Micah Ottenbreit
P Jersey Shore BlueClaws| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | APHI | 19 | 19 | 94 | 4.88 | 3.41 | 24.1% | 10.0% | — | K 17.9% · BB 11.8% · FIP 4.33 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+PHI | 6 | 6 | 24 | 4.81 | 2.48 | 19.0% | 3.8% | — | K 14.7% · BB 4.4% · FIP 3.04 |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX3 levels | 21 | 0 | 33 | 4.86 | 2.74 | 25.3% | 11.3% | — | K 20.9% · BB 14.5% · FIP 3.84 |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBPHI | — | — | 0 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 20.0% | 10.9% | — | |
| 2028PROJ43% MLB | 25 | MLBPHI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 4.59 | 4.54 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 0.0 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.27 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.27 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 14.3% | 17.9% | -3.6% | 3.6% | 7.94 | 6.12 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | 2 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 2.8 | 14.3% | 17.9% | -3.6% | 3.6% | 7.94 | 6.63 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 0.0% | 15.4% | -15.4% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 5.05 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.2 | 0.0% | 15.4% | -15.4% | 0.0% | 11.57 | 5.67 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | 19 | 19 | 94 | 410 | 99 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 4.88 | 4.33 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | 19 | 19 | 94 | 410 | 99 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 4.88 | 4.33 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | 19 | 19 | 94 | 410 | 99 | 41 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 24.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 2.0% | 4.88 | 3.41 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 6 | 6 | 24 | 105 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 14.7% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 3.04 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 6 | 6 | 24 | 105 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 14.7% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 1.1% | 4.81 | 3.04 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 6 | 6 | 24 | 105 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 19.0% | 3.8% | 15.2% | 1.0% | 4.81 | 2.48 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 33 | 150 | 38 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.9% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 4.86 | 3.84 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 33 | 150 | 38 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.9% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 4.86 | 3.84 | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 21 | 0 | 33 | 150 | 38 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 0.7% | 4.86 | 2.74 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 4.70 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 12 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.16 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 82 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.16 | +0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 55 | 29 | 166 | 731 | 128 | 85 | 13 | 53% | 3.0 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 5.05 | 4.09 | +0.3 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 66 | 35 | 200 | 882 | 155 | 102 | 16 | 53% | 3.0 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 5.05 | 4.09 | +2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 22 IPFIP 2.94 → 3.84 (+0.90)K% 27.2% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.18% | — | ×0.770 | 20.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.62% | — | ×1.150 | 14.51% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.97% | ÷1.000 | ×1.250 | 1.21% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 2.94 → 3.84, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AClearwater Threshers · 9 IPFIP 2.88 → 3.51 (+0.63)K% 17.9% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 17.95% | — | ×0.740 | 13.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.26% | — | ×1.180 | 12.10% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 2.88 → 3.51, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 24 IPFIP 2.50 → 3.04 (+0.54)K% 19.0% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.05% | — | ×0.770 | 14.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.81% | — | ×1.150 | 4.38% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.95% | ÷1.045 | ×1.250 | 1.14% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 109).
Result: FIP 2.50 → 3.04, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AClearwater Threshers · 94 IPFIP 3.40 → 4.33 (+0.94)K% 24.1% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 24.15% | — | ×0.740 | 17.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.00% | — | ×1.180 | 11.80% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.95% | ÷1.115 | ×1.300 | 2.27% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 123).
Result: FIP 3.40 → 4.33, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 6 IPFIP 6.12 → 7.42 (+1.31)K% 14.3% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 14.29% | — | ×0.740 | 10.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 17.86% | — | ×1.180 | 21.07% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.300 | 4.64% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 6.12 → 7.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Phillies · 6 IPFIP 3.27 → 4.08 (+0.81)K% 16.0% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 16.00% | — | ×0.680 | 10.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.00% | — | ×1.250 | 15.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 3.27 → 4.08, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).