Sam PetersenOF
Harrisburg Senators
Age 23
R/R
5'11" / 200 lbs
AA
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.5 · 2030
wRC+†98
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .304 / .373
PA251
HR7
SB10
K%27
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
52→52
SPD
57→57
FLD
50→50
EYE
52↗57
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.4 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.2 | $11M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.0 | $10M | +$6M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $13M | $64M | +$52M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 25 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .364 | .417 | .591 | 1.008 | .227 | .533 | 32 | 4 | .344 | 121 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 283 | 248 | 63 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 74 | 11 | 24 | 2 | .254 | .337 | .395 | .732 | .141 | .325 | 26 | 7 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +4 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 77 | 65 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 1 | .215 | .329 | .446 | .775 | .231 | .333 | 42 | 13 | .322 | 105 | +0 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | WSH | 174 | 154 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .221 | .302 | .370 | .672 | .149 | .296 | 29 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | WSH | 251 | 219 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 83 | 3 | 10 | 2 | .219 | .310 | .393 | .703 | .174 | .302 | 33 | 10 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | WSH | 322 | 282 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 72 | 4 | 9 | 2 | .230 | .320 | .394 | .713 | .163 | .273 | 22 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +1 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | WSH | 378 | 331 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 84 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .233 | .323 | .396 | .718 | .163 | .275 | 22 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | WSH | 414 | 362 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 92 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .238 | .328 | .409 | .737 | .171 | .277 | 22 | 10 | .327 | 108 | +4 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | WSH | 428 | 374 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 96 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .235 | .327 | .401 | .728 | .166 | .277 | 22 | 11 | .327 | 108 | +4 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | WSH | 433 | 378 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 98 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .233 | .326 | .397 | .722 | .164 | .277 | 23 | 11 | .326 | 107 | +4 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | WSH | 429 | 375 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 45 | 98 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .232 | .324 | .397 | .721 | .165 | .276 | 23 | 10 | .323 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 85% | WSH | 423 | 369 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 98 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .230 | .324 | .390 | .714 | .160 | .274 | 23 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | WSH | 410 | 359 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 97 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .228 | .319 | .390 | .709 | .162 | .273 | 24 | 10 | .317 | 100 | +0 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 393 | 343 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 95 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .224 | .318 | .382 | .700 | .157 | .271 | 24 | 11 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 364 | 318 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 90 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .220 | .313 | .368 | .681 | .148 | .270 | 25 | 10 | .306 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 320 | 280 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 82 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .214 | .306 | .357 | .663 | .143 | .268 | 26 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 268 | 235 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 72 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .209 | .301 | .345 | .645 | .136 | .265 | 27 | 10 | .292 | 82 | -6 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5064 | 4430 | 1019 | 184 | 26 | 155 | 517 | 1207 | 75 | 134 | 14 | .230 | .321 | .388 | .709 | .158 | .279 | 24 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +6 | +21 | -29 | -30 | +143 | 11.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 131 | 24 | 3 | 20 | 66 | 155 | 10 | 17 | 2 | .230 | .321 | .388 | .710 | .158 | .279 | 24 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +1 | +3 | -4 | -4 | +18 | 1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 25 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .364 | .417 | .591 | 1.008 | .227 | .471 | 24 | 4 | .421 | 180 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 172 | 145 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 5 | 18 | 0 | .297 | .400 | .490 | .890 | .193 | .339 | 18 | 12 | .391 | 158 | +11 | +4 | — | — | +5 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 42 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .387 | .537 | .516 | 1.053 | .129 | .500 | 21 | 14 | .465 | 214 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | 69 | 59 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .305 | .397 | .542 | .939 | .237 | .417 | 30 | 10 | .407 | 169 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sam Petersen (OGILVIE) | 23 | 50 | 52 | 57 | 57 | .227/.304/.373 | .146 | .292 | 7 | 6 | 27% | 8% | 92 | +0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Joe Benson 2011 · AA |
23 | 45→50 | 52→60 | 51→50 | 41 | .226/.298/.400 | .174 | .315 | 18 | 16 | 33% | 7% | 96 | +1.5 | .220/.286/.381 | .161 | .306 | 17 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .202/.268/.342 | .140 | .286 | 13 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
●Harrison Bader 2016 · A |
22 | 48→55 | 48→55 | 51→55 | 41 | .240/.291/.385 | .145 | .301 | 16 | 16 | 26% | 5% | 89 | +0.9 | .231/.286/.375 | .144 | .313 | 17 | 14 | 31% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .235/.328/.418 | .183 | .312 | 21 | 18 | 29% | 9% | 108 | +1.3 |
|
●Daulton Varsho 2019 · A |
23 | 47→49 | 47→60 | 55→50 | 42 | .234/.291/.364 | .130 | .302 | 15 | 18 | 27% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .241/.303/.414 | .173 | .282 | 20 | 17 | 22% | 7% | 102 | +1.8 | .235/.301/.435 | .201 | .269 | 26 | 15 | 23% | 8% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
✕Chris Pettit 2008 · A |
23 | 52→55 | 48→50 | 52→50 | 46 | .257/.323/.412 | .155 | .313 | 14 | 14 | 22% | 7% | 109 | +2.4 | .244/.303/.376 | .132 | .297 | 12 | 15 | 21% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .204/.267/.320 | .116 | .275 | 10 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Cole Gillespie 2007 · A |
23 | 49→57 | 46→50 | 52→50 | 51 | .238/.315/.366 | .127 | .293 | 13 | 15 | 23% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .230/.310/.366 | .136 | .297 | 12 | 13 | 25% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .225/.307/.371 | .146 | .290 | 13 | 14 | 25% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A |
22 | 47→52 | 48→50 | 54→55 | 47 | .237/.301/.377 | .140 | .295 | 15 | 14 | 25% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .208/.275/.326 | .118 | .264 | 10 | 20 | 24% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.302/.379 | .141 | .300 | 14 | 21 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA |
23 | 44→49 | 50→60 | 47→50 | 44 | .224/.296/.380 | .156 | .288 | 18 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .234/.304/.421 | .187 | .295 | 22 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 104 | +2.0 | .238/.311/.439 | .201 | .293 | 25 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
●Jordan Westburg 2022 · AA |
23 | 50→53 | 47→60 | 51→50 | 43 | .234/.311/.373 | .140 | .342 | 13 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .239/.302/.413 | .174 | .311 | 19 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 101 | +1.8 | .260/.312/.459 | .199 | .309 | 24 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 114 | +2.1 |
|
✕DJ Stewart 2018 · AA |
24 | 46→48 | 48→60 | 52→50 | 48 | .232/.304/.375 | .143 | .287 | 16 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .226/.301/.386 | .160 | .275 | 19 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 94 | +1.3 | .217/.322/.406 | .189 | .259 | 24 | 4 | 26% | 12% | 104 | +1.0 |
|
●Jordan Parraz 2008 · A |
23 | 47→56 | 46→50 | 52→50 | 43 | .236/.290/.368 | .132 | .286 | 14 | 18 | 23% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .251/.317/.374 | .123 | .311 | 10 | 13 | 21% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .260/.324/.392 | .132 | .318 | 11 | 6 | 20% | 6% | 99 | +1.3 |
|
●Aaron Cunningham 2008 · AA |
22 | 50→57 | 47→55 | 50 | 43 | .248/.303/.392 | .144 | .302 | 14 | 15 | 23% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .252/.308/.399 | .147 | .325 | 14 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .249/.307/.391 | .142 | .326 | 13 | 10 | 26% | 6% | 93 | +1.0 |
|
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A |
23 | 51→53 | 51→55 | 54→60 | 46 | .258/.313/.418 | .160 | .302 | 19 | 16 | 22% | 6% | 106 | +2.2 | .229/.297/.383 | .154 | .287 | 18 | 24 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .212/.288/.343 | .131 | .275 | 14 | 30 | 27% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Nick Senzel 2018 · AA |
23 | 52→56 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 45 | .252/.308/.396 | .144 | .327 | 12 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .248/.303/.399 | .151 | .320 | 14 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .250/.307/.393 | .144 | .308 | 14 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A |
23 | 47→52 | 45→50 | 53→50 | 48 | .231/.295/.361 | .130 | .274 | 12 | 11 | 20% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .233/.296/.363 | .130 | .272 | 15 | 15 | 20% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .238/.318/.362 | .124 | .267 | 13 | 11 | 16% | 9% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
●Brian Goodwin 2014 · AA |
23 | 46→52 | 45→60 | 50 | 48 | .226/.299/.357 | .132 | .297 | 12 | 15 | 27% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .214/.278/.326 | .112 | .294 | 10 | 13 | 29% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .243/.309/.437 | .195 | .311 | 23 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 105 | +1.3 |
|
●Connor Norby 2023 · AAA |
23 | 45→49 | 53→55 | 49→50 | 44 | .234/.298/.405 | .171 | .295 | 21 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .242/.300/.407 | .165 | .317 | 19 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .245/.303/.409 | .164 | .323 | 19 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 97 | +1.4 |
|
●Edward Olivares 2019 · A |
23 | 45→53 | 47→55 | 52→55 | 38 | .226/.265/.365 | .139 | .280 | 14 | 13 | 25% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .225/.272/.356 | .131 | .277 | 15 | 18 | 24% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .259/.316/.431 | .172 | .293 | 20 | 16 | 19% | 6% | 108 | +1.4 |
|
✕Brian Joynt 2009 · A |
24 | 46 | 49→60 | 49→45 | 46 | .230/.295/.382 | .152 | .301 | 15 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | .214/.261/.348 | .134 | .302 | 15 | 7 | 33% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .188/.225/.310 | .122 | .270 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 40 | -1.5 |
|
●Paul DeJong 2016 · A |
22 | 50 | 47→65 | 52→45 | 45 | .246/.303/.385 | .139 | .308 | 13 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .239/.289/.419 | .180 | .310 | 22 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 97 | +1.5 | .251/.316/.479 | .228 | .293 | 31 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 122 | +3.2 |
|
●Dominic Canzone 2022 · AA |
24 | 46→53 | 49→60 | 54→50 | 42 | .231/.289/.377 | .145 | .306 | 16 | 18 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.298/.420 | .176 | .291 | 22 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 101 | +1.8 | .252/.309/.432 | .181 | .291 | 24 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 106 | +1.5 |