Jacob Friend

C Dayton Dragons
Age 24 L/R 6'1" / 200 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#489ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522A/ROKCIN226.179/.418/.3215668—.146/.332/.252
202623A+/ACIN473.247/.407/.505232390—.189/.315/.378
2027PROJMLE24MLBCIN1.185/.306/.34600840.0
2028PROJ38% MLB25MLBCIN99.189/.308/.35232860.2
2029PROJ55% MLB26MLBCIN169.192/.308/.35564870.5
Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.4M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
BB%92
ISO87
Chase%82
wOBA73
wRC+68
Speed55
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 2.7, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%
CompsZack Collins (age 24) · Anthony Seigler (age 24) · Andy Yerzy (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .306 / .346
PA1
HR0
K%33
BB%13
BABIP253
ISO147
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.50.50.50.40.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Arb-1$0.4M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 ADaytona Tortugas — 206141 27515 50589 64 191430348778 156272 2824 361 76 — — — — — —
202522 ROKACL Reds — 2015 1000 560 01 6730067367 111 3025 220 -17 — — — — — —
202623 A+Dayton Dragons — 286218 4511014 549710 152 206387450836 243282 3419 372 74 — — — — — —
202623 ADaytona Tortugas — 187150 461129 31474 82 3074385871.025 280385 2517 440 115 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 206155 24414 36789 64 155345271616 116232 3817 281 76 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEACL Reds — 2017 1000 390 01 5920059259 86 4515 143 -17 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEDayton Dragons — 286235 368011 3712310 152 153294328622 174229 4313 278 74 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEDaytona Tortugas — 187160 39927 21644 82 244346456802 212333 3411 338 115 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 226172 24414 39879 65 140327244571 105238 3817 269 68 — — — — — —
202522 A RAW2 teams — 226156 28515 55649 65 179418321739 141256 2824 349 68 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 473395 7517218 5818714 234 190315380695 190292 4012 302 90 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW2 teams — 473368 9122223 8514414 234 247407505912 258330 3018 399 90 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE2 teams — 226176 24414 39879 65 136327239566 102219 3817 269 68 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 473398 7517218 5818714 234 188315377692 188270 4012 302 90 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A MLE2 teams — 226176 24414 39879 65 136327239566 102219 3817 269 68 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 473398 7517218 5818714 234 188315377692 188270 4012 302 90 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECIN 0% 380321 5811112 481278 92 182303335638 153251 3313 293 84 -7 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXCIN 0% 11 0000 000 00 185306346652 161253 00 298 84 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECIN 38% 260220 41818 33855 61 186305340646 155254 3313 295 86 -4 +1 +0 +5 +6 0.7
202926 MLB MLECIN 55% 305258 499110 38986 72 189306344649 155256 3212 296 87 -5 +1 +0 +5 +7 0.8
203027 MLB MLECIN 61% 321273 5210110 391026 72 191306344650 154258 3212 296 87 -5 +1 +0 +6 +7 0.8
203128 MLB MLECIN 65% 328280 5310110 391046 62 192304343647 151259 3212 295 86 -6 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.7
203229 MLB MLECIN 64% 321274 521019 381016 41 192302340642 148259 3112 293 84 -6 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.6
203330 MLB MLECIN 64% 314269 511019 371005 31 189298331630 143256 3212 288 81 -7 +0 -2 +6 +7 0.4
203431 MLB MLECIN 64% 283243 46918 33915 11 184294321615 137253 3212 282 77 -8 -0 -3 +5 +6 0.0
202825 MLB CTXCIN 38% 9985 15303 12322 21 189308352659 163255 3212 300 86 -2 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.2
202926 MLB CTXCIN 55% 169143 28516 21543 41 192308355663 163257 3212 302 87 -3 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.5
203027 MLB CTXCIN 61% 197167 33617 24634 41 193308355663 162259 3212 301 87 -3 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.5
203128 MLB CTXCIN 65% 212181 36717 25674 41 194307354660 159260 3212 300 86 -4 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.5
203229 MLB CTXCIN 64% 207177 35617 24654 31 195305350655 156260 3112 298 84 -4 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.4
203330 MLB CTXCIN 64% 202172 33616 24644 21 191301342642 150258 3212 293 81 -5 +0 -1 +4 +4 0.2
203431 MLB CTXCIN 64% 182156 28505 21583 10 187296331627 144254 3212 287 77 -5 +0 -2 +3 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12681081 20838541 15140324 206 192305351656 158260 3212 297 84 -24 +2 -5 +23 +27 2.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650554 10719321 7720712 103 193304352656 159261 3212 297 84 -12 +1 -2 +12 +14 1.2
Career— MLE — 30412561 475931192 381102566 6820 185307338645 153261 3413 292 84 -44 +3 -7 +42 +51 4.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650547 10220220 8121914 154 186306340646 154263 3412 292 84 -12 +1 -2 +12 +14 1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Dayton Dragons · 286 PAwOBA .366 → .278 (−88)K% 33.9% → 43.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.92%÷1.000×1.270——43.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.53%÷1.000×0.710—×0.99813.13%
HBP% /PA3.50%—×0.790—×0.9982.76%
Singles /BIP16.53%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.99814.42%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.810×0.950×0.9986.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP11.57%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9989.24%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .366 → .278; ISO .243 → .187; BABIP .282 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ADaytona Tortugas · 187 PAwOBA .432 → .338 (−94)K% 25.1% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.13%÷1.000×1.360——34.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.04%÷1.000×0.690—×0.99010.96%
HBP% /PA2.14%—×0.780—×0.9901.65%
Singles /BIP23.30%÷1.000×0.920×0.996×0.99021.14%
Doubles /BIP10.68%÷1.000×0.830×0.996×0.9908.74%
Triples /BIP1.94%÷1.000×0.910×0.996×0.9901.74%
Home runs /BIP8.74%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9906.92%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .432 → .338; ISO .280 → .219; BABIP .385 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADaytona Tortugas · 206 PAwOBA .359 → .281 (−79)K% 28.2% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.16%÷1.008×1.360——38.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA24.27%÷0.956×0.690——17.52%
HBP% /PA4.37%—×0.780——3.41%
Singles /BIP19.28%÷0.980×0.920×0.964—17.45%
Doubles /BIP6.02%÷1.088×0.830×0.964—4.43%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.000×0.910×0.964—1.06%
Home runs /BIP6.02%÷1.032×0.800——4.67%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 102, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .359 → .281; ISO .156 → .123; BABIP .272 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Reds · 20 PAwOBA .216 → .143 (−74)K% 30.0% → 42.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.00%÷1.010×1.440——42.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.00%÷0.931×0.620—×0.97516.23%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP11.11%÷1.039×0.820—×0.9758.55%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.963×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.252×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .216 → .143; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .086. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).