Jake Clemente P Jupiter Hammerheads
Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.5 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 31 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%23.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
K: +2.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -6.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-6BBCONTACT: -3.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +5.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -0.25 (74 IP)-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.20.20.1+$6M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5560
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202521AJupiter Hammerheads508289300%1.732.1%10.7%21.4%0.0%0.001.74
202521AJupiter Hammerheads508289300%1.732.1%10.7%21.4%0.0%0.002.02
▸ 2026 Season
202622AJupiter Hammerheads1310442045840477%3.421.0%23.1%-2.1%2.5%4.125.65-0.6
ROS22MLBMIA663112930134100%5.123.3%9.8%13.5%3.0%4.404.40+0.1
ROS22MLBMIA023.3%9.8%13.5%2.9%4.354.35
2026 TOT22MLBMIA743338853826.4%15.8%10.6%2.4%4.245.14-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBMIA663213432124100%5.324.0%9.2%14.8%2.9%4.304.24+0.1
202824MLBMIA663213734124100%5.424.5%8.9%15.7%2.9%4.204.14+0.2
202925MLBMIA663313935124100%5.524.9%8.7%16.2%2.9%4.134.08+0.2
203026MLBMIA553313935124100%6.625.0%8.7%16.4%2.9%4.094.06+0.2
203127MLBMIA553213734124100%6.525.0%8.7%16.3%3.0%4.104.10+0.2
203228MLBMIA553113333124100%6.324.9%8.9%16.0%3.1%4.154.18+0.1
202723MLBMIA3316681662100%5.324.0%9.2%14.8%2.9%4.264.20+0.1
202824MLBMIA4423972493100%5.824.5%8.9%15.7%2.8%4.164.10+0.1
202925MLBMIA552711428103100%5.424.9%8.7%16.2%2.8%4.094.04+0.2
203026MLBMIA552912231113100%5.825.0%8.7%16.4%2.8%4.054.02+0.2
203127MLBMIA552912231114100%5.825.0%8.7%16.3%2.9%4.064.06+0.2
203228MLBMIA552912230114100%5.824.9%8.9%16.0%3.0%4.104.13+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career26261526411595718100%5.824.8%8.8%16.0%2.9%4.103.70+3.0
/ 200 IP34342008442097524100%5.824.8%8.8%16.0%2.9%4.103.70+4.0
Career1810522325250556%2.922.4%21.6%0.7%2.2%3.465.18-0.4
/ 200 IP69382008922001932056%2.922.4%21.6%0.7%2.2%3.465.18+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jake Clemente (OGILVIE) 4.40 23.3%9.8%3.0% 4.15 24.5%15.6%97 -0.25
Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 22 SP- 3.47 23.7%8.4%2.4%.350 4.29 24.6%10.4%56 +0.82 2.92 103 87
Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP 24 SP- 4.28 23.3%9.3%3.6%.260 4.34 20.5%11.0%189 +0.06 3.68 323 87
Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP 23 SP- 3.98 21.2%8.7%2.9%.374 4.64 20.5%7.6%188 +0.66 3.18 234 86
Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 22 SP- 3.43 25.4%10.6%2.1%.351 5.24 21.6%5.6%193 +1.81 3.43 242 84
Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP 23 SP- 4.03 23.6%11.1%2.8%.312 5.16 22.3%9.9%93 +1.13 4.03 152 83
Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP 23 SP- 3.48 20.5%10.3%1.5%.246 4.20 21.6%12.8%184 +0.72 3.07 229 83
Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP 24 SP- 4.91 21.9%13.2%3.6%.314 4.49 18.6%4.7%123 -0.42 4.16 164 82
Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP 22 SP- 3.50 23.5%10.9%1.8%.306 3.50 128 81
Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 22 SP- 3.85 20.9%11.4%2.0%.333 3.99 21.4%12.6%184 +0.14 2.91 439 81
Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP- 4.56 18.8%11.2%3.0%.295 5.39 10.1%-4.6%72 +0.83 4.56 137 80
Chris Campos R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 22 SP- 4.86 21.0%11.8%3.7%.364 4.57 18.7%11.7%237 -0.29 4.43 306 80
Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP 23 SP- 4.34 18.4%11.5%2.4%.306 4.68 16.2%5.7%316 +0.34 3.90 371 79
Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP 23 SP- 4.45 21.5%12.1%3.0%.275 4.09 25.9%14.9%121 -0.36 3.05 181 79
J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP 23 SP- 3.39 21.3%8.7%1.8%.330 4.95 16.5%1.9%184 +1.56 3.39 281 78
Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP 23 SP- 3.21 18.8%7.0%1.5%.316 3.82 19.8%11.5%296 +0.61 3.21 566 78
Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 18.1%8.1%3.2%.312 4.78 14.6%6.1%291 +0.43 4.25 412 78
Jorge Juan R 2026 · 3.32 FIP 22 SP- 3.32 28.0%10.1%2.4%.310 4.96 23.0%4.7%103 +1.64 3.32 238 78
Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP 24 SP- 3.93 20.4%8.6%2.7%.287 4.58 19.4%11.0%140 +0.65 3.90 202 78
Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.41 FIP 22 SP- 4.41 21.8%13.9%2.5%.325 4.72 19.4%9.2%105 +0.31 4.31 174 77
Nathanael Santiago R 2029 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION73224.5%9.0%1.144.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Ryan Tepera ('22)74824.7%8.8%1.123.53
Hansel Robles ('22)75925.3%10.1%1.163.86
Dominic Leone ('23)74624.2%10.1%1.333.81
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Daniel Hudson ('24)95225.5%8.9%1.133.75