Brooks Caple
P
South Bend Cubs
+0.7
WAR
Age 23
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.5 · 2029
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.8%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%8.5%
IP98
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2029
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 21 | 21 | 98 | 428 | 74 | 43 | 6 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.6% | 4.48 | 4.32 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 2 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 16 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.84 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | CHC | 18 | 18 | 98 | 415 | 78 | 43 | 11 | 18.8% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.7 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 109 | 452 | 94 | 43 | 11 | 20.8% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 4.21 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 21 | 21 | 117 | 493 | 99 | 47 | 13 | 20.0% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 4.54 | 4.48 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 24 | 24 | 130 | 550 | 114 | 50 | 15 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.43 | 4.37 | +1.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 25 | 25 | 137 | 580 | 122 | 52 | 16 | 21.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.34 | +1.5 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 26 | 26 | 140 | 592 | 125 | 53 | 16 | 21.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.34 | +1.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 25 | 25 | 140 | 592 | 124 | 54 | 16 | 21.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.37 | +1.5 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 25 | 25 | 137 | 578 | 121 | 53 | 16 | 20.9% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +1.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 24 | 24 | 133 | 561 | 116 | 52 | 16 | 20.7% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.48 | +1.2 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 23 | 23 | 128 | 541 | 111 | 51 | 16 | 20.4% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.55 | +1.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 22 | 22 | 123 | 520 | 105 | 49 | 16 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.64 | +0.9 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 21 | 21 | 118 | 497 | 99 | 48 | 15 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.74 | +0.7 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 20 | 20 | 112 | 472 | 92 | 47 | 15 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.84 | +0.6 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 19 | 105 | 445 | 85 | 45 | 15 | 19.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.89 | 4.97 | +0.4 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 18 | 18 | 98 | 416 | 78 | 43 | 14 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.10 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 23 | 23 | 109 | 465 | 72 | 50 | 7 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.4% | 4.13 | 3.93 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 42 | 200 | 853 | 132 | 92 | 13 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.4% | 4.13 | 3.93 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brooks Caple (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 18.8% | 10.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.39 | 20.6% | 11.4% | 384 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.15 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.23 | 4.15 | 212 | 96 |
| Shelby Lackey R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.45 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .323 | 3.96 | 20.6% | 5.7% | 65 | -0.49 | 2.91 | 175 | 94 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | .300 | 3.77 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.53 | 3.77 | 107 | 93 |
| Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .257 | 4.02 | 10.6% | 4.0% | 101 | -0.21 | 4.02 | 199 | 93 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .309 | 4.72 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.73 | 3.99 | 188 | 93 |
| Riley Thompson R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .288 | 5.32 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.66 | 4.63 | 340 | 92 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .300 | 4.44 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 78 | +0.55 | 3.89 | 183 | 92 |
| Logan Martin R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .278 | 4.06 | 15.9% | 4.9% | 91 | +0.11 | 3.95 | 193 | 92 |
| Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.72 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .285 | 5.74 | 19.4% | 9.6% | 160 | +2.02 | 3.72 | 256 | 92 |
| Trent Baker R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.17 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.02 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 296 | -0.15 | 3.77 | 420 | 92 |
| Joey Mancini R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .354 | 4.39 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 221 | +0.21 | 3.65 | 316 | 91 |
| Angel Ventura R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 17.9% | 10.9% | 2.5% | .285 | 4.64 | 14.8% | 4.8% | 153 | +0.30 | 3.44 | 393 | 91 |
| Cameron Foster R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.30 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .329 | 3.95 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 118 | -0.35 | 2.58 | 199 | 91 |
| Daniel Blair R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.09 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .284 | 4.39 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 78 | +0.30 | 4.09 | 171 | 91 |
| Dinelson Lamet R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.36 | 20.1% | 11.8% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 13.1% | 293 | -0.59 | 1.92 | 778 | 91 |
| Derek True R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.91 | 18.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.96 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 60 | +0.05 | 4.91 | 157 | 91 |
| Austin Cates R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.95 | 19.7% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.95 | 110 | 91 |
| Blake Beers R 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.61 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .298 | 4.96 | 17.7% | 8.5% | 323 | +0.35 | 4.41 | 416 | 90 |
| Nick Dean R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.83 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% | .275 | 3.99 | 21.6% | 13.8% | 65 | +0.16 | 3.83 | 155 | 90 |
| Brandon Birdsell R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.91 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .266 | 4.11 | 19.9% | 13.7% | 154 | +0.20 | 3.91 | 262 | 90 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +1.2 | $12M | +$9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.1 | $11M | +$7M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.9 | $5M | +$0.2M |
| Totals | $13M | $68M | +$55M | ||