Alec Makarewicz3B Birmingham Barons
Age 25 S/R 6'2" / 234 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION373 act + 248 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .251 / .364
PA248
HR8
SB6
K%36
BB%6
BABIP284
ISO165
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -21.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-22BATRUN: +1.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +17.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+18REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER45
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202423 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers 125116 28603 8410 02 241290371661 129342 336 279 72
202423 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers 125113 341002 11280 02 301363442805 142381 229 357 131
202524 A+2 teams 470431 781559 301874 100 181241302542 121287 406 238 40
202524 A+2 teams 470419 9621711 421294 100 229305391697 162299 279 308 94
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD25 AACWS 373344 7116315 221362 113 206258401659 195283 366 280 73 -11 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.1
YTD25 AACWS 373331 8220317 351052 113 248323480804 233304 289 348 124 +10 +1 +0 +1 +11 2.4
ROS25 AACWS 2% 248230 461028 15901 61 199251364616 165278 366 269 64 -10 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
ROS25 MLBCWS 2% 55 1000 020 00 200200200400 279 400 266 62 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL25 AACWS 378349 7216315 221382 113 206257398656 192284 376 280 73 -12 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.1
TOT25 AACWS 621574 11726523 372263 174 204255386642 183283 366 276 69 -22 +2 +0 +2 +18 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726 MLBCWS 31% 581536 10723418 372023 112 200255358613 159278 356 273 67 -22 +1 +0 +2 +16 -0.2
202827 MLBCWS 42% 609559 11324419 412074 112 202262361623 159279 347 277 70 -21 +1 +0 +2 +17 0.0
202928 MLBCWS 48% 627575 11724420 432104 102 203264363627 160279 337 278 71 -21 +1 -1 +2 +18 -0.0
203029 MLBCWS 49% 638584 11925420 452144 102 204265363628 159278 347 277 70 -21 +1 -1 +2 +18 -0.1
202726 MLBCWS 31% 180165 33716 12631 31 200258364622 164279 357 270 65 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
202827 MLBCWS 42% 256235 481028 17872 51 204264366630 162280 347 274 68 -9 +1 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
202928 MLBCWS 48% 300274 5712210 211012 51 208269376645 168280 347 275 69 -11 +1 -0 +1 +8 -0.1
203029 MLBCWS 49% 315288 5912210 221052 51 205266365631 160279 337 274 68 -11 +1 -1 +1 +9 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 1056967 19841734 723587 184 205265367632 162282 347 274 68 -39 +2 -1 +4 +30 -0.4
/ 162G 650595 12125421 442204 112 203262365627 161279 347 274 68 -24 +1 -1 +2 +18 -0.2
Career 32983031 6081272397 219115120 5811 201259354613 153283 357 270 65 -130 +7 -2 +12 +93 -2.0
/ 162G 650597 12025519 432274 112 201259355614 154285 357 270 65 -26 +1 -0 +2 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202423 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers 125113 341002 11280 02 301363442805 142381 229 357 131 +4 -1 +4 0.7
202524 AABirmingham Barons 3229 7120 3130 00 241312414726 172438 419 320 103 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202524 A+Winston-Salem Dash 438390 8920511 391164 100 228305390695 162291 269 308 94 -3 +2 +12 1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,0583318204260363+4+1-0.1-0.1
/1626642111+2.4+0.6-0.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alec Makarewicz (OGILVIE) 25 35 45 45 35 204/255/386 183283 2317 36% 6% 69 -0.0
Skye Bolt
2019 · AA
25 40→39 46→50 51→50 41 201/260/336 135284 1312 33% 7% 63 -0.9 214/277/356 142303 1512 32% 7% 75 -0.0 238/304/382144312161228%7%89+0.4
Taylor Gushue
2019 · AA
25 33 45→50 42→30 39 179/236/296 116244 142 32% 6% 42 -2.3 212/261/345 133295 153 32% 6% 65 -0.7 204/266/34213828116032%7%65-0.3
Ben Rortvedt
2023 · MLB
25 38 47→45 46→40 38 196/255/325 129280 164 35% 6% 58 -1.2 208/286/325 117284 135 29% 9% 72 -0.2 198/285/2949726710228%9%61-0.4
Sean Coyle
2017 · AAA
25 35→34 45→50 47→50 37 180/243/296 116289 1311 40% 7% 46 -2.0 189/248/293 104291 910 36% 7% 46 -2.0 146/203/235892193633%7%8-1.2
Yusniel Díaz
2022 · AAA
25 35→45 43→45 42→50 36 180/231/288 108270 126 37% 6% 38 -2.6 225/291/354 129297 1511 28% 8% 80 +0.4 242/312/379138306161125%9%93+0.7
Logan Davidson
2023 · AA
25 39→44 50 45→50 41 201/266/347 146297 185 37% 8% 69 -0.4 218/280/353 135326 158 35% 7% 76 +0.0 204/285/337132321141238%9%72-0.1
Hutton Moyer
2018 · AA
25 42→43 46→55 53→50 36 209/259/340 131300 1414 34% 5% 63 -0.8 205/252/334 129320 1416 39% 5% 59 -1.1 160/194/310151246222245%4%27-0.8
Seth Gray
2023 · AA
25 37→36 45 47→50 37 182/259/294 113303 148 42% 7% 53 -1.5 208/285/315 107351 1113 40% 8% 69 -0.4 209/294/3049536191940%9%66-0.4
Brock Lundquist
2021 · AA
25 41→43 44→45 46→45 41 207/269/325 118287 127 31% 7% 64 -0.8 206/275/323 117358 138 42% 8% 66 -0.6 146/233/2429529115051%8%30-0.7
James Free
2023 · AAA
25 42→44 45 43→30 39 211/261/324 113293 134 32% 6% 59 -1.1 225/282/361 136298 164 29% 7% 79 +0.3 224/286/37214829018128%7%81+0.3
James Boone
2009 · AA
26 41 45 42→50 40 206/266/323 117283 136 31% 6% 63 -0.9 201/255/304 103281 108 31% 6% 52 -1.6 145/187/197521984728%4%-9-1.3
Trevor Schwecke
2023 · AAA
25 39 44→45 41→50 39 195/257/308 113291 116 35% 7% 54 -1.4 218/275/332 114316 1014 32% 6% 68 -0.5 223/280/33511232091731%6%68-0.3
Tristin English
2022 · A
25 36→46 44→50 45→40 37 184/250/289 105269 139 35% 6% 47 -1.9 209/270/331 122278 155 29% 6% 66 -0.6 219/273/35213327616226%5%69-0.3
Logan Hill
2018 · AA
25 40→39 49→55 45 40 206/269/351 145287 177 34% 7% 71 -0.3 208/271/378 170297 224 36% 7% 79 +0.3 197/262/37617927724137%7%72-0.1
Mark Contreras
2021 · AA
26 36→37 44→50 47→55 38 184/248/300 115271 1213 35% 6% 49 -1.8 201/261/346 145293 1719 36% 6% 66 -0.6 197/258/338141284182436%6%60-0.8
Jayson Langfels
2014 · AA
25 41→32 43→40 46→50 37 199/262/305 106309 1111 37% 6% 56 -1.3 205/280/293 88338 715 38% 8% 60 -1.0 202/285/2757334451738%8%55-0.7
Coco Montes
2022 · AA
25 39→43 46→50 40→50 36 200/242/333 132273 135 31% 4% 54 -1.4 211/280/347 136305 1410 33% 8% 74 -0.1 211/287/344133305141133%8%74-0.0
Jan Vázquez
2016 · AA
25 40 41→40 43→45 41 195/268/292 97287 97 33% 7% 55 -1.4 215/288/307 92290 79 27% 7% 68 -0.5 211/289/296862827726%7%61-0.3
Justin Toerner
2022 · AAA
25 39 44→45 45→50 43 191/276/301 110289 138 36% 9% 62 -0.9 187/281/300 113283 1211 35% 10% 64 -0.8 162/269/266104242121235%10%50-0.8
Marty Bechina
2022 · AAA
25 34→33 47→50 48→45 30 178/225/314 135284 158 42% 4% 43 -2.2 194/265/328 134314 159 40% 7% 64 -0.8 172/260/30213028015841%8%52-1.1