Jose Fernandez — OGILVIE

Jose Fernandez1B Reno Aces

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 165 lbs MLB HR -11% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION467 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .111 / .111

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%5

BABIP297

ISO124

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

460.248

POWER50

Barrel%

174.0

Avg EV

3387.8

Bat Spd

8575.0

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

9029.5

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%23%▲▲17% over 30 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%7%▲▲13% over 30 PA (60d) · proj 5%

ISO.117·.077 over 26 AB (60d) · proj .124

BABIP.289·.381 over 21 BIP (60d) · proj .286

SLASH.234/.288/.351▲proj .226/.268/.350

Platoon Splits2026 · 71 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

150

107

◀◀L

wOBA

390

327

◀◀L

ISO

050

163

▶▶R

BABIP

500

353

◀◀L

19.0%

26.0%

◀◀L

BB%

4.8%

2.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	126	112	28	4	1	0	11	39	1	4	1	250	320	304	624	54	378	31	9	286	79	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	175	38	7	3	1	14	51	5	2	0	217	294	309	602	91	296	26	7	274	72	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	394	355	93	18	4	5	31	92	2	9	2	262	325	377	702	115	333	23	8	312	97	-1	+1	—	—	+9	0.8
2023	19	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	48	45	12	2	1	1	2	9	1	1	0	267	312	422	735	156	314	19	4	326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	387	363	93	7	2	7	17	85	2	10	5	256	293	344	638	88	315	22	4	284	78	-10	+0	—	—	+8	-0.2
2024	20	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	186	172	53	14	2	6	10	45	0	2	0	308	346	517	864	209	379	24	5	369	136	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	511	471	128	27	4	17	32	104	3	12	4	272	321	454	776	183	315	20	6	339	116	+10	+1	—	—	+11	2.2
2025	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	16	12	4	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	1	333	429	583	1.012	250	300	19	12	387	148	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	126	117	20	3	1	0	7	57	1	4	1	171	224	214	438	43	303	45	6	186	12	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	180	28	5	2	1	9	74	5	2	0	156	216	222	439	67	240	38	5	188	13	-20	+0	—	—	+4	-1.6
2023	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	394	364	75	14	3	4	22	121	2	9	2	206	255	294	549	88	285	31	6	246	53	-22	+1	—	—	+9	-1.3
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	387	370	70	5	1	6	10	123	2	10	5	189	215	257	471	68	259	32	3	205	25	-35	+0	—	—	+8	-2.7
2025	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	511	482	104	20	4	10	22	131	3	12	4	216	254	336	591	120	268	26	4	252	57	-26	+1	—	—	+11	-1.5
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	126	117	20	3	1	0	7	57	1	4	1	171	224	214	438	43	328	45	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	126	112	28	4	1	0	11	39	1	4	1	250	320	304	624	54	378	31	9	286	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	180	28	5	2	1	9	74	5	2	0	156	216	222	439	67	252	38	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	175	38	7	3	1	14	51	5	2	0	217	294	309	602	91	296	26	7	274	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	408	85	15	4	5	25	136	3	10	2	208	259	301	561	93	293	31	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	442	400	105	20	5	6	33	101	3	10	2	263	323	383	706	120	331	23	7	313	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	573	548	104	7	2	9	14	183	2	12	5	190	213	259	472	69	263	32	2	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	573	535	146	21	4	13	27	130	2	12	5	273	310	400	710	127	335	23	5	312	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	495	107	21	4	10	23	135	3	12	5	216	255	335	591	119	274	26	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	527	483	132	27	4	18	34	107	3	12	5	273	324	458	782	184	315	20	6	341	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	126	117	20	3	1	0	7	57	1	4	1	171	224	214	438	43	303	45	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	196	180	28	5	2	1	9	74	5	2	0	156	216	222	439	67	240	38	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	411	85	15	4	5	25	136	3	10	2	207	259	299	558	92	285	31	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	573	552	104	7	2	9	14	183	2	12	5	188	213	257	470	69	259	32	2	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	496	107	21	4	10	23	135	3	12	5	216	255	335	590	119	268	26	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	411	85	15	4	5	25	136	3	10	2	207	259	299	558	92	285	31	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	573	552	104	7	2	9	14	183	2	12	5	188	213	257	470	69	259	32	2	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	496	107	21	4	10	23	135	3	12	5	216	255	335	590	119	268	26	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AAA MLE	ARI	—	467	431	98	19	2	8	26	125	3	21	4	227	276	336	613	109	300	27	6	270	69	-17	+3	+0	-8	+10	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	22	MLB RAW	ARI	—	207	191	50	9	0	3	11	45	1	9	2	262	305	356	661	94	329	22	5	293	69	-8	+1	+0	-8	+4	-1.0
YTD	22	AAA RAW	ARI	—	260	234	59	13	3	7	21	62	2	12	2	252	319	423	742	171	311	24	8	326	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	MLB RAW	ARI	—	207	191	50	9	0	3	11	45	1	9	2	262	305	356	661	94	329	22	5	293	84	-4	+1	+0	-4	+4	-0.2
ROS	22	AAA MLE	ARI	100%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		291	22	0	274	72	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	22	MLB CTX	ARI	100%	9	9	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	111	111	111	222		297	22	0	273	72	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	MLB A+C	ARI	—	216	200	51	9	0	3	11	47	1	9	2	255	297	345	642	90	320	22	5	292	69	-8	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.6
TOT	22	AAA MLE	ARI	—	476	440	99	19	2	8	26	127	3	21	4	225	273	332	605	107	296	27	5	270	69	-18	+3	+0	-8	+10	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	552	513	119	21	3	13	30	144	4	28	5	232	280	361	640	129	292	26	5	282	77	-15	+4	+1	-10	+12	-0.9
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	596	554	129	22	3	15	33	154	4	30	5	233	281	365	646	132	293	26	6	289	81	-13	+4	+1	-11	+13	-0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	644	599	141	24	3	18	36	165	4	32	6	235	283	376	659	140	293	26	6	292	84	-12	+4	+1	-12	+14	-0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	648	602	141	24	3	18	37	166	4	32	6	234	283	374	657	140	293	26	6	294	85	-11	+4	+1	-12	+14	-0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	643	596	140	24	3	18	38	165	4	32	6	235	285	376	661	141	293	26	6	294	85	-11	+4	+1	-11	+14	-0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	635	588	138	23	3	18	38	164	4	30	5	235	286	376	662	141	293	26	6	293	85	-12	+4	+0	-11	+14	-0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	623	577	135	23	3	17	37	162	4	27	5	234	285	373	657	139	292	26	6	292	84	-12	+3	-0	-11	+13	-0.7
2034	30	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	611	565	131	22	3	16	37	161	4	24	4	232	284	366	650	135	291	26	6	289	82	-13	+3	-1	-11	+13	-0.9
2035	31	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	596	551	127	21	3	16	36	159	4	21	4	230	283	367	649	136	289	27	6	285	79	-15	+3	-2	-11	+13	-1.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	577	534	120	20	3	14	34	156	4	17	3	225	276	352	628	127	286	27	6	280	76	-17	+2	-3	-10	+13	-1.5
2037	33	MLB MLE	ARI	82%	547	507	111	18	2	13	32	150	3	12	2	219	269	339	609	120	283	27	6	273	71	-19	+2	-3	-10	+12	-1.9
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	453	422	99	18	3	10	25	118	3	23	4	235	282	363	645	128	298	26	6	280	77	-12	+3	+1	-8	+10	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	489	456	108	20	3	12	27	126	3	24	4	237	284	373	657	136	298	26	6	286	81	-11	+3	+1	-9	+11	-0.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	528	489	117	21	3	14	30	135	4	26	5	239	289	380	669	141	299	26	6	289	84	-10	+3	+1	-9	+11	-0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	531	492	117	21	3	14	30	136	4	26	5	238	287	378	665	140	299	26	6	291	85	-9	+3	+1	-9	+12	-0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	527	487	116	21	3	14	31	135	4	26	5	238	289	380	669	142	299	26	6	291	85	-9	+3	+1	-9	+11	-0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	521	481	115	21	3	14	31	135	4	25	4	239	291	383	673	143	298	26	6	290	85	-9	+3	+0	-9	+11	-0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	511	472	112	20	3	13	31	133	3	22	4	237	289	375	664	138	298	26	6	289	84	-10	+3	-0	-9	+11	-0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	501	463	109	19	3	13	30	132	3	20	4	235	286	374	660	138	297	26	6	286	82	-11	+2	-1	-9	+11	-0.8
2035	31	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	489	454	105	19	3	12	29	130	3	17	3	231	282	366	648	134	295	27	6	282	79	-12	+2	-2	-9	+11	-1.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	473	439	99	17	2	11	28	128	3	14	2	226	277	349	625	123	292	27	6	277	76	-14	+2	-2	-8	+10	-1.2
2037	33	MLB CTX	ARI	82%	449	416	92	16	2	10	27	124	3	10	2	221	274	341	615	120	288	28	6	271	71	-15	+1	-3	-8	+10	-1.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5481	5080	1190	213	31	137	319	1434	37	233	42	234	284	369	654	135	298	26	6	285	72	-124	+30	-4	-98	+119	-7.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	141	25	4	16	38	170	4	28	5	234	284	369	652	135	298	26	6	285	72	-15	+4	-0	-12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	8545	7943	1777	293	45	201	466	2333	57	325	64	224	272	348	620	124	289	27	5	274	72	-151	+37	-5	-119	+145	-9.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	134	22	3	15	35	177	4	25	5	222	269	343	611	121	286	27	5	274	72	-15	+4	-0	-12	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	6.7	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
/162	664	17	32	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#3Jonathan Villarlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,934 PA	5.9	3,934	101	239	255	322	397	+24	-40	12.8	13.9
/162	664	17	40	+4.0	-6.8	2.2	pk7: 15
#4Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	6.6	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
/162	664	17	16	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#5Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	8.9	5,921	153	257	233	280	367	+51	+1	11.5	10.3
/162	664	17	29	+5.7	+0.1	1.3	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Fernandez (OGILVIE)	22	50	50	50	30	224/271/340	115	291	5	13	27%	5%	72	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswald Peraza 2022 · AAA	22	50→52	46→45	55→60	41	246/292/375	129	313	14	27	26%	5%	88	+0.4	223/283/350	127	282	15	28	26%	6%	79	-0.2	209/277/328	119	261	15	29	25%	7%	69	-0.7
✕José Rodríguez 2023 · AA	22	51→52	45→50	58→55	43	249/286/376	126	289	12	28	18%	5%	85	+0.2	230/264/349	119	281	13	26	23%	4%	71	-0.8	224/253/334	110	274	13	27	24%	3%	60	-0.7
✕Eguy Rosario 2022 · AA	22	49→52	45→55	52→55	42	239/292/373	134	321	12	22	29%	6%	87	+0.4	220/283/369	149	286	16	18	28%	7%	83	+0.1	206/274/365	159	261	18	18	28%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Tito Polo 2018 · AA	23	48→54	42→45	57→60	39	233/286/342	109	313	9	29	28%	5%	78	-0.3	225/275/329	104	295	8	25	25%	5%	70	-0.8	215/263/312	97	271	7	34	23%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Ryan Brett 2014 · AA	22	52→57	41→45	59→60	45	249/294/357	108	298	8	27	19%	5%	83	+0.1	241/278/343	102	295	8	18	20%	4%	74	-0.5	231/263/324	93	289	7	15	22%	3%	61	-0.8
✕Luisangel Acuña 2023 · AA	21	47→55	44→45	58→60	44	226/287/337	111	315	12	31	30%	8%	77	-0.3	244/289/339	95	312	8	35	23%	6%	77	-0.3	249/291/334	85	310	6	40	21%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Elliot Johnson 2006 · AA	22	46→56	43→45	59→60	39	228/273/343	116	301	10	28	28%	5%	73	-0.6	220/264/339	119	300	11	18	29%	5%	69	-0.9	240/292/353	113	312	10	30	25%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Noel Cuevas 2014 · A	22	47→51	43→45	56→55	41	229/274/344	115	291	9	24	24%	5%	74	-0.6	225/262/320	95	291	7	17	24%	4%	63	-1.4	251/284/358	107	311	8	12	22%	3%	77	-0.2
✕Bradley Zimmer 2016 · AA	23	46→51	46→50	58→60	41	227/295/358	132	315	14	28	31%	6%	86	+0.3	225/295/359	134	338	13	28	35%	8%	86	+0.3	229/307/355	126	348	13	28	35%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Rymer Liriano 2014 · AA	23	50→52	43→45	56→55	40	241/290/360	120	325	10	25	28%	5%	83	+0.1	234/295/355	121	333	12	17	31%	7%	84	+0.2	223/285/338	115	319	12	15	32%	7%	74	-0.6
✕Liover Peguero 2023 · AA	22	45→46	42→45	56→55	38	223/261/330	107	301	10	23	29%	4%	65	-1.2	218/265/340	122	287	13	18	28%	6%	69	-0.9	212/262/335	123	275	14	18	28%	6%	65	-1.0
✕Darell Hernaiz 2023 · AA	21	47→57	42→45	55→50	42	230/277/333	103	288	10	21	24%	5%	72	-0.7	249/301/350	101	298	8	14	18%	6%	84	+0.2	253/310/346	93	295	7	12	16%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Masyn Winn 2023 · AA	21	46→54	43→50	61→55	45	223/282/346	122	298	9	28	27%	7%	77	-0.3	240/293/371	131	287	13	16	20%	7%	87	+0.4	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Peter Bourjos 2009 · A	22	49→55	42→50	60	37	237/270/352	115	307	9	27	26%	4%	74	-0.6	246/290/378	132	304	10	27	22%	5%	87	+0.4	251/300/396	145	307	11	28	21%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2014 · AA	22	49	44→55	56→55	41	240/282/364	125	312	11	21	26%	5%	81	-0.1	217/259/360	143	297	14	22	30%	5%	72	-0.7	212/259/369	157	293	16	14	32%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Felix Valerio 2023 · AA	22	43→48	43→45	53→55	49	211/280/324	113	249	11	23	20%	8%	72	-0.7	204/266/302	98	265	9	16	25%	7%	61	-1.5	190/252/275	85	254	8	13	27%	6%	46	-1.1
✕Alen Hanson 2015 · AA	22	48→52	45→50	56→60	42	237/276/371	134	292	10	20	23%	5%	80	-0.2	233/269/343	110	287	8	29	21%	5%	70	-0.8	246/282/378	132	296	11	30	20%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Roman Quinn 2015 · A	22	46→55	41→45	55→65	43	222/289/318	96	304	9	28	29%	7%	74	-0.6	245/299/343	98	329	7	35	26%	6%	82	+0.0	245/301/378	133	333	11	48	28%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Jonathan Galvez 2013 · AA	22	49→48	44→45	53→55	40	235/287/358	124	324	11	18	30%	6%	82	-0.0	229/280/334	105	316	9	14	29%	6%	74	-0.6	223/275/318	96	309	7	13	29%	6%	65	-0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→55	49→55	58→55	37	233/270/393	160	293	16	19	27%	4%	84	+0.1	242/279/395	153	304	16	23	25%	4%	88	+0.4	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps