Ricardo Pena — OGILVIE

Ricardo PenaC Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.1 · 2032

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .272 / .309

PA84

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.8	$18M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.5	$16M	+$11M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.2	$13M	+$7M
Totals		$17M		$105M	+$88M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	75	69	10	1	0	2	4	34	1	2	1	.145	.203	.246	.449	.101	.235	45	5	.201	12	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	88	79	17	4	0	1	4	20	4	3	1	.215	.287	.304	.591	.089	.271	23	5	.249	49	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	106	94	24	6	0	1	10	31	2	1	0	.255	.340	.351	.691	.096	.371	29	9	.310	95	-1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.5
2025	20	A	2 teams	72	62	7	1	0	1	7	37	2	0	0	.113	.225	.177	.403	.065	.240	51	10	.192	5	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	15	13	1	0	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	.077	.200	.077	.277	.000	.250	60	13	.142	-33	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	69	63	12	2	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	.190	.261	.270	.531	.079	.289	30	7	.265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
TOT	21	MLB	MIN	84	76	13	2	0	1	7	30	1	1	0	.171	.250	.237	.487	.066	.267	36	8	.243	44	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	MIN	187	168	37	7	1	4	15	54	2	3	1	.220	.292	.345	.637	.125	.291	29	8	.284	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2028	23	MLB 28%	MIN	304	273	61	11	2	8	25	86	3	5	1	.223	.296	.366	.662	.143	.292	28	8	.295	84	-5	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.9
2029	24	MLB 45%	MIN	386	346	78	14	2	11	33	106	4	7	1	.225	.300	.373	.673	.147	.293	27	9	.302	90	-5	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2030	25	MLB 60%	MIN	434	388	89	16	3	12	38	118	5	8	2	.229	.306	.379	.685	.149	.294	27	9	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.8
2031	26	MLB 77%	MIN	463	413	95	17	3	13	42	126	5	8	2	.230	.309	.380	.689	.150	.294	27	9	.309	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.0
2032	27	MLB 92%	MIN	475	424	97	17	3	14	43	130	5	8	1	.229	.307	.382	.689	.153	.294	27	9	.309	95	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.1
2033	28	MLB	MIN	479	427	98	18	3	14	44	132	5	8	1	.230	.309	.384	.693	.155	.294	28	9	.308	94	-3	+1	-1	+9	+14	2.0
2034	29	MLB	MIN	474	422	95	17	3	13	44	132	5	7	1	.225	.306	.372	.678	.147	.293	28	9	.306	92	-4	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.8
2035	30	MLB	MIN	467	416	93	17	2	13	43	132	5	5	0	.224	.304	.368	.672	.144	.292	28	9	.302	90	-5	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.5
2036	31	MLB	MIN	441	392	86	15	2	12	41	126	5	3	0	.219	.301	.360	.661	.140	.290	29	9	.299	87	-7	+1	-3	+8	+12	1.2
2037	32	MLB	MIN	412	367	80	14	2	11	38	120	4	1	0	.218	.298	.357	.655	.139	.289	29	9	.294	83	-8	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.8
2038	33	MLB	MIN	372	331	70	12	2	9	34	111	4	0	0	.211	.293	.341	.634	.130	.287	30	9	.289	79	-9	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.4
2039	34	MLB	MIN	321	286	60	10	2	8	29	98	3	0	0	.210	.289	.343	.632	.133	.285	31	9	.282	74	-9	+0	-5	+6	+9	0.1
2040	35	MLB	MIN	264	235	48	8	1	6	24	84	3	0	0	.204	.286	.323	.610	.119	.283	32	9	.274	68	-9	+0	-6	+5	+7	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	MIN	208	186	36	6	1	4	18	68	2	0	0	.194	.272	.301	.573	.108	.280	33	9	.266	61	-9	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6097	5441	1193	213	32	158	541	1766	70	70	12	.219	.298	.357	.655	.138	.292	29	9	.295	84	-113	+9	-31	+109	+173	15.0
/ 162G	—			650	580	127	23	3	17	58	188	7	7	1	.219	.298	.357	.655	.138	.291	29	9	.295	84	-12	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	75	66	15	2	3	7	23	1	2	1	.227	.311	.394	.705	.167	.293	31	9	.313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Twins	88	76	21	5	1	7	14	4	3	1	.276	.368	.382	.749	.105	.323	16	8	.340	118	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	106	86	31	8	1	18	21	2	1	0	.360	.481	.488	.970	.128	.469	20	17	.437	192	+11	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	41	40	6	2	0	0	17	0	0	0	.150	.150	.200	.350	.050	.250	41	0	.151	-26	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	20	ROK	FCL Twins	31	18	4	0	1	11	9	2	0	0	.222	.548	.389	.937	.167	.375	29	35	.450	202	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Pena (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.205/.272/.309	.104	.289	1	1	31%	7%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●James McCann 2012 · A	22	41→51	42→50	49→45	39	.203/.260/.306	.103	.288	9	7	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.223/.261/.310	.087	.291	6	6	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.254/.315/.415	.161	.331	20	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	40→43	44→55	43→40	41	.198/.260/.309	.111	.287	12	5	34%	7%	56	-1.3	.218/.270/.362	.144	.290	17	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	43	39→50	51→45	39	.202/.262/.293	.090	.301	6	7	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.193/.267/.305	.112	.296	13	8	37%	7%	59	-1.1	.178/.253/.291	.113	.253	15	7	34%	7%	47	-0.8
●Chun-Hsiu Chen 2010 · A	21	43→53	41→50	48→45	40	.209/.263/.306	.097	.302	8	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	.250/.309/.388	.138	.334	12	4	27%	7%	96	+1.5	.256/.318/.393	.137	.347	12	4	28%	8%	99	+1.3
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	41→44	45→50	49→45	39	.206/.256/.333	.127	.283	12	8	31%	6%	60	-1.0	.202/.261/.347	.145	.281	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	.213/.268/.374	.161	.271	20	6	29%	6%	75	-0.0
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	43→49	41→55	46→30	47	.210/.281/.305	.094	.262	9	6	23%	8%	64	-0.8	.214/.267/.307	.093	.269	7	3	22%	6%	57	-1.2	.228/.285/.376	.148	.288	19	0	27%	7%	82	+0.3
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→47	42→65	50→40	43	.220/.291/.330	.111	.304	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.215/.268/.415	.200	.284	26	4	34%	6%	88	+0.9	.221/.275/.455	.234	.259	32	2	29%	6%	99	+1.4
✕Jorge Alfaro 2014 · A	21	40→50	46→50	51→50	33	.203/.255/.338	.135	.299	14	11	36%	4%	62	-0.9	.213/.261/.347	.134	.308	14	7	34%	4%	66	-0.6	.259/.315/.406	.147	.380	19	6	35%	5%	97	+0.8
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	46→50	52→40	44	.205/.283/.341	.136	.298	13	8	34%	9%	74	-0.1	.199/.260/.324	.125	.272	14	4	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.302	.111	.255	13	1	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Jakson Reetz 2017 · A	21	43→34	39→60	47→45	44	.201/.284/.294	.093	.288	6	7	30%	8%	63	-0.8	.196/.270/.295	.099	.288	9	5	33%	7%	57	-1.2	.197/.277/.397	.201	.245	26	4	31%	7%	84	+0.3
✕John Hester 2007 · A	23	42	43→55	50	41	.206/.271/.327	.122	.299	10	7	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.224/.267/.365	.141	.298	14	7	29%	5%	72	-0.2	.249/.292/.416	.167	.322	15	10	27%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Eric Haase 2014 · A	21	41	47→65	46→40	39	.204/.257/.342	.138	.299	14	4	36%	7%	63	-0.9	.195/.250/.342	.147	.292	16	3	37%	6%	60	-1.0	.218/.277/.437	.219	.284	32	2	35%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	38→47	43→50	46→50	46	.188/.269/.299	.110	.273	10	7	33%	10%	58	-1.2	.198/.288/.331	.133	.275	13	9	30%	11%	74	-0.1	.206/.294/.357	.151	.275	17	10	30%	11%	81	+0.4
●Tyler Stephenson 2019 · A	22	43→53	42→50	46→30	44	.212/.280/.315	.103	.285	10	3	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.232/.305/.347	.115	.297	11	3	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.253/.327/.399	.146	.323	16	1	25%	9%	102	+1.3
●Jonathan India 2019 · A	22	43→51	45→50	51→50	45	.208/.290/.333	.125	.296	12	10	32%	8%	76	+0.0	.217/.304/.340	.123	.297	12	10	29%	9%	83	+0.6	.243/.342/.393	.150	.294	17	11	22%	10%	107	+1.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)