Kerrington Cross

3B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	ASD	61	.190/.433/.214	0	1	60	—	.152/.350/.174
2026	24	A+SD	211	.239/.365/.392	6	3	61	—	.188/.284/.306
2026	24	ASD	228	.312/.467/.608	11	17	121	—	.236/.357/.445
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBSD	380	.210/.312/.350	10	8	90	0.7
2028PROJ38% MLB	26	MLBSD	187	.208/.310/.349	5	4	90	0.3
2029PROJ52% MLB	27	MLBSD	265	.209/.309/.349	7	5	90	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%78

Chase%61

wOBA55

wRC+55

ISO51

K%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsZack Short (age 24) · Peyton Burdick (age 25) · Corey Joyce (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .310 / .347

PA320

HR8

SB6

K%28

BB%12

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	42	8	1	0	0	14	15	4	1	1	190	433	214	648	24	296	25	23	333	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	22	20	6	1	0	1	2	5	0	1	1	300	364	500	864	200	357	23	9	381	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	211	176	42	9	0	6	32	53	3	3	4	239	365	392	757	153	308	25	15	346	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	228	176	55	15	2	11	46	53	5	17	2	312	467	608	1.075	295	393	23	20	463	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	46	7	1	0	0	10	21	4	1	1	152	350	174	524	22	267	34	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	22	21	6	1	0	1	1	6	0	1	1	286	318	476	794	190	322	27	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	211	186	35	7	0	5	22	67	3	3	4	188	284	306	591	118	256	32	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	228	191	45	12	2	8	31	72	5	17	2	236	357	445	802	209	327	32	14	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	46	7	1	0	0	10	21	4	1	1	152	350	174	524	22	280	34	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	42	8	1	0	0	14	15	4	1	1	190	433	214	648	24	296	25	23	333	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	461	397	85	19	2	14	55	145	8	21	7	214	322	378	700	164	298	31	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A RAW	3 teams	—	461	372	103	25	2	18	80	111	8	21	7	277	415	500	915	223	350	24	17	406	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	47	7	1	0	0	10	21	4	1	1	149	350	170	520	21	267	34	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	461	395	85	19	2	14	55	145	8	21	7	215	322	380	701	165	294	31	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	61	47	7	1	0	0	10	21	4	1	1	149	350	170	520	21	267	34	16	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	3 teams	—	461	395	85	19	2	14	55	145	8	21	7	215	322	380	701	165	294	31	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	380	328	69	13	2	10	44	106	5	8	3	210	312	350	663	141	273	28	12	301	90	-5	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	38%	496	429	91	18	2	13	57	137	7	10	4	211	313	353	665	142	274	28	11	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	52%	509	439	93	18	2	13	58	140	7	10	4	212	312	353	665	141	274	28	11	302	90	-6	+0	+0	+2	+11	0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	60%	401	348	73	14	2	10	45	110	5	7	3	212	310	351	661	139	274	27	11	300	89	-5	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	SD	62%	400	348	72	14	1	10	44	110	5	6	3	211	308	347	655	136	273	28	11	297	87	-6	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	SD	63%	398	347	72	14	1	10	43	109	5	6	3	209	305	342	646	133	272	27	11	294	85	-7	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	38%	187	162	34	6	1	5	21	52	2	4	1	208	310	349	659	141	268	28	11	299	90	-2	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	52%	265	230	48	9	1	7	30	73	3	5	2	209	309	349	658	141	269	28	11	299	90	-3	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	60%	239	207	43	8	1	6	27	65	3	4	2	208	307	347	655	139	269	27	11	297	89	-3	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	SD	62%	246	214	44	8	1	6	27	67	3	4	2	208	305	343	648	136	268	27	11	295	87	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	SD	63%	250	218	45	8	1	6	27	69	3	4	2	206	302	338	640	132	266	28	11	291	85	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1187	1031	214	39	5	30	132	326	14	21	9	208	306	342	648	135	271	27	11	296	89	-17	+1	-3	+4	+26	1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	117	21	3	16	72	179	8	11	5	207	306	340	646	133	271	28	11	296	89	-9	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3046	2630	550	109	11	78	349	861	45	67	27	209	312	348	660	139	277	28	11	299	89	-34	+1	-4	+9	+55	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	117	23	2	17	74	184	10	14	6	209	312	348	659	139	275	28	11	299	89	-9	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Cavan Biggiolast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,937 PA	2.9	1,937	52	33	223	339	373	+5	-8	6.8	6.8
/162	664	18	11	+1.8	-2.8	2.3	pk7: 7
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Bobby Morgan'50-'58 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,459 PA	3.7	2,459	53	18	225*	327*	368*	+15	-12	5.2	5.3
/162	664	14	5	+4.0	-3.3	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.3	1,507	39	27	212	307	351	+5	+2	2.8	2.8
/162	664	17	12	+2.4	+0.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kerrington Cross (OGILVIE)	25	30	45	52	65	208/310/347	140	273	8	6	28%	12%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	40→39	47→50	47→45	51	202/293/345	143	270	14	9	29%	11%	82	+0.0	198/291/335	137	280	14	7	32%	10%	79	-0.2	177/277/302	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	66	-0.8
✕Peyton Burdick 2022 · AAA	25	40→34	51→50	45→50	46	202/298/366	164	295	19	9	36%	10%	89	+0.5	184/270/334	150	284	17	12	39%	9%	72	-0.7	166/253/310	144	262	17	13	41%	8%	58	-1.3
✕Corey Joyce 2024 · AAA	25	42	43→40	50	48	204/305/319	115	291	11	13	31%	10%	81	-0.1	217/305/313	96	303	8	15	29%	9%	79	-0.2	219/295/310	91	293	10	16	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	42→41	48→55	49→50	43	216/280/356	141	266	16	14	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/276/377	159	279	17	15	28%	6%	83	+0.1	207/267/370	164	270	18	17	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Braxton Fulford 2024 · AA	25	43→41	46→50	49→50	43	213/294/344	130	292	14	9	30%	8%	82	+0.0	212/286/353	141	292	15	11	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/279/347	145	279	15	13	31%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Brandon Meredith 2015 · AA	25	40→39	50	43→45	47	210/290/365	155	269	18	7	28%	9%	86	+0.3	213/280/334	121	286	13	8	29%	8%	74	-0.5	194/257/282	89	260	10	5	28%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Paul McIntosh 2023 · AA	25	44→43	51→45	47→45	50	225/309/392	167	280	17	11	26%	9%	99	+1.2	216/289/345	129	275	15	8	26%	8%	80	-0.1	207/279/325	117	259	15	5	25%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Ian Rice 2019 · AA	25	41→40	48→50	44→30	49	209/298/350	141	280	16	3	30%	10%	85	+0.2	200/274/302	102	285	10	5	31%	8%	65	-1.2	158/229/219	60	230	5	0	31%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→45	50	43→45	44	212/287/367	154	275	17	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	220/300/368	148	290	16	5	28%	9%	90	+0.6	215/299/360	144	285	15	3	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Carlos Narváez 2024 · AAA	25	38→45	46→45	45	46	193/282/317	124	279	14	7	34%	10%	72	-0.7	212/291/338	126	290	14	7	30%	9%	80	-0.2	205/284/324	120	276	13	6	29%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Aaron Palensky 2024 · AAA	25	37→32	54→50	54→55	44	201/287/382	182	269	21	18	33%	8%	88	+0.5	204/286/326	122	277	12	19	29%	9%	75	-0.5	169/264/227	58	238	2	28	27%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Tim Tawa 2024 · AA	25	41→45	45→55	46→50	47	206/274/323	116	267	13	11	27%	8%	70	-0.9	221/283/374	153	274	18	12	26%	7%	85	+0.2	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	37→35	47→50	50→55	40	194/258/321	126	272	15	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	225/298/353	128	316	12	16	31%	8%	85	+0.2	240/316/371	130	330	11	18	28%	8%	93	+0.5
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2024 · AA	25	43→38	46→45	49→45	43	212/287/341	128	289	13	5	30%	7%	79	-0.2	201/276/303	102	266	10	8	27%	7%	66	-1.1	163/244/240	77	216	8	6	27%	6%	38	-2.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2024 · AA	25	37→40	42→45	45→55	57	183/289/284	100	237	9	12	25%	12%	68	-1.0	214/304/334	120	266	10	22	22%	11%	84	+0.1	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2024 · AAA	25	42	47→50	47→50	41	214/282/345	132	284	16	13	30%	6%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	271	15	13	29%	6%	75	-0.5	196/264/333	138	256	16	13	29%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Jared Keel 2009 · A	24	38→37	52→50	48→45	47	205/287/369	164	247	20	10	26%	8%	86	+0.3	203/287/346	143	259	16	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	178/276/316	138	223	16	1	27%	11%	68	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2021 · AAA	25	43→42	51→55	49→50	46	215/299/385	170	307	18	10	34%	9%	93	+0.8	202/267/347	145	281	17	12	33%	8%	72	-0.7	190/260/326	136	259	16	12	32%	8%	63	-0.9

Kerrington Cross

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps