Sam Petersen — OGILVIE

Sam PetersenOF Harrisburg Senators

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION353 act + 235 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .309 / .388

PA235

HR8

SB12

K%34

BB%9

BABIP307

ISO170

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$9M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2034	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M
Totals		$11M		$36M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	22	8	3	1	0	1	8	1	5	0	364	417	591	1.008	227	533	32	4	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	22	8	3	1	0	1	6	1	5	0	364	417	591	1.008	227	471	24	4	421	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	283	246	63	8	2	7	22	77	11	24	2	256	344	390	734	134	339	27	8	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	283	235	73	12	2	10	33	61	11	24	2	311	419	506	926	196	377	22	12	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	WSH	—	353	305	65	13	2	12	34	128	11	26	4	213	314	387	701	174	315	36	10	301	89	-5	+4	+0	-2	+10	0.7
YTD	23	AA	WSH	—	353	285	71	15	2	13	50	99	11	26	4	249	377	453	830	204	330	28	14	367	139	+16	+4	+0	-2	+10	2.8
ROS	23	AA	WSH	2%	235	206	45	9	1	8	21	79	6	12	2	218	309	388	696	170	303	34	9	309	95	-1	+2	-0	-1	+7	0.5
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		303	40	0	290	80	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	WSH	—	358	310	66	13	2	12	34	130	11	26	4	213	313	384	697	171	316	36	9	301	88	-5	+4	-0	-2	+10	0.7
TOT	23	AA	WSH	—	588	511	110	22	3	20	55	207	17	38	6	215	312	387	699	172	312	35	9	304	91	-6	+5	-0	-4	+17	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	39%	581	510	111	21	3	19	53	188	13	21	3	218	307	382	690	165	301	32	9	310	95	-3	+3	-0	-3	+16	1.3
2028	25	MLB	WSH	56%	604	531	117	22	3	20	55	190	13	19	3	220	309	386	695	166	300	31	9	313	98	-2	+3	-0	-4	+17	1.4
2029	26	MLB	WSH	64%	610	536	120	23	3	21	56	189	13	17	3	224	312	396	708	172	300	31	9	314	99	-1	+2	-0	-4	+17	1.5
2030	27	MLB	WSH	66%	609	535	119	23	3	20	57	188	12	16	2	222	311	389	700	166	299	31	9	315	99	-1	+2	-0	-4	+17	1.5
2031	28	MLB	WSH	67%	604	530	117	22	3	20	57	188	12	15	2	221	311	387	697	166	299	31	9	314	98	-1	+2	-1	-4	+17	1.4
2032	29	MLB	WSH	66%	596	523	116	22	3	20	56	186	12	14	2	222	311	390	701	168	298	31	9	312	97	-2	+2	-2	-4	+17	1.2
2033	30	MLB	WSH	65%	587	514	113	21	3	19	56	185	12	13	2	220	311	383	694	163	296	32	10	309	95	-4	+2	-3	-4	+17	0.9
2034	31	MLB	WSH	65%	577	505	108	20	2	18	55	184	12	12	2	214	306	368	674	154	294	32	10	305	91	-6	+2	-3	-3	+16	0.6
2035	32	MLB	WSH	65%	567	498	104	19	2	17	53	183	11	11	2	209	299	357	656	149	290	32	9	299	87	-8	+1	-4	-3	+16	0.2
2036	33	MLB	WSH	64%	489	430	88	16	2	14	46	160	10	9	1	205	296	349	645	144	285	33	9	292	82	-10	+1	-5	-3	+14	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	WSH	39%	225	197	42	8	1	7	21	73	5	8	1	213	305	371	675	157	301	32	9	293	83	-4	+1	-0	-1	+6	0.2
2028	25	MLB	WSH	56%	337	296	65	12	2	11	31	106	7	11	2	220	308	385	694	166	300	31	9	297	86	-5	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2029	26	MLB	WSH	64%	389	342	76	14	2	13	36	121	8	11	2	222	311	389	700	167	300	31	9	299	87	-6	+1	-0	-2	+11	0.4
2030	27	MLB	WSH	66%	401	353	78	15	2	13	37	124	8	11	2	221	309	385	694	164	299	31	9	300	87	-6	+1	-0	-2	+11	0.4
2031	28	MLB	WSH	67%	404	355	78	15	2	13	38	125	8	10	1	220	309	383	692	163	299	31	9	299	87	-6	+2	-1	-2	+11	0.4
2032	29	MLB	WSH	66%	392	344	76	14	2	13	37	122	8	9	1	221	311	387	698	166	298	31	9	297	85	-7	+1	-1	-2	+11	0.2
2033	30	MLB	WSH	65%	382	335	73	14	2	12	36	120	8	8	1	218	309	379	688	161	296	31	9	294	83	-7	+1	-2	-2	+11	0.1
2034	31	MLB	WSH	65%	374	329	71	13	2	12	35	119	7	8	1	216	305	377	681	161	294	32	9	290	80	-8	+1	-2	-2	+11	-0.1
2035	32	MLB	WSH	65%	366	322	68	12	2	11	34	118	7	7	1	211	300	363	664	152	290	32	9	285	76	-10	+1	-3	-2	+10	-0.3
2036	33	MLB	WSH	64%	315	276	56	10	1	9	30	103	6	6	1	203	295	344	639	141	285	33	10	278	71	-10	+1	-3	-2	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3590	3154	684	127	18	114	335	1133	72	89	13	217	306	377	683	160	296	32	9	294	83	-70	+13	-12	-22	+102	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	124	23	3	21	61	205	13	16	2	217	307	378	685	161	296	32	9	294	83	-13	+2	-2	-4	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	6367	5586	1229	229	31	203	588	2005	138	188	26	220	310	381	691	161	301	31	9	310	95	-35	+27	-19	-38	+180	11.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	125	23	3	21	60	205	14	19	3	219	309	381	689	161	300	32	9	310	95	-4	+3	-2	-4	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	25	22	8	3	1	0	1	6	1	5	0	364	417	591	1.008	227	471	24	4	421	180	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	172	145	43	6	2	6	20	31	5	18	0	297	400	490	890	193	339	18	12	391	158	+11	+4	—	—	+5	2.0
2025	22	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	42	31	12	1	0	1	6	9	4	4	1	387	537	516	1.053	129	500	21	14	465	214	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	69	59	18	5	0	3	7	21	2	2	1	305	397	542	939	237	417	30	10	407	169	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,590	116	88	219	305	382	-22	+0	6.3	6.0
	/162	664	21	16	219	305	382	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 6
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Petersen (OGILVIE)	23	50	52	57	57	215/312/387	172	312	20	38	35%	9%	91	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Wiemer 2022 · A	23	45→43	53→55	53→55	45	232/305/398	166	303	22	19	30%	8%	98	+1.6	211/279/361	150	293	17	19	32%	8%	78	+0.2	198/270/335	137	277	15	20	33%	8%	65	-0.5
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	50	44	232/297/394	162	296	20	12	28%	7%	93	+1.3	242/301/407	165	320	20	11	29%	7%	98	+1.6	245/305/413	168	324	20	11	29%	7%	99	+1.5
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA	23	44→48	56→60	51→50	41	229/299/428	199	311	23	16	33%	7%	104	+2.0	216/281/382	166	298	18	14	32%	7%	84	+0.6	200/265/345	145	281	15	14	33%	7%	66	-0.4
●Zack Gelof 2022 · A	22	49→50	47→55	54→55	43	236/299/379	142	334	15	17	32%	8%	90	+1.0	235/298/420	185	327	24	20	34%	8%	101	+1.8	229/294/414	185	314	24	24	33%	8%	95	+1.2
✕Everson Pereira 2023 · AA	22	46	52→55	54→50	39	226/284/396	170	330	19	16	36%	7%	89	+0.9	225/287/381	156	333	18	15	36%	7%	86	+0.8	218/287/372	154	315	19	15	35%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	46→52	50→55	52→50	39	234/277/394	160	299	18	15	28%	5%	85	+0.7	213/265/357	144	280	16	12	29%	5%	70	-0.3	233/275/409	176	307	23	8	31%	5%	85	+0.3
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	50→51	52→55	55→60	46	256/312/420	164	298	20	16	22%	7%	107	+2.2	230/299/387	157	287	18	24	26%	8%	92	+1.2	236/306/357	121	292	13	33	22%	8%	85	+0.6
●Danny Espinosa 2010 · A	23	45→51	48→55	51→50	43	223/296/371	148	309	15	18	32%	8%	87	+0.8	233/299/396	163	303	18	17	28%	7%	95	+1.4	235/304/401	166	303	19	17	27%	7%	94	+1.5
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A	22	47→50	48→50	54→55	46	235/299/377	141	293	16	14	25%	8%	90	+1.0	211/279/333	122	267	11	20	24%	7%	70	-0.3	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Brett Wisely 2022 · A	23	50→51	50	52→55	43	245/303/393	148	335	18	20	31%	8%	95	+1.4	233/301/372	139	303	14	18	26%	8%	89	+1.0	231/301/365	134	292	13	17	24%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Daulton Varsho 2019 · A	23	47→49	47→60	55→50	42	237/293/366	130	303	15	18	27%	6%	85	+0.7	242/305/419	177	281	21	17	21%	7%	103	+1.9	227/294/419	192	260	25	15	23%	8%	96	+1.3
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	47→48	49→55	57→55	45	236/289/395	160	287	15	16	24%	7%	90	+1.0	235/296/383	148	288	14	17	23%	8%	90	+1.0	234/299/385	150	285	15	17	23%	8%	90	+0.8
●Derek Fisher 2017 · AAA	23	45→52	48→55	55	45	221/295/360	139	316	16	20	34%	9%	84	+0.6	233/304/401	168	327	20	18	33%	9%	98	+1.6	231/306/412	181	317	23	18	33%	9%	98	+1.2
●Harrison Bader 2016 · A	22	48→56	48→55	52→55	39	240/287/385	145	307	16	17	27%	5%	87	+0.8	234/289/375	141	318	17	14	31%	5%	85	+0.7	235/323/425	190	291	22	15	26%	9%	105	+1.2
✕Chris Pettit 2008 · A	23	52→55	48→50	52→50	46	258/323/414	157	315	14	14	22%	7%	110	+2.4	244/302/375	131	298	11	15	21%	6%	90	+1.0	207/268/328	121	277	11	16	28%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Cole Gillespie 2007 · A	23	49→59	46→50	52→50	52	239/317/369	129	293	13	15	22%	9%	95	+1.4	230/310/366	136	297	12	13	25%	10%	92	+1.2	225/307/369	144	290	13	14	25%	10%	89	+0.8
✕Ezequiel Duran 2022 · A	23	40→50	53→55	50	37	207/268/379	172	301	21	14	37%	6%	78	+0.2	242/286/404	162	315	18	13	28%	5%	92	+1.2	251/292/407	156	316	18	12	26%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA	22	46→48	51→55	58→55	37	235/272/402	167	295	18	19	27%	4%	85	+0.7	240/277/395	155	301	17	23	26%	4%	85	+0.7	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7