Yasser Mercedes — OGILVIE

Yasser MercedesOF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION492 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP251

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	176	155	55	13	3	4	18	35	1	30	5	355	425	555	980	200	432	20	10	425	174	+15	+4	—	—	+4	2.4
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	105	97	19	4	1	4	6	23	1	6	1	196	250	381	631	186	211	22	6	277	73	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	40	5	1	0	0	6	18	2	3	0	125	271	150	421	25	227	38	12	220	35	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	195	169	56	18	2	6	24	39	2	18	5	331	421	568	989	237	403	20	12	432	178	+18	+2	—	—	+4	2.4
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	419	355	66	13	0	10	55	105	3	34	1	186	300	307	607	121	228	25	13	279	75	-12	+6	—	—	+9	0.3
2025	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	21	17	8	3	0	1	2	4	2	2	2	471	571	824	1.395	353	583	19	10	591	286	+5	-0	—	—	+0	0.5
2025	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	44	41	8	2	0	1	3	15	0	2	1	195	250	317	567	122	280	34	7	256	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	164	41	9	2	3	9	51	1	30	5	250	293	384	677	134	335	29	5	295	86	-3	+4	—	—	+4	0.5
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	105	99	14	3	1	3	4	32	1	6	1	141	183	283	466	141	156	30	4	192	16	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	48	41	3	1	0	0	5	26	2	3	0	73	208	98	306	24	195	54	10	156	-8	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	195	179	39	12	1	5	14	58	2	18	5	218	282	380	662	162	298	30	7	291	83	-4	+2	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	419	371	52	10	0	9	39	150	3	34	1	140	228	240	467	100	195	36	9	216	32	-34	+6	—	—	+9	-1.9
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	21	18	6	2	0	1	1	6	2	2	2	333	429	611	1.040	278	441	29	5	417	168	+2	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	164	41	9	2	3	9	51	1	30	5	250	293	384	677	134	339	29	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	176	155	55	13	3	4	18	35	1	30	5	355	425	555	980	200	432	20	10	425	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	105	99	14	3	1	3	4	32	1	6	1	141	183	283	466	141	169	30	4	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	105	97	19	4	1	4	6	23	1	6	1	196	250	381	631	186	211	22	6	277	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	243	220	43	13	1	5	19	83	4	21	5	195	272	332	603	136	288	34	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	243	209	61	19	2	6	30	57	4	21	5	292	391	488	879	196	377	23	12	390	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	484	429	65	14	0	11	44	171	5	38	4	152	238	261	500	110	213	35	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	484	413	82	18	0	12	60	124	5	38	4	199	308	329	637	131	247	26	12	291	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	176	164	41	9	2	3	9	51	1	30	5	250	293	384	677	134	335	29	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	105	99	14	3	1	3	4	32	1	6	1	141	183	283	466	141	156	30	4	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	243	218	43	13	1	5	19	83	4	21	5	197	272	335	606	138	278	34	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	484	432	65	14	0	11	44	171	5	38	4	150	238	259	498	109	207	35	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	105	99	14	3	1	3	4	32	1	6	1	141	183	283	466	141	156	30	4	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	243	218	43	13	1	5	19	83	4	21	5	197	272	335	606	138	278	34	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	484	432	65	14	0	11	44	171	5	38	4	150	238	259	498	109	207	35	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	MIN	—	492	442	81	20	2	14	40	186	7	52	8	183	262	333	594	149	273	38	8	260	62	-22	+7	+0	-3	+11	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	MIN	—	98	81	26	4	2	6	17	21	0	11	2	321	439	642	1.081	321	370	21	17	463	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIN	—	394	345	80	23	1	12	39	116	7	41	6	232	322	409	731	177	309	29	10	326	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	MIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		251	40	10	253	57	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	MIN	—	502	451	82	20	2	14	41	190	7	53	8	182	261	328	589	146	272	38	8	260	62	-23	+7	+0	-3	+11	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	35%	516	462	84	19	2	14	43	178	6	29	4	182	260	323	583	141	256	34	8	265	65	-21	+4	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	560	501	95	21	2	17	48	185	6	32	5	190	268	341	610	152	260	33	9	274	72	-19	+4	+0	-3	+12	-0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	588	525	103	23	2	18	51	190	7	33	5	196	276	350	627	154	262	32	9	281	76	-17	+5	+0	-4	+13	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	603	538	106	23	2	19	53	192	7	34	5	197	278	353	631	156	263	32	9	284	79	-15	+5	+0	-4	+13	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	611	545	109	24	2	20	54	194	7	35	5	200	281	361	642	161	263	32	9	285	79	-15	+5	+0	-4	+13	-0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	610	543	107	23	2	20	55	194	7	35	5	197	279	357	637	160	263	32	9	286	79	-15	+5	+0	-4	+13	-0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	605	538	105	23	2	19	55	194	7	33	5	195	278	351	630	156	262	32	9	285	79	-15	+5	-1	-4	+13	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	595	529	104	23	2	19	54	192	7	30	4	197	280	355	635	159	261	32	9	283	77	-16	+4	-1	-4	+13	-0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	585	520	101	22	2	18	53	190	7	26	4	194	278	348	626	154	260	32	9	280	76	-17	+4	-2	-4	+13	-0.6
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	35%	178	159	30	7	1	5	15	61	2	10	1	189	267	340	607	151	256	34	8	257	65	-7	+2	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	272	244	46	10	1	8	23	90	3	15	2	189	267	336	603	148	260	33	8	266	72	-9	+2	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	310	276	54	12	1	10	27	100	4	18	3	196	277	355	632	159	262	32	9	273	76	-9	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	330	294	59	13	1	11	29	105	4	19	3	201	281	364	645	163	263	32	9	276	79	-8	+3	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	340	303	60	13	1	11	30	108	4	19	3	198	279	356	635	158	263	32	9	277	79	-8	+3	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	336	299	59	13	1	11	30	107	4	19	3	197	279	358	637	161	263	32	9	277	79	-8	+3	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	331	294	59	13	1	11	30	106	4	18	3	201	284	364	647	163	262	32	9	276	79	-8	+2	-0	-2	+7	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	317	281	55	12	1	10	29	102	4	16	2	196	280	352	633	157	261	32	9	275	77	-9	+2	-1	-2	+7	-0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	307	272	54	12	1	10	28	100	4	14	2	199	283	360	643	162	260	33	9	272	76	-9	+2	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2721	2422	476	105	9	87	241	879	33	148	22	197	278	355	633	159	264	32	9	273	72	-76	+21	-2	-16	+59	-1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	114	25	2	21	58	210	8	35	5	197	280	356	635	159	264	32	9	273	72	-18	+5	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6291	5622	1078	240	22	186	543	2050	72	383	57	192	271	342	613	150	261	33	9	275	72	-151	+41	-4	-32	+114	-3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	111	25	2	19	56	212	7	40	6	191	270	339	609	148	260	33	9	275	72	-19	+5	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.1	2,723	85	148	196	274	352	-16	+0	0.4	0.6
/162	664	21	36	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yasser Mercedes (OGILVIE)	21	25	35	60	50	171/249/304	133	251	8	25	36%	8%	57	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	45→50	53→55	40	202/262/329	127	284	11	19	32%	6%	66	-1.1	201/268/318	117	295	9	17	33%	7%	66	-1.1	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	43→50	52→55	43	204/269/311	107	264	11	18	26%	6%	65	-1.2	205/270/351	146	270	17	18	29%	7%	75	-0.5	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	35→37	41→45	54→55	35	178/226/275	97	266	9	21	36%	5%	40	-3.1	185/236/284	99	287	10	17	37%	5%	46	-2.6	180/226/278	98	281	10	17	38%	4%	37	-2.3
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	38→48	41→45	54→65	45	190/253/296	106	249	8	22	26%	7%	55	-1.9	192/267/308	116	292	10	25	35%	8%	63	-1.3	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	40→45	54→60	40	189/245/278	88	269	9	22	32%	6%	47	-2.5	211/252/312	101	296	10	27	31%	4%	58	-1.7	222/247/328	107	293	10	17	28%	3%	57	-0.8
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jon Matthews 2013 · A	22	37	36→40	56→60	38	178/236/244	66	265	3	23	32%	6%	36	-3.3	221/286/292	71	305	4	21	27%	7%	66	-1.1	231/302/293	61	313	3	21	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	38→36	45→50	54→50	38	193/255/316	124	276	12	13	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/262/352	148	296	18	14	36%	6%	72	-0.7	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	42	-2.9	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	45	-2.7	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	34→43	46→45	50→55	39	183/243/312	128	244	14	13	31%	6%	55	-1.9	192/254/310	118	276	11	18	33%	7%	59	-1.7	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	62	-1.4	194/241/346	152	272	18	8	35%	5%	63	-1.4	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→38	39→50	55	45	208/278/297	89	275	6	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	201/273/331	130	270	13	18	29%	7%	71	-0.8	188/266/323	135	254	14	19	30%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Kenny Wilson 2010 · A	20	35→45	37→40	56→60	37	170/241/239	69	279	4	27	38%	6%	38	-3.2	182/256/243	61	285	3	27	34%	7%	45	-2.7	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Kyren Paris 2023 · AA	21	41→47	45	60	41	193/274/319	125	316	12	27	39%	8%	69	-0.9	192/279/314	122	305	12	30	38%	10%	70	-0.9	180/273/303	123	282	14	35	38%	10%	63	-0.9
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	192/273/283	91	301	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	219/285/318	99	305	7	26	28%	7%	72	-0.7	228/293/324	96	308	4	32	25%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps