Yoel Tejeda Jr. P Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 23 RHP 6'8" / 215 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.9 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION80 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%18.5%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 141 IP
K: +15.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+16KBB: -12.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-12BBCONTACT: -0.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +19.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+19STAMTotal WAR: +2.37 (141 IP)+2.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.30.30.2+$5M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP—40
STUF4050
CTRL—45
CMD3560
K†4550
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1.0M+$0.3M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202522MIX2 levels18188736379276100%4.817.0%7.7%9.3%1.5%4.033.46—
202522MIX2 levels18188736379276100%4.821.8%7.4%14.3%1.7%4.033.11—
▸ 2026 Season
202623A+Wilmington Blue Rocks17178033794364100%4.721.5%12.3%9.2%1.5%3.733.66+1.2
ROS23MLBWSH12126226048197100%5.118.5%7.3%11.2%2.8%4.364.36+0.2
ROS23MLBWSH——0——————18.5%7.3%11.2%2.8%4.364.36—
2026 TOT23MLBWSH——1415971425511——23.8%9.2%14.6%1.9%4.003.96+2.4
2026 FULL23MLBWSH——01000——18.5%7.3%11.2%2.8%4.363.98+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBWSH11116326654197100%5.720.1%7.2%12.9%2.8%4.274.21+0.3
202825MLBWSH11116427057197100%5.821.0%7.1%13.9%2.8%4.194.13+0.4
202926MLBWSH11116427058197100%5.821.5%7.2%14.3%2.8%4.144.10+0.4
203027MLBWSH10106326657198100%6.321.5%7.3%14.2%2.8%4.144.14+0.3
202724MLBWSH55271142383100%5.420.1%7.2%12.9%2.8%4.274.21+0.1
202825MLBWSH774217737135100%6.021.0%7.1%13.9%2.8%4.194.13+0.2
202926MLBWSH885121546166100%6.421.5%7.2%14.3%2.8%4.144.10+0.3
203027MLBWSH995422849176100%6.021.5%7.3%14.2%2.8%4.144.14+0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—30301747361565320100%5.821.2%7.2%13.9%2.8%4.173.76+3.3
/ 200 IP—34342008441796123100%5.921.2%7.2%13.9%2.8%4.173.76+3.8
Career—35351677001346910100%4.819.1%9.9%9.2%1.5%3.893.55+3.6
/ 200 IP—42422008401618312100%4.819.1%9.9%9.2%1.5%3.893.55+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Yoel Tejeda Jr. (OGILVIE) —— 4.36 18.5%7.3%2.8%— 4.15 20.9%13.7%191 -0.21 ———
Marcelo Perez R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 23 SP 4.02 18.0%8.6%2.5%.288 4.99 14.1%6.7%217 +0.97 4.02 285 92
Blake Burkhalter R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 23 SP 3.58 17.3%6.5%2.0%.317 3.73 16.7%5.6%103 +0.15 3.58 173 92
Marcel Rentería R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 23 SP 4.16 16.4%8.4%2.5%.318 4.03 19.4%8.5%81 -0.13 3.97 194 88
Andrés Machado R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 23 SP 4.02 16.7%6.7%2.7%.350 4.87 17.6%8.8%266 +0.85 3.64 530 87
Mason Erla R 2027 · 3.95 FIP 24 SP 3.95 14.9%6.0%2.5%.309 4.99 14.9%4.6%124 +1.04 3.12 206 86
Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 23 SP 3.92 20.3%9.9%2.3%.315 4.36 22.3%13.8%422 +0.44 3.76 537 85
Jared Karros R 2026 · 3.31 FIP 23 SP 3.31 21.9%9.2%1.6%.281 7.92 12.4%2.7%52 +4.61 3.31 191 85
Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.65 FIP 23 SP 3.65 21.6%7.4%2.6%.241 5.26 18.3%7.9%176 +1.61 3.65 211 84
Garrett Edwards R 2026 · 3.97 FIP 23 SP 3.97 18.5%7.3%2.7%.250 6.06 13.6%4.7%74 +2.09 3.97 181 84
Chris Clarke R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 23 SP 4.76 15.8%6.7%3.9%.340 3.89 16.6%9.7%241 -0.87 3.67 291 84
Will Ethridge R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 23 SP 3.88 16.8%5.8%2.7%.274 5.22 14.6%2.8%129 +1.34 3.57 227 84
Chance Kirby R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 23 SP 4.26 17.8%5.7%3.5%.298 5.86 14.2%6.7%166 +1.60 4.26 325 84
Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.24 FIP 24 SP 4.24 18.9%10.3%2.6%.329 4.33 21.3%10.9%132 +0.09 2.63 213 83
Riley Thompson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 23 SP 4.88 16.5%9.4%3.6%.288 5.29 21.7%7.0%57 +0.41 4.52 340 83
Drew McDaniel R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 23 SP 4.72 19.4%8.4%4.0%.307 6.57 17.9%5.9%61 +1.85 4.72 200 83
Derek Gordon R 2027 · 4.90 FIP 24 SP 4.90 15.1%7.7%3.8%.322 4.72 19.9%10.6%76 -0.18 4.72 146 83
Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP 23 SP 4.78 21.2%11.0%3.8%.276 5.00 18.0%6.0%296 +0.22 4.22 513 83
Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP 4.23 21.7%8.4%3.5%.329 3.55 21.5%12.4%178 -0.68 2.49 298 83
Josh Roberson R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 23 SP 3.61 17.7%9.4%1.5%.298 5.39 21.7%5.5%60 +1.78 3.17 229 82
Colin Peluse R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 23 SP 4.32 20.4%7.2%3.7%.299 6.05 15.0%6.8%236 +1.73 3.02 417 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION56320.6%7.2%1.074.22
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Robert Gsellman ('21)56718.4%7.8%0.964.38
Jarlín García ('22)56119.6%7.8%1.333.79
Adam Warren ('19)56720.8%8.3%1.083.55