Yoel Tejeda Jr.
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
+0.8
WAR
Age 23
RHP
6'8" / 215 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.4 · 2030
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.5%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%12.7%
IP79
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2030
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 18 | 18 | 87 | 363 | 79 | 27 | 6 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 4.03 | 3.49 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 8.31 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | WSH | 14 | 14 | 79 | 332 | 71 | 29 | 9 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.7 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 87 | 370 | 81 | 33 | 10 | 22.0% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 3.87 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 76 | 29 | 9 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 4.20 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 17 | 94 | 396 | 89 | 33 | 11 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.15 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 18 | 18 | 101 | 425 | 97 | 35 | 12 | 22.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.16 | 4.13 | +1.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 19 | 104 | 439 | 100 | 36 | 12 | 22.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.14 | +1.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 19 | 104 | 440 | 100 | 37 | 12 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.16 | 4.17 | +1.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 19 | 102 | 431 | 97 | 36 | 12 | 22.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.21 | +1.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 18 | 18 | 99 | 418 | 93 | 35 | 12 | 22.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.28 | +1.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 17 | 95 | 403 | 89 | 35 | 12 | 22.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.35 | +1.0 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 17 | 17 | 92 | 387 | 85 | 34 | 12 | 21.9% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.44 | +0.8 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 16 | 16 | 88 | 369 | 80 | 33 | 12 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.48 | 4.54 | +0.6 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 15 | 15 | 83 | 351 | 74 | 32 | 11 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.65 | +0.5 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 14 | 14 | 78 | 331 | 75 | 28 | 11 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.53 | 4.50 | +0.5 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 13 | 13 | 73 | 309 | 69 | 27 | 11 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 4.63 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 20 | 20 | 96 | 401 | 72 | 32 | 7 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 4.42 | 3.51 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 42 | 200 | 838 | 151 | 67 | 15 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 4.42 | 3.51 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yoel Tejeda Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.16 | 22.5% | 14.2% | 275 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.90 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.50 | 18.7% | 9.0% | 167 | -0.40 | 3.06 | 230 | 95 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.71 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .293 | 4.53 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.82 | 2.08 | 276 | 93 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.38 | 3.57 | 281 | 92 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.75 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .341 | 4.60 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +0.85 | 3.75 | 256 | 92 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.03 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .329 | 3.52 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.51 | 2.48 | 281 | 92 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .287 | 4.87 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 95 | +0.85 | 4.02 | 158 | 91 |
| Breckin Williams R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.63 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .282 | 2.78 | 23.4% | 15.8% | 48 | -0.85 | 2.77 | 107 | 91 |
| Garrett McMillan R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.31 | 21.2% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .324 | 3.52 | 18.9% | 14.6% | 48 | +0.21 | 3.31 | 118 | 91 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.59 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 2.0% | .284 | 4.24 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 167 | +0.65 | 2.57 | 304 | 90 |
| Alex Phillips R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.34 | 3.26 | 139 | 90 |
| Carlos Navas R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.64 | 22.0% | 8.4% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 229 | -0.12 | 2.94 | 385 | 90 |
| Alex Klonowski R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.58 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 2.1% | .331 | 4.70 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 413 | +1.12 | 3.58 | 539 | 90 |
| Darin Gillies R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.23 | 22.0% | 8.2% | 3.6% | .236 | 4.71 | 20.1% | 10.1% | 183 | +0.48 | 4.22 | 295 | 89 |
| Ronnie Muck R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.21 | 22.1% | 8.7% | 1.6% | .316 | 4.64 | 15.0% | 0.3% | 75 | +1.43 | 3.21 | 137 | 89 |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.36 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .281 | 7.73 | 12.4% | 2.7% | 52 | +4.37 | 3.36 | 191 | 89 |
| Austin Ross R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 89 |
| Nick Rumbelow R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.21 | 22.6% | 6.1% | 2.3% | .295 | 3.40 | 24.8% | 16.4% | 64 | +0.19 | 2.03 | 164 | 89 |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.49 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .262 | 6.13 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 128 | +2.64 | 3.49 | 207 | 89 |
| Nick Merkel R 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 22.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .284 | 3.18 | 21.4% | 10.4% | 103 | -0.81 | 3.13 | 179 | 88 |
| Jordan Piche R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.40 | 19.1% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.22 | 12.3% | 5.4% | 55 | +0.82 | 3.40 | 115 | 88 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.1 | $11M | +$8M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.0 | $10M | +$6M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +0.8 | $4M | -$0.8M |
| Totals | $14M | $62M | +$48M | ||