Hiro Wyatt

P Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.0 · 2031

Overview

APROSPECTFG #563MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	18	14	61	3.86	2.51	23.6%	9.5%	—	K 16.6% · BB 11.6% · FIP 3.44
2025	20	AKC	21	20	79	4.78	3.54	22.3%	8.3%	—	K 16.5% · BB 9.8% · FIP 4.45
2026	21	AKC	7	7	28	3.21	3.10	19.5%	13.0%	—	K 14.4% · BB 15.3% · FIP 3.82
2027PROJ	22	MLBKC	9	9	45	5.02	5.02	16.8%	11.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBKC	7	7	36	4.69	4.59	18.8%	10.3%	0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBKC	9	9	53	4.50	4.39	20.1%	9.6%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$2M2033Arb-2$3M2034Arb-3$3M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50Command53FB velo47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 87%

CompsRyan Harvey (age 22) · Ryan Atkinson (age 23) · Chih-Jung Liu (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%16.8%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%5.4%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CTRL4050

CMD3555

K†4050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	61	263	62	25	1	78%	3.4	16.6%	11.6%	5.0%	0.5%	3.86	3.44	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	14	61	263	62	25	1	78%	3.4	16.6%	11.6%	5.0%	0.5%	3.86	3.44	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	14	61	263	62	25	1	78%	3.4	23.6%	9.5%	14.1%	0.4%	3.86	2.51	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	21	20	79	349	78	29	8	95%	3.8	16.5%	9.8%	6.7%	2.7%	4.78	4.45	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	21	20	79	349	78	29	8	95%	3.8	16.5%	9.8%	6.7%	2.7%	4.78	4.45	—
2025	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	21	20	79	349	78	29	8	95%	3.8	22.3%	8.3%	14.0%	2.3%	4.78	3.54	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	7	7	28	123	24	16	0	100%	4.0	14.4%	15.3%	-0.9%	0.0%	3.21	3.82	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	7	7	28	123	24	16	0	100%	4.0	14.4%	15.3%	-0.9%	0.0%	3.21	3.82	—
2026	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	7	7	28	123	24	16	0	100%	4.0	19.5%	13.0%	6.5%	0.0%	3.21	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	KC	9	9	45	190	32	22	5	100%	5.0	16.8%	11.4%	5.4%	2.8%	5.02	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	14	14	74	312	59	32	9	100%	5.3	18.8%	10.3%	8.6%	2.7%	4.80	4.70	+0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	14	14	76	319	64	31	9	100%	5.4	20.1%	9.6%	10.5%	2.7%	4.61	4.50	+0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	13	13	76	323	67	29	9	100%	5.9	20.7%	9.1%	11.6%	2.7%	4.47	4.38	+0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	13	13	76	323	68	29	9	100%	5.9	21.0%	9.1%	12.0%	2.7%	4.40	4.36	+0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	13	13	75	318	67	29	9	100%	5.8	21.0%	9.2%	11.9%	2.8%	4.40	4.39	+0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	12	12	73	309	65	29	9	100%	6.1	20.9%	9.3%	11.6%	2.9%	4.45	4.48	+0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	12	12	70	295	61	28	9	100%	5.8	20.7%	9.5%	11.1%	3.0%	4.55	4.61	+0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	11	11	66	277	56	27	9	100%	6.0	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.2%	4.69	4.79	+0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	7	7	36	152	29	16	4	100%	5.1	18.8%	10.3%	8.6%	2.5%	4.69	4.59	+0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	9	9	53	224	45	21	6	100%	5.9	20.1%	9.6%	10.5%	2.5%	4.50	4.39	+0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	11	11	62	262	54	24	7	100%	5.6	20.7%	9.1%	11.6%	2.5%	4.36	4.27	+0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	11	11	67	283	60	26	7	100%	6.1	21.0%	9.1%	12.0%	2.5%	4.29	4.25	+0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	11	11	68	287	60	26	7	100%	6.2	21.0%	9.2%	11.9%	2.6%	4.29	4.28	+0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	11	11	67	283	59	26	8	100%	6.1	20.9%	9.3%	11.6%	2.7%	4.33	4.36	+0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	11	11	65	274	57	26	8	100%	5.9	20.7%	9.5%	11.1%	2.8%	4.42	4.48	+0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	10	10	61	258	52	25	8	100%	6.1	20.3%	9.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.56	4.66	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		82	82	480	2025	416	191	54	100%	5.8	20.6%	9.4%	11.1%	2.7%	4.41	4.02	+5.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	173	80	23	100%	5.9	20.6%	9.4%	11.1%	2.7%	4.41	4.02	+2.1
Career	—	MLE		46	41	168	735	119	84	11	89%	3.6	16.2%	11.4%	4.8%	1.5%	4.19	3.98	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	49	200	877	142	100	13	89%	3.6	16.2%	11.4%	4.8%	1.5%	4.19	3.98	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hiro Wyatt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	16.8%	11.4%	2.8%	—	4.52	19.9%	10.2%	226	-0.50	—	—	—
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	92
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	89
Chih-Jung Liu R 2021 · 4.41 FIP	22	SP	4.41	18.8%	10.5%	2.9%	.331	6.08	21.6%	9.0%	233	+1.67	4.41	283	87
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.90	22.5%	6.9%	260	-0.04	4.14	414	87
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.05	17.5%	10.6%	280	-0.88	3.90	299	86
Jeremy Lee R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	22	SP-	4.17	16.8%	11.5%	1.9%	.318	5.21	11.2%	-0.5%	46	+1.04	4.17	125	86
Cole Wiper R 2015 · 5.41 FIP	23	SP	5.41	14.6%	10.5%	4.0%	.343	4.52	15.6%	5.2%	136	-0.89	3.97	170	84
Cade Kuehler R 2024 · 4.22 FIP	22	SP	4.22	15.5%	11.2%	1.8%	.266	7.37	12.2%	-2.2%	109	+3.15	4.22	159	84
Drew McDaniel R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	22	SP	4.71	14.1%	9.1%	3.0%	.323	5.08	18.7%	8.7%	152	+0.37	4.24	230	84
Reid Schaller R 2019 · 5.18 FIP	22	SP	5.18	16.3%	13.8%	3.1%	.241	4.40	19.9%	7.9%	87	-0.78	3.61	186	84
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	83
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	83
Tommy Mace R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	23	SP	5.47	16.0%	12.1%	4.0%	.261	5.04	14.7%	2.7%	376	-0.43	4.86	501	82
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	82
Chad Patrick R 2022 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP	3.86	20.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.315	4.19	22.1%	14.2%	422	+0.33	3.69	570	82
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	82
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	82
Caleb Boushley R 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP	4.11	14.2%	10.0%	1.7%	.351	3.21	18.3%	14.2%	163	-0.90	3.05	790	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	70	20.2%	9.6%	1.10	4.58
Aaron Heilman ('11)	3.1	70	20.1%	9.4%	1.03	4.40
Dan Miceli ('06)	3.5	64	20.6%	10.1%	1.19	4.48
Bobby Ayala ('99)	2.9	72	21.3%	9.7%	1.11	4.78
Jerry Don Gleaton ('79-'92, 2 WAR*)	2.2	64	19.4%*	10.2%*	1.05*	4.44*
Frank DiPino ('81-'93, 3 WAR*)	3.5	78	22.5%*	9.0%*	1.00*	4.44*
Ed Vande Berg ('82-'88, 3 WAR*)	2.6	74	19.6%*	8.8%*	1.07*	4.07*