Dixon Williams

2B Rome Emperors

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP42ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AATL	114	.269/.398/.462	2	6	68	—	.184/.292/.296
2026	22	AAATL	43	.189/.302/.459	2	2	65	—	.184/.279/.447
2026	22	A+ATL	451	.238/.341/.472	22	31	63	—	.176/.247/.353
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBATL	2	.218/.285/.392	0	0	89	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBATL	197	.221/.288/.397	7	5	91	0.3
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBATL	295	.223/.291/.400	11	7	93	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$1M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed95

ISO93

wRC+53

wOBA49

BB%40

Chase%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsAustin Wells (age 24) · Jeter Downs (age 23) · Graham Pauley (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .285 / .392

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO179

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	93	25	6	3	2	16	35	4	6	0	269	398	462	861	194	404	31	14	381	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	43	37	7	2	1	2	4	13	2	2	1	189	302	459	762	270	227	30	9	335	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Rome Emperors	—	451	386	92	20	2	22	52	133	8	31	10	238	341	472	812	233	297	29	12	355	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	98	18	4	2	1	11	48	4	6	0	184	292	296	588	112	333	42	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	—	43	38	7	2	1	2	3	16	2	2	1	184	279	447	726	263	209	37	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	451	408	72	14	2	18	30	174	8	31	10	176	247	353	600	176	239	39	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	98	18	4	2	1	11	48	4	6	0	184	292	296	588	112	340	42	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	93	25	6	3	2	16	35	4	6	0	269	398	462	861	194	404	31	14	381	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	494	446	78	16	2	20	33	190	10	33	11	175	247	354	602	179	241	38	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	494	423	99	22	3	24	56	146	10	33	11	234	337	470	808	236	291	30	11	354	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	98	18	4	2	1	11	48	4	6	0	184	292	296	588	112	333	42	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	494	448	78	16	2	20	33	190	10	33	11	174	247	353	600	179	236	38	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	114	98	18	4	2	1	11	48	4	6	0	184	292	296	588	112	333	42	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	494	448	78	16	2	20	33	190	10	33	11	174	247	353	600	179	236	38	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	524	475	104	20	3	19	36	156	8	14	4	218	285	392	677	174	279	30	7	300	89	-7	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	ATL	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	218	285	392	677	174	279	50	0	300	89	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ATL	38%	518	468	104	20	3	19	37	152	8	13	4	221	288	397	686	176	280	29	7	303	91	-5	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.8
2029	25	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	531	480	107	21	3	19	38	153	8	13	4	223	291	400	690	177	281	29	7	305	93	-5	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2030	26	MLB MLE	ATL	64%	536	484	109	21	3	20	39	153	8	13	4	224	292	400	692	176	281	29	7	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	ATL	66%	535	483	108	21	3	19	39	152	8	12	4	224	293	398	690	174	281	28	7	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2032	28	MLB MLE	ATL	67%	531	480	108	21	3	19	39	150	7	11	4	223	292	394	685	170	281	28	7	304	92	-5	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.7
2033	29	MLB MLE	ATL	72%	524	473	105	20	3	18	39	150	7	10	4	221	289	387	676	167	279	29	7	300	89	-7	+0	-2	+2	+11	0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	ATL	75%	506	457	99	19	2	17	37	146	7	9	4	218	285	379	665	162	277	29	7	295	86	-8	+0	-3	+2	+11	0.2
2035	31	MLB MLE	ATL	77%	493	449	95	18	2	16	35	144	6	7	4	213	280	370	650	156	274	29	7	289	82	-11	-0	-4	+2	+11	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	ATL	38%	197	178	40	8	1	7	14	58	3	5	2	221	288	397	686	176	280	29	7	303	91	-2	+0	-0	+1	+4	0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	295	268	61	12	2	11	21	85	4	7	2	223	291	400	690	177	281	29	7	305	93	-3	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	ATL	64%	341	308	68	13	2	12	25	97	5	8	3	224	292	400	692	176	281	28	7	306	93	-3	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2031	27	MLB CTX	ATL	66%	352	318	72	14	2	13	26	100	5	8	3	224	293	398	690	174	281	28	7	306	93	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	ATL	67%	355	321	72	14	2	12	26	100	5	7	3	223	292	394	685	170	281	28	7	304	92	-3	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	ATL	72%	375	339	76	15	2	13	28	107	5	7	3	221	289	387	676	167	279	29	7	300	89	-5	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	ATL	75%	379	343	75	14	2	13	28	110	5	7	3	218	285	379	665	162	277	29	7	295	86	-6	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.1
2035	31	MLB CTX	ATL	77%	380	345	74	14	2	12	27	111	5	5	3	213	280	370	650	156	274	29	7	289	82	-8	-0	-3	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2674	2420	538	104	15	93	195	768	37	54	22	222	290	393	683	171	283	29	7	301	87	-33	+2	-9	+10	+58	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	131	25	4	23	47	187	9	13	5	223	290	396	686	173	283	29	7	301	87	-8	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5102	4608	995	193	28	180	369	1534	78	136	46	216	285	387	672	171	279	30	7	297	87	-53	+5	-14	+16	+97	5.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	128	25	4	23	47	195	10	17	6	218	287	392	679	174	282	30	7	297	87	-8	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#2Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
#3Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.0	2,674	93	55	222	286	391	+10	-5	5.4	5.2
/162	664	23	14	+2.4	-1.2	1.3	pk7: 5
#4Johnny Vergez'31-'36 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,537 PA	3.8	2,537	52	22	234*	301*	404*	+9	-12	4.2	4.2
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	-3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dixon Williams (OGILVIE)	23	45	42	57	52	216/282/389	173	279	12	9	30%	7%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Wells 2023 · AA	24	43→44	52→55	57→50	48	221/305/386	165	294	19	14	30%	10%	96	+1.0	218/292/386	168	268	20	8	26%	9%	91	+0.7	211/285/386	175	250	21	5	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Jeter Downs 2021 · AA	23	43→41	51→50	52→55	45	223/290/390	167	279	19	17	27%	8%	91	+0.7	180/256/301	121	262	15	21	35%	8%	59	-1.7	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Graham Pauley 2024 · AA	23	50→52	52→55	53→50	48	253/317/427	174	298	20	14	22%	8%	109	+2.0	220/288/373	153	268	17	10	24%	8%	86	+0.3	202/274/352	149	245	16	9	24%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	50→55	54→50	49	211/301/366	155	290	17	16	32%	10%	90	+0.6	217/302/391	174	272	21	10	27%	10%	96	+1.0	206/293/384	178	246	22	6	26%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Brett Wisely 2022 · A	23	48→51	50	52→55	43	241/298/388	147	324	18	20	31%	8%	93	+0.8	236/304/372	136	307	14	18	26%	8%	91	+0.7	235/306/367	132	300	12	17	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Oswaldo Cabrera 2022 · AAA	23	44→49	52→55	50	40	229/273/400	170	296	20	15	30%	6%	86	+0.3	228/283/373	145	288	16	15	26%	7%	84	+0.2	241/292/345	104	296	13	9	23%	6%	80	-0.1
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	46→53	52→55	52→55	44	230/294/392	162	319	20	13	33%	8%	93	+0.8	234/299/408	174	324	21	23	32%	8%	99	+1.2	228/297/401	173	313	21	27	33%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA	24	46→56	53→50	54→60	47	241/304/414	173	279	22	19	23%	7%	102	+1.5	232/304/361	129	298	13	29	25%	8%	89	+0.5	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
●Ronny Simon 2023 · AA	23	39→49	52→50	56→60	39	213/257/378	165	265	21	22	29%	5%	76	-0.4	236/292/361	125	301	12	24	24%	7%	84	+0.2	273/337/383	110	340	8	30	21%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Tim Wheeler 2012 · AA	24	48→56	51→50	49→50	42	242/300/401	160	305	19	14	27%	6%	97	+1.1	233/286/343	110	312	10	12	27%	6%	78	-0.3	219/273/306	88	301	6	11	28%	5%	62	-1.1
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	46→51	52→55	49→50	45	236/302/402	166	297	20	12	27%	7%	98	+1.2	247/306/406	159	329	18	11	29%	7%	100	+1.3	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Daniel Johnson 2018 · A	23	46→51	50→55	48→55	39	235/279/388	153	287	18	13	25%	4%	86	+0.3	242/290/392	150	313	15	15	27%	5%	91	+0.6	229/282/384	156	310	16	14	30%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2019 · AA	23	49→50	47→50	51→50	44	238/300/376	138	319	14	13	29%	7%	91	+0.7	230/290/373	143	310	15	10	29%	8%	86	+0.3	222/283/373	151	295	17	8	29%	8%	83	+0.0
●Bryan Petersen 2009 · AA	23	47→57	50→45	48→50	44	240/298/383	143	300	19	14	26%	7%	92	+0.7	247/305/361	114	300	11	11	20%	7%	89	+0.5	256/320/369	113	307	9	11	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Scott Moore 2007 · MLB	23	46→50	51→55	46→50	41	235/293/396	162	315	19	12	31%	7%	94	+0.9	225/289/385	160	295	18	7	29%	7%	90	+0.6	236/301/378	142	289	16	5	23%	7%	91	+0.5

Dixon Williams

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps