Kenya Huggins — OGILVIE

Kenya Huggins P Midland RockHounds

+0.4 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.7 · 2028

ERA4.54

FIP4.54

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.3%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%11.1%

IP72

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2028

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	ACL Reds	1	1	1	5	3	0	1	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
2023	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	14	6	35	164	43	22	1	19.4%	15.8%	0.7%	4.67	3.87	+0.4
2024	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	4	0	8	28	7	3	0	—	—	—	1.12	—	—
2025	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	24	21	78	317	72	32	5	16.9%	11.9%	2.1%	3.81	4.31	+0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	2	1	5	23	4	4	0	—	—	—	6.75	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	13	13	72	303	65	31	9	21.3%	10.2%	2.9%	4.54	4.54	+0.4
2026 Total	23	MLB	OAK	—	—	77	326	69	35	9	21.1%	10.7%	2.7%	4.69	4.23	+0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	OAK	13	13	74	311	69	30	9	22.1%	9.6%	2.8%	4.44	4.39	+0.6
2028	25	MLB	OAK	14	14	74	315	71	29	9	22.6%	9.2%	2.8%	4.35	4.30	+0.7
2029	26	MLB	OAK	14	14	74	315	72	29	9	22.8%	9.2%	2.8%	4.31	4.28	+0.7
2030	27	MLB	OAK	13	13	74	312	71	29	9	22.9%	9.2%	2.9%	4.30	4.29	+0.7
2031	28	MLB	OAK	13	13	73	307	70	28	9	22.8%	9.3%	2.9%	4.31	4.32	+0.6
2032	29	MLB	OAK	13	13	71	301	68	28	9	22.7%	9.3%	2.9%	4.34	4.36	+0.6
2033	30	MLB	OAK	13	13	69	292	66	28	9	22.5%	9.4%	3.0%	4.39	4.42	+0.5
2034	31	MLB	OAK	12	12	67	282	63	27	9	22.2%	9.6%	3.1%	4.45	4.50	+0.4
2035	32	MLB	OAK	12	12	64	270	59	26	9	22.0%	9.7%	3.1%	4.53	4.58	+0.3
2036	33	MLB	OAK	11	11	61	258	56	26	8	21.6%	9.9%	3.2%	4.62	4.68	+0.2
2037	34	MLB	OAK	58	—	58	245	52	25	8	21.3%	10.1%	3.3%	4.72	4.79	+0.1
2038	35	MLB	OAK	55	—	55	231	48	24	8	20.9%	10.3%	3.4%	4.84	4.91	+0.0
2039	36	MLB	OAK	51	—	51	216	44	23	8	20.5%	10.6%	3.6%	4.96	5.05	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			45	29	127	537	100	71	9	18.5%	13.1%	1.6%	3.97	4.09	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—			71	46	200	846	157	112	14	18.5%	13.1%	1.6%	3.97	4.09	+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenya Huggins (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	21.3%	10.2%	2.9%	—	4.32	22.5%	13.2%	223	-0.22	—	—	—
Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	23	SW	4.24	19.5%	10.0%	2.8%	.308	4.43	16.0%	9.0%	156	+0.19	4.24	225	95
Austin Ross R 2027 · 4.42 FIP	24	SW	4.42	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.22	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.80	4.42	121	93
Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.69 FIP	22	SW	3.69	21.8%	10.3%	2.1%	.294	3.85	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.16	3.69	122	93
Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.59 FIP	23	SW	3.59	21.3%	9.4%	2.0%	.284	4.24	21.6%	11.4%	167	+0.65	2.57	304	92
Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	23	SW	4.23	23.6%	11.1%	3.1%	.312	5.10	22.3%	9.9%	93	+0.87	4.23	152	92
Alex Palsha R 2027 · 3.86 FIP	24	SW	3.86	20.6%	10.4%	2.2%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.03	3.40	134	92
Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	23	SW	4.50	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.24	25.9%	14.9%	121	-0.26	3.32	181	92
Ricky Castro R 2027 · 4.02 FIP	24	SW	4.02	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	4.87	18.2%	10.0%	95	+0.85	4.02	158	92
Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.74	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.64	4.10	105	91
Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.71 FIP	23	SW	3.71	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.53	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.82	2.08	276	91
Alex Klonowski R 2026 · 3.58 FIP	23	SW	3.58	21.8%	9.4%	2.1%	.331	4.70	14.3%	7.1%	413	+1.12	3.58	539	91
Tyler Joyner R 2026 · 3.71 FIP	23	SW	3.71	20.7%	9.9%	2.0%	.250	6.54	16.1%	5.2%	37	+2.83	3.71	114	91
Todd Van Steensel R 2027 · 3.78 FIP	24	SW	3.78	22.5%	11.6%	2.0%	.294	3.31	19.3%	6.5%	157	-0.47	2.87	223	91
Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	21.9%	8.3%	2.9%	.284	3.50	18.7%	9.0%	167	-0.40	3.06	230	91
Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.95 FIP	23	SW	3.95	21.9%	11.5%	2.3%	.338	3.75	25.7%	14.5%	159	-0.20	3.30	218	91
J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.57 FIP	23	SW	3.57	21.3%	8.7%	2.1%	.330	4.95	16.5%	1.9%	184	+1.38	3.57	281	90
Brett Standlee R 2026 · 4.11 FIP	23	SW	4.11	19.7%	11.1%	2.3%	.322	4.48	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.37	4.11	128	90
William Kempner R 2025 · 4.04 FIP	22	SW	4.04	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.24	27.3%	11.8%	68	-0.80	3.24	129	90
Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.03 FIP	23	SW	4.03	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.52	21.5%	12.4%	178	-0.51	2.48	281	90
Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.32 FIP	23	SW	4.32	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.21	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.71	301	89

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.8M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$7M		$16M	+$9M