Franyerber Montilla

SS Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 22 S/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#776ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKDSL Tigers 1127.280/.394/.43931145—.170/.268/.277
202419A/ROKDET295.226/.375/.36263050—.164/.273/.262
202520ADET299.271/.369/.39542765—.202/.285/.288
2027PROJMLE22MLBDET409.204/.289/.314710720.1
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBDET38.205/.289/.31811760.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBDET88.208/.292/.32522790.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$4M2033Arb-3$4M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A
Speed85
Max EV78
BB%55
Whiff%49
K%45
Chase%38
CompsJuan Mora (age 22) · Wilmer Difo (age 22) · Brainer Bonaci (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA
wRC+†72
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .286 / .311
PA96
HR2
K%26
BB%9
ISO109
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.30.40.40.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2031Arb-1$2M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$4M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-3$4M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.8M $5M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 216176 37843 38621 116 210353352706 142304 2918 325 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 127107 30613 17223 115 280394439833 159329 1713 376 45 — — — — — —
202419 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 7963 6200 12254 61 95278127405 32158 3215 222 -6 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Tigers — 216172 471206 38403 247 273411448859 174320 1918 384 71 — — — — — —
202520 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 299258 701624 38742 277 271369395764 124365 2513 346 65 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 216187 22521 27761 116 118233182414 64189 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 127112 19412 12273 115 170268277545 107201 219 235 45 — — — — — —
202419 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 7967 5100 8334 61 7521590305 15136 4210 159 -6 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 216188 37905 23583 247 197294324619 128245 2711 273 71 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 299267 541213 291012 277 202285288574 86314 3410 265 65 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 216187 22521 27761 116 118233182414 64189 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Tigers 1 — 216176 37843 38621 116 210353352706 142304 2918 325 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 127112 19412 12273 115 170268277545 107205 219 235 45 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Tigers 1 — 127107 30613 17223 115 280394439833 159329 1713 376 45 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 295255 421005 31917 308 165273263536 98230 3111 242 50 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAW2 teams — 295235 531406 50657 308 226375362737 136283 2217 340 50 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 299267 541213 291012 277 202285288574 86311 3410 265 65 — — — — — —
202520 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 299258 701624 38742 277 271369395764 124365 2513 346 65 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 216186 22521 27761 116 118233183415 65189 3512 202 23 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Tigers 1 — 127111 19412 12273 115 171268279547 108201 219 235 45 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 295255 421005 31917 308 165273263536 98216 3111 242 50 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 299266 541213 291012 277 203285289575 86314 3410 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 295255 421005 31917 308 165273263536 98216 3111 242 50 — — — — — —
202520 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 299266 541213 291012 277 203285289575 86314 3410 265 65 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEDET 0% 409363 741527 391054 103 204289314602 109265 2610 275 72 -14 +1 +1 +4 +9 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEDET 34% 11098 21412 10281 31 209293325618 116267 259 281 76 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202924 MLB MLEDET 46% 190168 36714 18482 51 212296333629 121269 259 285 79 -5 +1 +1 +2 +4 0.3
203025 MLB MLEDET 52% 267237 511016 25663 72 214297338636 124270 259 288 81 -6 +1 +2 +3 +6 0.5
203126 MLB MLEDET 54% 329292 641327 31813 82 216299341640 126271 259 290 82 -7 +1 +2 +4 +7 0.7
203227 MLB MLEDET 54% 362321 701428 34904 82 216299342641 126272 259 290 82 -8 +1 +3 +4 +8 0.8
203328 MLB MLEDET 54% 376334 721428 35944 72 215297338635 123271 259 287 81 -9 +1 +2 +4 +8 0.6
203429 MLB MLEDET 53% 377335 721428 35954 62 212294332626 120270 259 284 78 -10 +0 +1 +4 +8 0.4
202823 MLB CTXDET 34% 3834 7101 4100 10 205289318607 112263 2611 277 76 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202924 MLB CTXDET 46% 8879 16302 8221 21 208292325618 117265 259 281 79 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203025 MLB CTXDET 52% 138123 26513 13341 31 210294330624 120266 259 283 81 -3 +0 +1 +1 +3 0.3
203126 MLB CTXDET 54% 178157 34714 17442 41 212295333628 122267 2510 285 82 -4 +0 +1 +2 +4 0.4
203227 MLB CTXDET 54% 196173 37714 19492 51 212295334630 122268 2510 285 82 -4 +1 +1 +2 +4 0.4
203328 MLB CTXDET 54% 204181 39814 19512 41 211293330623 119267 259 283 81 -5 +0 +1 +2 +4 0.4
203429 MLB CTXDET 53% 200177 37714 19502 31 208291324615 116266 2510 280 78 -5 +0 +1 +2 +4 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1042924 19638522 9926010 226 212295335631 123269 2510 283 70 -24 +2 +6 +11 +23 1.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 12324314 621626 144 214296339635 125270 2510 283 70 -15 +1 +4 +7 +14 1.1
Career— MLE — 30442692 5411111556 29682235 12539 201288316604 115265 2710 272 70 -50 +4 +12 +23 +46 3.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 11624312 631767 278 202288317604 115267 2710 272 70 -15 +1 +4 +7 +14 1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 299 PAwOBA .339 → .265 (−74)K% 24.7% → 33.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.75%÷0.998×1.360——33.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.71%÷0.945×0.690—×1.0309.56%
HBP% /PA0.67%—×0.780—×1.0300.54%
Singles /BIP26.09%÷1.051×0.920×0.964×1.03022.67%
Doubles /BIP8.70%÷0.971×0.830×0.964×1.0307.38%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷1.150×0.910×0.964×1.0300.85%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷0.864×0.800—×1.0302.07%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .339 → .265; ISO .124 → .100; BABIP .365 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Tigers · 216 PAwOBA .378 → .273 (−105)K% 18.5% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.52%÷0.991×1.440——26.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.59%÷1.040×0.620—×1.00810.57%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.720—×1.0081.01%
Singles /BIP21.97%÷0.993×0.820×0.957×1.00817.51%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷0.981×0.720×0.957×1.0086.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.947×0.720×0.957×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.952×0.780—×1.0083.75%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .378 → .273; ISO .174 → .137; BABIP .320 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 79 PAwOBA .217 → .159 (−59)K% 31.6% → 41.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.65%÷1.028×1.360——41.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.19%÷1.061×0.690—×1.04510.32%
HBP% /PA5.06%—×0.780—×1.0454.13%
Singles /BIP10.53%÷0.980×0.920×0.993×1.04510.25%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.351×0.830×0.993×1.0453.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910×0.993×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.099×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .217 → .159; ISO .032 → .018; BABIP .158 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 127 PAwOBA .367 → .235 (−131)K% 17.3% → 21.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.32%÷0.995×1.220——21.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.39%÷1.009×0.700—×1.0089.35%
HBP% /PA2.36%—×0.700—×1.0081.67%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.058×0.680×0.950×1.00814.48%
Doubles /BIP7.06%÷0.901×0.600×0.950×1.0084.50%
Triples /BIP1.18%÷0.900×0.600×0.950×1.0080.75%
Home runs /BIP3.53%÷0.862×0.470—×1.0081.94%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 112, 2B 80, 3B 80, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .367 → .235; ISO .159 → .095; BABIP .329 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 216 PAwOBA .319 → .202 (−117)K% 28.7% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.70%÷0.992×1.220——35.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.59%÷1.028×0.700—×1.02212.25%
HBP% /PA0.46%—×0.700—×1.0220.33%
Singles /BIP19.30%÷1.033×0.680×0.985×1.02212.79%
Doubles /BIP7.02%÷1.019×0.600×0.985×1.0224.16%
Triples /BIP3.51%÷1.150×0.600×0.985×1.0221.84%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷0.996×0.470—×1.0221.27%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .319 → .202; ISO .142 → .075; BABIP .304 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).