Alberto Barriga
C Amarillo Sod Poodles| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROKARI | 233 | .260/.346/.412 | 4 | 12 | 39 | — | .169/.230/.262 |
| 2025 | 20 | A/INTL2 orgs | 483 | .198/.333/.291 | 4 | 20 | 37 | — | .145/.246/.207 |
| 2026 | 21 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 413 | .245/.322/.413 | 13 | 14 | 65 | — | .203/.264/.333 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBARI | 4 | .219/.284/.345 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ32% MLB | 23 | MLBARI | 117 | .224/.289/.356 | 3 | 3 | 78 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBARI | 187 | .227/.293/.364 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 0.5 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs Black | — | 130 | 104 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 250 | 386 | 404 | 790 | 154 | 295 | 14 | 16 | 351 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | — | 35 | 29 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 414 | 485 | 586 | 1.071 | 172 | 440 | 14 | 11 | 444 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 20 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 150 | 211 | 361 | 105 | 222 | 50 | 5 | 163 | -49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 213 | 185 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 276 | 365 | 432 | 797 | 157 | 333 | 20 | 11 | 354 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 410 | 341 | 68 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 53 | 118 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 199 | 328 | 296 | 624 | 97 | 290 | 29 | 13 | 293 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 73 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 193 | 361 | 263 | 624 | 70 | 244 | 16 | 18 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 229 | 207 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 237 | 304 | 362 | 666 | 126 | 280 | 21 | 8 | 299 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 168 | 147 | 38 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 259 | 347 | 490 | 837 | 231 | 291 | 22 | 11 | 367 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 16 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 312 | 357 | 670 | 143 | 250 | 12 | 6 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs Black | — | 130 | 109 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 156 | 276 | 248 | 523 | 92 | 177 | 17 | 12 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 35 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 323 | 364 | 484 | 848 | 161 | 345 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 20 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 100 | 105 | 205 | 53 | 197 | 65 | 5 | 96 | -49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 213 | 195 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 63 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 179 | 242 | 277 | 519 | 97 | 246 | 30 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 410 | 358 | 52 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 163 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 145 | 246 | 207 | 453 | 61 | 246 | 40 | 9 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 229 | 212 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 57 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 203 | 256 | 302 | 557 | 99 | 254 | 25 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 168 | 152 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 204 | 275 | 375 | 650 | 171 | 247 | 30 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs Black | — | 130 | 109 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 156 | 276 | 248 | 523 | 92 | 191 | 17 | 12 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL D-backs Black | — | 130 | 104 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 250 | 386 | 404 | 790 | 154 | 295 | 14 | 16 | 351 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 35 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 323 | 364 | 484 | 848 | 161 | 360 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs Red | — | 35 | 29 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 414 | 485 | 586 | 1.071 | 172 | 440 | 14 | 11 | 444 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 214 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 76 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 168 | 229 | 262 | 491 | 93 | 241 | 33 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 233 | 204 | 53 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 52 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 260 | 346 | 412 | 758 | 152 | 327 | 22 | 10 | 338 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 421 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 192 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 145 | 247 | 209 | 456 | 64 | 254 | 40 | 9 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 483 | 398 | 79 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 66 | 130 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 198 | 333 | 291 | 624 | 93 | 282 | 27 | 14 | 294 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 413 | 378 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 204 | 266 | 336 | 602 | 132 | 255 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 413 | 368 | 90 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 86 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 245 | 322 | 413 | 735 | 168 | 283 | 21 | 9 | 327 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs Black | — | 130 | 111 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 153 | 276 | 243 | 519 | 90 | 177 | 17 | 12 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Red | — | 35 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 303 | 364 | 455 | 818 | 152 | 345 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 214 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 76 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 168 | 229 | 262 | 491 | 93 | 242 | 33 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 423 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 192 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 144 | 247 | 208 | 455 | 64 | 246 | 40 | 9 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 413 | 378 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 204 | 266 | 336 | 602 | 132 | 251 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 233 | 214 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 76 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 168 | 229 | 262 | 491 | 93 | 242 | 33 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 483 | 423 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 192 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 144 | 247 | 208 | 455 | 64 | 246 | 40 | 9 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 413 | 378 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 111 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 204 | 266 | 336 | 602 | 132 | 251 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | ARI | 2% | 507 | 461 | 98 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 137 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 213 | 278 | 335 | 613 | 122 | 276 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 73 | -16 | +1 | +2 | +9 | +11 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | ARI | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 284 | 345 | 628 | 126 | 286 | 25 | 0 | 282 | 73 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | ARI | 32% | 364 | 330 | 72 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 96 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 347 | 631 | 129 | 277 | 26 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -10 | +1 | +2 | +7 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | ARI | 46% | 408 | 371 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 106 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 221 | 288 | 355 | 643 | 134 | 279 | 26 | 7 | 288 | 81 | -9 | +1 | +3 | +7 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | ARI | 54% | 445 | 403 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 114 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 223 | 291 | 360 | 651 | 137 | 280 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -9 | +1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | ARI | 58% | 445 | 403 | 90 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 113 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 224 | 292 | 362 | 654 | 138 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -8 | +1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | ARI | 59% | 445 | 402 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 113 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 224 | 293 | 362 | 655 | 138 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -8 | +1 | +3 | +8 | +10 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 60% | 445 | 404 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 114 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 222 | 291 | 357 | 648 | 135 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 290 | 83 | -9 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | ARI | 59% | 445 | 404 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 116 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 220 | 288 | 351 | 639 | 131 | 278 | 26 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -11 | +1 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | ARI | 64% | 443 | 402 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 116 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 284 | 343 | 627 | 127 | 276 | 26 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -12 | +0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | ARI | 68% | 408 | 370 | 79 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 109 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 212 | 279 | 333 | 612 | 121 | 273 | 27 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -13 | -0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | ARI | 32% | 117 | 106 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 289 | 356 | 645 | 132 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 78 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | ARI | 46% | 187 | 169 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 293 | 364 | 658 | 137 | 289 | 26 | 7 | 294 | 81 | -4 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | ARI | 54% | 239 | 216 | 50 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 229 | 296 | 369 | 665 | 140 | 290 | 26 | 8 | 297 | 83 | -5 | +1 | +2 | +4 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | ARI | 58% | 260 | 235 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 66 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 230 | 298 | 371 | 669 | 141 | 290 | 25 | 8 | 299 | 84 | -5 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | ARI | 59% | 265 | 239 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 67 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 230 | 298 | 371 | 669 | 141 | 290 | 25 | 8 | 299 | 84 | -5 | +0 | +2 | +5 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 60% | 268 | 242 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 69 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 228 | 296 | 366 | 662 | 138 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 296 | 83 | -6 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | ARI | 59% | 264 | 239 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 69 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 293 | 359 | 652 | 134 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 292 | 80 | -6 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | ARI | 64% | 285 | 258 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 222 | 289 | 351 | 641 | 129 | 285 | 26 | 8 | 287 | 77 | -8 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | ARI | 68% | 279 | 254 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 74 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 284 | 341 | 626 | 124 | 282 | 27 | 8 | 281 | 73 | -9 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2164 | 1958 | 444 | 106 | 8 | 49 | 166 | 560 | 23 | 37 | 14 | 227 | 295 | 364 | 659 | 137 | 291 | 26 | 8 | 293 | 72 | -50 | +2 | +11 | +39 | +47 | 4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 133 | 32 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 168 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 226 | 295 | 364 | 659 | 138 | 289 | 26 | 8 | 293 | 72 | -15 | +1 | +3 | +12 | +14 | 1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5352 | 4833 | 1008 | 224 | 14 | 114 | 411 | 1462 | 64 | 130 | 49 | 209 | 279 | 331 | 611 | 123 | 272 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -96 | +5 | +21 | +72 | +88 | 9.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 123 | 27 | 2 | 14 | 50 | 178 | 8 | 16 | 6 | 210 | 281 | 334 | 615 | 124 | 273 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 72 | -15 | +1 | +3 | +12 | +14 | 1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 229 PAwOBA .293 → .249 (−45)K% 20.5% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.042 | 19.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.973 | ×1.042 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.973 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.61% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .293 → .249; ISO .126 → .103; BABIP .280 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 168 PAwOBA .359 → .280 (−79)K% 22.0% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.02% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 29.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 8.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 16.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.960 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 6.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .359 → .280; ISO .231 → .181; BABIP .291 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AVisalia Rawhide · 410 PAwOBA .287 → .210 (−77)K% 28.8% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.78% | ÷0.983 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.93% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.93% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.73% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×1.015 | 17.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.52% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×1.015 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.963 | ×1.015 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.283 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.14% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .287 → .210; ISO .097 → .066; BABIP .290 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL D-backs · 213 PAwOBA .347 → .238 (−109)K% 19.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.965 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.33% | ÷1.069 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.38% | ÷1.009 | ×0.820 | ×0.958 | ×0.995 | 17.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.031 | ×0.720 | ×0.958 | ×0.995 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷0.984 | ×0.720 | ×0.958 | ×0.995 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷0.875 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.48% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 97, K 93, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .347 → .238; ISO .157 → .113; BABIP .333 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AVisalia Rawhide · 20 PAwOBA .159 → .096 (−63)K% 50.0% → 67.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 50.00% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 67.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 19.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 93, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .159 → .096; ISO .105 → .060; BABIP .222 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL D-backs Red · 35 PAwOBA .459 → .363 (−95)K% 14.3% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.023 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.67% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 33.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.57% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .459 → .363; ISO .172 → .140; BABIP .440 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL D-backs Black · 130 PAwOBA .348 → .231 (−117)K% 13.8% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.85% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.15% | ÷0.927 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 12.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.12% | ÷1.014 | ×0.680 | ×0.980 | ×1.008 | 10.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.63% | ÷1.104 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×1.008 | 6.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×1.008 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.896 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 103, 2B 121, 3B 130, K 96, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .348 → .231; ISO .154 → .085; BABIP .295 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .