Tyce Armstrong

2B Tampa Tarpons

Age 24 R/R A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	ANYY	86	.310/.417/.634	6	2	115	—	.240/.321/.493
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBNYY	200	.220/.288/.373	6	4	85	0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBNYY	49	.223/.292/.383	2	1	87	0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBNYY	115	.224/.293/.385	4	2	87	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%83

Z-Con%71

Max EV70

BB%69

Whiff%69

Speed59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsDevin Mann (age 24) · Braxton Fulford (age 24) · Andrew Young (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .286 / .370

PA95

HR3

K%30

BB%8

ISO153

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	86	71	22	5	0	6	13	20	0	2	0	310	417	634	1.050	324	340	23	15	441	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	86	75	18	4	0	5	9	27	0	2	0	240	321	493	815	253	278	31	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	86	75	18	4	0	5	9	27	0	2	0	240	321	493	815	253	289	31	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	86	71	22	5	0	6	13	20	0	2	0	310	417	634	1.050	324	340	23	15	441	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	86	77	18	4	0	5	9	27	0	2	0	234	321	481	802	247	278	31	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	86	77	18	4	0	5	9	27	0	2	0	234	321	481	802	247	278	31	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	200	181	39	7	1	6	16	60	1	4	1	220	288	373	661	153	290	30	8	294	85	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	30%	164	149	33	6	1	5	13	49	1	3	1	222	290	375	665	153	291	30	8	296	87	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	44%	260	235	52	10	1	8	21	76	2	5	1	223	291	376	668	154	290	29	8	297	87	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	49%	315	284	64	12	2	10	26	92	2	6	2	223	292	375	667	153	290	29	8	297	87	-5	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	351	317	70	13	2	10	29	102	2	6	2	222	291	372	664	150	289	29	8	296	86	-6	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	366	331	74	14	2	11	30	106	2	6	2	221	290	368	658	147	287	29	8	294	85	-7	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	375	340	74	14	2	10	30	110	2	6	2	218	286	360	646	142	285	29	8	289	82	-8	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	30%	49	45	10	2	0	2	4	15	0	1	0	223	292	383	675	160	291	31	8	300	87	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	44%	115	104	24	4	1	4	9	34	1	2	1	224	293	385	678	160	291	30	8	301	87	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	49%	154	139	32	6	1	5	13	45	1	3	1	224	294	383	677	159	290	29	8	301	87	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	181	163	37	7	1	6	15	52	1	3	1	224	293	380	673	157	289	29	8	299	86	-3	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	188	170	38	7	1	6	15	54	1	3	1	222	291	376	667	153	288	29	8	297	85	-3	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	209	189	42	8	1	6	17	61	1	4	1	219	288	367	655	148	285	29	8	292	82	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	896	810	183	34	5	29	73	261	5	16	5	226	294	388	682	162	293	29	8	298	87	-16	+1	-2	+3	+19	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	133	25	4	21	53	189	4	12	4	226	295	389	684	163	293	29	8	298	87	-11	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2012	1817	404	77	10	62	166	591	12	36	10	222	292	378	670	156	291	29	8	296	87	-33	+3	-4	+7	+42	1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	130	25	3	20	54	191	4	12	3	221	292	376	668	155	289	29	8	296	87	-11	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Dave Shean'06-'19 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	6	66	228*	284*	352*	+9	+18	3.0	4.3
/162	664	2	18	+2.4	+4.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.5	991	29	18	222	287	372	+4	+4	1.5	1.5
/162	664	20	12	+2.4	+2.7	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyce Armstrong (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	218/286/370	151	290	3	2	30%	8%	85	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→45	49→50	44→45	46	224/292/371	148	289	17	7	28%	8%	87	+0.4	217/297/370	153	284	16	5	28%	8%	89	+0.5	213/299/370	157	281	17	4	29%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Andrew Young 2018 · A	24	45→46	49→55	50→40	40	226/292/373	147	297	16	7	29%	5%	88	+0.5	226/303/391	165	279	20	5	26%	6%	97	+1.1	219/301/403	184	282	23	3	30%	6%	96	+0.8
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Jaxx Groshans 2022 · A	24	46	47→50	47→30	46	228/292/362	134	300	15	4	28%	8%	84	+0.2	198/263/320	122	284	13	5	33%	8%	65	-1.2	121/197/239	117	168	13	0	36%	8%	20	-1.5
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	44	46→45	48→50	42	221/284/348	127	282	13	11	26%	6%	79	-0.2	210/265/327	117	265	13	7	25%	5%	67	-1.1	194/247/303	110	239	13	5	25%	5%	52	-1.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Christian Koss 2022 · A	24	42→47	47→45	50	39	217/262/353	136	281	15	9	29%	5%	72	-0.7	224/268/346	122	299	12	14	28%	4%	72	-0.7	246/294/365	119	307	12	15	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Alex Isola 2022 · A	24	39→44	50	47→40	46	205/273/349	143	260	19	4	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/284/350	133	273	16	4	26%	8%	79	-0.2	209/277/330	121	257	15	4	24%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→47	46→45	49→50	43	195/275/324	129	258	13	9	29%	7%	71	-0.8	216/290/343	127	275	12	9	25%	7%	80	-0.1	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→60	48→45	42	198/263/331	133	270	14	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	210/285/377	167	290	20	5	33%	8%	86	+0.3	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	42	49→50	45→50	41	213/282/354	140	287	17	12	31%	7%	80	-0.1	210/279/347	137	276	16	12	29%	6%	77	-0.3	202/274/337	135	264	15	13	29%	6%	70	-0.8
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	43→45	45→55	49→50	47	215/282/334	119	268	14	12	25%	8%	75	-0.5	214/278/349	135	274	16	11	27%	8%	77	-0.3	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2024 · AA	24	41→51	51→55	50→55	41	213/274/368	155	292	20	18	33%	7%	80	-0.2	227/265/382	155	285	19	12	27%	4%	80	-0.2	228/259/382	154	275	20	9	25%	3%	75	-0.4
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	217/260/363	146	268	17	5	26%	5%	73	-0.6	203/256/307	104	268	9	7	27%	6%	59	-1.7	143/201/202	59	189	3	6	25%	5%	15	-1.2
✕Tyler Marlette 2017 · AA	24	45→43	48→50	45	40	228/271/371	143	292	16	6	28%	5%	79	-0.2	218/267/341	123	287	13	5	28%	6%	70	-0.8	210/262/326	116	274	13	3	27%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	43→39	49→50	46→45	47	218/299/372	154	287	16	8	29%	9%	90	+0.6	209/283/347	138	275	16	7	28%	8%	78	-0.3	191/266/325	134	242	17	5	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Ryan Casteel 2014 · A	23	43→49	53→55	48→40	41	225/278/401	176	294	21	4	31%	6%	88	+0.5	232/275/368	136	310	15	5	29%	5%	80	-0.2	230/268/344	114	311	12	4	29%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Randy Roth 2006 · A	24	45→51	50→55	49→45	38	229/275/387	158	289	17	7	27%	4%	84	+0.2	245/287/393	148	278	16	6	18%	4%	90	+0.6	256/295/414	158	280	18	6	16%	3%	97	+1.0

Tyce Armstrong

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps