Jacob Friend — OGILVIE

Jacob FriendC Daytona Tortugas

Age 23 L/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION328 act + 218 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .314 / .330

PA218

HR6

SB8

K%35

BB%14

BABIP271

ISO149

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$11M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.6	$8M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.2M
Totals		$10M		$36M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	226	166	23	4	1	4	45	90	9	6	5	139	350	247	597	108	253	40	20	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	226	156	28	5	1	5	55	64	9	6	5	179	418	321	739	141	256	28	24	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	CIN	—	328	278	56	14	1	12	42	132	5	18	3	201	317	388	705	187	321	40	13	313	98	-1	+2	+0	+6	+9	1.7
YTD	23	A	CIN	—	328	262	71	18	2	15	58	95	5	18	3	271	412	527	939	256	361	29	18	409	171	+26	+2	+0	+6	+9	4.5
ROS	23	A	CIN	0%	218	181	33	7	1	6	31	77	4	8	2	182	314	330	644	149	268	35	14	295	84	-4	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.7
ROS	23	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		270	—	—	285	76	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	CIN	—	328	279	56	14	1	12	42	132	5	18	3	201	317	387	704	186	319	40	13	313	98	-1	+2	+0	+6	+9	1.7
TOT	23	A	CIN	—	546	459	89	21	2	18	73	209	9	26	5	194	316	365	681	172	300	38	13	306	92	-5	+3	+0	+10	+15	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CIN	38%	520	434	82	17	2	14	72	179	9	13	3	189	317	334	651	145	276	34	14	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2028	25	MLB	CIN	55%	520	437	85	18	2	15	70	174	8	13	3	195	317	348	664	153	278	33	13	303	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2029	26	MLB	CIN	64%	520	438	86	18	2	15	69	171	8	13	3	196	317	349	666	153	279	33	13	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2030	27	MLB	CIN	66%	520	438	87	18	2	15	69	170	8	13	3	199	318	352	670	153	279	33	13	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.1
2031	28	MLB	CIN	67%	520	438	87	18	2	15	69	171	8	13	3	199	318	352	670	153	278	33	13	304	91	-5	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.0
2032	29	MLB	CIN	66%	520	437	85	18	2	14	70	172	8	12	3	195	317	341	657	146	277	33	13	302	89	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2033	30	MLB	CIN	65%	520	437	85	18	2	14	70	173	8	11	2	195	317	341	657	146	276	33	13	299	87	-8	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.6
2034	31	MLB	CIN	65%	504	423	81	17	2	13	68	169	8	9	2	191	315	333	648	142	273	34	13	295	84	-9	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.3
2035	32	MLB	CIN	65%	489	414	77	16	2	12	65	166	7	7	2	186	307	321	628	135	269	34	13	290	80	-11	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.9
2036	33	MLB	CIN	70%	448	378	68	14	1	11	60	154	7	5	1	180	303	310	613	130	264	34	13	283	75	-13	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.5
2037	34	MLB	CIN	66%	366	309	53	10	1	8	49	129	5	3	1	172	295	288	583	117	257	35	13	275	69	-13	+0	-5	+7	+10	-0.1
2038	35	MLB	CIN	61%	298	253	42	8	1	6	39	107	4	2	0	166	287	277	564	111	250	36	13	266	62	-13	+0	-6	+5	+8	-0.4
2027	24	MLB	CIN	38%	196	164	32	7	1	6	27	67	3	5	1	195	320	360	679	165	279	34	14	290	80	-4	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.5
2028	25	MLB	CIN	55%	288	242	47	10	1	8	39	96	5	7	2	194	318	343	661	149	281	33	14	294	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2029	26	MLB	CIN	64%	331	279	56	12	1	10	44	109	5	8	2	201	320	358	679	158	282	33	13	296	84	-6	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.0
2030	27	MLB	CIN	66%	342	289	57	12	1	10	45	112	5	9	2	197	316	349	665	152	282	33	13	296	85	-6	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.1
2031	28	MLB	CIN	67%	347	293	58	12	1	10	46	114	5	8	2	198	317	348	665	150	281	33	13	295	84	-6	+1	-0	+6	+10	1.0
2032	29	MLB	CIN	66%	342	288	57	12	1	10	46	113	5	8	2	198	319	351	669	153	280	33	13	293	83	-7	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.9
2033	30	MLB	CIN	65%	339	286	55	12	1	9	45	113	5	7	2	192	312	336	648	143	278	33	13	291	81	-7	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.8
2034	31	MLB	CIN	65%	326	274	53	11	1	9	44	109	5	6	1	193	316	339	655	146	276	33	13	287	78	-8	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.6
