Jose Chirinos

P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.4 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #789MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	13	7	38	6.21	2.83	24.7%	14.6%	—	K 17.0% · BB 17.4% · FIP 3.87
2025	20	MIX2 levels	19	13	72	3.01	2.75	23.7%	11.7%	—	K 17.1% · BB 13.9% · FIP 3.69
2026	21	MIX2 levels	24	22	114	3.39	3.38	25.8%	8.7%	—	K 19.5% · BB 10.0% · FIP 4.43
2027PROJ	22	MLBNYM	26	26	134	4.94	4.94	19.3%	11.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBNYM	13	13	69	4.74	4.65	20.8%	10.7%	0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBNYM	18	18	100	4.57	4.48	21.7%	10.0%	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$6M2033Arb-3$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control45Command45FB velo47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 84%

CompsJosh Bostick (age 22) · Nick Sinacola (age 22) · Miguel Almonte (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%19.3%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%7.5%

Proj IP134

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 134 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$9M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL—45

CMD3045

K†4555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$10M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	12	8	33	149	29	18	6	67%	2.8	13.2%	15.1%	-1.9%	5.6%	4.91	6.99	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	12	8	33	149	29	18	6	67%	2.8	19.5%	12.1%	7.4%	4.0%	4.91	5.34	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	11	11	39	183	51	17	1	100%	3.5	19.0%	11.6%	7.3%	0.7%	4.62	3.36	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	11	11	39	183	51	17	1	100%	3.5	27.9%	9.3%	18.6%	0.5%	4.62	2.13	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	38	178	44	26	0	54%	2.9	17.0%	17.4%	-0.4%	0.0%	6.21	3.87	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	38	178	44	26	0	54%	2.9	17.0%	17.4%	-0.4%	0.0%	6.21	3.87	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	7	38	178	44	26	0	54%	2.9	24.7%	14.6%	10.1%	0.0%	6.21	2.83	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	13	72	308	73	36	1	68%	3.8	17.1%	13.9%	3.2%	0.5%	3.01	3.69	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	13	72	308	73	36	1	68%	3.8	17.1%	13.9%	3.2%	0.5%	3.01	3.69	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	13	72	308	73	36	1	68%	3.8	23.7%	11.7%	12.0%	0.3%	3.01	2.75	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	114	485	125	42	12	92%	4.8	19.5%	10.0%	9.5%	3.1%	3.39	4.43	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	114	485	125	42	12	92%	4.8	19.5%	10.0%	9.5%	3.1%	3.39	4.43	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	114	485	125	42	12	92%	4.8	25.8%	8.7%	17.1%	2.5%	3.39	3.38	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	NYM	26	26	134	566	109	67	16	100%	5.2	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	26	26	139	587	122	63	17	100%	5.3	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	2.9%	4.74	4.65	+0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	25	25	142	602	131	60	17	100%	5.7	21.7%	10.0%	11.7%	2.9%	4.57	4.48	+0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	25	25	144	609	135	59	17	100%	5.8	22.2%	9.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.46	4.39	+0.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	24	24	144	609	137	58	17	100%	6.0	22.4%	9.6%	12.9%	2.8%	4.40	4.36	+0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	24	24	142	600	135	58	17	100%	5.9	22.4%	9.6%	12.8%	2.9%	4.40	4.40	+0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	23	23	138	582	130	57	17	100%	6.0	22.3%	9.8%	12.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.48	+0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	22	22	132	556	123	56	17	100%	6.0	22.1%	10.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.55	4.61	+0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	21	21	124	522	113	54	17	100%	5.9	21.7%	10.3%	11.4%	3.3%	4.69	4.79	+0.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYM	19	19	115	487	104	52	17	100%	6.1	21.3%	10.7%	10.6%	3.6%	4.87	4.99	-0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYM	18	18	107	451	94	50	17	100%	5.9	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	3.8%	5.08	5.22	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	13	13	69	291	61	31	8	100%	5.3	20.8%	10.7%	10.1%	2.9%	4.74	4.65	+0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	18	18	100	422	92	42	12	100%	5.6	21.7%	10.0%	11.7%	2.8%	4.57	4.48	+0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	20	20	117	494	110	48	14	100%	5.8	22.2%	9.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.46	4.39	+0.7
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	21	21	126	532	119	51	15	100%	6.0	22.4%	9.6%	12.9%	2.8%	4.40	4.36	+0.8
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	21	21	128	540	121	52	16	100%	6.1	22.4%	9.6%	12.8%	2.9%	4.40	4.40	+0.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	21	21	127	536	120	52	16	100%	6.0	22.3%	9.8%	12.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.48	+0.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	20	20	122	515	114	52	16	100%	6.1	22.1%	10.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.55	4.61	+0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	19	19	116	490	106	51	16	100%	6.1	21.7%	10.3%	11.4%	3.3%	4.69	4.79	+0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYM	18	18	110	464	99	50	17	100%	6.1	21.3%	10.7%	10.6%	3.6%	4.87	4.99	-0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYM	17	17	101	426	89	47	16	100%	5.9	20.9%	11.1%	9.8%	3.8%	5.07	5.21	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		189	189	1116	4713	1030	476	147	100%	5.9	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.1%	4.60	4.24	+8.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	185	85	26	100%	5.9	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.1%	4.60	4.24	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		79	61	295	1303	232	166	26	77%	3.7	17.8%	12.8%	5.1%	2.0%	3.99	4.32	+4.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	41	200	882	157	113	18	77%	3.7	17.8%	12.8%	5.1%	2.0%	3.99	4.32	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Chirinos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	19.3%	11.8%	2.9%	—	4.50	21.6%	11.5%	426	-0.44	—	—	—
Josh Bostick R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	22	SP	4.65	19.3%	11.2%	3.2%	.304	5.40	21.7%	12.6%	119	+0.75	4.65	226	89
Nick Sinacola R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP-	4.44	19.3%	10.4%	3.0%	.335	4.05	18.2%	10.0%	254	-0.39	3.56	357	86
Miguel Almonte R 2015 · 3.88 FIP	22	SP-	3.88	18.0%	10.1%	1.8%	.300	4.41	19.4%	7.9%	143	+0.53	3.06	247	86
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.19	20.3%	11.0%	243	-0.06	3.94	353	86
Kyle Bradish R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.84	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.72	2.20	750	86
Dinelson Lamet R 2015 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.69	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.67	2.11	778	85
Max Gamboa R 2018 · 3.99 FIP	22	SP-	3.99	17.3%	9.5%	2.1%	.334	3.99	26.5%	7.7%	61	+0.00	3.99	162	84
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	84
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	84
Jordan Jackson R 2022 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP	4.15	16.8%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	5.51	13.1%	1.7%	74	+1.36	4.15	193	83
Adam Hill R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SP	5.00	15.6%	12.6%	3.0%	.297	6.06	19.6%	8.9%	91	+1.06	5.00	213	83
Jack Wenninger R 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP-	4.33	20.9%	9.3%	3.3%	.309	4.29	21.1%	11.1%	251	-0.04	3.90	366	83
Adrian Houser R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	22	SP-	4.38	16.6%	8.8%	2.9%	.298	3.90	15.5%	7.4%	163	-0.48	3.45	1,221	83
Rorik Maltrud R 2024 · 3.91 FIP	24	SP-	3.91	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.40	18.6%	9.4%	193	+0.49	3.91	298	83
Jimmy Endersby R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP-	4.29	20.9%	14.1%	2.1%	.310	5.71	16.3%	4.2%	225	+1.42	2.86	357	83
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	83
Jamison Hill R 2022 · 4.83 FIP	23	SP	4.83	18.4%	11.6%	3.3%	.280	5.02	16.1%	3.0%	202	+0.19	4.72	326	83
Chase Cohen R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	22	SP-	4.69	15.8%	13.0%	2.3%	.317	4.22	22.1%	9.2%	85	-0.47	3.52	263	83
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	83
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.3	133	21.6%	10.3%	1.19	4.63
Ken Kravec ('75-'82, 5 WAR*)	4.3	123	23.6%*	10.7%*	1.11*	4.73*
Bob Weiland ('28-'40, 10 WAR*)	6.9	139	22.6%*	9.9%*	1.15*	4.26*
Mike Norris ('75-'90, 8 WAR*)	5.6	125	21.2%*	10.4%*	1.18*	4.40*
Edinson Volquez ('20)	7.7	129	19.5%	10.8%	0.93	4.45
John Maine ('13)	3.0	99	19.5%	10.5%	1.23	4.45
Ian Snell ('10)	4.0	134	17.8%	10.4%	1.12	4.80