Brooks Brannon — OGILVIE

Brooks BrannonC Portland Sea Dogs

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs AA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION231 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .261 / .366

PA154

HR5

K%38

BB%6

BABIP304

ISO162

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$9M	+$7M
2031	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$8M	+$5M
2032	Arb-3	$6M	+1.4	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$16M		$43M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	15	14	3	0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	429	47	7	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	15	13	6	1	2	0	2	5	0	0	0	462	533	846	1.379	385	750	33	13	575	298	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	77	74	14	2	1	4	2	29	0	0	0	189	211	405	616	216	244	38	3	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	2 teams	—	77	72	19	3	1	6	4	20	0	0	0	264	303	583	886	319	283	26	5	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	3 teams	—	329	307	52	6	1	6	22	154	0	6	1	169	225	254	479	85	313	47	7	216	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	3 teams	—	329	298	77	12	2	8	31	98	0	6	1	258	328	393	721	134	359	30	9	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	383	366	69	10	2	6	15	170	2	4	1	189	225	276	500	87	332	44	4	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	383	354	89	16	2	10	27	117	2	4	1	251	308	393	701	141	348	31	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	BOS	—	231	206	49	13	1	12	19	90	3	2	0	238	311	485	797	248	346	39	8	335	115	+4	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.5
YTD	22	AA	BOS	—	231	198	56	15	1	14	27	70	3	2	0	283	377	581	958	298	359	30	12	409	171	+19	+0	+0	+4	+7	3.0
ROS	22	AA	BOS	2%	154	142	29	6	1	5	10	59	1	2	0	204	261	366	628	162	305	38	6	275	69	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
ROS	22	MLB	BOS	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						312	33	0	274	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	AA	BOS	—	234	209	49	13	1	12	19	91	3	2	0	234	307	478	786	244	339	39	8	334	114	+4	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.5
TOT	22	AA	BOS	—	385	348	78	19	2	17	29	149	4	4	0	224	291	437	728	213	328	39	8	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BOS	35%	448	414	86	17	2	15	28	169	3	5	1	208	263	367	630	159	306	38	6	278	71	-15	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.7
2028	24	MLB	BOS	47%	492	452	97	19	2	17	33	178	4	6	1	215	274	378	652	164	305	36	7	286	77	-13	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2029	25	MLB	BOS	52%	515	471	102	20	2	18	35	182	4	7	1	217	276	382	659	166	305	35	7	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2030	26	MLB	BOS	54%	520	475	103	20	2	18	36	182	4	7	1	217	278	381	659	164	304	35	7	292	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2031	27	MLB	BOS	54%	520	474	102	20	2	18	37	182	4	8	1	215	278	380	657	165	304	35	7	292	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2032	28	MLB	BOS	54%	520	474	102	20	2	18	37	183	4	8	1	215	278	380	657	165	303	35	7	291	81	-11	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2033	29	MLB	BOS	53%	519	473	102	20	2	18	37	184	4	7	1	216	278	381	659	165	302	35	7	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2034	30	MLB	BOS	52%	509	463	98	19	2	17	37	182	4	7	1	212	276	371	647	160	301	36	7	286	77	-13	+1	-2	+9	+14	1.0
2035	31	MLB	BOS	52%	481	439	92	18	2	16	35	173	4	6	1	210	274	369	643	159	298	36	7	282	74	-14	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.6
2036	32	MLB	BOS	52%	449	411	83	16	1	14	32	163	3	5	1	202	265	348	613	146	294	36	7	277	70	-15	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.3
2037	33	MLB	BOS	52%	408	373	74	14	1	12	29	150	3	5	1	198	262	338	600	139	290	37	7	270	65	-16	+1	-4	+7	+12	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	BOS	35%	158	146	31	6	1	5	10	59	1	2	0	212	268	370	637	158	313	37	6	277	70	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2028	24	MLB	BOS	47%	229	210	46	9	1	8	15	83	2	3	0	219	278	386	663	167	312	36	7	284	76	-6	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2029	25	MLB	BOS	52%	267	245	54	11	1	9	18	94	2	4	1	220	279	384	663	163	312	35	7	289	79	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2030	26	MLB	BOS	54%	282	258	57	12	1	10	20	99	2	4	1	221	282	391	674	171	311	35	7	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	27	MLB	BOS	54%	282	258	57	12	1	10	20	99	2	4	1	221	282	391	674	171	311	35	7	290	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	28	MLB	BOS	54%	282	258	56	11	1	10	20	99	2	4	1	217	279	384	662	167	311	35	7	289	80	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	29	MLB	BOS	53%	276	252	54	11	1	9	20	98	2	4	1	214	277	373	650	159	310	36	7	288	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2034	30	MLB	BOS	52%	267	244	53	11	1	9	19	95	2	4	1	217	279	381	660	164	308	36	7	285	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2035	31	MLB	BOS	52%	250	228	49	10	1	8	18	90	2	3	1	215	278	373	651	158	305	36	7	281	73	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2036	32	MLB	BOS	52%	233	212	44	9	1	7	17	85	2	3	0	208	273	358	631	151	301	36	7	275	69	-8	+1	-2	+4	+7	0.1
2037	33	MLB	BOS	52%	211	192	39	8	1	6	15	78	2	2	0	203	268	349	617	146	296	37	7	269	64	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2740	2506	540	110	11	91	192	980	21	37	7	215	277	377	654	162	311	36	7	284	76	-75	+5	-8	+49	+78	4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	129	26	3	22	46	232	5	9	2	217	279	382	661	165	312	36	7	284	76	-18	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	6339	5822	1208	227	26	202	426	2347	44	83	13	207	267	359	626	152	305	37	7	277	70	-213	+11	-15	+113	+180	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	124	23	3	21	44	241	5	9	1	208	268	362	630	154	305	37	7	277	70	-22	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	15	13	6	1	2	0	2	5	0	0	0	462	533	846	1.379	385	750	33	13	575	298	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2023	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	25	24	7	0	0	3	1	8	0	0	0	292	320	667	987	375	308	32	4	422	181	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	52	48	12	3	1	3	3	12	0	0	0	250	294	542	836	292	273	23	6	352	128	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	230	207	52	8	2	6	23	67	0	5	1	251	326	396	722	145	343	29	10	324	106	+2	+1	—	—	+7	0.9
2024	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	27	23	4	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	174	296	174	470		308	37	15	237	40	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	72	68	21	4	0	2	4	21	0	0	0	309	347	456	803	147	422	29	6	356	131	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	159	143	32	8	0	5	15	54	1	1	0	224	302	385	687	161	321	34	9	309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	21	A+	Greenville Drive	—	224	211	57	8	2	5	12	63	1	3	1	270	312	398	711	128	364	28	5	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+6	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,743	91	37	212	271	372	+49	+24	5.6	5.2
	/162	664	22	9	212	271	372	+11.9	+5.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brooks Brannon (OGILVIE)	22	40	40	45	25	224/291/437	213	328	17	4	39%	8%	96	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Huff 2020 · A	22	36→42	46→55	44→45	29	187/229/314	127	304	15	6	43%	4%	43	-2.2	211/259/374	163	330	22	4	41%	5%	73	-0.1	215/278/394	178	310	27	1	38%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	38	41→45	48→30	31	189/228/283	93	291	9	6	37%	4%	34	-2.8	198/249/283	85	295	6	6	33%	4%	43	-2.2	156/203/205	49	241	0	0	33%	2%	1	-1.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Juan Zabala 2022 · AA	23	40	44→40	45→50	37	198/253/312	114	299	12	7	36%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/311	97	297	10	16	29%	7%	63	-0.8	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	44→50	51→45	35	182/259/292	110	306	12	11	42%	6%	53	-1.5	199/263/309	110	291	13	7	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/246/280	93	268	12	5	34%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Carson Blair 2012 · A	22	38	42→50	46→30	35	176/237/278	102	330	10	4	47%	7%	38	-2.6	187/254/311	124	302	11	5	39%	8%	53	-1.5	191/266/336	145	314	15	1	41%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Tomás Nido 2016 · A	22	44	45	46→30	33	219/245/334	115	306	13	4	33%	3%	55	-1.4	238/271/350	112	294	10	2	22%	4%	70	-0.3	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Ivan Jimenez 2015 · AAA	22	43	44→40	51→55	35	208/251/322	114	316	11	11	37%	5%	54	-1.4	236/280/325	89	316	6	13	26%	5%	67	-0.5	283/345/374	90	354	3	18	19%	7%	101	+0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	42→46	42→50	45	38	210/257/311	101	291	10	11	31%	5%	54	-1.4	229/288/359	130	302	15	9	28%	6%	81	+0.4	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Alex Lavisky 2013 · A	22	36	42→40	46→30	35	185/231/286	100	277	11	3	36%	5%	37	-2.7	201/245/297	96	268	10	3	28%	5%	46	-2.0	192/236/276	85	241	10	1	24%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Julian Leon 2018 · A	22	40	42→45	42→30	35	191/250/293	102	311	11	3	40%	6%	47	-1.9	184/277/305	121	298	14	3	40%	9%	63	-0.8	143/257/263	120	227	16	0	41%	11%	45	-0.9
✕Shawn Bowman 2007 · A	22	39→41	47→55	48→40	32	195/247/326	131	318	15	5	42%	5%	55	-1.4	221/261/338	117	345	12	6	38%	4%	63	-0.9	239/277/397	159	325	18	2	32%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	39	42→45	47→50	39	198/255/299	101	269	10	10	30%	5%	51	-1.7	211/272/334	123	278	13	9	28%	6%	67	-0.5	201/263/321	120	259	14	7	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Mario Feliciano 2021 · A	22	39→48	44→45	47→40	30	189/234/300	111	321	13	5	44%	5%	42	-2.3	222/266/323	101	293	10	5	27%	4%	61	-1.0	225/267/313	87	283	8	2	23%	3%	56	-0.5
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3