Grant Jay — OGILVIE

Grant JayC Inland Empire 66ers

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 225 lbs A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION212 act + 141 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .278 / .330

PA141

HR4

K%38

BB%8

BABIP282

ISO145

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-3	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
Totals		$7M		$23M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	SEA	—	212	182	30	6	1	7	19	102	9	5	1	165	276	324	600	159	307	48	9	268	63	-9	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.2
YTD	22	A	SEA	—	212	174	42	9	2	9	27	76	9	5	1	241	371	471	843	230	363	36	13	372	143	+10	+1	+0	+4	+6	2.1
ROS	22	A	SEA	0%	141	124	23	4	1	4	12	54	4	3	1	185	278	330	608	145	277	38	8	271	66	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	250	50	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	SEA	—	212	183	30	6	1	7	19	102	9	5	1	164	276	322	599	158	303	48	9	268	63	-9	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.2
TOT	22	A	SEA	—	353	306	53	10	2	11	31	156	13	8	2	173	277	326	603	153	295	44	9	269	64	-14	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	SEA	43%	501	443	85	15	3	15	43	182	10	9	2	192	278	341	619	149	280	36	9	279	72	-16	+1	+0	+9	+14	0.8
2028	24	MLB	SEA	58%	520	460	91	17	3	16	44	183	11	10	2	198	283	352	636	154	282	35	8	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.1
2029	25	MLB	SEA	65%	520	460	92	17	3	16	45	180	10	10	3	200	285	354	640	154	283	35	9	288	79	-13	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2030	26	MLB	SEA	68%	520	460	93	17	3	16	45	178	10	11	3	202	287	357	644	154	283	34	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2031	27	MLB	SEA	68%	520	460	92	17	3	16	45	179	10	11	3	200	285	354	640	154	283	34	9	290	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2032	28	MLB	SEA	68%	520	459	92	17	3	16	46	179	10	10	3	200	287	355	642	155	282	34	9	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2033	29	MLB	SEA	66%	520	459	92	17	3	16	46	180	10	10	2	200	287	355	642	155	281	35	9	287	78	-13	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2034	30	MLB	SEA	71%	520	459	90	16	3	16	46	182	10	10	2	196	283	349	632	153	280	35	9	284	76	-14	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.9
2035	31	MLB	SEA	75%	504	444	86	16	2	15	45	178	10	9	2	194	283	340	623	146	277	35	9	280	73	-16	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.6
2036	32	MLB	SEA	77%	489	434	81	14	2	14	43	174	9	9	2	187	274	325	599	138	273	36	9	275	69	-17	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.3
2037	33	MLB	SEA	79%	473	419	77	13	2	13	42	171	9	8	2	184	272	317	590	134	269	36	9	268	64	-19	+1	-4	+8	+13	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	SEA	43%	216	191	36	7	1	6	18	79	5	4	1	188	276	330	606	141	277	37	8	261	58	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
2028	24	MLB	SEA	58%	301	266	52	9	2	9	26	106	6	6	1	195	282	346	628	150	279	35	9	267	62	-13	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.2
2029	25	MLB	SEA	65%	337	298	59	11	2	10	29	116	7	7	2	198	284	349	633	151	280	34	9	271	65	-13	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2030	26	MLB	SEA	68%	354	314	62	11	2	11	30	121	7	7	2	197	282	350	632	153	280	34	8	272	67	-13	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.4
2031	27	MLB	SEA	68%	354	313	62	11	2	11	31	122	7	7	2	198	285	351	636	153	280	34	9	272	67	-13	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.4
2032	28	MLB	SEA	68%	353	312	62	11	2	11	31	122	7	7	2	199	286	353	638	154	279	35	9	272	66	-14	+1	-0	+6	+10	0.3
2033	29	MLB	SEA	66%	345	304	60	11	2	10	31	120	7	7	2	197	287	345	632	148	278	35	9	270	65	-14	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.2
2034	30	MLB	SEA	71%	371	328	63	11	2	11	33	130	7	7	2	192	280	338	618	146	277	35	9	267	63	-16	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.1
2035	31	MLB	SEA	75%	376	333	64	11	2	11	33	132	7	7	2	192	279	336	615	144	274	35	9	263	60	-17	+1	-2	+7	+11	-0.1
2036	32	MLB	SEA	77%	377	334	62	11	2	10	33	134	7	7	2	186	273	320	593	135	271	36	9	258	56	-19	+1	-3	+7	+11	-0.4
2037	33	MLB	SEA	79%	372	329	60	10	2	10	33	134	7	6	2	182	271	316	587	134	266	36	9	252	51	-21	+0	-3	+7	+11	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3756	3323	642	114	21	110	328	1316	74	72	20	193	280	339	620	146	277	35	9	266	62	-163	+6	-11	+67	+106	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	112	20	4	19	57	228	13	12	3	195	283	343	625	148	280	35	9	266	62	-28	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	5748	5081	994	180	31	173	502	2020	113	110	27	196	282	345	628	150	281	35	9	283	75	-163	+11	-15	+103	+163	10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	113	20	4	20	57	228	13	12	3	197	284	350	634	153	281	35	9	283	75	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,076	121	78	196	279	345	+73	+32	7.1	6.4
	/162	664	20	13	196	279	345	+11.9	+5.2	1.2	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Grant Jay (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	50→55	48→53	58	173/277/326	153	295	11	8	44%	9%	64	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→38	48→55	53→50	39	206/266/349	143	284	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/278/357	143	300	16	10	33%	6%	76	+0.1	212/284/375	163	291	20	9	33%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	35→34	49→50	54→50	36	188/246/332	144	269	17	14	36%	6%	56	-1.3	199/257/342	143	302	18	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	180/243/309	129	278	16	12	39%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	36→40	46→55	44→50	48	183/269/314	131	257	13	8	32%	10%	62	-0.9	197/280/350	153	289	17	9	35%	9%	76	+0.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Chris Williams 2021 · A	24	36→30	49→60	49→40	48	187/277/335	148	272	17	5	36%	11%	71	-0.3	188/268/347	159	301	20	4	41%	9%	70	-0.3	179/261/368	189	250	28	4	40%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→29	47→60	51→50	42	209/299/349	140	319	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.6	207/283/386	179	333	22	8	41%	8%	86	+0.8	194/270/396	201	315	27	12	45%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Marcus Chiu 2019 · A	22	41→26	45	53→45	38	202/283/327	125	286	12	11	32%	5%	72	-0.2	178/269/302	124	310	14	6	44%	8%	59	-1.1	160/249/283	123	273	15	3	44%	7%	43	-1.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→36	50→45	51→50	40	209/279/369	160	275	18	9	30%	6%	80	+0.4	213/288/327	114	289	10	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	210/300/295	85	278	6	10	24%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→38	46→50	48→45	53	208/301/343	135	264	13	11	25%	11%	82	+0.5	198/289/339	141	285	14	8	33%	10%	77	+0.1	175/277/324	148	244	17	6	34%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	39	53→50	46→40	41	207/269/377	170	278	21	7	33%	7%	78	+0.2	205/265/343	138	300	15	6	35%	6%	67	-0.5	205/257/341	135	285	15	1	32%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	37	46→55	47→30	44	188/274/317	128	274	14	2	35%	9%	65	-0.7	199/274/344	145	282	17	3	34%	7%	72	-0.2	184/260/325	141	260	18	0	35%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Adam Zebrowski 2023 · A	22	43→35	44→45	50→40	46	209/287/331	122	293	12	5	31%	9%	73	-0.1	189/250/310	121	292	14	3	38%	7%	52	-1.6	184/236/312	128	274	18	2	38%	5%	44	-1.1
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	37→41	48→45	50→45	49	193/307/330	137	261	17	7	31%	10%	84	+0.6	184/294/281	97	261	9	5	30%	10%	66	-0.6	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	87	+0.8	209/284/358	149	274	16	19	29%	9%	79	+0.3	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2