2035	32	MLB	CIN	65%	316	266	49	10	1	8	42	107	5	5	1	184	307	320	626	135	272	34	13	282	74	-9	+1	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2036	33	MLB	CIN	70%	314	264	49	10	1	8	42	108	5	4	1	186	309	322	631	136	267	34	13	275	69	-11	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.1
2037	34	MLB	CIN	66%	240	203	36	7	1	6	32	84	3	2	0	177	298	310	609	133	260	35	13	267	63	-10	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.2
2038	35	MLB	CIN	61%	182	153	26	5	1	4	24	65	3	1	0	170	294	294	589	124	252	36	13	258	55	-9	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3563	3002	575	120	12	98	476	1197	54	70	16	192	313	337	650	146	276	34	13	287	78	-90	+8	-16	+64	+101	6.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	548	105	22	2	18	87	218	10	13	3	192	314	338	651	146	275	34	13	287	78	-16	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	6189	5183	974	201	23	162	846	2102	101	128	33	188	313	329	643	141	275	34	14	295	84	-112	+12	-25	+111	+175	16.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	544	102	21	2	17	89	221	11	13	3	188	314	327	641	140	274	34	14	295	84	-12	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	206	141	27	5	1	5	50	58	9	6	4	191	430	348	778	156	272	28	24	361	135	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.4
2025	22	ROK	ACL Reds	—	20	15	1	0	0	0	5	6	0	0	1	67	300	67	367		111	30	25	220	26	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,858	101	75	189	309	330	+62	+32	10.5	9.4
	/162	664	17	13	189	309	330	+10.7	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Friend (OGILVIE)	23	25	40	45	60	194/316/365	172	300	18	26	38%	13%	92	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→55	56	195/303/310	115	269	9	11	28%	13%	76	+0.0	199/299/319	120	254	11	20	24%	12%	76	+0.0	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	46→45	42→45	52	198/293/324	126	277	14	6	32%	12%	75	-0.0	179/260/273	94	259	9	6	32%	9%	47	-1.9	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→38	46→50	48→45	53	208/301/343	135	264	13	11	25%	11%	82	+0.5	198/289/339	141	285	14	8	33%	10%	77	+0.1	175/277/324	148	244	17	6	34%	11%	65	-0.5
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Reese Havens 2010 · A	23	42→40	48→45	44→40	49	215/301/355	139	265	15	5	24%	9%	85	+0.7	220/295/364	144	303	16	4	31%	9%	85	+0.7	205/284/345	140	300	17	2	35%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	37→41	48→45	50→45	49	193/307/330	137	261	17	7	31%	10%	84	+0.6	184/294/281	97	261	9	5	30%	10%	66	-0.6	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	46→50	45→30	47	200/276/328	128	267	13	3	29%	9%	68	-0.5	198/272/313	115	288	10	5	32%	9%	63	-0.9	146/236/243	98	222	7	0	35%	10%	29	-1.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	38→44	39→45	47→40	54	184/290/266	83	249	7	6	27%	12%	59	-1.1	192/281/280	88	271	9	4	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/292/309	105	261	11	0	25%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Jose Jimenez 2010 · A	23	41	42→40	48→30	51	200/282/305	105	262	9	4	26%	10%	64	-0.8	209/270/308	99	269	10	3	25%	8%	59	-1.1	205/264/297	92	260	10	1	24%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Sean Coughlin 2009 · A	24	39→37	47→50	44→30	47	200/271/332	132	250	14	2	26%	8%	67	-0.5	219/286/344	125	268	14	3	23%	8%	76	+0.0	220/289/339	119	262	14	1	21%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→39	47→50	43→30	48	212/291/346	133	289	14	4	30%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/349	145	281	18	3	32%	10%	79	+0.3	185/276/320	135	253	18	0	33%	10%	64	-0.4
✕Zack Collins 2019 · AA	24	37→43	48→50	47→40	50	183/287/322	139	289	15	4	39%	12%	72	-0.2	201/296/347	146	302	16	4	35%	11%	82	+0.5	184/283/338	154	262	17	2	34%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	42→39	50	42→30	47	216/285/369	154	277	17	4	28%	9%	82	+0.5	201/276/334	133	299	14	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	168/256/295	127	261	14	0	39%	10%	50	-1.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→45	48→50	48→50	48	211/295/361	150	263	15	9	26%	8%	85	+0.7	204/282/341	137	270	14	9	29%	7%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	42	45	47→30	51	208/291/330	122	251	13	6	22%	9%	76	+0.0	212/273/316	104	251	9	3	18%	7%	63	-0.9	208/267/312	103	241	9	1	17%	7%	57	-0.6