4.98
2027PROJ	22	MLBTEX	21	0	22	5.27	5.27	22.3%	16.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBTEX	21	0	22	5.01	4.89	23.2%	14.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Seth Clark (age 23) · Jeff Belge (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%22.3%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	15	1	19	94	29	14	1	7%	1.3	21.0%	18.6%	2.4%	1.4%	8.84	4.46	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Red	15	1	19	94	29	14	1	7%	1.3	30.9%	14.9%	16.0%	1.1%	8.84	2.94	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	10	1	20	92	32	12	0	10%	2.0	23.7%	16.3%	7.3%	0.0%	2.66	3.17	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	10	1	20	92	32	12	0	10%	2.0	34.8%	13.0%	21.7%	0.0%	2.66	1.72	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	7	3	19	76	26	6	0	43%	2.8	23.3%	9.9%	13.4%	0.0%	2.79	2.39	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	7	3	19	76	26	6	0	43%	2.8	23.3%	9.9%	13.4%	0.0%	2.79	2.39	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	7	3	19	76	26	6	0	43%	2.8	34.2%	7.9%	26.3%	0.0%	2.79	1.34	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	26	112	37	17	3	0%	1.7	22.7%	17.6%	5.0%	2.8%	4.15	4.93	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	26	112	37	17	3	0%	1.7	22.7%	17.6%	5.0%	2.8%	4.15	4.93	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	26	112	37	17	3	0%	1.7	33.0%	15.2%	17.9%	2.7%	4.15	3.72	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	29	0	48	202	59	31	4	0%	1.7	21.6%	18.1%	3.5%	2.6%	2.62	4.98	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	29	0	48	202	59	31	4	0%	1.7	21.6%	18.1%	3.5%	2.6%	2.62	4.98	—
2026	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	29	0	48	202	59	31	4	0%	1.7	29.2%	15.3%	13.9%	2.0%	2.62	3.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	TEX	21	0	22	93	21	15	3	0%	1.0	22.3%	16.3%	6.0%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	43	0	45	189	44	26	5	0%	1.0	23.2%	14.0%	9.2%	2.9%	5.01	4.89	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	21	0	22	93	22	13	3	0%	1.0	23.2%	14.0%	9.2%	2.9%	5.01	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		21	0	22	93	22	13	3	0%	1.0	23.2%	14.0%	9.2%	2.9%	5.01	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	118	27	0%	1.1	23.2%	14.0%	9.2%	2.9%	5.01	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		76	5	133	576	128	96	10	7%	1.8	22.3%	16.7%	5.5%	1.7%	3.86	4.25	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		114	8	200	866	193	145	14	7%	1.8	22.3%	16.7%	5.5%	1.7%	3.86	4.25	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Geury Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	22.3%	16.3%	2.9%	—	4.89	23.2%	9.2%	45	-0.38	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	93
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	87
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	86
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	84
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	84
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	84
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	83
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	83
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	83
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	82
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	82
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	82
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	82
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	81
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	81
Carlos Rey L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	22	SU	4.47	26.1%	22.0%	1.4%	.297	4.30	25.5%	5.4%	108	-0.17	3.90	165	80
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	22.9%	14.7%	1.13	5.09
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*