Osbriel Mogollon

P ACL Brewers

Age 23 LHP 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	18	ROKDSL Brewers 1	12	10	46	2.74	2.47	31.3%	13.2%	—	K 21.3% · BB 16.5% · FIP 3.77
2023	19	ROKMIL	11	5	39	3.72	3.07	24.3%	13.6%	—	K 16.5% · BB 16.9% · FIP 4.34
2024	20	MIX2 levels	19	0	33	7.99	6.01	14.1%	24.9%	—	K 9.9% · BB 30.5% · FIP 6.58
2027PROJ	23	MLBMIL	18	0	19	5.49	5.49	21.5%	17.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIL	9	0	9	5.21	5.10	22.2%	14.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsColby Langford (age 22) · Joe Adametz (age 23) · Braeden Fausnaught (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.49

FIP5.49

K%21.5%

BB%17.3%

K-BB%4.2%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	12	10	46	182	57	24	1	83%	3.8	21.3%	16.5%	4.8%	0.7%	2.74	3.77	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	12	10	46	182	57	24	1	83%	3.8	31.3%	13.2%	18.1%	0.5%	2.74	2.47	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	11	5	39	177	43	24	1	45%	3.5	16.5%	16.9%	-0.4%	0.9%	3.72	4.34	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	11	5	39	177	43	24	1	45%	3.5	24.3%	13.6%	10.7%	0.6%	3.72	3.07	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	33	177	25	44	1	0%	1.7	9.9%	30.5%	-20.5%	0.8%	7.99	6.58	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	33	177	25	44	1	0%	1.7	9.9%	30.5%	-20.5%	0.8%	7.99	6.58	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	33	177	25	44	1	0%	1.7	14.1%	24.9%	-10.7%	0.6%	7.99	6.01	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIL	18	0	19	80	17	14	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	17.3%	4.2%	3.0%	5.49	5.49	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	19	0	20	84	19	13	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.9%	7.4%	2.9%	5.21	5.10	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	9	0	9	38	8	6	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	14.9%	7.4%	2.9%	5.21	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.9%	7.4%	2.9%	5.21	4.72	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	22.2%	14.9%	7.4%	2.9%	5.21	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		42	15	117	536	86	114	4	36%	2.8	16.0%	21.3%	-5.3%	0.8%	4.53	4.88	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	26	200	914	146	194	7	36%	2.8	16.0%	21.3%	-5.3%	0.8%	4.53	4.88	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Osbriel Mogollon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.49	21.5%	17.3%	3.0%	—	5.10	22.2%	7.4%	20	-0.39	—	—	—
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	84
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	79
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	78
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	78
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	77
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	74
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	74
Marino Santy L 2024 · 4.80 FIP	22	SW	4.80	17.6%	16.1%	2.1%	.322	4.51	20.3%	1.1%	82	-0.29	3.91	270	72
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	72
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.06	18.5%	7.5%	165	-1.72	3.79	281	72
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	71
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	71
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	70
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	70
Graham Osman L 2024 · 4.36 FIP	23	SU	4.36	17.8%	19.0%	0.6%	.307	5.84	16.4%	-0.4%	98	+1.48	4.36	164	70
Gabe Morales L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	23	SW	5.30	23.2%	22.1%	2.5%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	268	70
Seth Lonsway L 2022 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	21.2%	14.4%	2.3%	.304	4.15	16.0%	4.4%	319	-0.26	3.35	506	70
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	69
Luis De Paula L 2015 · 4.35 FIP	23	SW	4.35	14.8%	14.2%	1.3%	.285	5.37	16.4%	0.2%	47	+1.02	4.35	125	69
Nathan Kirby L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	17.7%	16.2%	2.7%	.318	3.84	25.3%	8.7%	38	-1.28	3.84	145	69