Caedmon Parker P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers
Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: +1.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -1.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -5.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-6CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +0.82 (100 IP)+0.8WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
202623AKannapolis Cannon Ballers1716743238434894%4.419.2%12.4%6.8%3.2%3.874.82+0.0
ROS23MLBCWS552610925103100%5.123.1%9.4%13.7%3.0%4.374.37+0.1
ROS23MLBCWS023.1%9.4%13.7%3.0%4.374.37
2026 TOT23MLBCWS100432109441125.3%10.3%15.0%2.6%4.004.70+0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBCWS552611126103100%5.323.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.304.26+0.1
202724MLBCWS2211461141100%5.523.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.304.26+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2211471141100%5.623.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.303.87+0.1
/ 200 IP36362008441967118100%5.623.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.303.87+3.6
Career17167432362401094%4.419.2%12.4%6.8%3.2%3.874.82+0.0
/ 200 IP46432008691671082894%4.419.2%12.4%6.8%3.2%3.874.82+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Caedmon Parker (OGILVIE) 4.37 23.1%9.4%3.0% 4.26 23.7%14.7%26 -0.11
Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.65 FIP 23 SP 3.65 21.6%7.4%2.6%.241 5.26 18.3%7.9%176 +1.61 3.65 211 87
Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 23 SP 3.92 20.3%9.9%2.3%.315 4.36 22.3%13.8%422 +0.44 3.76 537 87
Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 23 SP 4.23 21.7%8.4%3.5%.329 3.55 21.5%12.4%178 -0.68 2.49 298 85
Trent Palmer R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 23 SP 4.85 22.0%10.4%4.2%.284 4.83 12.8%-9.4%22 -0.02 3.51 140 84
Ryan Garcia R 2027 · 3.87 FIP 24 SP 3.87 23.2%10.7%2.5%.239 5.71 20.0%6.1%278 +1.84 3.87 325 84
Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 23 SP- 3.56 21.9%8.3%2.3%.284 3.43 20.0%10.3%195 -0.13 2.97 258 83
Jared Karros R 2026 · 3.31 FIP 23 SP 3.31 21.9%9.2%1.6%.281 7.92 12.4%2.7%52 +4.61 3.31 191 82
Glenn Sparkman R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 23 SP 3.90 20.0%11.6%1.8%.296 3.61 15.9%10.9%207 -0.29 3.48 363 81
Angel Jimenez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 23 SP 3.95 22.7%9.7%2.8%.279 3.04 194 80
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 23 SP 4.82 21.7%13.8%3.3%.311 5.12 20.7%10.3%296 +0.30 3.36 432 80
Bryce Jarvis R 2026 · 4.78 FIP 23 SP 4.78 21.2%11.0%3.8%.276 5.00 18.0%6.0%296 +0.22 4.22 513 80
Marcelo Perez R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 23 SP 4.02 18.0%8.6%2.5%.288 4.99 14.1%6.7%217 +0.97 4.02 285 79
Gus Varland R 2025 · 4.13 FIP 22 SP- 4.13 19.6%8.7%2.9%.294 5.81 18.1%5.7%105 +1.68 2.54 304 79
Chance Kirby R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 23 SP 4.26 17.8%5.7%3.5%.298 5.86 14.2%6.7%166 +1.60 4.26 325 79
Kyle Funkhouser R 2026 · 3.45 FIP 23 SP 3.45 24.5%8.7%2.4%.329 4.35 19.0%5.9%193 +0.90 3.45 387 78
Brendan Beck R 2027 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 78
Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 18.1%8.1%3.2%.312 4.78 14.6%6.1%291 +0.43 4.25 412 77
Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 23 SP- 4.58 18.4%11.3%2.9%.315 4.53 21.6%9.0%305 -0.05 4.07 338 77
Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP 23 SP- 4.45 21.5%12.1%3.0%.275 4.09 25.9%14.9%121 -0.36 3.05 181 77
Drew McDaniel R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 23 SP 4.72 19.4%8.4%4.0%.307 6.57 17.9%5.9%61 +1.85 4.72 200 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22623.4%9.2%1.164.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63