Micah Ottenbreit
P
Clearwater Threshers
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%21.1%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.27 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.27 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 14.3% | 17.9% | -3.6% | 3.6% | 7.94 | 6.12 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 14.3% | 17.9% | -3.6% | 3.6% | 7.94 | 6.63 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 0.0% | 15.4% | -15.4% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 5.05 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 0.0% | 15.4% | -15.4% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 5.67 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 19 | 19 | 94 | 410 | 99 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 4.88 | 4.22 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 19 | 19 | 94 | 410 | 99 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 2.0% | 4.88 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 6 | 6 | 24 | 105 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 14.7% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 6 | 6 | 24 | 105 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 19.0% | 3.8% | 15.2% | 1.0% | 4.81 | 2.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 11 | 0 | 15 | 71 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 43 | 190 | 37 | 20 | 3 | — | — | 19.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 4.75 | 2.87 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 81 | 16 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 29 | 147 | 652 | 109 | 72 | 11 | 64% | 3.3 | 16.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 5.14 | 3.98 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 39 | 200 | 887 | 148 | 98 | 14 | 64% | 3.3 | 16.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 5.14 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Micah Ottenbreit (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 21.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.25 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 29 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 86 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 86 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 85 |
| Rico Garcia R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 83 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 81 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 81 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 81 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 80 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 80 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 80 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 80 |
| Evan McKendry R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | .256 | 5.40 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 324 | +1.16 | 4.14 | 474 | 80 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 79 |
| Clay Chandler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 18.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .319 | 5.05 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 293 | +0.08 | 4.82 | 328 | 79 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 78 |
| Sean Harney R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 78 |
| Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.91 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 49 | +0.41 | 2.26 | 276 | 78 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 77 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.07 | 4.32 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |