Yasser Mercedes — OGILVIE

Yasser MercedesOF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION293 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .259 / .319

PA195

HR5

SB15

K%32

BB%8

BABIP249

ISO137

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.6M
2034	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	165	42	9	2	3	8	52	1	30	5	255	293	388	681	133	348	30	5	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	155	55	13	3	4	18	35	1	30	5	355	425	555	980	200	432	20	10	425	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	105	99	14	2	1	4	4	32	1	6	1	141	183	303	486	162	156	30	4	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	105	97	19	4	1	4	6	23	1	6	1	196	250	381	631	186	211	22	6	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	243	221	44	13	2	6	18	85	4	21	5	199	272	357	629	158	292	35	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	243	209	61	19	2	6	30	57	4	21	5	292	391	488	879	196	377	23	12	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	3 teams	—	484	431	65	14	0	12	42	172	5	38	4	151	234	267	501	116	209	36	9	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	3 teams	—	484	413	82	18	0	12	60	124	5	38	4	199	308	329	637	131	247	26	12	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	MIN	—	293	264	52	10	1	9	25	100	3	36	5	197	274	345	619	148	276	34	9	277	70	-10	+5	+0	-2	+8	0.2
YTD	21	A+	MIN	—	293	255	67	13	2	12	34	73	3	36	5	263	356	471	827	208	322	25	12	365	138	+12	+5	+0	-2	+8	2.5
ROS	21	A+	MIN	0%	195	175	32	7	1	5	16	63	2	15	2	183	259	319	578	137	243	32	8	258	56	-10	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						243	0	0	251	50	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	MIN	—	294	265	52	10	1	9	25	100	3	36	5	196	273	343	616	147	274	34	9	277	70	-10	+5	+0	-2	+8	0.2
TOT	21	A+	MIN	—	488	439	84	17	2	14	41	163	5	51	7	191	268	335	602	143	265	33	8	270	65	-20	+7	+0	-3	+14	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIN	35%	522	468	89	18	2	15	44	163	5	29	4	190	267	333	600	143	252	31	8	271	66	-20	+4	+0	-3	+15	-0.4
2028	23	MLB	MIN	49%	560	501	99	20	2	17	48	169	6	31	4	198	276	347	623	150	256	30	9	280	73	-17	+5	+0	-3	+16	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	588	526	106	21	2	19	51	173	6	33	4	202	280	357	637	156	259	29	9	286	77	-15	+5	+0	-4	+17	0.3
2030	25	MLB	MIN	55%	603	539	110	22	2	20	53	176	6	34	5	204	283	364	646	160	260	29	9	289	80	-14	+5	+0	-4	+17	0.4
2031	26	MLB	MIN	56%	611	546	111	22	2	20	54	178	6	34	5	203	282	361	643	158	260	29	9	290	80	-14	+5	+0	-4	+17	0.5
2032	27	MLB	MIN	55%	610	544	111	22	2	20	55	178	6	34	5	204	284	362	646	158	259	29	9	290	80	-13	+5	+0	-4	+17	0.5
2033	28	MLB	MIN	55%	605	539	110	22	2	20	55	177	6	32	4	204	285	364	649	160	259	29	9	289	80	-14	+5	-1	-4	+17	0.4
2034	29	MLB	MIN	53%	595	530	107	21	2	19	54	176	6	29	4	202	283	357	640	155	258	30	9	288	78	-15	+4	-1	-4	+17	0.1
2027	22	MLB	MIN	35%	180	161	31	6	1	5	15	56	2	10	1	193	270	335	605	143	252	31	8	265	61	-8	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	MIN	49%	272	244	48	10	1	8	23	82	3	15	2	197	274	344	618	148	256	30	8	273	67	-10	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2029	24	MLB	MIN	53%	310	277	56	11	1	10	27	91	3	17	2	202	280	357	638	155	259	29	9	279	72	-10	+3	+0	-2	+9	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	MIN	55%	330	295	60	12	1	11	29	96	3	18	2	203	281	363	644	159	260	29	9	282	74	-10	+3	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2031	26	MLB	MIN	56%	340	304	61	12	1	11	30	99	3	19	3	201	279	355	634	155	260	29	9	283	75	-10	+3	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2032	27	MLB	MIN	55%	336	300	61	12	1	11	30	98	3	19	3	203	282	360	642	157	259	29	9	283	75	-9	+3	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2033	28	MLB	MIN	55%	331	295	60	12	1	11	30	97	3	18	2	203	284	363	646	159	259	29	9	282	74	-10	+3	-0	-2	+9	0.0
2034	29	MLB	MIN	53%	317	282	56	11	1	10	29	94	3	16	2	199	280	351	631	152	258	30	9	281	73	-10	+2	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2417	2159	433	86	8	77	213	713	23	132	17	201	279	355	634	154	257	29	9	280	72	-76	+20	-1	-15	+68	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	116	23	2	21	57	192	6	35	5	200	278	355	633	155	255	30	9	280	72	-20	+5	-0	-4	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	5897	5284	1040	213	22	180	502	1794	60	366	52	197	274	348	622	151	257	30	9	278	71	-194	+52	-2	-35	+167	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	114	23	2	20	55	198	7	40	6	196	273	345	619	149	255	30	8	278	71	-21	+6	-0	-4	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	155	55	13	3	4	18	35	1	30	5	355	425	555	980	200	432	20	10	425	183	+17	+4	—	—	+5	2.6
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	105	97	19	4	1	4	6	23	1	6	1	196	250	381	631	186	211	22	6	277	70	-4	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	40	5	1	0	0	6	18	2	3	0	125	271	150	421	25	227	38	12	220	27	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	195	169	56	18	2	6	24	39	2	18	5	331	421	568	989	237	403	20	12	432	189	+20	+2	—	—	+6	2.7
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	419	355	66	13	0	10	55	105	3	34	1	186	300	307	607	121	228	25	13	279	72	-13	+6	—	—	+12	0.5
2025	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	21	17	8	3	0	1	2	4	2	2	2	471	571	824	1.395	353	583	19	10	591	311	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	44	41	8	2	0	1	3	15	0	2	1	195	250	317	567	122	280	34	7	256	54	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,418	78	132	203	279	361	-15	+0	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	22	36	203	279	361	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yasser Mercedes (OGILVIE)	21	25	35	60	50	191/268/335	143	265	14	51	33%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	42→45	54→60	41	193/248/290	97	267	11	22	31%	6%	45	-2.1	213/253/326	113	295	12	27	31%	4%	56	-1.3	231/255/354	123	300	13	17	28%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	46→55	52→50	39	205/249/339	134	269	14	14	29%	5%	59	-1.1	183/230/341	158	264	20	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	37	44→45	47→45	43	190/252/303	113	229	13	12	24%	6%	51	-1.7	224/274/348	124	267	13	8	21%	5%	72	-0.2	259/302/380	121	288	12	8	14%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	39→45	47→55	52→55	40	199/261/337	138	279	13	19	33%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/332	129	293	11	17	33%	7%	66	-0.6	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Walking Cabrera 2022 · A	21	40→34	45	53→45	44	202/261/325	122	265	13	13	28%	7%	60	-1.0	193/246/299	106	286	11	8	34%	6%	46	-2.0	180/233/283	103	266	11	6	35%	6%	36	-1.6
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→50	54→65	45	186/250/288	102	245	7	22	27%	7%	46	-2.0	187/263/301	114	290	10	25	36%	8%	56	-1.3	239/314/383	144	329	16	46	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	41→38	45→50	53→55	44	207/273/334	127	264	12	20	26%	7%	68	-0.5	194/271/323	129	281	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	173/260/293	120	252	12	18	34%	8%	50	-1.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	35→40	46→50	50→55	39	186/245/315	128	247	14	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	189/251/309	120	275	12	18	34%	7%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Sean Henry 2007 · A	21	41→51	45→50	56→55	43	207/263/331	123	274	12	24	28%	7%	62	-0.9	240/293/369	129	295	11	17	22%	6%	85	+0.7	248/301/378	130	297	12	17	20%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	36→35	41→40	54→55	35	181/227/276	95	270	8	21	35%	5%	32	-3.0	179/232/274	95	284	9	17	38%	5%	34	-2.8	170/218/264	93	274	9	17	40%	4%	22	-2.6
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	46	-2.0	198/248/295	97	289	8	8	32%	6%	46	-2.0	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	35	-2.8	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	15	-0.8