Jake Clemente — OGILVIE

Jake Clemente P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.9 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%22.4%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP29

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	5	0	8	28	9	3	0	0%	1.7	32.1%	10.7%	21.4%	0.0%	0.00	1.74	—
2025	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	5	0	8	28	9	3	0	0%	1.7	32.1%	10.7%	21.4%	0.0%	0.00	1.74	—
2025	21	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	5	0	8	28	9	3	0	0%	1.7	32.1%	10.7%	21.4%	0.0%	0.00	2.02	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	20	17	71	322	87	53	8	85%	3.5	20.0%	19.4%	0.6%	3.2%	4.18	5.64	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	20	17	71	322	87	53	8	85%	3.5	20.0%	19.4%	0.6%	3.2%	4.18	5.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	MIA	20	17	71	322	87	53	8	85%	3.5	27.0%	16.5%	10.6%	2.5%	4.18	4.27	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	13	13	72	304	71	39	9	100%	5.5	23.2%	12.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.86	4.76	+0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	13	13	74	312	74	36	9	100%	5.7	23.8%	11.6%	12.2%	2.9%	4.66	4.55	+0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	13	13	75	316	76	34	9	100%	5.8	24.1%	10.8%	13.4%	2.9%	4.50	4.41	+0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	12	12	75	316	77	34	9	100%	6.2	24.3%	10.7%	13.6%	2.9%	4.43	4.39	+0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	12	12	74	311	76	33	9	100%	6.1	24.3%	10.8%	13.5%	3.0%	4.43	4.42	+0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIA	12	12	72	302	73	33	9	100%	6.0	24.2%	10.9%	13.3%	3.1%	4.48	4.51	+0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIA	11	11	68	288	69	32	9	100%	6.2	23.9%	11.1%	12.8%	3.2%	4.58	4.64	+0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIA	11	11	64	271	64	31	9	100%	5.8	23.6%	11.4%	12.1%	3.4%	4.72	4.82	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIA	7	7	35	148	34	19	4	100%	5.0	23.2%	12.8%	10.5%	2.8%	4.78	4.68	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	9	9	52	220	52	25	6	100%	5.8	23.8%	11.6%	12.2%	2.8%	4.58	4.47	+0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	10	10	61	258	62	28	7	100%	6.1	24.1%	10.8%	13.4%	2.8%	4.42	4.33	+0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	11	11	65	274	67	29	8	100%	5.9	24.3%	10.7%	13.6%	2.8%	4.35	4.31	+0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	11	11	67	283	69	30	8	100%	6.1	24.3%	10.8%	13.5%	2.8%	4.35	4.34	+0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIA	11	11	66	279	67	30	8	100%	6.0	24.2%	10.9%	13.3%	2.9%	4.40	4.43	+0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIA	11	11	64	270	65	30	8	100%	5.8	23.9%	11.1%	12.8%	3.1%	4.49	4.55	+0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIA	10	10	60	253	60	29	8	100%	6.0	23.6%	11.4%	12.1%	3.3%	4.63	4.73	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		80	80	469	1981	475	221	58	100%	5.9	24.0%	11.1%	12.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.08	+4.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	203	94	25	100%	5.9	24.0%	11.1%	12.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.08	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		25	17	79	350	73	66	10	68%	3.2	21.0%	18.7%	2.2%	3.0%	3.74	5.33	+2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	43	200	882	185	165	26	68%	3.2	21.0%	18.7%	2.2%	3.0%	3.74	5.33	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Clemente (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	22.4%	14.6%	3.0%	—	4.57	23.7%	12.0%	221	-0.52	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	86
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.13	25.3%	15.3%	121	-0.38	3.26	181	84
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	83
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	83
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	83
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	82
James Proctor R 2021 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP	3.99	22.0%	15.2%	1.5%	.277	4.39	14.0%	1.5%	48	+0.40	3.99	109	80
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	80
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	79
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.1%	265	+0.44	3.31	408	79
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	79
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	78
Carlos Lagrange R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	20	SP	4.34	22.1%	15.5%	2.1%	.291	3.97	25.4%	12.1%	198	-0.37	3.66	272	78
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	78
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	78
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	78
Christian Roa R 2021 · 4.94 FIP	22	SP	4.94	19.6%	12.4%	3.5%	.321	4.92	22.1%	6.6%	260	-0.02	4.21	412	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	67	23.9%	11.4%	1.18	4.60
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33