Francis Texido — OGILVIE

Francis Texido P Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 21 LHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+ peak 1.0 · 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148156vR 165

ERA6.92

FIP6.92

K%12.8%

BB%24.1%

K-BB%-11.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	12	51	203	61	12	3	100%	4.2	20.4%	7.4%	13.0%	2.4%	2.31	3.64	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	12	51	203	61	12	3	100%	4.2	20.4%	7.4%	13.0%	2.4%	2.31	3.64	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	12	51	203	61	12	3	100%	4.2	30.0%	5.9%	24.1%	1.5%	2.31	2.17	—
2024	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	25	24	98	476	104	79	7	96%	3.9	16.2%	19.6%	-3.4%	2.2%	6.77	5.40	—
2024	19	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	25	24	98	476	104	79	7	96%	3.9	16.2%	19.6%	-3.4%	2.2%	6.77	5.40	—
2024	19	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	25	24	98	476	104	79	7	96%	3.9	21.8%	16.6%	5.3%	1.5%	6.77	4.32	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	19	103	490	92	92	7	68%	3.7	14.0%	22.1%	-8.2%	1.8%	6.01	5.71	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	19	103	490	92	92	7	68%	3.7	14.0%	22.1%	-8.2%	1.8%	6.01	5.71	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	19	103	490	92	92	7	68%	3.7	18.8%	18.8%	0.0%	1.4%	6.01	4.87	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	34	7	84	367	89	48	9	21%	2.5	18.4%	14.2%	4.3%	3.1%	4.48	5.06	—
YTD	21	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	34	7	84	367	89	48	9	21%	2.5	18.4%	14.2%	4.3%	3.1%	4.48	5.06	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	LAA	7	0	16	61	26	7	0	0%	2.2	42.6%	11.5%	31.1%	0.0%	2.30	0.95	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	LAA	26	7	68	298	61	37	9	27%	2.6	20.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.0%	4.66	4.60	—
2026	21	AAA RAW	LAA	1	0	1	8	2	4	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	50.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	27.00	7.32	—
ROS	21	MLB MLE	LAA	6	0	6	27	3	6	1	0%	1.1	12.8%	24.1%	-11.3%	2.7%	6.92	6.92	-0.2
2026 TOT	21	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	91	394	92	54	10	—	—	23.5%	13.8%	9.7%	2.5%	4.65	5.19	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	98	413	64	84	11	100%	6.1	15.4%	20.4%	-4.9%	2.6%	6.39	6.21	-1.4
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	101	428	73	77	11	100%	6.3	17.0%	17.9%	-0.9%	2.6%	5.95	5.76	-0.9
2029	24	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	104	439	79	72	11	100%	6.1	17.9%	16.4%	1.5%	2.6%	5.64	5.48	-0.7
2030	25	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	105	444	82	69	12	100%	6.2	18.4%	15.5%	2.9%	2.6%	5.44	5.32	-0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	105	444	83	69	12	100%	6.2	18.6%	15.5%	3.2%	2.6%	5.36	5.30	-0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	104	437	81	68	12	100%	6.1	18.6%	15.5%	3.1%	2.7%	5.35	5.34	-0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	100	424	78	67	12	100%	6.3	18.5%	15.7%	2.8%	2.8%	5.39	5.42	-0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	LAA	15	15	96	405	74	64	12	100%	6.4	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	2.9%	5.49	5.55	-0.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	LAA	14	14	90	381	68	62	12	100%	6.4	17.9%	16.2%	1.7%	3.1%	5.63	5.73	-0.8
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	48	203	31	41	5	100%	6.0	15.4%	20.4%	-4.9%	2.6%	6.39	6.21	-0.7
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	74	312	53	56	8	100%	6.2	17.0%	17.9%	-0.9%	2.6%	5.95	5.76	-0.7
2029	24	MLB CTX	LAA	14	14	86	363	65	60	10	100%	6.1	17.9%	16.4%	1.5%	2.6%	5.64	5.48	-0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	93	393	72	61	10	100%	6.2	18.4%	15.5%	2.9%	2.6%	5.44	5.32	-0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	96	405	75	63	11	100%	6.4	18.6%	15.5%	3.2%	2.6%	5.36	5.30	-0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	96	405	75	63	11	100%	6.4	18.6%	15.5%	3.1%	2.7%	5.35	5.34	-0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	94	397	73	62	11	100%	6.3	18.5%	15.7%	2.8%	2.8%	5.39	5.42	-0.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	91	384	70	61	11	100%	6.1	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	2.9%	5.49	5.55	-0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	LAA	14	14	86	363	65	59	11	100%	6.1	17.9%	16.2%	1.7%	3.1%	5.63	5.73	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		123	123	765	3228	582	526	88	100%	6.2	18.0%	16.3%	1.7%	2.7%	5.57	5.14	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	152	138	23	100%	6.2	18.0%	16.3%	1.7%	2.7%	5.57	5.14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		99	62	337	1536	255	269	36	63%	3.4	16.6%	17.5%	-0.9%	2.3%	5.29	5.18	-6.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	37	200	912	151	160	21	63%	3.4	16.6%	17.5%	-0.9%	2.3%	5.29	5.18	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Francis Texido (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.92	12.8%	24.1%	2.7%	—	5.81	16.8%	-1.4%	303	-1.11	—	—	—
Victor Payano L 2015 · 6.06 FIP	22	SP-	6.06	14.8%	16.5%	3.9%	.287	4.82	20.5%	7.0%	225	-1.24	3.78	341	86
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	83
Javier Navas L 2017 · 6.10 FIP	19	SW	6.10	11.1%	19.7%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	103	77
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	76
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2023 · 5.99 FIP	21	SP-	5.99	13.6%	16.7%	3.5%	.209	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	128	74
Adam Shoemaker L 2023 · 6.29 FIP	20	SP-	6.29	15.5%	19.2%	3.8%	.304	5.00	19.6%	-2.9%	144	-1.29	4.41	246	73
Parker Rigler L 2017 · 6.33 FIP	22	SP-	6.33	13.8%	13.3%	5.0%	.318	4.59	14.5%	4.0%	140	-1.74	4.59	192	73
Lane Ratliff L 2017 · 6.08 FIP	22	SP-	6.08	12.0%	12.8%	4.3%	.344	3.25	15.9%	7.7%	80	-2.83	2.85	109	72
Marlin Willis L 2018 · 6.72 FIP	20	SW	6.72	10.7%	20.8%	3.4%	.331	4.51	23.4%	-0.9%	36	-2.21	3.15	201	72
Wander Cabrera L 2018 · 6.97 FIP	20	SP-	6.97	11.9%	16.7%	5.0%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	135	71
Kikito Severino L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SW	5.78	11.9%	19.5%	2.2%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.87	135	71
Edwin Escobar L 2015 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	9.6%	11.9%	3.9%	.268	4.28	13.7%	4.9%	122	-1.68	4.28	218	69
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	68
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	67
Yonathan Ramirez L 2017 · 6.01 FIP	20	SW	6.01	7.9%	11.0%	4.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	116	66
Rigoberto Borbolla L 2021 · 7.52 FIP	19	SP-	7.52	9.9%	25.2%	3.8%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.86	114	65
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	64
Nomar Medina L 2023 · 6.02 FIP	20	SP-	6.02	13.3%	12.7%	4.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	195	63
Holden Laws L 2021 · 6.35 FIP	21	SP-	6.35	19.3%	15.6%	5.3%	.306	4.71	17.5%	7.1%	133	-1.64	2.96	190	62
Filyer Sanchez L 2018 · 5.91 FIP	21	SP-	5.91	10.6%	10.2%	4.4%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	185	62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.9	98	17.5%	17.1%	1.05	5.72
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32