Brooks Caple
P
Knoxville Smokies
Age 23
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.9 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.19
FIP5.19
K%13.7%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%2.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 134 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 98 | 428 | 74 | 43 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 4.48 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 98 | 428 | 74 | 43 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 4.48 | 3.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 14 | 13 | 67 | 270 | 71 | 20 | 4 | 93% | 4.8 | 20.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 1.8% | 3.34 | 3.37 | +1.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 67 | 283 | 39 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 5.2 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.19 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 5.21 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 134 | 553 | 110 | 52 | 12 | — | — | 19.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 4.26 | 4.28 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 13.7% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.21 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 70 | 298 | 49 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.96 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 71 | 301 | 54 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.77 | 4.66 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 71 | 301 | 57 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.65 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 57 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 6 | 31 | 131 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.98 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.79 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 46 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 48 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.65 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 33 | 33 | 197 | 831 | 152 | 82 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.30 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 154 | 83 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 34 | 166 | 698 | 113 | 72 | 11 | 97% | 4.7 | 16.1% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 4.02 | 3.92 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 41 | 200 | 843 | 136 | 87 | 13 | 97% | 4.7 | 16.1% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 4.02 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brooks Caple (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 2.7% | — | 4.70 | 17.8% | 7.9% | 213 | -0.49 | — | — | — |
| Cade Kuehler R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.21 | 15.5% | 11.2% | 1.8% | .266 | 6.79 | 14.5% | 2.4% | 73 | +2.58 | 4.21 | 123 | 88 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 88 |
| Bradley Brehmer R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.40 | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .349 | 2.88 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 82 | -1.52 | 2.76 | 153 | 87 |
| Jack Noble R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.45 | 16.5% | 13.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 6.15 | 20.3% | 8.2% | 58 | +1.70 | 4.45 | 125 | 87 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 87 |
| Blake Hickman R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.45 | 11.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .271 | 6.54 | 12.9% | -4.9% | 67 | +2.09 | 4.45 | 156 | 86 |
| Pat Young R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.02 | 12.6% | 10.6% | 1.1% | .322 | 4.07 | 16.6% | 2.4% | 72 | +0.05 | 4.02 | 154 | 86 |
| Elliot Morris R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 12.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 102 | 86 |
| Erich Uelmen R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.59 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .299 | 4.48 | 19.8% | 8.8% | 159 | -0.11 | 3.53 | 383 | 86 |
| Baron Stuart R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 85 |
| Troy Miller R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.96 | 12.0% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .299 | 5.35 | 18.3% | 8.3% | 45 | +0.39 | 4.96 | 168 | 85 |
| Blaine Knight R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .263 | 4.58 | 16.2% | 6.6% | 159 | +0.12 | 4.16 | 269 | 85 |
| Victor Mederos R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.56 | 13.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .322 | 4.32 | 16.8% | 6.5% | 163 | -1.24 | 4.19 | 360 | 85 |
| Dylan Burns R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 85 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.87 | 15.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | .297 | 5.50 | 17.7% | 5.1% | 146 | +0.63 | 4.87 | 274 | 85 |
| Evan Yates R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.51 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 2.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 169 | 85 |
| Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.46 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .242 | 5.24 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 147 | +0.78 | 4.46 | 222 | 85 |
| Juan Grijalva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.30 | 14.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.46 | 11.9% | 2.7% | 24 | +1.16 | 4.30 | 110 | 84 |
| Parker Smith R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 132 | 84 |
| Alex Royalty R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.34 | 14.9% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .302 | 4.74 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 40 | +0.40 | 4.34 | 151 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 70 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 1.04 | 4.84 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |