Manuel Cazorla — OGILVIE

Manuel Cazorla P ACL Angels

Age 21 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.51

FIP4.51

K%22.5%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	12	49	225	45	21	1	100%	4.1	13.6%	11.7%	1.9%	0.8%	3.47	3.86	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	12	49	225	45	21	1	100%	4.1	20.0%	9.3%	10.7%	0.4%	3.47	2.82	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	9	5	36	157	33	15	3	56%	4.0	14.3%	11.9%	2.4%	2.9%	6.06	5.02	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	9	5	36	157	33	15	3	56%	4.0	14.3%	11.9%	2.4%	2.9%	6.06	5.02	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	9	5	36	157	33	15	3	56%	4.0	21.0%	9.6%	11.5%	1.9%	6.06	3.60	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	LAA	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	22.5%	10.2%	12.4%	3.0%	4.51	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	4	4	22	94	22	9	3	100%	5.6	23.5%	9.4%	14.1%	2.9%	4.37	4.30	+0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAA	2	2	11	46	11	4	1	100%	5.5	23.5%	9.4%	14.1%	2.9%	4.37	4.30	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	11	46	11	4	1	100%	5.5	23.5%	9.4%	14.1%	2.9%	4.37	3.92	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	39	200	844	201	73	18	100%	5.1	23.5%	9.4%	14.1%	2.9%	4.37	3.92	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		21	17	85	382	53	45	6	81%	4.0	13.9%	11.8%	2.1%	1.7%	4.55	4.33	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	40	200	899	125	106	15	81%	4.0	13.9%	11.8%	2.1%	1.7%	4.55	4.33	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Cazorla (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.51	22.5%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.30	23.5%	14.1%	22	-0.21	—	—	—
Hogan Harris L 2019 · 3.84 FIP	22	SP	3.84	20.5%	10.6%	2.1%	.235	3.71	27.4%	12.7%	74	-0.13	3.11	495	80
Avery Short L 2022 · 4.82 FIP	21	SP-	4.82	20.1%	11.4%	3.6%	.346	4.72	15.0%	6.4%	271	-0.10	4.20	485	79
Evan Shawver L 2022 · 4.32 FIP	22	SP	4.32	18.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.289	4.73	18.0%	4.0%	152	+0.41	3.92	278	77
Luis Moncada L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	20	SP-	3.81	19.2%	12.0%	1.5%	.278	3.87	17.6%	5.7%	68	+0.06	3.81	296	76
Riley Frey L 2023 · 4.00 FIP	21	SP	4.00	22.5%	7.5%	3.4%	.417	4.47	18.0%	10.8%	184	+0.47	3.87	202	76
Packy Naughton L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	21	SP	4.45	17.0%	9.9%	2.8%	.323	3.62	15.9%	10.0%	311	-0.83	3.04	504	76
Sam Weatherly L 2021 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP	4.07	24.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.323	4.14	21.9%	8.9%	41	+0.07	4.07	209	76
Yeffersson Yannuzzi L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	21	SP-	4.56	18.4%	12.1%	2.7%	.295	6.73	12.6%	-24.4%	10	+2.17	4.56	137	76
Bryan Sammons L 2017 · 3.58 FIP	22	SP-	3.58	22.7%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	3.96	18.4%	8.4%	228	+0.38	3.58	688	76
Wilkin Paredes L 2023 · 4.11 FIP	19	SP	4.11	16.2%	9.1%	2.2%	.353	4.96	12.1%	3.3%	273	+0.85	4.11	319	76
Jake Bennett L 2023 · 3.41 FIP	22	SP	3.41	21.2%	7.2%	2.2%	.339	3.36	19.1%	13.6%	214	-0.05	3.32	277	76
Francis Texido L 2023 · 3.64 FIP	18	SP	3.64	20.4%	7.4%	2.4%	.260	5.41	16.0%	-2.9%	285	+1.77	3.64	336	75
Adam Seminaris L 2021 · 3.94 FIP	22	SP	3.94	22.7%	8.3%	3.1%	.357	3.75	18.2%	9.3%	230	-0.19	3.00	577	75
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	75
Alex Troop L 2018 · 4.41 FIP	22	SP-	4.41	15.0%	7.5%	3.0%	.339	3.82	20.8%	16.2%	106	-0.59	2.93	379	75
T.J. Sikkema L 2022 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP	4.55	21.9%	9.0%	3.9%	.298	4.54	16.8%	7.5%	231	-0.01	3.57	300	75
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.83	17.9%	2.7%	99	+0.98	3.85	176	75
Dalton Lehnen L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	21	SP	3.95	19.8%	7.6%	2.8%	.398	4.49	15.8%	2.9%	189	+0.54	3.95	222	75
Jackson Humphries L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	19.8%	14.0%	2.3%	.302	5.94	20.8%	1.5%	248	+1.46	4.48	305	75
Rylan Kaufman L 2021 · 4.60 FIP	22	SP	4.60	19.3%	12.1%	2.9%	.305	4.75	18.9%	4.5%	131	+0.15	4.01	212	74