Noelin Cuevas
P
FCL Orioles
Age 24
LHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL BAL Orange | 10 | 6 | 30 | 126 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 60% | 3.0 | 21.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 2.79 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL BAL Orange | 10 | 6 | 30 | 126 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 60% | 3.0 | 31.7% | 9.5% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 2.08 | 1.65 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 12 | 7 | 43 | 190 | 38 | 22 | 0 | 58% | 3.6 | 13.6% | 14.5% | -0.9% | 0.0% | 2.72 | 3.78 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 12 | 7 | 43 | 190 | 38 | 22 | 0 | 58% | 3.6 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 0.0% | 2.72 | 2.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | BAL | 5 | 5 | 26 | 108 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 4 | 4 | 26 | 109 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 3.88 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 72 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 22 | 13 | 73 | 316 | 53 | 42 | 0 | 59% | 3.3 | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 3.39 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 35 | 200 | 862 | 145 | 116 | 0 | 59% | 3.3 | 16.8% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 3.39 | +4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Noelin Cuevas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 26 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Brady Basso L 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 83 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 80 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 80 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 75 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 75 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .382 | 4.08 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.44 | 171 | 73 |
| Jordan Woods L 2024 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 73 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 73 |
| Drake Owenby L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.88 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 140 | 73 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 3.54 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 62 | -1.69 | 3.54 | 186 | 73 |
| Angel Perdomo L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.47 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 1.4% | .315 | 4.10 | 32.7% | 17.7% | 100 | +0.63 | 2.79 | 540 | 71 |
| JP Sears L 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.0% | .268 | 3.25 | 24.7% | 17.8% | 222 | -0.65 | 2.18 | 927 | 71 |
| Jojo Ingrassia L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.97 | 26.7% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 112 | 70 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 70 |
| Tyler Holton L 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.18 | 22.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% | .393 | 3.47 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 224 | +0.29 | 3.02 | 409 | 70 |
| Nick Maronde L 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.67 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .359 | 3.64 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 48 | -0.03 | 3.64 | 133 | 69 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 69 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 69 |
| Ben Shields L 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.20 | 25.3% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .273 | 2.91 | 23.5% | 13.3% | 43 | -0.29 | 2.91 | 147 | 69 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 1.15 | 4.31 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |