Franklin Gómez

P Lake County Captains

Age 22 LHP 6'0" / 220 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #528MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ANYM	23	16	82	4.28	3.37	22.4%	11.1%	—	K 16.6% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.52
2025	20	MIX2 levels	20	13	72	2.76	2.99	22.1%	11.1%	—	K 16.6% · BB 13.0% · FIP 3.82
2026	21	MIX2 levels	16	16	75	3.25	3.22	26.0%	8.4%	—	K 20.2% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.15
2027PROJ	22	MLBCLE	10	10	52	4.77	4.77	19.2%	10.8%	0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCLE	6	6	34	4.61	4.53	20.6%	10.0%	0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBCLE	9	9	50	4.47	4.39	21.4%	9.4%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$3M2033Arb-3$4M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command50FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 78%

CompsRylan Kaufman (age 22) · Nate Peterson (age 23) · Brad Halsey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%19.2%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.3%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CMD3550

K†4555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2032	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 2	13	9	34	152	42	21	2	69%	2.6	18.8%	17.3%	1.5%	1.8%	3.67	4.71	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 2	13	9	34	152	42	21	2	69%	2.6	27.6%	13.8%	13.8%	1.3%	3.67	3.25	—
2023	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	51	210	71	17	0	69%	3.9	23.4%	10.1%	13.3%	0.0%	2.66	2.41	—
2023	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	51	210	71	17	0	69%	3.9	33.8%	8.1%	25.7%	0.0%	2.66	1.30	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	23	16	82	370	83	41	5	70%	3.6	16.6%	13.1%	3.5%	2.1%	4.28	4.52	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	23	16	82	370	83	41	5	70%	3.6	16.6%	13.1%	3.5%	2.1%	4.28	4.52	—
2024	19	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	23	16	82	370	83	41	5	70%	3.6	22.4%	11.1%	11.4%	1.4%	4.28	3.37	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	13	72	307	68	34	2	65%	3.6	16.6%	13.0%	3.7%	0.9%	2.76	3.82	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	13	72	307	68	34	2	65%	3.6	16.6%	13.0%	3.7%	0.9%	2.76	3.82	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	13	72	307	68	34	2	65%	3.6	22.1%	11.1%	11.1%	0.7%	2.76	2.99	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	75	308	80	26	7	100%	4.7	20.2%	9.6%	10.6%	2.8%	3.25	4.15	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	75	308	80	26	7	100%	4.7	20.2%	9.6%	10.6%	2.8%	3.25	4.15	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	16	75	308	80	26	7	100%	4.7	26.0%	8.4%	17.5%	2.3%	3.25	3.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CLE	10	10	52	220	42	24	6	100%	5.2	19.2%	10.8%	8.3%	2.8%	4.77	4.77	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	13	13	70	294	61	29	8	100%	5.4	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.8%	4.61	4.53	+0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	CLE	13	13	71	301	64	28	8	100%	5.5	21.4%	9.4%	11.9%	2.8%	4.47	4.39	+0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	72	305	67	28	8	100%	6.0	21.8%	9.1%	12.7%	2.8%	4.37	4.31	+0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	72	305	67	28	8	100%	6.0	22.1%	9.1%	13.0%	2.8%	4.32	4.29	+0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	71	301	66	28	8	100%	5.9	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	2.8%	4.32	4.32	+0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	69	292	64	27	9	100%	5.8	21.9%	9.3%	12.6%	2.9%	4.37	4.41	+0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	66	279	60	27	9	100%	6.0	21.7%	9.6%	12.2%	3.1%	4.47	4.54	+0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	CLE	10	10	62	262	56	26	9	100%	6.2	21.4%	9.8%	11.5%	3.3%	4.62	4.72	+0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	34	144	30	14	4	100%	5.7	20.6%	10.0%	10.6%	2.8%	4.61	4.53	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CLE	9	9	50	211	45	20	6	100%	5.6	21.4%	9.4%	11.9%	2.8%	4.47	4.39	+0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	CLE	10	10	59	249	54	23	7	100%	5.9	21.8%	9.1%	12.7%	2.8%	4.37	4.31	+0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	CLE	10	10	63	266	59	24	7	100%	6.3	22.1%	9.1%	13.0%	2.8%	4.32	4.29	+0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	CLE	11	11	64	270	60	25	8	100%	5.8	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	2.8%	4.32	4.32	+0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	CLE	11	11	64	270	59	25	8	100%	5.8	21.9%	9.3%	12.6%	2.9%	4.37	4.41	+0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	CLE	10	10	61	258	56	25	8	100%	6.1	21.7%	9.6%	12.2%	3.1%	4.47	4.54	+0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	CLE	10	10	58	245	52	24	8	100%	5.8	21.4%	9.8%	11.5%	3.3%	4.62	4.72	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		77	77	454	1916	416	180	55	100%	5.9	21.7%	9.4%	12.3%	2.9%	4.43	4.05	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	183	79	24	100%	5.9	21.7%	9.4%	12.3%	2.9%	4.43	4.05	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		85	63	313	1347	252	165	22	74%	3.7	18.7%	12.3%	6.5%	1.6%	3.36	3.97	+3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	40	200	860	161	105	14	74%	3.7	18.7%	12.3%	6.5%	1.6%	3.36	3.97	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franklin Gómez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	19.2%	10.8%	2.8%	—	4.41	21.3%	11.7%	213	-0.36	—	—	—
Rylan Kaufman L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	22	SP	4.60	19.3%	12.1%	2.9%	.305	4.75	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.15	4.01	212	88
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	87
Brad Halsey L 2004 · 4.31 FIP	23	SP	4.31	16.3%	9.2%	2.6%	.336	4.43	11.9%	5.4%	254	+0.12	4.31	286	84
Matt Mikulski L 2022 · 4.92 FIP	23	SP-	4.92	19.4%	10.0%	4.0%	.360	6.03	16.3%	-2.8%	144	+1.11	4.92	223	83
Antonio Bastardo L 2009 · 4.73 FIP	23	SP	4.73	17.9%	8.5%	3.8%	.297	3.04	33.0%	22.1%	129	-1.69	2.47	404	83
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.61	19.4%	5.0%	215	+0.09	3.88	280	83
Dallas Braden L 2007 · 4.14 FIP	23	SP-	4.14	16.6%	7.5%	2.7%	.337	3.89	14.1%	7.8%	401	-0.25	3.64	491	83
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.82	18.0%	2.8%	99	+0.97	3.85	176	82
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	82
John Beller L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP	4.48	19.7%	14.1%	2.3%	.326	4.35	22.2%	7.1%	90	-0.13	4.16	170	82
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	82
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.79	281	82
Jordan Woods L 2024 · 4.51 FIP	20	SP	4.51	20.5%	10.3%	3.3%	.329	4.18	20.5%	8.3%	139	-0.33	3.92	170	81
Robby Ahlstrom L 2022 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	20.1%	9.0%	3.8%	.349	4.04	21.9%	8.9%	175	-0.58	3.79	332	81
Kyle Twomey L 2016 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP-	4.07	17.6%	10.5%	2.1%	.298	3.96	14.8%	6.9%	68	-0.11	3.96	141	81
Cole Ragans L 2021 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	20.2%	11.2%	4.2%	.296	3.34	26.8%	17.5%	445	-1.80	2.48	623	81
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	81
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	80
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	80
Caleb Baragar L 2016 · 3.65 FIP	22	SP-	3.65	15.6%	9.2%	1.3%	.300	4.48	16.5%	8.1%	330	+0.83	3.65	557	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	67	21.4%	9.6%	1.11	4.47
Aaron Heilman ('11)	3.1	70	20.1%	9.4%	1.03	4.40
Dan Miceli ('06)	3.5	64	20.6%	10.1%	1.19	4.48
Stan Belinda ('00)	3.4	61	21.3%	9.9%	1.13	4.12
Frank DiPino ('81-'93, 3 WAR*)	3.5	78	22.5%*	9.0%*	1.00*	4.44*
Xavier Hernandez ('89-'98, 3 WAR*)	3.4	67	23.9%*	9.1%*	1.12*	4.20*
Ed Vande Berg ('82-'88, 3 WAR*)	2.6	74	19.6%*	8.8%*	1.07*	4.07*