Josh Hansell
P
Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 24
RHP
6'6" / 215 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.12
FIP5.12
K%18.5%
BB%14.2%
K-BB%4.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Royals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.45 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Royals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.43 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 21 | 6 | 64 | 278 | 71 | 38 | 0 | 29% | 3.1 | 18.9% | 16.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 2.52 | 3.55 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 21 | 6 | 64 | 278 | 71 | 38 | 0 | 29% | 3.1 | 25.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 2.52 | 2.66 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 64 | 288 | 65 | 32 | 3 | 100% | 4.0 | 17.0% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 3.78 | 4.01 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 64 | 288 | 65 | 32 | 3 | 100% | 4.0 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 3.78 | 3.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 16 | 6 | 41 | 179 | 41 | 25 | 4 | 38% | 2.5 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.87 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | KC | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 53 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 14.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.12 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.5% | 14.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 5.07 | 5.07 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | KC | — | — | 108 | 463 | 94 | 65 | 11 | — | — | 20.2% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 5.03 | 5.14 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.5% | 14.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 5.07 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 57 | 37 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 4.93 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 59 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 4.78 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | KC | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 57 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 16 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 4.88 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 4.76 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | KC | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 46 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 4.73 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | KC | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 49 | 29 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 31 | 30 | 181 | 765 | 159 | 97 | 20 | 97% | 5.8 | 20.8% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 4.38 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 107 | 22 | 99% | 5.9 | 20.8% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.78 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 55 | 28 | 172 | 757 | 134 | 112 | 9 | 51% | 3.1 | 17.7% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 3.55 | 4.11 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 32 | 200 | 879 | 156 | 130 | 10 | 51% | 3.1 | 17.7% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 3.55 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Hansell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.12 | 18.5% | 14.2% | 2.6% | — | 4.79 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 203 | -0.33 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 86 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 86 |
| Jackson Finley R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.04 | 18.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .361 | 3.85 | 20.7% | 11.4% | 49 | -0.19 | 3.85 | 132 | 84 |
| Casey Anderson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.06 | 17.3% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .328 | 5.96 | 19.3% | 4.0% | 45 | +1.90 | 4.06 | 229 | 84 |
| Ramsey David R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 18.6% | 17.4% | 2.7% | .219 | 7.27 | 19.1% | -0.7% | 30 | +2.04 | 5.23 | 107 | 83 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 83 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 83 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 17.0% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .335 | 4.05 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 99 | -0.30 | 3.59 | 327 | 81 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 81 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 81 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 81 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 81 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 80 |
| Cory Lewis R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.23 | 20.9% | 19.5% | 2.6% | .354 | 5.34 | 19.5% | 4.8% | 44 | +0.11 | 3.39 | 284 | 80 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 80 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% | .257 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 3.7% | 127 | -0.50 | 4.07 | 378 | 79 |
| Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 79 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 79 |
| Drew Steckenrider R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.10 | 14.2% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .318 | 3.05 | 29.7% | 20.4% | 175 | -1.05 | 2.65 | 392 | 78 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 67 | 20.2% | 13.0% | 1.03 | 4.89 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Junior Guerra ('21) | 6 | 84 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 1.16 | 4.04 |