Thomas Sosa — OGILVIE

Thomas SosaRF Chesapeake Baysox

Age 21 L/L 6'4" / 160 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION442 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP274

ISO116

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Orange	—	160	139	28	5	0	3	14	42	5	0	1	201	297	302	600	101	260	26	9	276	73	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	143	124	36	7	3	4	17	31	2	5	4	290	385	492	877	202	360	22	12	387	148	+8	-1	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	19	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	84	72	13	1	0	0	11	28	1	8	1	181	298	194	492	14	295	33	13	245	52	-5	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	308	271	66	18	2	4	33	86	2	22	9	244	330	369	699	125	339	28	11	315	100	-0	+1	—	—	+7	0.7
2025	20	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	41	38	6	1	0	2	2	11	1	0	0	158	220	342	562	184	160	27	5	251	56	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	191	167	37	9	2	6	18	46	4	3	2	222	312	407	719	186	265	24	9	319	102	+0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	43	38	9	0	0	1	4	12	1	1	2	237	326	316	641	79	320	28	9	299	88	-1	-1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	50	45	8	0	0	1	4	15	0	2	1	178	245	244	489	67	233	30	8	224	38	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	—	160	144	20	3	0	2	9	61	5	0	1	139	215	201	417	62	205	38	6	188	13	-16	-0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	143	131	27	5	2	3	10	46	2	5	4	206	273	344	616	137	292	32	7	266	66	-6	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	84	75	10	1	0	0	8	38	1	8	1	133	226	147	373	13	253	45	10	173	3	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	308	283	52	11	2	3	21	118	2	22	9	184	245	269	514	85	294	38	7	231	42	-21	+1	—	—	+7	-1.4
2025	20	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	41	39	5	1	0	1	1	13	1	0	0	128	171	231	402	103	149	32	2	184	11	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	191	172	30	7	2	4	13	61	4	3	2	174	249	308	557	134	220	32	7	232	43	-13	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	43	40	8	0	0	1	2	17	1	1	2	200	256	275	531	75	302	40	5	228	40	-3	-1	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	—	160	144	20	3	0	2	9	61	5	0	1	139	215	201	417	62	217	38	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Orange	—	160	139	28	5	0	3	14	42	5	0	1	201	297	302	600	101	260	26	9	276	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	143	131	27	5	2	3	10	46	2	5	4	206	273	344	616	137	293	32	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	143	124	36	7	3	4	17	31	2	5	4	290	385	492	877	202	360	22	12	387	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	392	358	62	12	2	3	29	156	3	30	10	173	241	243	484	70	294	40	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	392	343	79	19	2	4	44	114	3	30	10	230	323	332	655	102	330	29	11	300	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	325	297	49	9	2	7	19	107	6	6	5	165	230	279	509	114	226	33	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	325	288	60	10	2	10	28	84	6	6	5	208	292	361	653	153	254	26	9	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	—	160	145	20	3	0	2	9	61	5	0	1	138	215	200	415	62	205	38	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	143	130	27	5	2	3	10	46	2	5	4	208	273	346	619	138	292	32	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	392	357	62	12	2	3	29	156	3	30	10	174	241	244	485	70	285	40	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	325	297	49	9	2	7	19	107	6	6	5	165	230	279	509	114	222	33	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	143	130	27	5	2	3	10	46	2	5	4	208	273	346	619	138	292	32	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	392	357	62	12	2	3	29	156	3	30	10	174	241	244	485	70	285	40	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	325	297	49	9	2	7	19	107	6	6	5	165	230	279	509	114	222	33	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	BAL	—	442	407	80	18	2	11	26	146	5	3	4	197	253	332	585	135	273	33	6	253	57	-22	-1	+0	-5	+10	-1.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA RAW	BAL	—	442	395	93	22	2	14	38	120	5	3	4	235	311	408	718	172	299	27	9	318	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	AA MLE	BAL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		270	33	11	258	61	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	AA MLE	BAL	—	451	415	81	18	2	11	27	149	5	3	4	195	253	328	581	133	271	33	6	253	57	-23	-1	-0	-5	+10	-1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	417	382	79	17	2	11	27	127	5	5	4	207	268	348	616	141	273	30	6	275	72	-14	-1	-1	-4	+9	-1.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	472	432	92	19	2	14	32	138	5	6	4	213	275	363	638	150	276	29	7	286	80	-12	-0	-1	-5	+10	-0.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	506	460	100	20	2	16	35	145	6	7	5	217	281	374	655	157	277	29	7	293	84	-10	-1	-1	-5	+11	-0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	521	473	104	21	2	17	37	147	6	8	5	220	285	381	665	161	278	28	7	296	87	-8	-0	-1	-6	+11	-0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	527	478	105	21	2	18	38	149	6	8	6	220	285	385	670	165	278	28	7	298	87	-8	-1	-1	-6	+11	-0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	527	477	105	21	2	18	39	149	6	8	6	220	287	386	673	166	278	28	7	298	88	-8	-1	-1	-6	+11	-0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	521	471	103	21	2	17	39	148	6	8	6	219	287	380	667	161	277	28	7	297	87	-8	-1	-2	-6	+11	-0.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	511	462	101	20	2	17	38	147	6	8	6	219	287	381	668	162	276	29	7	295	86	-9	-1	-2	-5	+11	-0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	500	453	98	20	2	16	37	145	6	7	5	216	284	375	660	159	275	29	7	292	84	-10	-1	-3	-5	+11	-0.8
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	147	134	29	6	1	4	10	45	2	2	1	216	281	366	646	149	278	31	7	271	72	-5	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	230	209	46	10	1	7	16	67	3	3	2	220	285	378	663	158	280	29	7	283	80	-6	-0	-0	-2	+5	-0.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	268	244	54	11	1	9	19	77	3	4	3	221	286	385	671	164	282	29	7	290	84	-5	-0	-1	-3	+6	-0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	285	260	58	12	1	10	20	81	3	4	3	223	286	392	679	169	283	28	7	294	87	-5	-0	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	294	268	59	12	1	10	21	83	3	4	3	220	284	384	669	164	283	28	7	295	87	-4	-0	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	290	264	59	12	1	10	21	82	3	5	3	223	288	390	678	167	282	28	7	295	88	-4	-0	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	285	259	58	12	1	10	21	81	3	4	3	224	290	394	684	170	282	28	7	294	87	-4	-0	-1	-3	+6	-0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	273	248	54	11	1	9	20	78	3	4	3	218	284	379	663	161	281	29	7	292	86	-5	-0	-1	-3	+6	-0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	263	238	53	11	1	9	20	76	3	4	3	223	291	391	682	168	280	29	8	289	84	-5	-0	-2	-3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2335	2124	470	97	9	78	168	670	26	34	24	221	286	386	672	164	283	29	7	290	75	-43	-3	-7	-25	+51	-2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	132	27	3	22	47	187	7	9	7	223	288	391	679	168	286	29	7	290	75	-12	-1	-2	-7	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5531	5026	1046	209	24	159	390	1668	68	106	67	208	274	354	628	146	275	30	7	279	75	-86	-6	-14	-48	+98	-5.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	124	25	3	19	46	196	8	12	8	210	276	359	635	149	276	30	7	279	75	-12	-1	-2	-7	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.5	2,340	75	34	218	280	378	-14	-15	0.4	0.5
/162	664	21	10	-4.0	-4.2	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Thomas Sosa (OGILVIE)	21	40	52	50	49	194/253/318	124	270	7	4	32%	6%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	187/257/301	114	274	12	9	35%	7%	58	-1.7	198/280/293	95	349	7	8	41%	9%	65	-1.2	152/277/229	77	359	3	4	50%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	43→44	39→55	49→50	43	209/262/300	92	280	6	8	27%	6%	59	-1.7	212/262/331	119	273	12	10	26%	6%	66	-1.1	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→42	46→50	46→50	45	217/283/344	127	282	13	8	27%	8%	78	-0.3	214/280/320	106	310	10	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	175/252/223	48	291	3	15	38%	9%	35	-0.7
✕Nicky Delmonico 2013 · A	21	41→47	47→50	50→45	46	212/280/346	134	259	15	8	25%	8%	77	-0.3	208/273/343	135	283	14	7	30%	7%	74	-0.6	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Conner Capel 2018 · A	21	38→45	47→45	49→55	42	199/252/336	136	257	14	11	28%	6%	63	-1.3	211/263/325	114	284	11	11	28%	6%	65	-1.2	213/285/332	119	269	12	19	24%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	41→44	45→50	55→50	39	205/268/336	130	291	12	8	32%	6%	70	-0.8	208/257/336	128	292	13	8	32%	5%	66	-1.1	205/278/354	149	273	18	6	31%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	42→49	47→60	48→50	44	214/273/351	137	280	14	13	28%	7%	75	-0.5	224/270/363	139	299	14	12	28%	6%	76	-0.4	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Carlos Alvarez 2009 · AAA	21	45	43→45	49→45	45	225/275/334	109	268	11	10	21%	6%	72	-0.7	231/296/342	111	297	11	12	24%	8%	82	-0.0	250/327/331	82	302	5	6	17%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2021 · A	22	39→46	42→55	46→45	39	197/249/302	104	270	10	9	30%	6%	55	-2.0	219/276/389	170	272	21	8	27%	7%	86	+0.3	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	59	-1.7	212/274/363	151	314	18	7	36%	7%	79	-0.2	218/289/380	162	269	18	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Angelo Songco 2010 · A	21	36→46	45→55	47→40	36	189/238/315	126	264	13	4	33%	5%	54	-2.0	221/271/374	153	276	17	4	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/269/378	160	267	18	3	26%	6%	78	-0.2
●Jack Suwinski 2019 · A	21	40→43	41→60	47→50	40	195/251/291	96	275	8	6	31%	6%	53	-2.1	193/260/318	125	289	14	6	36%	8%	63	-1.4	211/308/417	206	281	27	10	34%	11%	102	+1.2
✕Isan Díaz 2017 · A	21	42→41	47→55	45	43	209/274/349	140	296	13	8	33%	8%	75	-0.5	202/272/339	137	292	15	8	34%	8%	72	-0.7	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Jeremy Moore 2008 · A	21	39→49	46→50	50→55	35	198/244/329	132	288	14	13	36%	5%	59	-1.6	211/249/353	142	320	15	17	37%	4%	66	-1.1	240/276/387	147	339	13	19	32%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2012 · AAA	21	44	42→45	46→45	39	214/258/314	99	293	9	7	30%	5%	60	-1.6	229/267/336	107	320	11	9	31%	5%	69	-0.9	221/269/347	125	311	14	7	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Ronny Mauricio 2022 · AA	21	41→50	48→55	45→55	36	215/250/349	135	284	16	9	31%	4%	65	-1.2	236/272/394	158	296	20	18	27%	4%	85	+0.2	242/281/398	156	301	20	21	26%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	40→43	44→55	50	41	201/255/324	123	276	11	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	198/278/343	145	273	16	13	32%	9%	76	-0.4	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→47	45→50	48→50	47	218/285/345	126	278	11	11	25%	8%	78	-0.3	223/280/346	123	279	12	10	24%	6%	76	-0.4	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Wilmer Oberto 2014 · A	21	43	44→50	46→45	43	212/279/329	117	267	11	5	24%	6%	73	-0.6	207/259/313	106	300	9	4	32%	6%	61	-1.5	169/212/272	104	257	9	0	37%	5%	32	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps