Alec Makarewicz

3B Birmingham Barons
Age 26 S/R 6'2" / 234 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202423ACWS125.301/.363/.4422066—.233/.282/.345
202524AA/A+CWS470.229/.305/.391111039—.170/.224/.290
202625AA/A+CWS595.238/.307/.482311468—.196/.244/.387
2027PROJMLE26MLBCWS3.200/.248/.3650067-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB27MLBCWS45.201/.251/.3641168-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO90
wRC+60
Speed55
wOBA54
Z-Con%33
K%32
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsWill Robertson (age 26) · Davis Wendzel (age 26) · Will Wilson (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .248 / .365
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%5
BABIP267
ISO159
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.02728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202423 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 125113 341002 11280 02 301363442805 142381 229 357 66 — — — — — —
202524 AABirmingham Barons — 3229 7120 3130 00 241312414726 172438 419 320 48 — — — — — —
202524 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 438390 8920511 391164 100 228305390695 162291 269 308 38 — — — — — —
202625 AABirmingham Barons — 548490 11826330 471533 146 241311490801 249279 289 345 71 — — — — — —
202625 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 4743 9311 3120 00 209261395656 186258 266 282 27 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202423 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 125116 27702 8380 02 233282345627 112316 306 266 66 — — — — — —
202524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 3230 5110 2160 00 167219267485 100394 506 239 48 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 438405 691449 241594 100 170224291515 121240 365 225 38 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 548507 10123323 301873 146 199248393641 193246 345 273 71 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 4744 7211 2160 00 159196318514 159207 344 208 27 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 125116 27702 8380 02 233282345627 112325 306 266 66 — — — — — —
202423 A RAWKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 125113 341002 11280 02 301363442805 142381 229 357 66 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 470435 741459 261754 100 170224287511 117254 376 226 39 — — — — — —
202524 A+ RAW2 teams — 470419 9621711 421294 100 229305391697 162299 279 308 39 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 595552 10725324 312033 146 194241380621 187249 345 268 67 — — — — — —
202625 AA RAW2 teams — 595533 12729431 501653 146 238307482789 244277 288 340 67 — — — — — —
202423 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 125116 27702 8380 02 233282345627 112316 306 266 66 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 470437 741459 261754 100 169224286510 117250 376 226 39 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 595556 10725324 312033 146 192241378618 185243 345 268 67 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 125116 27702 8380 02 233282345627 112316 306 266 66 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLE2 teams — 470437 741459 261754 100 169224286510 117250 376 226 39 — — — — — —
202625 AA MLE2 teams — 595556 10725324 312033 146 192241378618 185243 345 268 67 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLECWS 2% 380354 7015312 211272 62 199247361608 163266 336 268 67 -15 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXCWS 2% 33 0000 010 00 200248365613 165267 330 270 67 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLECWS 27% 167155 31715 9551 31 200250361611 161267 335 269 68 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXCWS 27% 4542 8201 3150 10 201251364615 163268 337 271 68 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4542 8201 3150 10 190244310554 119269 337 271 59 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 11529014 432170 140 189243306550 117269 337 271 59 -24 +3 +0 +2 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 15121403 267591045 825239 3010 190240343582 153261 355 255 59 -12 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 11425419 352254 134 189238338576 149260 355 255 59 -25 +1 +0 +2 +14 -0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABirmingham Barons · 548 PAwOBA .338 → .273 (−65)K% 27.9% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.92%÷1.000×1.220——34.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.03%÷1.000×0.680—×0.9885.39%
HBP% /PA0.55%—×0.840—×0.9880.45%
Singles /BIP17.51%÷1.000×0.920×0.993×0.98815.80%
Doubles /BIP7.72%÷1.000×0.910×0.993×0.9886.89%
Triples /BIP0.89%÷1.000×0.880×0.993×0.9880.77%
Home runs /BIP8.90%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9887.04%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .338 → .273; ISO .249 → .198; BABIP .279 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 47 PAwOBA .280 → .208 (−72)K% 25.5% → 33.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.53%÷1.000×1.310——33.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.38%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9683.71%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9680.00%
Singles /BIP12.90%÷1.000×0.870—×0.96810.87%
Doubles /BIP9.68%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9687.31%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9682.65%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9682.75%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .280 → .208; ISO .186 → .143; BABIP .258 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 438 PAwOBA .303 → .225 (−78)K% 26.5% → 36.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.48%÷0.955×1.310——36.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.90%÷0.949×0.600—×0.9785.50%
HBP% /PA0.91%—×0.770—×0.9780.69%
Singles /BIP19.34%÷0.942×0.870×0.959×0.97816.75%
Doubles /BIP7.30%÷0.984×0.780×0.959×0.9785.43%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.045×0.850×0.959×0.9781.39%
Home runs /BIP4.01%÷0.923×0.880—×0.9783.74%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .303 → .225; ISO .162 → .126; BABIP .291 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABirmingham Barons · 32 PAwOBA .312 → .239 (−73)K% 40.6% → 48.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.62%÷1.020×1.220——48.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.38%÷1.020×0.680—×0.9986.24%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.954×0.920—×0.99824.06%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.984×0.910—×0.9985.77%
Triples /BIP12.50%÷1.150×0.880—×0.9989.55%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.784×0.800—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .312 → .239; ISO .172 → .124; BABIP .438 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 125 PAwOBA .350 → .266 (−84)K% 22.4% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.40%÷0.990×1.360——30.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.80%÷0.957×0.690—×0.9806.22%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9800.00%
Singles /BIP25.88%÷0.980×0.920×0.950×0.98022.63%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷1.056×0.830×0.950×0.9808.61%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP2.35%÷0.820×0.800—×0.9802.25%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .350 → .266; ISO .142 → .107; BABIP .381 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).