Brody Donay — OGILVIE

Brody DonayC Charleston RiverDogs

Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 235 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 57 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .297 / .278

PA57

HR1

K%35

BB%9

BABIP307

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	35	6	2	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	171	256	314	571	143	238	33	8	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	34	7	2	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	206	308	353	661	147	250	23	10	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	TB	—	86	69	13	0	0	0	9	40	7	1	0	188	341	188	530		433	47	10	254	53	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
YTD	22	A	TB	—	86	64	16	0	0	0	14	28	7	1	0	250	435	250	685		432	33	16	342	120	+2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.6
ROS	22	A	TB	0%	57	50	10	1	0	1	5	20	2	1	0	199	297	278	575	79	308	35	9	262	58	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	22	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		312	—	—	239	41	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	TB	—	86	70	13	0	0	0	9	40	7	1	0	186	341	186	527		419	47	10	254	53	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.0
TOT	22	A	TB	—	143	119	23	1	0	1	14	60	9	2	0	193	323	226	549	34	371	42	10	257	55	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TB	34%	160	142	29	4	1	2	13	54	4	2	1	204	289	289	578	85	307	34	8	270	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2028	24	MLB	TB	46%	277	245	51	7	1	5	23	91	7	4	1	208	295	306	601	98	307	33	8	276	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	350	309	66	10	2	6	29	113	9	4	1	214	300	317	617	104	306	32	8	280	72	-11	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.6
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	398	352	74	11	2	7	33	127	10	5	1	210	296	312	609	102	305	32	8	282	74	-12	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.7
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	422	373	80	12	2	8	35	135	11	5	1	214	301	322	622	107	305	32	8	282	74	-12	+1	+0	+8	+12	0.8
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	433	383	81	12	2	8	36	139	11	5	1	211	298	316	614	104	305	32	8	281	73	-13	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.7
2027	23	MLB	TB	34%	55	49	10	1	0	1	4	18	2	1	0	204	291	286	577	82	311	33	7	251	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	TB	46%	128	114	24	3	1	2	10	42	3	2	0	211	291	307	598	96	311	33	8	258	56	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	TB	52%	181	159	34	5	1	3	15	58	5	2	1	214	302	314	616	101	310	32	8	262	59	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	TB	54%	216	190	41	6	1	4	18	69	6	3	1	216	304	321	625	105	310	32	8	264	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2031	27	MLB	TB	54%	229	202	43	6	1	4	19	73	6	3	1	213	300	312	611	99	309	32	8	264	61	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2032	28	MLB	TB	54%	235	207	44	6	1	4	20	76	6	3	1	213	300	309	610	97	309	32	9	263	60	-11	+0	-0	+4	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1044	922	196	27	5	18	86	336	28	14	4	213	300	311	611	99	311	32	8	262	59	-48	+1	-0	+19	+30	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	122	17	3	11	54	209	17	9	2	213	299	310	609	98	311	32	8	262	59	-30	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2136	1889	397	59	10	38	177	692	55	27	6	210	297	312	609	102	307	32	8	278	71	-69	+3	-1	+38	+61	3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	121	18	3	12	54	211	17	8	2	210	298	315	612	104	307	32	8	278	71	-21	+1	-0	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	39	34	7	2	0	1	4	9	1	1	0	206	308	353	661	147	250	23	10	302	90	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,106	20	14	211	294	313	+20	+16	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	12	8	211	294	313	+11.9	+9.6	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brody Donay (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	193/323/226	34	371	1	2	42%	10%	55	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	44→65	38	195/257/276	81	309	7	7	37%	6%	46	-2.0	209/283/301	92	307	6	30	31%	7%	63	-0.8	206/284/296	90	299	5	42	30%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	49	-1.8	200/255/276	76	267	5	3	26%	5%	45	-2.1	193/253/280	87	245	8	0	24%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	301	9	13	31%	7%	61	-1.0	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Shane Zeile 2015 · A	22	41	41→50	46→40	39	205/254/304	99	281	9	5	30%	5%	51	-1.7	199/249/295	96	273	7	4	28%	5%	46	-2.0	187/237/299	112	249	8	2	27%	5%	41	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	41→51	42→45	48→50	38	205/253/308	104	278	10	9	30%	5%	52	-1.6	235/290/335	100	323	11	12	29%	6%	75	-0.0	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Alex De Goti 2018 · A	23	41→47	40→45	44→50	44	198/272/290	92	289	8	7	33%	8%	56	-1.3	225/277/344	119	285	12	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Ashton McGee 2021 · A	22	41	39→45	50→40	41	194/258/283	89	288	5	5	33%	7%	48	-1.9	196/284/305	109	362	11	4	44%	10%	66	-0.6	177/274/284	107	334	12	2	45%	11%	53	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→41	41→55	49→40	39	210/252/306	96	286	8	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	204/259/337	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	63	-0.8	192/267/372	179	300	23	1	42%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7