Samuel Escudero
C Altoona Curve| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROKDSL Pirates G… | 145 | .311/.418/.479 | 3 | 5 | 57 | — | .190/.277/.294 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROKPIT | 73 | .167/.296/.233 | 1 | 0 | 5 | — | .125/.211/.188 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/APIT | 91 | .100/.200/.188 | 2 | 0 | -15 | — | .097/.177/.183 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBPIT | 2 | .209/.275/.307 | 0 | 0 | 66 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 24 | MLBPIT | 52 | .213/.279/.319 | 1 | 1 | 70 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ45% MLB | 25 | MLBPIT | 103 | .216/.283/.328 | 2 | 1 | 74 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | — | 85 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 151 | 262 | 178 | 440 | 27 | 175 | 13 | 12 | 217 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | — | 94 | 74 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 284 | 424 | 351 | 775 | 68 | 344 | 15 | 17 | 357 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates Black | — | 141 | 120 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 383 | 408 | 791 | 133 | 310 | 13 | 13 | 360 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 145 | 119 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 311 | 418 | 479 | 897 | 168 | 327 | 10 | 14 | 390 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 73 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 296 | 233 | 529 | 67 | 196 | 21 | 14 | 251 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 57 | 51 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 211 | 176 | 387 | 59 | 139 | 25 | 5 | 191 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 34 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 182 | 207 | 389 | 138 | 71 | 44 | 12 | 181 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 85 | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 105 | 190 | 118 | 309 | 13 | 130 | 15 | 8 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 94 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 179 | 304 | 218 | 522 | 38 | 222 | 19 | 13 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Black | — | 141 | 125 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 270 | 256 | 526 | 80 | 199 | 16 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 145 | 126 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 277 | 294 | 570 | 103 | 195 | 12 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 73 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 211 | 188 | 399 | 62 | 146 | 29 | 8 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 57 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 193 | 173 | 366 | 58 | 139 | 30 | 4 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 34 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 152 | 200 | 352 | 133 | 57 | 59 | 9 | 120 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 85 | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 105 | 190 | 118 | 309 | 13 | 125 | 15 | 8 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL PIT Gold | — | 85 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 151 | 262 | 178 | 440 | 27 | 175 | 13 | 12 | 217 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 94 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 179 | 304 | 218 | 522 | 38 | 230 | 19 | 13 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL PIT Gold | — | 94 | 74 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 284 | 424 | 351 | 775 | 68 | 344 | 15 | 17 | 357 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Black | — | 141 | 125 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 270 | 256 | 526 | 80 | 206 | 16 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates Black | — | 141 | 120 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 275 | 383 | 408 | 791 | 133 | 310 | 13 | 13 | 360 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 145 | 126 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 190 | 277 | 294 | 570 | 103 | 202 | 12 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 145 | 119 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 311 | 418 | 479 | 897 | 168 | 327 | 10 | 14 | 390 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 73 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 211 | 188 | 399 | 62 | 159 | 29 | 8 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK RAW | FCL Pirates | — | 73 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 296 | 233 | 529 | 67 | 196 | 21 | 14 | 251 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 91 | 82 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 167 | 134 | 301 | 49 | 136 | 42 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 91 | 80 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 200 | 188 | 388 | 87 | 120 | 32 | 8 | 187 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 85 | 77 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 104 | 190 | 117 | 307 | 13 | 130 | 15 | 8 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL PIT Gold | — | 94 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 175 | 304 | 212 | 517 | 38 | 222 | 19 | 13 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Black | — | 141 | 124 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 177 | 270 | 258 | 528 | 81 | 199 | 16 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 145 | 129 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 186 | 277 | 287 | 563 | 101 | 195 | 12 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 73 | 66 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 211 | 182 | 393 | 61 | 146 | 29 | 8 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 91 | 83 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 167 | 133 | 299 | 48 | 108 | 42 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates Gold | — | 145 | 129 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 186 | 277 | 287 | 563 | 101 | 195 | 12 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 73 | 66 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 211 | 182 | 393 | 61 | 146 | 29 | 8 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 91 | 83 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 167 | 133 | 299 | 48 | 108 | 42 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 2% | 201 | 182 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 275 | 309 | 585 | 100 | 280 | 27 | 7 | 265 | 66 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 97 | 281 | 50 | 0 | 264 | 66 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 31% | 169 | 153 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 280 | 322 | 602 | 108 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 45% | 231 | 209 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 331 | 615 | 115 | 283 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 51% | 281 | 255 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 75 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 286 | 339 | 624 | 120 | 283 | 27 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 53% | 305 | 276 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 81 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 286 | 339 | 626 | 121 | 283 | 27 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 53% | 317 | 287 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 84 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 338 | 624 | 120 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 53% | 315 | 285 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 85 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 332 | 615 | 116 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 277 | 74 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 52% | 310 | 280 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 84 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 279 | 324 | 603 | 111 | 279 | 27 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -11 | -0 | -2 | +6 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 31% | 52 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 279 | 319 | 598 | 105 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 45% | 103 | 94 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 283 | 328 | 610 | 112 | 283 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 74 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 51% | 143 | 130 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 285 | 334 | 619 | 117 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 279 | 76 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 53% | 160 | 145 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 335 | 621 | 117 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 77 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 53% | 169 | 153 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 285 | 334 | 619 | 116 | 283 | 27 | 7 | 279 | 76 | -5 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 53% | 166 | 151 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 282 | 328 | 610 | 113 | 282 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 74 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 52% | 162 | 147 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 279 | 320 | 599 | 108 | 280 | 27 | 7 | 271 | 71 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 955 | 867 | 188 | 35 | 6 | 18 | 69 | 257 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 217 | 284 | 333 | 617 | 116 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 63 | -29 | +0 | -2 | +17 | +21 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 128 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 175 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 284 | 332 | 616 | 115 | 285 | 27 | 7 | 276 | 63 | -20 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2647 | 2379 | 481 | 87 | 15 | 44 | 202 | 672 | 38 | 31 | 11 | 202 | 275 | 307 | 582 | 105 | 260 | 25 | 8 | 261 | 63 | -63 | +1 | -4 | +36 | +44 | 1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 50 | 165 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 202 | 275 | 308 | 583 | 106 | 259 | 25 | 8 | 261 | 63 | -20 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAltoona Curve · 57 PAwOBA .187 → .161 (−26)K% 24.6% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 4.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.995 | ×1.042 | 13.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.995 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 2.20% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .187 → .161; ISO .059 → .045; BABIP .139 → .139. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ABradenton Marauders · 34 PAwOBA .182 → .120 (−63)K% 44.1% → 60.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 60.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | — | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.71% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .182 → .120; ISO .138 → .086; BABIP .071 → .057. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 73 PAwOBA .252 → .175 (−78)K% 20.5% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷1.006 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.70% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 8.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.78% | ÷1.022 | ×0.820 | ×0.972 | ×0.985 | 13.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.119 | ×0.720 | ×0.972 | ×0.985 | 1.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.720 | ×0.972 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 1.71% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .252 → .175; ISO .067 → .048; BABIP .196 → .146. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 145 PAwOBA .386 → .253 (−134)K% 10.3% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.011 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷0.971 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 9.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.38% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.024 | ×0.680 | ×0.969 | ×0.985 | 14.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.084 | ×0.600 | ×0.969 | ×0.985 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.989 | ×0.600 | ×0.969 | ×0.985 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.847 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 1.58% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .386 → .253; ISO .168 → .098; BABIP .327 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 141 PAwOBA .351 → .230 (−121)K% 12.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.994 | ×0.995 | 14.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.994 | ×0.995 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.994 | ×0.995 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.92% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .351 → .230; ISO .133 → .075; BABIP .310 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL PIT Gold · 94 PAwOBA .353 → .246 (−107)K% 14.9% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.02% | ÷0.956 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 12.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.004 | ×0.680 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 17.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.600 | ×0.974 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 118, K 94, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .353 → .246; ISO .068 → .042; BABIP .344 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL PIT Gold · 85 PAwOBA .215 → .161 (−54)K% 12.9% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.94% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.52% | ÷0.959 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 11.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.968 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.899 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 100, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .215 → .161; ISO .027 → .019; BABIP .175 → .130. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).