Owen Carapellotti

C Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	ATOR	175	.245/.366/.585	15	1	82	—	.179/.269/.417
2026	23	ROKTOR	21	.188/.350/.188	0	0	15	—	.118/.250/.118
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBTOR	246	.213/.282/.355	7	3	79	0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBTOR	80	.216/.285/.360	2	1	81	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBTOR	164	.217/.287/.362	5	2	82	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO99

wOBA93

wRC+89

BB%84

Chase%73

K%48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsTravis Scott (age 24) · César Salazar (age 23) · Nick Cimillo (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 147 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .280 / .352

PA147

HR4

K%31

BB%8

ISO142

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	175	147	36	5	0	15	27	47	1	1	0	245	366	585	951	340	247	27	15	410	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	21	16	3	0	0	0	3	6	1	0	0	188	350	188	537		273	29	14	264	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	175	156	28	4	0	11	18	64	1	1	0	179	269	417	685	237	202	37	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	21	17	2	0	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	118	250	118	368		216	43	10	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	196	173	30	4	0	11	20	73	2	1	0	173	267	387	654	214	211	37	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	196	163	39	5	0	15	30	53	2	1	0	239	364	546	910	307	250	27	15	394	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	196	172	30	4	0	11	20	73	2	1	0	174	267	390	656	215	204	37	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	196	172	30	4	0	11	20	73	2	1	0	174	267	390	656	215	204	37	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	246	223	47	8	1	7	19	77	2	3	1	213	282	355	638	142	287	31	8	285	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	38%	213	192	41	7	1	6	17	65	2	3	1	215	285	359	643	143	288	31	8	288	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	296	267	59	10	2	9	24	90	3	4	1	217	286	361	647	144	288	30	8	289	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	61%	340	307	67	11	2	10	27	102	3	4	1	217	287	361	648	144	287	30	8	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	368	333	72	12	2	10	29	110	3	5	2	217	287	358	645	142	286	30	8	289	81	-8	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	378	342	74	13	2	10	30	112	3	4	2	216	285	355	640	139	285	30	8	287	80	-9	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	383	347	73	12	2	10	30	115	3	4	2	213	282	347	628	134	283	30	8	282	77	-11	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	364	330	69	12	2	9	28	111	3	4	4	208	277	337	614	129	280	30	8	276	73	-12	-1	-3	+7	+8	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	38%	80	73	15	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	216	285	360	645	144	289	31	8	288	81	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	164	149	32	5	1	5	13	50	1	2	1	217	287	362	649	145	289	30	8	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	61%	209	188	41	7	1	6	17	63	2	3	1	218	288	362	650	144	288	30	8	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	237	214	47	8	1	7	19	71	2	3	1	217	287	360	647	142	288	30	8	289	81	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	243	220	48	8	1	7	19	72	2	3	1	216	286	356	642	139	286	30	8	287	80	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	246	223	48	8	1	7	19	74	2	3	2	213	282	348	630	134	284	30	8	283	77	-7	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	234	212	44	7	1	6	18	71	2	2	3	209	277	338	615	129	281	30	8	277	73	-8	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1413	1279	275	46	6	40	111	426	12	17	9	215	284	354	638	139	287	30	8	286	79	-35	-0	-4	+25	+31	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	126	21	3	18	51	196	6	8	4	214	284	352	636	138	286	30	8	286	79	-16	-0	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2685	2424	514	86	14	79	217	824	23	31	14	212	283	357	640	145	283	31	8	285	79	-61	+0	-7	+44	+54	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	124	21	3	19	53	199	6	8	3	211	284	354	638	143	282	31	8	285	79	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,561	43	19	215	281	355	+28	+20	3.2	3.1
/162	664	18	8	+11.9	+8.5	1.3	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Carapellotti (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	212/280/352	140	287	4	2	31%	8%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Scott 2009 · A	24	43	49→55	46→40	42	221/276/367	146	289	17	5	29%	7%	80	-0.1	220/272/371	151	280	17	5	27%	6%	80	-0.2	220/274/391	171	267	19	2	25%	6%	84	+0.1
✕César Salazar 2019 · A	23	43→40	48→45	49→45	39	217/279/354	138	308	17	8	34%	6%	79	-0.2	210/265/318	108	263	11	8	24%	5%	65	-1.2	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Jared Greenwood 2007 · A	24	39	50→55	43→45	42	206/271/353	147	290	19	7	35%	8%	75	-0.5	204/266/329	125	321	14	6	38%	7%	68	-1.0	169/232/282	113	281	12	0	42%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Nathan Hickey 2024 · AA	24	42→40	53→50	47→40	46	216/296/388	172	293	21	4	33%	9%	93	+0.8	192/272/328	136	276	15	4	34%	9%	70	-0.8	173/257/299	126	247	13	3	34%	10%	56	-1.3
✕Jaxx Groshans 2022 · A	24	46	47→50	47→30	46	228/292/362	134	300	15	4	28%	8%	84	+0.2	198/263/320	122	284	13	5	33%	8%	65	-1.2	121/197/239	117	168	13	0	36%	8%	20	-1.5
✕Isan Díaz 2020 · MLB	24	42→43	50→55	45	44	217/288/375	158	293	18	8	32%	8%	87	+0.4	217/289/371	154	288	18	7	30%	8%	86	+0.3	192/269/361	169	236	25	8	31%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Ryan Flaherty 2010 · A	24	45→47	48→55	44→45	44	228/278/371	143	280	16	6	25%	6%	81	-0.1	229/278/366	137	283	14	5	24%	6%	80	-0.1	228/275/384	156	274	20	4	24%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Alex Isola 2022 · A	24	39→44	50	47→40	46	205/273/349	143	260	19	4	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/284/350	133	273	16	4	26%	8%	79	-0.2	209/277/330	121	257	15	4	24%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	41→46	45	48→40	41	205/269/325	120	285	13	6	32%	7%	68	-1.0	226/281/343	117	304	11	5	28%	6%	76	-0.4	230/288/345	115	310	11	3	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→47	46→45	49→50	43	195/275/324	129	258	13	9	29%	7%	71	-0.8	216/290/343	127	275	12	9	25%	7%	80	-0.1	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	40→49	46→45	47→45	47	200/279/329	129	274	13	5	31%	9%	73	-0.6	227/289/345	118	302	12	5	27%	8%	80	-0.2	231/291/343	112	305	11	4	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→45	49→50	44→45	46	224/292/371	148	289	17	7	28%	8%	87	+0.4	217/297/370	153	284	16	5	28%	8%	89	+0.5	213/299/370	157	281	17	4	29%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Zack Collins 2019 · AA	24	39→42	48→50	47→40	50	192/294/333	141	297	15	4	37%	12%	80	-0.1	210/305/364	154	309	17	4	34%	12%	91	+0.7	192/293/353	162	269	18	2	33%	12%	85	+0.1
✕Tatem Levins 2024 · A	25	47	47→45	48→40	45	236/292/373	136	303	15	4	27%	7%	87	+0.4	204/285/323	119	282	12	4	30%	9%	74	-0.5	188/284/299	111	259	12	3	30%	10%	66	-0.7
✕Tyler Marlette 2017 · AA	24	45→43	48→50	45	40	228/271/371	143	292	16	6	28%	5%	79	-0.2	218/267/341	123	287	13	5	28%	6%	70	-0.8	210/262/326	116	274	13	3	27%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Andrew Susac 2014 · AA	24	42→39	47→50	46→30	47	212/288/347	135	284	15	3	30%	9%	80	-0.1	223/295/367	144	296	16	3	28%	8%	88	+0.4	216/287/358	142	283	16	0	28%	8%	82	-0.0

Owen Carapellotti

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps