Ben Abeldt

P ACL Rangers

Age 23 LHP ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	ROKTEX	11	11	41	5.31	4.30	27.3%	15.1%	—	K 18.6% · BB 18.9% · FIP 6.16
2027PROJ	23	MLBTEX	9	9	52	5.50	5.50	21.1%	16.8%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBTEX	4	4	23	5.22	5.12	21.9%	14.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBTEX	6	6	36	4.99	4.87	22.4%	12.9%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJeremy Wu-Yelland (age 22) · Caden Grice (age 22) · Luke Fox (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 138

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%21.1%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%4.3%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF—50

CTRL—50

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	11	11	41	172	47	26	5	100%	3.7	18.6%	18.9%	-0.3%	4.1%	5.31	6.16	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	11	11	41	172	47	26	5	100%	3.7	18.6%	18.9%	-0.3%	4.1%	5.31	6.16	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	11	11	41	172	47	26	5	100%	3.7	27.3%	15.1%	12.2%	2.9%	5.31	4.30	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TEX	9	9	52	220	46	37	7	100%	5.8	21.1%	16.8%	4.3%	3.1%	5.50	5.50	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	10	10	54	227	50	33	7	100%	5.4	21.9%	14.5%	7.4%	3.0%	5.22	5.12	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	54	230	51	30	7	100%	6.0	22.4%	12.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.99	4.87	+0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	54	230	52	29	7	100%	6.0	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.88	4.82	+0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	TEX	9	9	54	226	51	29	7	100%	6.0	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.86	4.85	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	4	4	23	97	21	14	3	100%	5.8	21.9%	14.5%	7.4%	3.0%	5.22	5.12	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	36	152	34	20	5	100%	6.0	22.4%	12.9%	9.5%	3.0%	4.99	4.87	+0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	TEX	7	7	43	182	41	23	5	100%	6.1	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.88	4.82	+0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	TEX	8	8	46	194	44	25	6	100%	5.8	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.86	4.85	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		25	25	148	624	140	81	19	100%	5.9	22.5%	13.0%	9.5%	3.0%	4.95	4.51	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	189	110	26	100%	5.9	22.5%	13.0%	9.5%	3.0%	4.95	4.51	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		11	11	41	172	32	32	7	100%	3.7	18.6%	18.9%	-0.3%	4.1%	5.31	6.16	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	54	200	846	157	160	34	100%	3.7	18.6%	18.9%	-0.3%	4.1%	5.31	6.16	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Abeldt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	21.1%	16.8%	3.1%	—	4.94	22.3%	9.0%	162	-0.56	—	—	—
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	86
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	86
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	80
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	80
Samy Natera Jr. L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	22.9%	13.3%	4.2%	.294	3.26	30.7%	17.2%	124	-1.88	1.94	208	79
Brent Headrick L 2021 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	22.9%	14.0%	2.6%	.383	4.55	24.0%	17.0%	227	+0.19	2.36	414	78
Doug Nikhazy L 2023 · 5.39 FIP	23	SP	5.39	21.9%	16.9%	3.6%	.304	4.71	20.2%	9.3%	258	-0.68	4.12	463	78
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	76
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	74
Brooks Gosswein L 2022 · 5.13 FIP	23	SP	5.13	14.7%	14.8%	2.5%	.328	5.61	15.2%	-2.7%	66	+0.48	5.13	165	74
Pablo Aldonis L 2023 · 4.44 FIP	21	SP	4.44	18.7%	15.6%	1.7%	.240	3.01	21.7%	12.9%	75	-1.43	1.89	135	74
Brandon Knarr L 2021 · 4.86 FIP	23	SP	4.86	22.6%	13.6%	3.5%	.299	4.15	19.9%	10.8%	158	-0.71	4.08	256	74
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	73
Nate Savino L 2024 · 5.85 FIP	22	SP	5.85	16.8%	18.8%	3.2%	.244	4.83	14.9%	2.0%	130	-1.02	4.26	176	73
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	73
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.61	19.4%	5.0%	215	+0.09	3.88	280	73
Cole Ragans L 2021 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	20.2%	11.2%	4.2%	.296	3.34	26.8%	17.5%	445	-1.80	2.48	623	73
Garrett Olson L 2007 · 5.11 FIP	23	SP	5.11	17.3%	16.7%	2.5%	.369	5.17	14.1%	4.6%	251	+0.06	4.57	283	73
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	72
Gabriel Castellanos L 2016 · 4.49 FIP	22	SP	4.49	15.5%	13.7%	1.8%	.348	3.41	15.3%	2.7%	26	-1.08	3.41	108	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	54	22.2%	13.9%	1.17	5.09
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*