Deivy Cruz — OGILVIE

Deivy Cruz P Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 23 LHP 5'11" / 154 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 20 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 139

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%21.3%

BB%18.2%

K-BB%3.1%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	13	12	45	198	63	24	2	92%	3.5	21.6%	15.2%	6.5%	1.4%	5.20	3.97	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 1	13	12	45	198	63	24	2	92%	3.5	31.8%	12.1%	19.7%	1.0%	5.20	2.48	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	15	67	295	69	45	4	94%	4.2	17.0%	18.2%	-1.2%	1.6%	3.78	4.87	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	15	67	295	69	45	4	94%	4.2	23.4%	15.3%	8.1%	1.4%	3.78	3.83	—
2023	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	16	97	405	103	50	7	64%	3.9	18.8%	14.6%	4.3%	2.2%	3.62	4.56	—
2023	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	16	97	405	103	50	7	64%	3.9	25.4%	12.3%	13.1%	1.7%	3.62	3.46	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	34	158	46	32	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	23.5%	-0.7%	0.9%	5.03	4.62	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	34	158	46	32	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	23.5%	-0.7%	0.9%	5.03	4.62	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	34	158	46	32	1	0%	1.1	29.1%	20.3%	8.9%	0.6%	5.03	3.60	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	29	0	35	168	40	31	1	0%	1.2	17.6%	21.8%	-4.2%	0.9%	3.57	4.84	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	29	0	35	168	40	31	1	0%	1.2	17.6%	21.8%	-4.2%	0.9%	3.57	4.84	—
2025	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	29	0	35	168	40	31	1	0%	1.2	23.8%	18.5%	5.4%	0.6%	3.57	3.84	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	BAL	19	0	20	84	18	15	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	18.2%	3.1%	2.9%	5.55	5.55	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	31	0	33	138	30	21	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	15.5%	6.6%	2.8%	5.26	5.14	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	13	0	14	59	13	9	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	15.5%	6.6%	2.8%	5.26	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	13	9	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	15.5%	6.6%	2.8%	5.26	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	129	29	0%	1.1	22.1%	15.5%	6.6%	2.8%	5.26	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		115	43	278	1224	235	216	19	37%	2.4	19.2%	17.7%	1.5%	1.6%	4.08	4.59	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	31	200	881	169	156	14	37%	2.4	19.2%	17.7%	1.5%	1.6%	4.08	4.59	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deivy Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	21.3%	18.2%	2.9%	—	5.14	22.1%	6.6%	33	-0.41	—	—	—
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	84
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	79
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	79
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	77
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	77
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	73
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.06	18.5%	7.5%	165	-1.72	3.79	281	73
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	73
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	72
Marino Santy L 2024 · 4.80 FIP	22	SW	4.80	17.6%	16.1%	2.1%	.322	4.51	20.3%	1.1%	82	-0.29	3.91	270	72
Adam Laskey L 2021 · 6.39 FIP	23	SP-	6.39	16.0%	21.0%	3.6%	.383	3.25	20.1%	10.5%	188	-3.14	3.12	310	72
Graham Osman L 2024 · 4.36 FIP	23	SU	4.36	17.8%	19.0%	0.6%	.307	5.84	16.4%	-0.4%	98	+1.48	4.36	164	71
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	71
Gabe Morales L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	23	SW	5.30	23.2%	22.1%	2.5%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	268	70
Bryan Warzek L 2019 · 5.92 FIP	22	SW	5.92	17.7%	24.4%	2.2%	.328	6.74	20.2%	1.9%	73	+0.82	1.91	138	70
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	70
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	70
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	69
Nathan Kirby L 2018 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	17.7%	16.2%	2.7%	.318	3.84	25.3%	8.7%	38	-1.28	3.84	145	69
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	21.8%	16.5%	1.10	5.37
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51