Thomas Ponticelli
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 29
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138128vR 119
ERA5.27
FIP5.27
K%18.5%
BB%11.7%
K-BB%6.8%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 3 | 28 | 120 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 25% | 2.4 | 20.1% | 3.6% | 16.5% | 1.3% | 2.54 | 2.59 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 3 | 28 | 120 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 25% | 2.4 | 29.2% | 3.3% | 25.8% | 0.8% | 2.54 | 1.51 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | 24 | 12 | 92 | 412 | 73 | 46 | 15 | 50% | 3.8 | 13.1% | 13.2% | -0.1% | 4.8% | 5.07 | 6.31 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Lake County Captains | 24 | 12 | 92 | 412 | 73 | 46 | 15 | 50% | 3.8 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 5.07 | 5.13 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 12 | 91 | 377 | 82 | 32 | 8 | 43% | 3.3 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 2.96 | 4.73 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 12 | 91 | 377 | 82 | 32 | 8 | 43% | 3.3 | 21.8% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 2.1% | 2.96 | 3.49 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 9 | 71 | 308 | 63 | 33 | 8 | 23% | 1.8 | 17.0% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.04 | 4.79 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 9 | 71 | 308 | 63 | 33 | 8 | 23% | 1.8 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 4.04 | 4.18 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 44 | 5 | 64 | 293 | 57 | 29 | 8 | 11% | 1.5 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 44 | 5 | 64 | 293 | 57 | 29 | 8 | 11% | 1.5 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.64 | 4.30 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 10 | 8 | 28 | 162 | 12 | 29 | 11 | 80% | 2.8 | 6.5% | 18.8% | -12.3% | 6.3% | 14.96 | 8.37 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 10 | 8 | 28 | 162 | 12 | 29 | 11 | 80% | 2.8 | 7.4% | 17.9% | -10.5% | 6.8% | 14.96 | 10.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | COL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 5.27 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 85 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 4.97 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 108 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.28 | 4.97 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 49 | 375 | 1672 | 256 | 192 | 62 | 31% | 2.4 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 5.29 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 26 | 200 | 892 | 137 | 102 | 33 | 31% | 2.4 | 15.3% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 5.29 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Ponticelli (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.27 | 18.5% | 11.7% | 3.4% | — | 5.35 | 18.7% | 6.9% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 29 | SW | 6.19 | 15.7% | 13.1% | 5.0% | .294 | 5.26 | 19.2% | 8.7% | 25 | -0.93 | 3.33 | 258 | 74 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 74 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 74 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 74 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 73 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 73 |
| Alex Caldera R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 72 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 72 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 72 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 71 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 71 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 71 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 70 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 69 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 69 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 69 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 69 |
| Noah Song R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.96 | 16.6% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 106 | 68 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.88 | 15.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 221 | 68 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2024 · 5.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.77 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 4.7% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 157 | 68 |