Grant Jay

C Inland Empire 66ers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 225 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1301ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	ASEA	327	.225/.361/.434	12	8	51	—	.146/.262/.279
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBSEA	437	.190/.273/.315	10	8	67	0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSEA	73	.192/.275/.319	2	1	71	0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBSEA	135	.195/.278/.326	3	3	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO85

Speed69

wOBA58

wRC+55

BB%53

Chase%47

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSicnarf Loopstok (age 23) · Kendall Simmons (age 23) · Chris Williams (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .271 / .312

PA210

HR5

K%33

BB%8

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	267	60	14	3	12	41	121	16	8	2	225	361	434	796	210	350	37	13	355	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	288	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	297	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	267	60	14	3	12	41	121	16	8	2	225	361	434	796	210	350	37	13	355	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	288	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	327	280	41	9	2	8	28	164	16	8	2	146	262	279	541	132	288	50	9	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	437	389	75	14	3	10	36	143	9	8	2	190	273	315	588	125	267	33	8	268	67	-17	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	30%	243	216	42	8	1	6	20	78	5	5	1	194	277	324	601	130	270	32	8	273	71	-8	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	44%	306	271	55	10	2	8	26	97	6	6	2	198	280	331	611	133	271	32	8	277	73	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	51%	349	311	62	11	2	9	29	109	6	7	2	200	282	336	618	136	272	31	8	279	75	-10	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	365	325	65	12	2	9	31	113	6	7	2	201	283	337	620	135	272	31	8	280	76	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	371	331	66	12	2	9	31	114	6	7	2	202	283	336	618	134	272	31	8	280	75	-11	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	366	326	65	12	2	9	31	113	6	6	2	199	280	329	609	130	271	31	8	276	73	-12	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	358	319	62	11	2	8	30	112	6	6	2	196	276	321	598	125	268	31	8	271	70	-13	+0	-2	+6	+8	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	30%	73	66	12	2	0	2	6	23	1	1	0	192	275	319	595	127	267	32	8	270	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	44%	135	120	23	4	1	3	11	43	3	3	1	195	278	326	604	130	269	32	8	274	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	51%	177	157	31	6	1	4	15	55	3	4	1	198	280	331	611	133	269	31	8	277	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	191	170	34	6	1	5	16	59	3	4	1	199	281	332	613	132	270	31	8	277	76	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	198	176	35	6	1	5	17	61	3	4	1	200	281	330	611	131	270	31	9	277	75	-6	+0	-0	+4	+4	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	192	171	34	6	1	5	16	59	3	3	1	197	278	324	602	127	268	31	8	273	73	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	186	166	32	6	1	4	15	58	3	3	1	194	275	316	591	122	266	31	8	269	70	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1152	1026	201	36	6	28	96	358	19	22	6	196	277	325	602	129	268	31	8	274	70	-36	+2	-2	+21	+25	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	113	20	3	16	54	202	11	12	3	195	276	323	599	128	266	31	8	274	70	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2895	2566	494	92	16	71	243	969	61	56	16	193	278	324	602	131	274	33	8	272	70	-83	+4	-4	+46	+56	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	112	21	4	16	55	218	14	13	4	194	281	328	609	134	277	34	8	272	70	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AInland Empire 66ers · 327 PAwOBA .350 → .243 (−107)K% 37.0% → 50.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.00%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	50.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.54%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	8.56%
HBP% /PA	4.89%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	3.78%
Singles /BIP	21.23%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×0.990	18.37%
Doubles /BIP	9.59%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×0.990	7.49%
Triples /BIP	2.05%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	×0.990	1.76%
Home runs /BIP	8.22%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	6.51%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .350 → .243; ISO .210 → .140; BABIP .350 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,363	33	25	199	277	330	+24	+16	2.0	2.0
/162	664	16	12	+11.9	+7.8	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Grant Jay (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	44→49	48→53	56	188/271/312	124	267	5	4	33%	8%	67	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Chris Williams 2021 · A	24	35→31	49→55	49→40	47	187/275/336	149	266	17	5	35%	10%	74	-0.6	187/267/334	147	293	18	4	39%	9%	70	-0.8	175/259/344	169	246	24	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	209/300/336	128	267	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	201/292/339	138	285	13	8	31%	10%	80	-0.1	178/280/321	143	246	16	6	32%	11%	70	-0.6
✕Adam Zebrowski 2024 · A	23	35→33	46→50	49→40	41	182/255/306	124	272	14	3	37%	8%	59	-1.6	191/245/316	125	282	16	4	37%	6%	57	-1.8	186/237/319	133	265	18	2	36%	5%	52	-1.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→37	49→45	51→50	40	207/277/361	153	275	17	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/290/288	83	271	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Freuddy Batista 2023 · A	23	41	47→50	49→40	38	203/273/342	139	299	15	8	36%	6%	74	-0.5	208/263/337	129	300	13	4	33%	5%	68	-1.0	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	38	45→50	47→30	44	191/278/314	124	278	13	2	34%	9%	70	-0.8	195/271/326	131	277	15	3	33%	8%	70	-0.9	176/253/298	122	249	15	0	34%	7%	54	-0.9
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	40	47→50	47→45	36	209/246/340	131	279	16	4	31%	4%	62	-1.4	203/244/336	133	263	14	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Pablo Aliendo 2024 · AA	23	42	46→50	49→45	39	210/276/342	132	302	14	6	34%	6%	75	-0.5	196/262/340	144	304	17	5	39%	6%	70	-0.9	171/240/309	138	271	18	1	42%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	36	43→50	49→40	39	181/242/290	109	276	11	4	37%	7%	50	-2.3	203/259/322	119	277	12	4	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1

Grant Jay

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps