Brody Donay

C Charleston RiverDogs

Age 23 R/R 6'5" / 235 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1570ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ATB	39	.206/.308/.353	1	1	42	—	.171/.256/.314
2026	22	A/ROKTB	180	.196/.376/.312	4	6	47	—	.148/.292/.236
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBTB	290	.199/.279/.306	5	7	67	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBTB	44	.205/.284/.317	1	1	71	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBTB	91	.208/.287/.324	2	2	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%91

Chase%75

Speed69

wRC+60

wOBA53

ISO51

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJack Brannigan (age 22) · Jake Rogers (age 23) · Francisco Acuna (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 104 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .276 / .303

PA104

HR2

K%33

BB%8

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	34	7	2	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	206	308	353	661	147	250	23	10	302	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	156	120	24	2	1	4	29	54	5	6	1	200	377	333	710	133	317	35	19	332	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	FCL Rays	—	24	18	3	0	0	0	3	8	3	0	0	167	375	167	542		300	33	12	292	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	35	6	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	256	314	571	143	230	31	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	156	129	20	2	1	3	20	73	5	6	1	155	292	256	548	101	294	47	13	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	24	19	2	0	0	0	2	12	3	0	0	105	292	105	397		237	50	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	35	6	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	256	314	571	143	227	31	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	34	7	2	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	206	308	353	661	147	250	23	10	302	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	180	148	22	2	1	3	22	85	8	6	1	149	292	236	529	88	311	47	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	180	138	27	2	1	4	32	62	8	6	1	196	376	312	688	116	315	34	18	327	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	35	6	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	256	314	571	143	230	31	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	180	148	22	2	1	3	22	85	8	6	1	149	292	236	529	88	286	47	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	35	6	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	256	314	571	143	230	31	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	180	148	22	2	1	3	22	85	8	6	1	149	292	236	529	88	286	47	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TB	0%	290	259	52	9	2	5	24	96	5	7	2	199	279	306	585	107	289	33	8	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TB	30%	145	130	26	4	1	3	12	47	2	4	1	203	282	316	599	113	290	32	8	272	71	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TB	44%	206	184	37	6	1	4	17	66	3	5	1	206	285	324	610	118	291	32	8	277	73	-7	+1	+0	+4	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	TB	51%	261	233	49	8	2	6	22	82	4	7	2	209	287	331	618	122	290	31	8	280	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	TB	52%	294	263	54	9	2	6	25	91	4	8	2	209	288	332	620	122	290	31	9	281	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	TB	53%	312	279	59	10	2	7	26	96	4	8	2	209	287	331	618	122	289	31	8	280	76	-9	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	314	281	59	10	2	7	26	98	4	8	2	207	284	325	609	118	287	31	8	276	73	-10	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	TB	52%	312	279	57	10	2	6	26	98	4	8	2	204	281	317	597	113	285	31	8	272	70	-11	+1	-2	+6	+7	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	TB	30%	44	39	8	1	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	205	284	317	601	111	294	32	9	273	71	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	TB	44%	91	82	18	3	1	2	8	29	1	2	1	208	287	324	611	116	294	32	9	277	73	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	TB	51%	132	118	25	4	1	3	11	41	2	3	1	210	289	330	619	120	294	31	8	280	76	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	TB	52%	154	138	29	5	1	3	13	48	2	4	1	211	289	331	621	120	293	31	8	281	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	TB	53%	166	149	32	5	1	4	14	51	2	4	1	211	289	331	620	120	292	31	8	281	76	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	165	148	30	5	1	3	14	51	2	4	1	209	286	324	610	116	291	31	8	277	73	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	TB	52%	163	147	30	5	1	3	13	51	2	4	1	205	282	316	599	111	288	31	8	272	70	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	915	821	172	28	6	19	77	285	12	22	6	210	287	328	614	118	293	31	8	278	71	-29	+2	-2	+16	+20	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	122	20	4	13	55	202	9	16	4	209	288	324	612	115	293	31	8	278	71	-20	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2167	1924	388	64	14	45	188	709	36	57	14	202	285	320	605	118	290	33	9	272	71	-62	+5	-4	+35	+42	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	115	19	4	13	56	213	11	17	4	199	283	314	596	114	287	33	9	272	71	-21	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 156 PAwOBA .327 → .245 (−82)K% 34.6% → 47.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.62%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	47.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.59%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	12.70%
HBP% /PA	3.21%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	2.47%
Singles /BIP	25.76%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.043	×0.990	24.46%
Doubles /BIP	3.03%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.043	×0.990	2.60%
Triples /BIP	1.52%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.043	×0.990	1.42%
Home runs /BIP	6.06%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	4.80%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .327 → .245; ISO .133 → .097; BABIP .317 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 24 PAwOBA .286 → .189 (−97)K% 33.3% → 48.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.33%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	48.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.965	7.48%
HBP% /PA	12.50%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	8.69%
Singles /BIP	30.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.965	23.74%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.965	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.965	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.965	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .286 → .189; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .300 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 39 PAwOBA .295 → .231 (−64)K% 23.1% → 31.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.08%	÷1.006	×1.360	—	—	31.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.26%	÷0.985	×0.690	—	—	7.19%
HBP% /PA	2.56%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.00%
Singles /BIP	16.00%	÷1.013	×0.920	—	—	14.53%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷0.850	×0.830	—	—	7.81%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.121	×0.910	—	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.00%	÷1.159	×0.800	—	—	2.76%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .295 → .231; ISO .147 → .110; BABIP .250 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Marc Hill'73-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,047 PA	3.1	2,047	34	1	218*	292*	337*	+35	-0	2.6	3.3
/162	664	11	0	+11.4	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.5	1,019	21	26	207	282	325	+18	+16	1.6	1.6
/162	664	14	17	+11.9	+10.4	1.1	pk7: 2
#4Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brody Donay (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	198/276/303	106	289	2	2	33%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	204/277/310	106	298	11	13	33%	8%	68	-1.0	202/279/357	155	294	19	17	36%	8%	80	-0.2	186/267/343	157	262	20	18	36%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	40→47	41→45	47→50	42	197/272/302	105	277	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	213/283/307	94	282	7	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	198/282/292	94	261	8	17	25%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Jorel Ortega 2024 · A	23	43→41	45	53→50	44	208/284/335	128	304	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	183/254/294	111	266	12	14	34%	8%	56	-1.9	154/227/250	96	222	12	14	35%	8%	33	-1.8
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→36	42→50	50	38	209/268/316	107	294	9	13	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/280/359	148	299	17	9	34%	7%	80	-0.1	199/274/363	164	277	21	7	34%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→47	46→45	49→50	43	195/275/324	129	258	13	9	29%	7%	71	-0.8	216/290/343	127	275	12	9	25%	7%	80	-0.1	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Bryan Holaday 2011 · A	23	42	42→45	47→40	42	201/282/303	102	295	9	5	33%	8%	69	-0.9	214/267/303	89	277	7	6	24%	6%	61	-1.5	214/275/334	120	247	13	2	19%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Ben Gobbel 2024 · A	24	44→41	41→45	52→50	42	208/277/307	100	306	8	14	33%	7%	67	-1.1	216/267/338	122	283	14	12	28%	5%	70	-0.8	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Freuddy Batista 2023 · A	23	41	47→50	49→40	38	203/273/342	139	299	15	8	36%	6%	74	-0.5	208/263/337	129	300	13	4	33%	5%	68	-1.0	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	209/300/336	128	267	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	201/292/339	138	285	13	8	31%	10%	80	-0.1	178/280/321	143	246	16	6	32%	11%	70	-0.6
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/283/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	199/294/337	138	307	14	5	37%	10%	81	-0.1	184/291/336	152	287	18	4	38%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→50	51→45	37	182/262/286	105	304	11	11	41%	7%	57	-1.8	200/264/310	110	285	13	7	33%	6%	63	-1.4	188/246/284	96	261	13	5	32%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Cooper Johnson 2021 · A	23	44	43→45	51→40	44	209/287/322	113	309	11	9	34%	8%	74	-0.5	173/259/259	86	300	7	5	40%	9%	50	-2.3	155/243/278	123	235	15	3	38%	9%	46	-0.8
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	186/267/286	100	308	9	16	39%	8%	59	-1.6	201/292/301	100	281	10	12	30%	9%	72	-0.7	195/293/283	88	266	8	10	27%	9%	66	-0.6

Brody Donay

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps