Genderson Zapata P FCL Nationals
Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.1%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.05 (23 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202117ROKDSL Nationals53155563060%2.97.4%6.8%0.6%0.0%2.453.34
202117ROKDSL Nationals53155563060%2.910.9%5.5%5.5%0.0%2.452.90
202218ROKDSL Nationals202122300%1.016.7%25.0%-8.3%0.0%4.504.86
202218ROKDSL Nationals202122300%1.016.7%25.0%-8.3%0.0%4.505.60
202319ROKFCL Nationals107391732513770%3.99.8%9.4%0.4%5.7%4.816.57
202319ROKFCL Nationals107391732513770%3.914.5%7.5%6.9%4.0%4.815.13
202420ROKFCL Nationals10050210%0.30.0%40.0%-40.0%20.0%54.0019.14
202420ROKFCL Nationals10050210%0.30.0%40.0%-40.0%20.0%54.0060.10
▸ 2026 Season
202622MLBWSH4423992393100%5.823.1%9.2%13.9%3.0%4.354.35+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBWSH44241032593100%6.123.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.264.21+0.1
202723MLBWSH2212511242100%6.023.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.264.21+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2212501242100%6.023.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.263.83+0.1
/ 200 IP36362008442016733100%5.623.9%8.8%15.1%3.0%4.263.83+3.7
Career18105624523251156%3.19.4%10.2%-0.8%4.4%4.476.02-1.0
/ 200 IP643620087082893856%3.19.4%10.2%-0.8%4.4%4.476.02-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Genderson Zapata (OGILVIE) 4.35 23.1%9.2%3.0% 4.21 23.9%15.1%24 -0.14
Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 22 SP- 3.47 23.7%8.4%2.4%.350 4.29 24.6%10.4%56 +0.82 2.92 103 88
Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP 24 SP- 4.28 23.3%9.3%3.6%.260 4.34 20.5%11.0%189 +0.06 3.68 323 87
Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP 23 SP- 3.98 21.2%8.7%2.9%.374 4.64 20.5%7.6%188 +0.66 3.18 234 86
Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 22 SP- 3.43 25.4%10.6%2.1%.351 5.24 21.6%5.6%193 +1.81 3.43 242 85
Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP 23 SP- 3.48 20.5%10.3%1.5%.246 4.20 21.6%12.8%184 +0.72 3.07 229 81
Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP 23 SP- 4.03 23.6%11.1%2.8%.312 5.16 22.3%9.9%93 +1.13 4.03 152 81
Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP 23 SP- 3.21 18.8%7.0%1.5%.316 3.82 19.8%11.5%296 +0.61 3.21 566 80
Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP 22 SP- 3.50 23.5%10.9%1.8%.306 3.50 128 79
Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP 24 SP- 4.91 21.9%13.2%3.6%.314 4.49 18.6%4.7%123 -0.42 4.16 164 79
Clay Chandler R 2027 · 4.97 FIP 23 SP- 4.97 18.3%6.0%4.8%.319 5.05 14.8%8.8%293 +0.08 4.82 328 77
Noah Skirrow R 2027 · 4.34 FIP 23 SP- 4.34 18.4%11.5%2.4%.306 4.68 16.2%5.7%316 +0.34 3.90 371 77
Jorge Juan R 2026 · 3.32 FIP 22 SP- 3.32 28.0%10.1%2.4%.310 4.96 23.0%4.7%103 +1.64 3.32 238 77
Brett Gillis R 2029 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 77
Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 22 SP- 3.85 20.9%11.4%2.0%.333 3.99 21.4%12.6%184 +0.14 2.91 439 77
Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 22 SW 3.83 19.2%6.0%2.9%.266 3.29 18.1%13.2%220 -0.54 3.28 255 77
Andrew Quezada R 2028 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 18.1%8.1%3.2%.312 4.78 14.6%6.1%291 +0.43 4.25 412 77
Ricky Castro R 2028 · 3.93 FIP 24 SP- 3.93 20.4%8.6%2.7%.287 4.58 19.4%11.0%140 +0.65 3.90 202 77
Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP- 4.56 18.8%11.2%3.0%.295 5.39 10.1%-4.6%72 +0.83 4.56 137 77
J.C. Flowers R 2027 · 3.39 FIP 23 SP- 3.39 21.3%8.7%1.8%.330 4.95 16.5%1.9%184 +1.56 3.39 281 77
Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 21 SP- 4.33 17.6%7.9%3.1%.343 6.52 19.2%11.3%197 +2.19 3.27 243 76