Jonas Uzcategui

P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 LHP 6'0" / 155 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2031

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKDSL Miami	18	0	20	5.49	3.15	34.9%	18.6%	—	K 23.7% · BB 23.3% · FIP 4.53
2025	20	ROKMIA	6	1	7	12.86	6.39	24.4%	24.4%	—	K 24.4% · BB 24.4% · FIP 5.47
2026	21	MIX2 levels	28	10	59	4.30	3.12	31.7%	14.7%	—	K 22.5% · BB 17.7% · FIP 4.54
2027PROJ	22	MLBMIA	35	0	37	5.29	5.29	22.5%	16.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBMIA	26	0	27	5.02	4.90	23.3%	14.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBMIA	37	0	39	4.78	4.64	23.9%	12.7%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 96%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Seth Clark (age 23) · Christian Chamberlain (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117126vR 134

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%22.5%

BB%16.7%

K-BB%5.8%

Proj IP37

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	7	1	13	65	18	13	1	14%	1.9	18.8%	25.0%	-6.2%	1.7%	6.23	5.62	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	7	1	13	65	18	13	1	14%	1.9	27.7%	20.0%	7.7%	1.5%	6.23	4.33	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	0	13	77	13	30	0	0%	1.2	11.5%	48.7%	-37.2%	0.0%	12.08	8.30	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	11	0	13	77	13	30	0	0%	1.2	16.9%	39.0%	-22.1%	0.0%	12.08	8.15	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	18	0	20	86	30	16	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	23.3%	0.5%	0.9%	5.49	4.53	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	18	0	20	86	30	16	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	23.3%	0.5%	0.9%	5.49	4.53	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	18	0	20	86	30	16	1	0%	1.1	34.9%	18.6%	16.3%	1.2%	5.49	3.15	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	1	7	41	10	10	1	17%	1.2	24.4%	24.4%	0.0%	2.4%	12.86	5.47	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	1	7	41	10	10	1	17%	1.2	24.4%	24.4%	0.0%	2.4%	12.86	5.47	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	6	1	7	41	10	10	1	17%	1.2	24.4%	24.4%	0.0%	2.4%	12.86	6.39	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	10	59	265	84	39	4	36%	2.1	22.5%	17.7%	4.8%	2.0%	4.30	4.54	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	10	59	265	84	39	4	36%	2.1	22.5%	17.7%	4.8%	2.0%	4.30	4.54	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	10	59	265	84	39	4	36%	2.1	31.7%	14.7%	17.0%	1.5%	4.30	3.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIA	35	0	37	156	35	26	5	0%	1.1	22.5%	16.7%	5.8%	2.9%	5.29	5.29	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	52	0	55	231	54	33	7	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.3%	9.0%	2.9%	5.02	4.90	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	54	0	56	237	57	30	7	0%	1.0	23.9%	12.7%	11.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.64	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	54	0	57	240	58	28	7	0%	1.1	24.2%	11.7%	12.5%	2.8%	4.59	4.48	+0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	54	0	57	240	59	28	7	0%	1.1	24.4%	11.6%	12.8%	2.8%	4.50	4.45	+0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	26	0	27	114	27	16	3	0%	1.0	23.3%	14.3%	9.0%	2.9%	5.02	4.90	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	37	0	39	165	39	21	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.7%	11.2%	2.9%	4.78	4.64	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	44	0	46	194	47	23	6	0%	1.0	24.2%	11.7%	12.5%	2.8%	4.59	4.48	+0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	48	0	50	211	52	24	6	0%	1.0	24.4%	11.6%	12.8%	2.8%	4.50	4.45	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		154	0	162	684	165	84	20	0%	1.1	24.0%	12.3%	11.7%	2.9%	4.68	4.20	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	204	104	25	0%	1.1	24.0%	12.3%	11.7%	2.9%	4.68	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		70	12	111	534	111	131	8	17%	1.6	20.8%	24.5%	-3.7%	1.5%	6.16	5.28	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	22	200	962	200	235	15	17%	1.6	20.8%	24.5%	-3.7%	1.5%	6.16	5.28	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonas Uzcategui (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	22.5%	16.7%	2.9%	—	4.67	23.8%	10.9%	168	-0.62	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	84
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	82
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	82
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	82
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	80
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	79
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	79
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	79
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	79
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	78
Carlos Rey L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	22	SU	4.47	26.1%	22.0%	1.4%	.297	4.30	25.5%	5.4%	108	-0.17	3.90	165	78
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	78
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	78
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	78
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	78
Armando Vasquez L 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	21.5%	18.0%	2.9%	.312	6.10	20.8%	2.7%	36	+0.95	4.22	131	78
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	78
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	77
Kyle Dohy L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	22	SU	4.42	25.4%	19.7%	1.8%	.361	3.28	28.3%	14.8%	54	-1.14	2.69	167	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	52	23.8%	13.2%	1.11	4.80
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35