Franyerber MontillaSS Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 21 S/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 291 proj PA
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .278 / .294
PA291
HR5
SB12
K%31
BB%10
ISO109
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +3.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +8.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.91.80.40.71.11.21.31.31.2+$42M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT44
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED56
scouting grade only
DEFENSE58
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$2M+$2M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$7M+$6M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.2$7M+$7M
2031Arb-1$3M+1.3$7M+$5M
2032Arb-2$5M+1.3$7M+$4M
2033Arb-3$6M+1.2$6M+$3M
Totals $16M $36M +$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Tigers 1 216192 24522 22911 116 125219203422 78220 4210 198 10
202217 ROKDSL Tigers 1 216176 37843 38621 116 210353352706 142304 2918 325 107
202318 ROKDSL Tigers 1 127114 23513 10323 115 202283342626 140253 258 271 66
202318 ROKDSL Tigers 1 127107 30613 17223 115 280394439833 159329 1713 376 146
202419 ROK2 teams 295256 421005 30927 308 164270262531 98230 3110 242 43
202419 ROK2 teams 295235 531406 50657 308 226375362737 136283 2217 340 119
202520 ALakeland Flying Tigers 299264 531414 321062 277 201292307599 106316 3511 268 63
202520 ALakeland Flying Tigers 299258 701624 38742 277 271369395764 124365 2513 346 123
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBDET 291257 481115 29903 123 187277296573 109265 3110 266 61 -13 +1 +1 +3 +8 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBDET 34% 347305 601417 351034 144 197288318606 121269 3010 277 70 -12 +1 +1 +4 +10 0.4
202823 MLBDET 48% 424373 751719 431225 175 201292324617 123271 2910 284 75 -12 +1 +1 +5 +12 0.7
202924 MLBDET 53% 476419 8719211 481356 205 208298341639 134273 2810 289 79 -11 +2 +1 +5 +13 1.1
203025 MLBDET 55% 504442 9220212 511426 216 208299344642 136274 2810 291 81 -11 +2 +1 +5 +14 1.2
203126 MLBDET 56% 519455 9621213 531466 216 211302352653 141274 2810 292 81 -11 +2 +1 +6 +15 1.3
203227 MLBDET 55% 524459 9621213 541476 226 209301349649 139274 2810 292 82 -11 +2 +1 +6 +15 1.3
203328 MLBDET 55% 522457 9521212 541486 206 208300341641 133273 2810 291 81 -11 +2 +1 +6 +15 1.2
203429 MLBDET 53% 515450 9320212 541476 195 207300340640 133273 2910 289 80 -12 +2 -0 +6 +15 1.0
202722 MLBDET 34% 119105 20502 12351 51 190280295575 105264 2910 264 60 -5 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202823 MLBDET 48% 205180 36814 21592 82 200291322613 122267 2910 270 65 -8 +1 +1 +2 +6 0.1
202924 MLBDET 53% 251221 461016 25713 103 208297344641 136269 2810 275 69 -9 +1 +1 +3 +7 0.2
203025 MLBDET 55% 276243 501116 28783 113 206296333629 128269 2810 277 70 -9 +1 +1 +3 +8 0.3
203126 MLBDET 56% 289255 521117 29813 123 204293337630 133269 2810 278 71 -9 +1 +1 +3 +8 0.4
203227 MLBDET 55% 288253 521117 30813 123 206297340637 134269 2810 278 71 -9 +1 +1 +3 +8 0.4
203328 MLBDET 55% 285250 511117 30813 113 204297340637 136268 2811 277 70 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203429 MLBDET 53% 275241 491116 29783 103 203297332629 129268 2811 276 69 -10 +1 -0 +3 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 19881748 35678745 20456421 7921 204294334628 130271 2810 276 69 -69 +7 +4 +21 +56 2.0
/ 162G 650572 11726215 671847 267 205296336632 131271 2810 276 69 -23 +2 +1 +7 +18 0.7
Career 50594443 88419819108 515150161 24572 199291325616 126271 3010 279 72 -161 +20 +9 +54 +143 6.7
/ 162G 650571 11325214 661938 319 198290322612 124270 3010 279 72 -21 +3 +1 +7 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Tigers 1 216176 37843 38621 116 210353352706 142304 2918 325 107 +2 -0 +6 0.8
202318 ROKDSL Tigers 1 127107 30613 17223 115 280394439833 159329 1713 376 146 +7 +0 +4 1.1
202419 ALakeland Flying Tigers 7963 6200 12254 61 95278127405 32158 3215 222 28 -6 +1 +2 -0.3
202419 ROKFCL Tigers 216172 471206 38403 247 273411448859 174320 1918 384 152 +13 +2 +6 2.1
202520 ALakeland Flying Tigers 299258 701624 38742 277 271369395764 124365 2513 346 123 +8 +3 +8 1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA
82,78458126243301366+10+5310.710.8
/1626641430+2.4+12.62.6pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA
62,05912136247316328+22-15.15.1
/162664444+7.1-0.51.6pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,2805192205293336+24+163.93.9
/1626641527+7.1+4.81.1pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Franyerber Montilla (OGILVIE) 21 30→44 35→41 55→56 60 186/278/294 108265 512 31% 10% 61 -0.5
Brainer Bonaci
2023 · A
21 42 41→45 55→50 50 202/289/303 101287 816 30% 10% 67 -0.5 220/278/339 119309 1311 31% 7% 71 -0.3 222/264/35012830216831%5%64-0.4
Jared Serna
2023 · A
21 41→49 42→45 54→50 49 201/291/307 106264 921 26% 9% 69 -0.4 217/273/331 114272 1115 24% 6% 66 -0.6 211/266/314103262101623%6%56-1.2
Christian Cairo
2022 · A
21 39→46 40 53→60 46 187/281/276 89288 716 34% 10% 58 -1.2 194/293/274 80293 618 32% 11% 63 -0.9 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Dalton Pompey
2014 · A
21 44→54 40→45 57→55 44 209/274/306 96292 621 29% 8% 60 -1.0 250/307/354 104326 726 24% 7% 86 +0.8 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7
Roman Quinn
2014 · A
21 44→53 45 56→65 41 219/275/335 116290 1326 29% 6% 69 -0.4 241/299/341 100325 933 27% 7% 80 +0.4 244/301/381137331124828%7%88+0.3
Samad Taylor
2019 · A
21 38→48 41→50 54→65 45 186/250/288 102245 722 27% 7% 46 -2.0 187/263/301 114290 1025 36% 8% 56 -1.3 239/314/383144329164630%9%96+0.9
Hoy Park
2017 · A
21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Geraldo Quintero
2023 · A
21 46→50 41→40 56→60 46 222/287/330 108287 620 24% 7% 72 -0.2 217/282/308 91288 726 25% 7% 65 -0.7 206/276/2948927183226%7%55-0.9
Jeter Downs
2019 · A
21 41→40 42→50 52→55 42 203/265/309 106263 1018 26% 6% 58 -1.2 207/272/357 150272 1718 30% 7% 74 -0.1 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
Blake Perkins
2018 · A
21 44→51 40→50 51→55 43 214/270/306 92286 815 27% 7% 59 -1.1 203/268/295 92290 817 31% 8% 56 -1.3 230/313/367137305142527%10%91+0.7
Hayden Cantrelle
2022 · AA
23 34 40→45 54→60 55 161/294/251 90257 724 35% 14% 59 -1.1 189/306/294 105299 820 35% 12% 73 -0.1 189/308/29911030092135%12%73-0.1
Wilmer Difo
2014 · A
22 43→53 39→45 53→55 49 207/273/291 84260 618 22% 8% 56 -1.3 246/284/355 109296 924 19% 4% 76 +0.1 251/289/35410330082819%4%74-0.0
Lucius Fox
2017 · A
20 40→48 39→40 56→60 43 193/255/276 83270 620 30% 7% 45 -2.1 209/276/279 70304 422 30% 7% 54 -1.4 189/253/2768727482432%7%41-0.9
Jorge Barrosa
2022 · A
21 44→48 41→45 52→55 40 215/269/310 95281 821 26% 5% 59 -1.1 217/281/333 116270 1118 23% 7% 71 -0.3 209/279/327118256111822%8%65-0.6
Jason Taylor
2009 · A
21 42→39 46→45 53→55 51 210/295/335 126263 1320 25% 10% 78 +0.2 210/269/323 113265 1117 24% 7% 63 -0.8 202/247/30210024981822%5%46-0.6
Juan Mora
2021 · A
21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
Leo Rivas
2019 · A
21 42→52 37→40 52→65 49 195/284/270 75291 413 32% 10% 56 -1.3 196/276/282 86296 610 32% 10% 56 -1.3 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
Johan Rojas
2022 · A
21 45→55 44→45 55→65 42 220/273/338 118280 1022 25% 6% 68 -0.5 230/274/341 111290 937 23% 5% 69 -0.4 253/294/35310031874122%5%77+0.1
Frainyer Chavez
2019 · A
20 46→47 38→40 54→50 42 216/270/292 76297 521 28% 6% 54 -1.4 200/264/255 55278 213 27% 8% 43 -2.2 228/293/32698302111726%8%71-0.2
Alen Hanson
2014 · AA
21 46→51 44→50 56→60 43 227/276/361 134289 920 24% 6% 75 -0.0 233/268/362 129287 1125 22% 4% 72 -0.2 252/286/391139300123020%4%83+0.4