Alberto Barriga — OGILVIE

Alberto BarrigaC Hillsboro Hops

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .254 / .291

PA162

HR3

SB5

K%31

BB%7

BABIP254

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$8M	+$6M
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+1.4	$7M	+$5M
2033	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$15M		$39M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	130	110	18	6	2	0	15	27	2	6	7	164	276	255	530	91	212	21	12	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	130	104	26	10	3	0	21	18	2	6	7	250	386	404	790	154	295	14	16	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	35	31	10	0	1	1	2	7	0	3	3	323	364	484	848	161	360	20	6	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	35	29	12	0	1	1	4	5	0	3	3	414	485	586	1.071	172	440	14	11	444	198	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	233	215	37	9	1	4	13	78	3	12	5	172	229	279	509	107	244	33	6	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	233	204	53	15	2	4	24	52	3	12	5	260	346	412	758	152	327	22	10	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	483	421	58	16	1	2	43	193	14	20	5	138	241	195	435	57	246	40	9	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	483	398	79	21	2	4	66	130	14	20	5	198	333	291	624	93	282	27	14	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	ARI	—	244	224	42	10	0	10	16	71	1	10	2	188	245	366	611	179	219	29	7	264	61	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
YTD	21	A+	ARI	—	244	215	53	14	0	12	25	52	1	10	2	247	328	479	807	233	266	21	10	351	127	+7	+1	+0	+4	+7	2.0
ROS	21	A+	ARI	0%	162	147	27	7	0	3	12	51	2	5	1	183	254	291	545	108	255	31	7	256	54	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						258	0	0	249	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	ARI	—	245	225	42	10	0	10	16	71	1	10	2	187	244	364	608	178	218	29	7	264	61	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
TOT	21	A+	ARI	—	406	371	69	17	0	13	28	122	3	15	3	186	248	336	585	151	233	30	7	261	58	-19	+2	+0	+7	+12	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	ARI	25%	485	439	86	20	1	12	37	145	6	11	3	196	268	328	596	132	261	30	8	269	64	-20	+1	+1	+9	+14	0.5
2028	23	MLB	ARI	38%	520	468	96	22	2	14	41	150	6	12	3	205	278	350	628	145	264	29	8	278	71	-17	+1	+1	+9	+15	0.9
2029	24	MLB	ARI	44%	520	467	97	22	2	14	42	147	6	12	3	208	282	353	635	146	267	28	8	284	75	-14	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.2
2030	25	MLB	ARI	47%	520	467	99	22	2	15	42	145	6	11	3	212	285	364	649	152	267	28	8	287	78	-13	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.3
2031	26	MLB	ARI	49%	520	467	99	22	2	15	42	145	6	11	3	212	285	364	649	152	267	28	8	288	79	-13	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.4
2032	27	MLB	ARI	49%	520	466	98	22	2	15	43	146	6	11	3	210	285	363	648	152	267	28	8	288	79	-13	+1	+1	+9	+15	1.4
2033	28	MLB	ARI	49%	520	466	98	22	2	15	43	146	6	11	3	210	285	363	648	152	266	28	8	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.2
2034	29	MLB	ARI	48%	520	465	96	22	1	14	44	147	6	10	3	206	283	348	632	142	266	28	8	285	76	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2035	30	MLB	ARI	52%	520	465	95	21	1	14	44	149	6	10	2	204	282	344	626	140	264	29	8	282	74	-15	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2027	22	MLB	ARI	25%	122	111	21	5	0	3	9	36	1	3	1	189	256	315	572	126	263	30	7	263	59	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	23	MLB	ARI	38%	200	180	38	9	1	5	16	58	2	5	1	211	283	356	638	144	267	29	8	272	66	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	24	MLB	ARI	44%	229	206	43	10	1	6	18	65	3	5	1	209	282	354	636	146	269	28	8	278	71	-8	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	25	MLB	ARI	47%	246	221	47	11	1	7	20	69	3	5	1	213	287	367	653	154	270	28	8	281	73	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2031	26	MLB	ARI	49%	255	229	48	11	1	7	21	71	3	6	1	210	285	358	643	148	270	28	8	282	74	-7	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.6
2032	27	MLB	ARI	49%	256	230	48	11	1	7	21	72	3	6	1	209	283	357	640	148	269	28	8	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.6
2033	28	MLB	ARI	49%	256	230	48	11	1	7	21	72	3	5	1	209	283	357	640	148	269	28	8	281	73	-8	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2034	29	MLB	ARI	48%	251	225	48	11	1	7	21	71	3	5	1	213	289	364	654	151	268	28	8	279	72	-8	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2035	30	MLB	ARI	52%	270	242	50	11	1	7	23	77	3	5	1	207	284	347	631	140	267	29	9	277	70	-9	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2086	1875	391	90	8	56	170	591	24	45	9	209	283	355	637	146	271	28	8	278	71	-68	+5	+1	+37	+59	3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	121	28	2	17	53	184	7	14	3	207	281	349	630	142	269	28	8	278	71	-21	+2	+0	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	5688	5094	1014	233	20	138	463	1676	75	145	47	199	276	334	609	135	264	29	8	273	67	-213	+10	+4	+102	+161	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	116	27	2	16	53	192	9	17	5	199	276	335	611	136	265	30	8	273	67	-24	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	130	104	26	10	3	0	21	18	2	6	7	250	386	404	790	154	295	14	16	351	126	+4	-2	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	35	29	12	0	1	1	4	5	0	3	3	414	485	586	1.071	172	440	14	11	444	198	+4	-1	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	20	19	2	2	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	105	150	211	361	105	222	50	5	163	-17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	213	185	51	13	2	4	23	42	3	12	5	276	365	432	797	157	333	20	11	354	129	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2025	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	410	341	68	19	1	4	53	118	12	16	4	199	328	296	624	97	290	29	13	293	82	-8	+2	—	—	+12	0.5
2025	20	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	73	57	11	2	1	0	13	12	2	4	1	193	361	263	624	70	244	16	18	301	88	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,085	57	44	208	279	353	+37	+16	4.2	4.0
	/162	664	18	14	208	279	353	+11.9	+5.1	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberto Barriga (OGILVIE)	21	36→53	26→35	53	46	186/248/336	151	233	13	15	30%	7%	58	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	223/270/319	96	299	8	9	27%	5%	62	-0.9	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Christopher Bostick 2014 · A	21	43→53	43→45	52→55	40	209/264/322	113	296	10	14	32%	6%	60	-1.0	209/257/326	117	286	10	16	29%	5%	58	-1.2	242/294/361	119	311	10	7	24%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Wynton Bernard 2013 · A	22	43→53	39→45	52→60	42	206/267/294	87	298	6	10	31%	7%	54	-1.4	238/288/332	94	320	6	19	26%	6%	72	-0.2	258/303/352	93	322	6	28	21%	5%	79	+0.3
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	37→40	56→60	41	213/266/295	82	298	4	14	28%	6%	54	-1.4	239/296/340	101	343	9	30	31%	6%	79	+0.3	247/300/330	83	351	7	39	30%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕James Harris 2015 · A	21	40→50	41→40	48→50	38	199/248/293	95	285	10	12	33%	6%	46	-2.0	225/287/317	92	321	7	13	30%	7%	68	-0.5	235/301/325	90	331	5	15	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Gioskar Amaya 2014 · A	21	41→48	39→40	49→50	39	200/253/292	92	279	5	9	29%	5%	48	-1.9	201/266/279	78	285	5	10	29%	7%	50	-1.7	194/263/262	69	276	5	10	29%	7%	42	-1.5
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/254/285	79	277	5	12	27%	6%	46	-2.0	219/275/319	100	284	8	8	25%	7%	64	-0.8	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	45	39→40	52→60	40	212/268/302	90	310	6	12	32%	7%	56	-1.3	184/266/257	73	309	5	22	38%	9%	46	-2.0	142/239/196	53	243	5	33	39%	9%	17	-1.1
✕Raynel Delgado 2021 · A	21	46→56	37→40	50→60	42	217/268/291	74	307	4	9	30%	6%	53	-1.5	197/260/284	87	287	7	14	32%	7%	49	-1.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Justin Bohn 2014 · A	21	46→56	39→40	54→45	40	218/270/303	85	316	7	14	32%	6%	57	-1.2	225/275/310	85	316	6	9	29%	6%	61	-1.0	214/265/293	79	302	5	7	29%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Evan Crawford 2010 · A	21	45→55	36→45	57→55	39	212/259/279	67	305	3	16	30%	6%	46	-2.0	237/278/322	85	326	3	18	27%	4%	65	-0.7	245/287/333	88	335	3	21	26%	4%	67	-0.5
✕A.J. Jimenez 2011 · A	21	46→56	40→45	50	35	224/254/314	90	308	7	13	29%	4%	53	-1.5	246/284/346	100	309	7	10	22%	5%	74	-0.1	257/295/356	99	315	6	7	20%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Diego Infante 2021 · A	21	44→54	38→45	52→50	38	206/255/285	79	315	5	9	35%	6%	46	-2.0	237/291/363	126	369	13	12	37%	7%	82	+0.5	234/285/359	124	358	14	14	36%	6%	76	+0.1