Allen Facundo
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
Age 23
LHP
6'0" / 171 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 126
ERA4.73
FIP4.73
K%22.1%
BB%12.8%
K-BB%9.3%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 126 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | 14 | 11 | 49 | 207 | 84 | 27 | 0 | 79% | 3.5 | 27.6% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 4.25 | 2.84 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Yankees 1 | 14 | 11 | 49 | 207 | 84 | 27 | 0 | 79% | 3.5 | 40.6% | 13.0% | 27.5% | 0.0% | 4.25 | 1.31 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 2 | 30 | 126 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 18% | 2.8 | 21.6% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 2.37 | 2.91 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 11 | 2 | 30 | 126 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 18% | 2.8 | 31.7% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 2.37 | 1.75 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 8 | 7 | 30 | 126 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 88% | 3.8 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 1.1% | 2.40 | 3.47 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 8 | 7 | 30 | 126 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 88% | 3.8 | 30.2% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 0.8% | 2.40 | 2.40 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 9 | 39 | 153 | 45 | 17 | 0 | 90% | 3.9 | 19.6% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 0.0% | 1.85 | 3.03 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 9 | 39 | 153 | 45 | 17 | 0 | 90% | 3.9 | 29.4% | 11.1% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 1.85 | 2.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 14 | 14 | 74 | 315 | 103 | 46 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.9% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 3.67 | 3.78 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 10 | 52 | 221 | 49 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.79 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 126 | 536 | 152 | 74 | 9 | — | — | 28.3% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 1.7% | 4.11 | 4.18 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 10 | 54 | 227 | 52 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 53 | 26 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 4.49 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 54 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 54 | 226 | 53 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 51 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 50 | 210 | 48 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 47 | 197 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 6 | 6 | 36 | 152 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.55 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 42 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 45 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 45 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 48 | 48 | 283 | 1194 | 276 | 135 | 36 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.23 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 95 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.60 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 43 | 222 | 927 | 221 | 139 | 5 | 75% | 3.9 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 0.6% | 3.13 | 3.29 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 39 | 200 | 836 | 199 | 125 | 5 | 75% | 3.9 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 0.6% | 3.13 | 3.29 | +4.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Allen Facundo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 22.1% | 12.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.46 | 23.1% | 11.8% | 162 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Hayden Mullins L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.33 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.72 | 239 | 87 |
| Caden Grice L 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.23 | 23.1% | 15.7% | 2.0% | .282 | 5.28 | 17.3% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.05 | 4.23 | 105 | 86 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 84 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 83 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .383 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 16.7% | 227 | +0.11 | 2.40 | 382 | 83 |
| Hunter Owen L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.06 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .297 | 6.60 | 15.1% | 4.8% | 51 | +2.54 | 4.06 | 248 | 83 |
| Brandon Knarr L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.83 | 22.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .299 | 4.21 | 19.9% | 10.8% | 158 | -0.62 | 4.15 | 256 | 83 |
| Cole Ragans L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.15 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.38 | 26.8% | 17.4% | 445 | -1.77 | 2.46 | 623 | 82 |
| Rio Britton L 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.77 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 128 | 81 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 81 |
| Samy Natera Jr. L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | .294 | 3.68 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 108 | -1.49 | 1.94 | 191 | 81 |
| Josh Trentadue L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.63 | 23.1% | 12.0% | 1.7% | .249 | 4.99 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 48 | +1.36 | 3.10 | 196 | 81 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .312 | 4.46 | 21.0% | 7.7% | 184 | +0.10 | 3.84 | 249 | 81 |
| Matt Mikulski L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.80 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .360 | 5.95 | 16.3% | -2.8% | 144 | +1.15 | 4.80 | 223 | 80 |
| A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.68 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .262 | 5.86 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.18 | 3.64 | 203 | 80 |
| Tate Kuehner L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.00 | 20.5% | 13.9% | 1.6% | .275 | 3.80 | 20.7% | 7.5% | 141 | -0.20 | 3.73 | 245 | 80 |
| Brian Holmes L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.25 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.75 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.50 | 3.42 | 205 | 79 |
| Adam Tulloch L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.49 | 20.3% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .313 | 4.65 | 17.8% | 1.7% | 139 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 234 | 79 |
| Xavier Rivas L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.87 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .229 | 5.34 | 28.7% | 15.4% | 64 | +0.47 | 4.87 | 150 | 79 |
| Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 52 | 23.0% | 11.5% | 1.10 | 4.56 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Joe Kelly ('24) | 9 | 56 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 0.81 | 4.40 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |