Jose Fernandez

1B Reno Aces
Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 165 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 0.558 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420A+/INTL2 orgs573.273/.310/.400131269—.204/.233/.272
202521AA/INTL2 orgs527.273/.324/.458181265—.219/.260/.340
202622AAAARI260.252/.319/.42371274—.225/.276/.358
202622MLBARI222.255/.300/.3433975-0.9
2027PROJ45% MLB23MLBARI107.240/.291/.3722681-0.1
2028PROJ59% MLB24MLBARI283.242/.294/.38171785-0.1
2029PROJ65% MLB25MLBARI349.244/.296/.38692187-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.558First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.9M2031Arb-2$1M2032Arb-3$1M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2026
Speed90
Bat Spd85
Avg EV33
xwOBA27
Barrel%16
CompsOswald Peraza (age 23) · José Rodríguez (age 23) · Ryan Bliss (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†81
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .291 / .372
PA107
HR2
SB6
K%25
BB%6
BABIP302
ISO121
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +2.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -4.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +5.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.30.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT50
xAVG
420.245
POWER50
Barrel%
163.8
Avg EV
3387.8
Bat Spd
8575.0
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED50
Sprint
9029.5
Platoon Splits2026 · 71 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
21
50
—
wRC+
150
107
◀◀L
wOBA
390
327
◀◀L
ISO
050
163
▶▶R
BABIP
500
353
◀◀L
K%
19.0%
26.0%
◀◀L
BB%
4.8%
2.0%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.558 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.3M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Arb-1$0.9M———
2031Arb-2$1M———
2032Arb-3$1M———
Totals $0.8M $-1M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKACL D-backs — 126112 28410 11391 41 250320304624 54378 319 286 15 — — — — — —
202218 ROKACL D-backs Red — 196175 38731 14515 20 217294309602 91296 267 274 15 — — — — — —
202319 AVisalia Rawhide — 394355 931845 31922 92 262325377702 115333 238 312 57 — — — — — —
202319 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 4845 12211 291 10 267312422735 156314 194 326 107 — — — — — —
202420 A+Hillsboro Hops — 387363 93727 17852 105 256293344638 88315 224 284 37 — — — — — —
202420 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 186172 531426 10450 20 308346517864 209379 245 369 136 — — — — — —
202521 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 511471 12827417 321043 124 272321454776 183315 206 339 62 — — — — — —
202521 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 1612 4001 230 01 3334295831.012 250300 1912 387 148 — — — — — —
202622 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 222204 52903 11512 92 255300343643 88327 235 284 75 -7 +1 +0 -9 +5 -0.9
202622 AAAReno Aces — 260234 591337 21622 122 252319423742 171311 248 326 74 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 222204 52903 11512 92 255300343643 88327 235 284 79 -6 +1 +0 -9 +5 -0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 126117 20310 7571 41 171224214438 43310 456 190 15 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 196180 28521 9745 20 156216222439 67241 385 190 15 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 394364 781444 221232 92 214263308571 93299 316 252 57 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 387368 75516 121192 105 204233272505 68279 313 223 37 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 511480 10520410 241313 124 219260340600 121274 265 260 62 — — — — — —
202622 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 222204 51803 11512 92 250295333628 83327 235 279 75 -7 +1 +0 -9 +5 -0.9
202622 AAA MLEReno Aces — 260240 541135 15742 122 225276358635 133299 286 278 74 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 126117 20310 7571 41 171224214438 43328 456 190 15 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWACL D-backs — 126112 28410 11391 41 250320304624 54378 319 286 15 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 196180 28521 9745 20 156216222439 67252 385 190 15 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWACL D-backs Red — 196175 38731 14515 20 217294309602 91296 267 274 15 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 442408 871644 251383 102 213264301565 88305 316 252 57 — — — — — —
202319 A RAW2 teams — 442400 1052056 331013 102 263323383706 120331 237 313 57 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 573545 113829 171762 125 207234279513 72285 313 223 37 — — — — — —
202420 A+ RAW2 teams — 573535 14621413 271302 125 273310400710 127335 235 312 37 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 527494 10921411 241353 125 221261346607 126278 265 260 62 — — — — — —
202521 AA RAW2 teams — 527483 13227418 341073 125 273324458782 184315 206 341 62 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 482444 1051938 261254 214 236285347632 110310 265 279 75 — — — — — —
202622 AAA RAW2 teams — 482438 11122310 321134 214 253310386696 132319 237 307 75 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEACL D-backs — 126117 20310 7571 41 171224214438 43310 456 190 15 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL D-backs Red — 196180 28521 9745 20 156216222439 67241 385 190 15 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 442411 871644 251383 102 212264299563 88299 316 252 57 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 573549 113829 171762 125 206234277511 71279 313 223 37 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 527495 10921411 241353 125 220261345606 125274 265 260 62 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 482449 1051938 261254 214 234285343628 109312 265 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A+ MLE2 teams — 573549 113829 171762 125 206234277511 71279 313 223 37 — — — — — —
202521 AA MLE2 teams — 527495 10921411 241353 125 220261345606 125274 265 260 62 — — — — — —
202622 AAA MLE2 teams — 482449 1051938 261254 214 234285343628 109312 265 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEARI 45% 581537 12622314 341455 356 234285362648 129292 256 288 81 -13 +5 +1 -10 +13 0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXARI 45% 10799 23412 6271 61 240291372663 133302 256 295 81 -2 +1 +0 -2 +2 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEARI 59% 482446 10518312 291194 295 237289372661 135293 256 294 85 -9 +4 +1 -9 +10 -0.2
202925 MLB MLEARI 65% 536494 11720314 321325 325 238290377668 139293 256 296 87 -8 +4 +1 -10 +12 -0.1
203026 MLB MLEARI 68% 539498 11920315 321334 325 238291379670 141293 256 297 87 -8 +4 +1 -10 +12 -0.1
203127 MLB MLEARI 68% 533492 11720314 321324 315 237290377667 139293 256 296 86 -9 +4 +1 -10 +12 -0.2
203228 MLB MLEARI 68% 523482 11419314 321314 285 235288372660 137292 256 293 85 -10 +4 +0 -9 +11 -0.4
203329 MLB MLEARI 66% 509470 11119313 301294 244 233285366652 133291 256 290 82 -11 +3 -1 -9 +11 -0.6
203430 MLB MLEARI 66% 494458 10518212 291264 194 230282359641 129289 266 286 79 -12 +2 -1 -9 +11 -1.0
203531 MLB MLEARI 65% 476442 10017211 281243 143 227277350627 123287 266 280 75 -14 +2 -2 -8 +10 -1.3
203632 MLB MLEARI 70% 454422 9315210 261203 82 222271338610 117283 266 272 70 -16 +1 -3 -8 +10 -1.7
202824 MLB CTXARI 59% 283262 641227 17702 173 242294381676 139303 256 300 85 -5 +2 +0 -5 +6 -0.1
202925 MLB CTXARI 65% 349322 801539 21863 214 244296386682 143303 256 302 87 -6 +3 +1 -6 +8 -0.1
203026 MLB CTXARI 68% 368340 821539 22913 224 244296388684 144303 256 303 87 -6 +3 +1 -7 +8 -0.1
203127 MLB CTXARI 68% 363335 821539 22903 214 243295385681 143302 256 302 86 -6 +3 +1 -6 +8 -0.1
203228 MLB CTXARI 68% 356329 791529 21893 193 241293381674 140301 256 299 85 -6 +3 +0 -6 +8 -0.3
203329 MLB CTXARI 66% 338312 741428 20853 163 239291375666 136300 256 296 82 -7 +2 -0 -6 +7 -0.4
203430 MLB CTXARI 66% 324300 701327 19832 132 236287368655 132298 266 291 79 -8 +2 -1 -6 +7 -0.6
203531 MLB CTXARI 65% 310287 671227 18812 92 232282359641 127296 266 285 75 -9 +1 -1 -6 +7 -0.8
203632 MLB CTXARI 70% 320297 681227 18852 61 227276347623 120292 276 278 70 -11 +1 -2 -6 +7 -1.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 32332988 7181322175 18981125 15328 240291374665 134303 256 295 72 -69 +19 -2 -62 +70 -4.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650601 14527415 381635 316 241292374666 133305 256 295 72 -14 +4 -0 -13 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 71306612 149524741154 392191055 29257 226275346621 120292 275 275 72 -107 +31 -3 -94 +108 -6.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 13723414 361745 275 227276348625 121294 276 275 72 -14 +4 -0 -12 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAReno Aces · 260 PAwOBA .320 → .278 (−42)K% 23.8% → 28.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.85%÷1.000×1.200——28.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.08%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0505.85%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.940—×1.0500.76%
Singles /BIP20.93%÷1.000×0.930×1.018×1.05020.81%
Doubles /BIP7.56%÷1.000×0.830×1.018×1.0506.71%
Triples /BIP1.74%÷1.000×0.970×1.018×1.0501.81%
Home runs /BIP4.07%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0502.99%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .320 → .278; ISO .171 → .139; BABIP .311 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 511 PAwOBA .331 → .260 (−72)K% 20.4% → 25.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.35%÷0.972×1.220——25.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.26%÷0.994×0.700—×1.0424.60%
HBP% /PA0.59%—×0.870—×1.0420.53%
Singles /BIP21.80%÷1.041×0.920×0.994×1.04219.94%
Doubles /BIP7.36%÷1.119×0.840×0.994×1.0425.72%
Triples /BIP1.09%÷0.985×0.940×0.994×1.0421.08%
Home runs /BIP4.63%÷1.333×0.800—×1.0422.90%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 108, 2B 124, 3B 97, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .331 → .260; ISO .183 → .125; BABIP .315 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 387 PAwOBA .277 → .223 (−54)K% 22.0% → 30.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.96%÷0.964×1.350——30.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.39%÷1.086×0.710—×1.0272.95%
HBP% /PA0.52%—×0.810—×1.0270.43%
Singles /BIP27.70%÷1.049×0.910×1.008×1.02724.86%
Doubles /BIP2.52%÷1.066×0.830×1.008×1.0272.03%
Triples /BIP0.72%÷1.150×0.820×1.008×1.0270.53%
Home runs /BIP2.52%÷0.875×0.830—×1.0272.45%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 110, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .277 → .223; ISO .088 → .073; BABIP .315 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 394 PAwOBA .308 → .252 (−56)K% 23.4% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.35%÷1.019×1.360——31.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.87%÷0.987×0.690—×1.0305.66%
HBP% /PA0.51%—×0.780—×1.0300.41%
Singles /BIP25.10%÷1.060×0.920×1.015×1.03022.77%
Doubles /BIP6.84%÷1.029×0.830×1.015×1.0305.77%
Triples /BIP1.52%÷0.900×0.910×1.015×1.0301.61%
Home runs /BIP1.90%÷1.003×0.800—×1.0301.56%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .308 → .252; ISO .115 → .095; BABIP .333 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL D-backs Red · 196 PAwOBA .270 → .190 (−81)K% 26.0% → 37.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.02%÷0.996×1.440——37.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.14%÷0.969×0.620—×1.0084.60%
HBP% /PA2.55%—×0.720—×1.0081.85%
Singles /BIP21.77%÷0.996×0.820×1.015×1.00818.33%
Doubles /BIP5.65%÷0.974×0.720×1.015×1.0084.27%
Triples /BIP2.42%÷0.964×0.720×1.015×1.0081.85%
Home runs /BIP0.81%÷1.119×0.780—×1.0080.57%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 93, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .270 → .190; ISO .091 → .061; BABIP .296 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL D-backs · 126 PAwOBA .281 → .190 (−91)K% 31.0% → 45.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.95%÷0.985×1.440——45.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.73%÷1.008×0.620—×1.0225.49%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.720—×1.0220.58%
Singles /BIP31.51%÷1.010×0.820×1.000×1.02226.15%
Doubles /BIP5.48%÷0.950×0.720×1.000×1.0224.25%
Triples /BIP1.37%÷0.941×0.720×1.000×1.0221.07%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.986×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 88, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .281 → .190; ISO .054 → .035; BABIP .378 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .