Jacob Friend — OGILVIE

Jacob FriendC Dayton Dragons

Age 23 L/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION473 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP267

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$49M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$22M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	206	141	27	5	1	5	50	58	9	6	4	191	430	348	778	156	272	28	24	361	131	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	22	ROK	ACL Reds	—	20	15	1	0	0	0	5	6	0	0	1	67	300	67	367		111	30	25	220	35	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	206	152	22	4	1	4	39	82	9	6	4	145	350	263	613	118	238	40	19	290	82	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	20	17	1	0	0	0	3	9	0	0	1	59	200	59	259		88	45	15	146	-15	-3	-0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	169	23	4	1	4	42	90	9	6	5	136	336	243	579	107	244	40	19	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	226	156	28	5	1	5	55	64	9	6	5	179	418	321	739	141	256	28	24	349	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	173	23	4	1	4	42	90	9	6	5	133	336	237	573	104	225	40	19	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	226	173	23	4	1	4	42	90	9	6	5	133	336	237	573	104	225	40	19	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	CIN	—	473	393	72	17	1	18	60	198	14	23	4	183	313	369	682	186	297	42	13	303	91	-5	+3	+0	+8	+10	1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	CIN	—	187	150	46	11	2	9	31	47	4	8	2	307	438	587	1.025	280	385	25	17	440	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	CIN	—	286	218	45	11	0	14	54	97	10	15	2	206	387	450	836	243	282	34	19	372	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		263	40	10	296	86	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	CIN	—	483	402	73	17	1	18	61	202	14	23	4	182	310	363	673	182	294	42	13	302	91	-5	+3	+0	+9	+10	1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CIN	38%	511	428	79	17	2	16	67	185	11	13	3	185	310	346	656	161	271	36	13	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	520	437	83	17	2	17	67	183	11	13	3	190	313	355	667	165	274	35	13	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	CIN	64%	520	438	85	18	2	17	66	179	11	13	3	194	315	361	675	167	275	34	13	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2030	27	MLB MLE	CIN	66%	520	438	86	18	2	17	66	178	11	13	3	196	317	363	680	167	275	34	13	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	CIN	67%	520	437	85	17	2	17	67	179	11	13	3	195	317	359	676	165	274	34	13	305	93	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	CIN	66%	520	437	84	17	2	17	67	180	11	12	3	192	315	357	672	165	273	35	13	303	91	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	520	437	82	17	1	16	67	181	11	11	2	188	311	341	652	153	271	35	13	300	89	-7	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.4
2034	31	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	404	341	63	13	1	12	52	142	8	7	2	185	307	334	641	150	268	35	13	296	87	-6	+1	-3	+7	+9	0.8
2035	32	MLB MLE	CIN	65%	373	314	58	12	1	11	48	132	8	5	1	185	308	334	643	150	264	35	13	291	83	-8	+1	-4	+7	+8	0.4
2036	33	MLB MLE	CIN	70%	335	282	50	10	1	9	43	121	7	4	1	177	301	316	617	138	259	36	13	284	79	-9	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.1
2037	34	MLB MLE	CIN	66%	284	240	42	8	1	8	36	104	6	2	0	175	298	317	615	142	253	37	13	276	73	-9	+0	-5	+5	+6	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	CIN	38%	194	162	31	6	1	7	26	70	4	5	1	191	318	370	688	179	275	36	13	290	89	-3	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	288	243	47	10	1	10	37	101	6	7	2	193	315	366	681	173	278	35	13	294	92	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2029	26	MLB CTX	CIN	64%	331	279	55	11	1	12	42	114	7	8	2	197	317	373	690	176	279	34	13	297	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CIN	66%	342	288	57	12	1	12	44	117	7	9	2	198	319	372	690	174	279	34	13	297	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+7	1.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CIN	67%	347	292	58	12	1	12	45	119	7	8	2	199	320	370	690	171	278	34	13	296	93	-3	+1	-0	+6	+8	1.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CIN	66%	342	288	57	12	1	12	44	118	7	8	2	198	319	372	690	174	277	35	13	294	91	-4	+1	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	339	285	54	11	1	11	44	118	7	7	1	189	312	351	663	161	275	35	13	292	89	-4	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.9
2034	31	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	262	221	43	9	1	9	34	92	5	5	1	195	315	367	682	172	272	35	13	288	87	-4	+1	-2	+5	+6	0.5
2035	32	MLB CTX	CIN	65%	241	203	39	8	1	8	31	86	5	4	1	192	314	360	673	167	268	36	13	282	83	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.3
2036	33	MLB CTX	CIN	70%	235	198	36	7	1	7	30	85	5	3	1	182	305	333	638	152	263	36	13	275	79	-6	+0	-3	+4	+5	0.1
2037	34	MLB CTX	CIN	66%	186	156	26	5	0	5	24	68	4	2	0	167	293	295	588	128	256	37	13	267	73	-6	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3107	2615	503	103	10	105	401	1088	64	66	15	192	314	360	674	167	277	35	13	290	88	-43	+7	-13	+55	+67	7.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	547	106	22	2	22	84	228	13	14	3	194	315	362	677	168	280	35	13	290	88	-9	+2	-3	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5263	4407	821	168	18	161	689	1858	115	112	29	186	312	342	654	156	273	35	13	298	88	-69	+12	-20	+90	+109	12.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	544	102	21	2	20	85	229	14	14	4	188	313	344	656	156	274	35	13	298	88	-9	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,108	97	65	188	307	345	+55	+28	10.3	9.4
/162	664	21	14	+11.9	+6.0	2.2	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Friend (OGILVIE)	23	25	40	45	60	174/306/331	157	263	9	11	37%	13%	86	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	39	45	42→45	51	196/292/318	122	278	13	6	32%	12%	76	-0.4	179/261/272	93	255	9	6	31%	9%	53	-2.1	154/237/226	72	219	7	4	31%	9%	32	-1.3
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Reese Havens 2010 · A	23	42→40	48→45	44→40	49	215/301/355	139	265	15	5	24%	9%	87	+0.4	222/296/361	139	301	15	4	30%	8%	86	+0.3	209/286/339	130	301	15	2	33%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	45	45→30	48	200/279/321	122	272	12	3	30%	9%	71	-0.8	196/272/310	114	293	10	5	34%	9%	66	-1.1	142/232/239	97	223	7	0	37%	10%	34	-1.0
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	208/299/335	127	266	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	198/288/331	133	281	13	8	31%	10%	77	-0.3	175/276/313	138	241	16	6	32%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	45→43	40	52→50	59	208/323/305	98	291	7	14	28%	14%	85	+0.2	207/302/294	87	304	4	9	29%	12%	74	-0.6	184/288/307	123	253	11	12	29%	12%	71	-0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	43→41	43→50	50→40	50	212/304/325	114	273	10	7	25%	9%	82	-0.0	224/309/361	137	297	15	5	28%	8%	92	+0.7	229/300/373	144	272	16	1	22%	7%	90	+0.2
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	41→39	50	42→30	47	214/284/368	154	274	17	4	28%	9%	84	+0.1	201/278/335	134	291	14	4	33%	9%	74	-0.6	169/258/297	128	251	15	0	37%	11%	56	-1.3
✕Zack Collins 2019 · AA	24	38→42	47→50	47→40	50	189/290/325	136	291	15	4	37%	12%	77	-0.3	204/299/347	143	302	15	4	34%	12%	85	+0.2	186/288/337	151	263	17	2	33%	12%	78	-0.2
✕Sean Coughlin 2009 · A	24	39→37	47→50	44→30	47	200/271/332	132	250	14	2	26%	8%	71	-0.8	219/286/342	123	266	13	3	22%	8%	78	-0.3	220/290/336	116	260	13	1	20%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→40	47→50	43→30	48	216/294/353	138	287	15	4	29%	9%	84	+0.2	203/288/334	131	275	15	3	30%	10%	78	-0.3	186/276/303	117	251	14	0	30%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	32	50	49→40	42	178/266/324	146	258	19	7	38%	8%	68	-1.0	196/274/331	135	264	16	6	30%	9%	72	-0.7	161/235/266	105	230	13	1	34%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	42	45	47→30	51	208/291/330	122	251	13	6	22%	9%	78	-0.3	213/275/319	106	250	9	3	18%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/316	106	241	9	1	16%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→48	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	204/281/333	129	269	13	9	28%	7%	75	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Chris Williams 2021 · A	24	36→32	50→55	49→40	48	188/277/339	151	269	18	5	35%	10%	75	-0.5	188/268/335	147	296	18	4	39%	9%	71	-0.8	176/260/345	169	249	23	4	38%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Trevor Hauver 2023 · AA	24	40→46	49→50	46→40	53	199/308/347	148	293	17	3	35%	13%	88	+0.5	211/300/349	138	314	14	3	34%	11%	86	+0.3	212/299/348	136	310	13	2	33%	10%	83	+0.0
✕Omar Martinez 2023 · A	22	42→38	44→45	42→40	47	204/290/318	114	288	12	5	31%	9%	75	-0.5	196/278/320	124	295	14	5	35%	10%	71	-0.8	181/265/299	118	275	15	3	37%	10%	59	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps