Kahlil Watson

LF Columbus Clippers

Age 24 L/R 5'9" / 178 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAA40M40-MANROOKIEFG #271Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	AACLE	407	.220/.307/.407	16	15	61	—	.189/.257/.341
2025	22	AAACLE	176	.255/.362/.477	8	10	78	—	.200/.287/.342
2025	22	AACLE	253	.247/.340/.461	8	7	84	—	.213/.292/.387
2026	23	MLBCLE	91	.239/.264/.341	1	9	68	-0.6
2027PROJ45% MLB	24	MLBCLE	112	.221/.299/.368	3	5	89	0.0
2028PROJ51% MLB	25	MLBCLE	285	.223/.302/.375	8	14	91	0.2
2029PROJ54% MLB	26	MLBCLE	295	.224/.303/.378	9	14	93	0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$3M2031Arb-3$3M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV80

BB%77

Speed72

Chase%53

K%30

Z-Con%27

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 75%

CompsParker Meadows (age 24) · Brett Wisely (age 24) · Joey Wiemer (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .299 / .368

PA112

HR3

SB5

K%29

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO130

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT40

xAVG

100.209

POWER52

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

5289.3

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED56

Sprint

7128.3

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	42	33	13	3	2	0	8	7	1	4	1	394	524	606	1.130	212	500	17	19	491	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	358	324	75	16	5	9	27	127	4	16	3	231	299	395	694	164	346	35	8	307	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	18	11	3	2	0	1	5	5	1	0	0	273	529	727	1.257	455	333	28	28	493	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	341	285	61	13	0	12	43	92	8	25	3	214	333	386	719	172	263	27	13	323	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	359	79	15	2	16	42	125	3	15	9	220	307	407	714	187	285	31	10	317	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	176	149	38	7	1	8	22	47	3	10	2	255	362	477	839	221	312	27	12	368	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	253	219	54	13	5	8	26	72	5	7	5	247	340	461	801	215	326	28	10	350	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	91	88	21	6	0	1	3	32	0	9	1	239	264	341	605	102	364	35	3	270	68	-4	+1	+0	-6	+2	-0.6
2026	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	442	369	91	18	1	19	59	118	9	24	13	247	363	455	818	209	305	27	13	362	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	91	88	21	6	0	1	3	32	0	9	1	239	264	341	605	102	364	35	3	270	69	-3	+1	+0	-6	+2	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	42	36	10	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	278	381	389	770	111	406	24	12	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	358	331	53	10	3	6	20	179	4	16	3	160	217	263	480	103	307	50	6	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	18	13	3	2	0	1	3	7	1	0	0	231	412	615	1.027	385	242	39	17	402	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	341	295	54	12	0	9	33	114	8	25	3	183	283	315	598	132	244	33	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	370	70	13	2	13	31	155	3	15	9	189	257	341	598	151	272	38	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	176	155	31	5	1	5	16	59	3	10	2	200	287	342	629	142	280	34	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	253	225	48	11	5	6	20	93	5	7	5	213	292	387	679	173	313	37	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	91	88	21	6	0	1	3	32	0	9	1	239	264	341	605	102	364	35	3	268	68	-4	+1	+0	-6	+2	-0.6
2026	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	442	386	83	16	1	14	43	141	9	24	13	215	308	370	679	155	285	32	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	42	36	10	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	278	381	389	770	111	385	24	12	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	42	33	13	3	2	0	8	7	1	4	1	394	524	606	1.130	212	500	17	19	491	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	376	344	55	11	3	7	23	186	5	16	3	160	223	270	493	110	310	49	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	376	335	78	18	5	10	32	132	5	16	3	233	309	406	715	173	345	35	9	316	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	341	295	54	12	0	9	33	114	8	25	3	183	283	315	598	132	254	33	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	341	285	61	13	0	12	43	92	8	25	3	214	333	386	719	172	263	27	13	323	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	370	70	13	2	13	31	155	3	15	9	189	257	341	598	151	278	38	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	359	79	15	2	16	42	125	3	15	9	220	307	407	714	187	285	31	10	317	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	429	380	80	16	6	12	36	152	8	17	7	211	292	379	671	168	309	35	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	429	368	92	20	6	16	48	119	8	17	7	250	349	467	816	217	321	28	11	357	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	474	103	22	1	15	46	173	9	33	14	217	299	363	662	146	303	32	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	457	112	24	1	20	62	150	9	33	14	245	346	433	779	188	316	28	12	346	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	42	36	10	2	1	0	5	10	1	4	1	278	381	389	770	111	406	24	12	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	376	345	55	11	3	7	23	186	5	16	3	159	223	270	493	110	304	49	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	341	297	54	12	0	9	33	114	8	25	3	182	283	313	596	131	244	33	10	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	370	70	13	2	13	31	155	3	15	9	189	257	341	598	151	272	38	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	429	382	80	16	6	12	36	152	8	17	7	209	292	377	669	168	299	35	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	473	103	22	1	15	46	173	9	33	14	218	299	364	662	146	298	32	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	407	370	70	13	2	13	31	155	3	15	9	189	257	341	598	151	272	38	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	429	382	80	16	6	12	36	152	8	17	7	209	292	377	669	168	299	35	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	473	103	22	1	15	46	173	9	33	14	218	299	364	662	146	298	32	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	45%	380	339	76	15	2	11	32	112	6	18	4	220	299	369	668	148	292	29	8	299	89	-5	+2	-1	-4	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	CLE	45%	112	100	21	4	0	3	9	33	2	5	1	221	299	368	667	147	292	29	8	299	89	-1	+1	-0	-1	+2	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	51%	557	495	110	22	2	16	48	162	9	26	6	223	302	376	678	153	292	29	9	303	91	-6	+3	+0	-6	+12	0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	546	486	108	21	2	16	47	157	8	26	6	224	303	379	682	155	292	29	9	305	93	-5	+3	+0	-6	+12	0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	535	476	107	21	2	16	46	153	8	25	6	224	303	377	680	153	291	29	9	304	92	-5	+3	+0	-6	+12	0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	524	467	104	20	2	15	45	149	7	22	5	223	302	374	675	151	289	28	9	302	91	-6	+2	-1	-6	+11	0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	429	383	85	16	2	12	37	122	6	15	4	221	299	369	668	147	288	28	9	299	89	-6	+1	-1	-5	+9	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	420	375	82	16	1	12	36	121	6	12	3	218	295	360	655	142	285	29	9	294	85	-7	+1	-2	-4	+9	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	51%	285	255	56	11	1	8	24	83	4	14	3	223	302	375	677	152	292	29	8	303	91	-3	+2	+0	-3	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	295	264	59	12	1	9	25	85	4	14	3	224	303	378	682	154	292	29	8	305	93	-3	+2	+0	-3	+6	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	290	259	58	11	1	9	25	83	4	13	3	224	303	377	680	152	291	29	9	304	92	-3	+1	+0	-3	+6	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	284	254	56	11	1	8	24	81	4	12	3	223	302	373	675	150	290	29	8	302	91	-3	+1	-0	-3	+6	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	228	204	45	9	1	6	19	65	3	8	2	222	300	368	668	146	288	29	8	299	89	-3	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	220	196	43	8	1	6	19	63	3	7	2	218	296	360	655	141	285	29	9	294	85	-4	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1693	1520	338	68	6	47	139	492	22	77	17	222	297	368	665	145	295	29	8	300	82	-22	+9	-2	-23	+37	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	129	26	2	18	53	189	8	30	7	221	294	365	659	144	293	29	8	300	82	-8	+3	-1	-9	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5389	4804	1017	202	25	150	454	1728	82	248	70	212	291	358	649	146	293	32	8	289	82	-41	+16	-4	-41	+73	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	122	24	3	18	55	208	10	30	8	211	290	356	646	145	291	32	8	289	82	-8	+3	-1	-8	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.7	1,804	51	81	224	297	373	-19	-1	1.6	1.6
/162	664	19	30	-7.1	-0.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Greg Briley'88-'93 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,670 PA	2.5	1,670	29	65	251*	309*	399*	-17	-4	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	26	-6.8	-1.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kahlil Watson (OGILVIE)	24	30→40	45→52	55→56	50	218/297/365	147	292	7	12	29%	8%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	54→55	46	237/301/384	147	305	16	24	27%	8%	93	+0.8	233/299/358	125	300	12	15	25%	8%	86	+0.3	230/298/342	112	290	10	18	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	44	52→55	56→55	42	224/289/391	167	304	20	23	32%	7%	91	+0.7	205/279/337	132	284	14	17	31%	8%	75	-0.5	188/270/304	117	259	13	16	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Jacob Melton 2024 · AA	23	37→45	50	58→65	42	201/259/346	145	257	19	31	30%	7%	69	-0.9	221/277/365	144	298	16	35	30%	7%	80	-0.2	224/283/374	150	305	16	44	30%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Elijah Dunham 2023 · AA	25	44	48→50	58→60	47	221/295/372	151	285	15	28	27%	8%	88	+0.5	208/279/348	140	290	14	25	31%	8%	77	-0.3	192/263/324	133	273	13	24	33%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Dustin Harris 2024 · AAA	25	45→55	49→50	59→60	49	228/305/379	151	286	16	26	26%	9%	94	+0.9	242/308/364	122	304	11	30	23%	8%	91	+0.7	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Pedro León 2023 · AAA	25	42→49	48→50	53→55	46	203/304/348	145	307	15	31	36%	10%	88	+0.4	226/298/380	154	322	18	24	33%	7%	92	+0.7	227/291/377	150	326	18	25	34%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Bradley Zimmer 2017 · AAA	24	48→51	46→50	57→60	43	224/302/360	135	337	13	29	35%	8%	88	+0.5	233/296/372	139	347	14	26	34%	7%	88	+0.5	230/307/358	128	349	13	28	35%	7%	90	+0.3
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43→47	48→50	54→55	44	215/286/349	133	304	17	18	33%	9%	80	-0.2	216/282/348	132	295	14	16	30%	8%	78	-0.3	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Akil Baddoo 2024 · MLB	25	47→53	48→50	54→55	53	234/315/381	146	298	15	22	26%	11%	97	+1.1	217/292/370	153	288	15	25	28%	9%	87	+0.4	209/284/365	156	277	15	27	29%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Leody Taveras 2022 · MLB	23	42→52	47→50	55	44	213/274/352	139	281	14	22	29%	8%	76	-0.4	244/295/382	138	310	13	19	25%	7%	91	+0.6	251/301/382	131	311	12	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7
●Lawrence Butler 2024 · MLB	24	46→49	49→55	54→55	41	229/282/378	149	309	17	17	31%	7%	85	+0.2	240/304/416	176	298	22	19	26%	8%	102	+1.5	238/311/416	178	292	23	19	26%	10%	105	+1.7
✕Oswald Peraza 2024 · MLB	24	45→54	48→50	55→60	43	230/292/365	135	286	16	26	25%	6%	86	+0.3	213/280/329	116	277	14	23	27%	7%	73	-0.6	205/271/309	103	274	13	24	29%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Brett Jackson 2013 · MLB	24	45→53	50→55	56→55	43	215/293/379	164	335	16	20	38%	9%	89	+0.5	183/255/295	112	319	11	15	42%	8%	56	-1.9	156/228/236	80	277	7	12	43%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	44→48	48→50	54→55	43	220/290/366	146	298	15	19	30%	7%	86	+0.3	216/280/347	131	293	13	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Estevan Florial 2023 · MLB	25	45→55	47→50	55→60	42	216/281/357	141	323	14	30	36%	8%	80	-0.2	215/286/372	157	323	17	28	36%	9%	85	+0.2	205/281/368	163	302	19	30	36%	9%	81	-0.0
●Jake McCarthy 2022 · MLB	25	43→53	49→50	63→60	43	217/282/372	156	302	15	30	32%	8%	83	+0.1	264/327/402	138	323	13	34	21%	7%	107	+1.8	277/340/401	125	327	11	37	18%	7%	111	+1.8
●Derek Fisher 2017 · AAA	23	46→52	49→55	55	46	225/299/371	146	316	17	20	32%	9%	90	+0.6	234/306/405	171	327	21	18	33%	9%	100	+1.3	231/307/412	181	317	23	18	33%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Taylor Trammell 2022 · MLB	24	41→48	49→55	47→55	45	211/289/355	144	289	17	12	32%	9%	83	+0.1	221/305/392	171	297	20	18	31%	10%	97	+1.1	210/303/380	170	280	20	23	31%	11%	92	+0.4

Kahlil Watson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps