John Bay
OF Brooklyn Cyclones| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | A+/ANYM | 108 | .253/.421/.458 | 4 | 6 | 96 | — | .224/.356/.415 |
| 2026 | 25 | AA/A+NYM | 482 | .239/.362/.428 | 16 | 29 | 70 | — | .192/.288/.333 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBNYM | 1 | .192/.278/.322 | 0 | 0 | 74 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 27 | MLBNYM | 44 | .194/.278/.323 | 1 | 1 | 75 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 21 / POW 47
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 39 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 333 | 207 | 540 | 103 | 125 | 31 | 18 | 282 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 69 | 54 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 333 | 471 | 593 | 1.063 | 259 | 484 | 30 | 13 | 458 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 157 | 131 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 48 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 252 | 368 | 366 | 734 | 115 | 366 | 31 | 13 | 335 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 325 | 271 | 63 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 88 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 232 | 360 | 458 | 818 | 225 | 294 | 27 | 11 | 366 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 39 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 94 | 256 | 188 | 444 | 94 | 104 | 41 | 10 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 69 | 57 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 298 | 412 | 544 | 956 | 246 | 436 | 39 | 9 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 157 | 137 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 219 | 310 | 299 | 609 | 80 | 341 | 38 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 325 | 286 | 51 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 115 | 19 | 18 | 4 | 178 | 277 | 350 | 627 | 171 | 246 | 35 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 202 | 336 | 360 | 696 | 157 | 341 | 40 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 108 | 83 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 253 | 421 | 458 | 878 | 205 | 362 | 31 | 15 | 394 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 423 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 174 | 23 | 29 | 7 | 189 | 285 | 331 | 616 | 142 | 282 | 36 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 402 | 96 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 136 | 23 | 29 | 7 | 239 | 362 | 428 | 790 | 189 | 317 | 28 | 11 | 356 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 202 | 336 | 360 | 696 | 157 | 316 | 40 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 422 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 174 | 23 | 29 | 7 | 190 | 285 | 332 | 617 | 142 | 277 | 36 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 89 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 202 | 336 | 360 | 696 | 157 | 316 | 40 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 422 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 174 | 23 | 29 | 7 | 190 | 285 | 332 | 617 | 142 | 277 | 36 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYM | 0% | 380 | 337 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 116 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 198 | 283 | 330 | 613 | 132 | 267 | 31 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYM | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 278 | 322 | 599 | 129 | 258 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 74 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYM | 26% | 167 | 147 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 199 | 284 | 331 | 615 | 132 | 267 | 30 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYM | 26% | 44 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 278 | 323 | 601 | 129 | 259 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 75 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 250 | 275 | 525 | 100 | 231 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 75 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 104 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 44 | 192 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 176 | 251 | 277 | 528 | 102 | 232 | 30 | 7 | 274 | 75 | -19 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 912 | 797 | 155 | 31 | 5 | 24 | 69 | 314 | 40 | 45 | 11 | 194 | 291 | 336 | 628 | 142 | 282 | 34 | 8 | 278 | 75 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 111 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 224 | 29 | 32 | 8 | 195 | 293 | 338 | 631 | 143 | 284 | 34 | 8 | 278 | 75 | -20 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 325 PAwOBA .356 → .269 (−87)K% 27.1% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 35.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 4.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 14.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.028 | ×0.978 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 6.11% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .356 → .269; ISO .225 → .181; BABIP .294 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 157 PAwOBA .331 → .276 (−55)K% 30.6% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.57% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.55% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 27.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.993 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.81% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .331 → .276; ISO .115 → .090; BABIP .366 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 69 PAwOBA .453 → .375 (−78)K% 30.4% → 39.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.43% | ÷1.060 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 9.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.25% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 5.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 30.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 8.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 2.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.855 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 8.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .453 → .375; ISO .259 → .223; BABIP .484 → .436. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 39 PAwOBA .276 → .194 (−82)K% 30.8% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.011 | ×1.310 | — | — | 39.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.95% | ÷1.022 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 10.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.69% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 5.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.021 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 9.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.073 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 4.77% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .194; ISO .103 → .084; BABIP .125 → .104. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).