Francis Texido
P
Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 21
LHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
A+
peak 1.2 · 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 72 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152161vR 171
ERA6.81
FIP6.81
K%12.8%
BB%23.1%
K-BB%-10.3%
ROS IP72
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 12 | 12 | 51 | 203 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 2.31 | 3.92 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 12 | 12 | 51 | 203 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.2 | 30.0% | 5.9% | 24.1% | 1.5% | 2.31 | 2.17 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 25 | 24 | 98 | 476 | 104 | 79 | 7 | 96% | 3.9 | 16.2% | 19.6% | -3.4% | 2.5% | 6.77 | 5.59 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 25 | 24 | 98 | 476 | 104 | 79 | 7 | 96% | 3.9 | 21.8% | 16.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 6.77 | 4.32 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 19 | 103 | 490 | 92 | 92 | 7 | 68% | 3.7 | 14.0% | 22.1% | -8.2% | 1.7% | 6.01 | 5.68 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 19 | 103 | 490 | 92 | 92 | 7 | 68% | 3.7 | 18.8% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 6.01 | 4.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 20 | 7 | 58 | 259 | 60 | 34 | 8 | 35% | 2.9 | 17.5% | 13.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.31 | 5.56 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | LAA | 69 | 0 | 72 | 305 | 39 | 71 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.8% | 23.1% | -10.3% | 2.7% | 6.81 | 6.81 | -1.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8% | 23.1% | -10.3% | 2.7% | 6.81 | 6.81 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 130 | 564 | 99 | 105 | 16 | — | — | 17.6% | 18.5% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 6.14 | 6.26 | -1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.8% | 23.1% | -10.3% | 2.7% | 6.81 | 6.43 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 76 | 320 | 50 | 63 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.5% | 19.8% | -4.2% | 2.7% | 6.31 | 6.14 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 79 | 332 | 57 | 58 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.2% | 17.6% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 5.89 | 5.71 | -0.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 81 | 341 | 62 | 55 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 16.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.60 | 5.45 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | LAA | 7 | 7 | 37 | 156 | 24 | 31 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 15.5% | 19.8% | -4.2% | 2.7% | 6.31 | 6.14 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 41 | 42 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.2% | 17.6% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 5.89 | 5.71 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 46 | 7 | 100% | 5.6 | 18.1% | 16.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.60 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 29 | 162 | 685 | 118 | 120 | 18 | 97% | 5.4 | 17.2% | 17.5% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 5.87 | 5.32 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 145 | 148 | 22 | 99% | 5.5 | 17.2% | 17.5% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 5.87 | 5.32 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 62 | 310 | 1428 | 232 | 252 | 37 | 73% | 3.6 | 16.3% | 17.7% | -1.4% | 2.6% | 5.52 | 5.38 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 40 | 200 | 921 | 150 | 163 | 24 | 73% | 3.6 | 16.3% | 17.7% | -1.4% | 2.6% | 5.52 | 5.38 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Francis Texido (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.81 | 12.8% | 23.1% | 2.7% | — | 5.76 | 17.0% | -0.8% | 235 | -1.05 | — | — | — |
| Victor Payano L 2027 · 6.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.19 | 14.8% | 16.5% | 4.1% | .287 | 4.92 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 225 | -1.27 | 3.81 | 341 | 82 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2026 · 5.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.86 | 13.6% | 16.7% | 3.3% | .209 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 128 | 80 |
| Bryce Hubbart L 2027 · 5.82 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.82 | 17.0% | 26.0% | 1.6% | .303 | 5.00 | 17.4% | 3.9% | 136 | -0.82 | 4.73 | 181 | 77 |
| Adam Laskey L 2028 · 6.44 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.44 | 16.0% | 21.0% | 3.7% | .383 | 3.21 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 188 | -3.23 | 3.08 | 310 | 74 |
| Enderson Mercado L 2024 · 6.04 FIP | 19 | SW | 6.04 | 13.2% | 19.9% | 2.8% | .379 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 178 | 74 |
| Wander Cabrera L 2025 · 6.97 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.97 | 11.9% | 16.7% | 5.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 135 | 74 |
| Parker Rigler L 2027 · 6.33 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.33 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 5.0% | .318 | 4.54 | 14.5% | 4.0% | 140 | -1.79 | 4.54 | 192 | 73 |
| Noah Dean L 2027 · 5.83 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.83 | 21.1% | 28.1% | 1.7% | .343 | 5.11 | 23.3% | 4.2% | 154 | -0.72 | 4.50 | 217 | 72 |
| Franco Zabaleta L 2024 · 5.93 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.93 | 13.5% | 14.2% | 4.0% | .393 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 128 | 71 |
| Nate Savino L 2027 · 5.70 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.70 | 16.8% | 18.8% | 3.0% | .244 | 4.55 | 14.8% | 0.8% | 105 | -1.15 | 4.14 | 150 | 70 |
| Jhordany Mezquita L 2026 · 6.26 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.26 | 16.0% | 16.4% | 4.5% | .294 | 5.21 | 18.5% | 4.2% | 90 | -1.05 | 3.02 | 223 | 69 |
| Dewin Perez L 2025 · 5.84 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.84 | 10.4% | 16.6% | 2.8% | .318 | 4.30 | 16.0% | -1.0% | 44 | -1.54 | 4.30 | 113 | 69 |
| Lane Ratliff L 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 22 | SP- | 6.27 | 12.0% | 12.8% | 4.7% | .344 | 3.29 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 80 | -2.98 | 2.85 | 109 | 68 |
| Carlos Rodriguez L 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.76 | 15.9% | 14.3% | 4.0% | .394 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 121 | 67 |
| Jacob Heatherly L 2025 · 6.27 FIP | 20 | SP | 6.27 | 18.1% | 27.2% | 2.3% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 192 | 67 |
| Ryan Anderson L 2027 · 5.71 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.71 | 14.7% | 26.1% | 1.0% | .373 | 3.70 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 149 | -2.01 | 2.79 | 214 | 67 |
| Alejandro Mejia L 2025 · 6.73 FIP | 20 | SP | 6.73 | 7.1% | 16.5% | 3.9% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 101 | 67 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 6.54 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.54 | 12.0% | 12.9% | 5.1% | .382 | 4.07 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 96 | -2.47 | 2.21 | 452 | 66 |
| Jackson Humphries L 2026 · 6.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 6.36 | 17.4% | 23.2% | 3.2% | .240 | 5.10 | 25.8% | 3.0% | 47 | -1.26 | 4.37 | 280 | 66 |
| Erik Rivera L 2028 · 5.95 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.95 | 19.0% | 14.6% | 4.8% | .255 | 4.86 | 23.2% | 5.8% | 87 | -1.09 | 4.69 | 122 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 77 | 16.0% | 19.1% | 1.03 | 6.13 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |