Kenya Huggins P Midland RockHounds
Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.7 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%18.2%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%7.0%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 120 IP
K: -1.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -3.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -1.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +16.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+16STAMTotal WAR: +1.11 (120 IP)+1.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.20.20.10.10.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF4550
CTRL40
CMD4555
K†4550
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2030Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-2$2M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-3$2M
Totals $2M $2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202219ROKACL Reds1115301100%1.060.0%0.0%60.0%20.0%0.009.01
202219ROKACL Reds1115301100%1.060.0%0.0%60.0%20.0%0.0010.10
202320ADaytona Tortugas146351644322143%2.519.4%15.8%3.6%0.7%4.673.85
202320ADaytona Tortugas146351644322143%2.526.2%13.4%12.8%0.6%4.672.90
202421ADaytona Tortugas408287300%2.025.0%10.7%14.3%0.0%1.122.35
202421ADaytona Tortugas408287300%2.025.0%10.7%14.3%0.0%1.122.48
202522MIX2 levels2421783177232588%3.216.9%11.9%5.1%2.1%3.814.32
202522MIX2 levels2421783177232588%3.222.7%10.1%12.6%1.6%3.813.32
▸ 2026 Season
202623AAMidland RockHounds179592746431553%3.518.9%12.4%6.5%2.2%6.904.28+0.2
ROS23MLBOAK996226047297100%6.818.2%11.2%7.0%2.9%4.934.93-0.2
ROS23MLBOAK1114100100%1.018.2%11.2%7.0%2.8%4.894.89-0.0
2026 TOT23MLBOAK120534111601220.8%11.2%9.6%2.3%5.894.61+1.1
2026 FULL23MLBOAK1511018.2%11.2%7.0%2.8%4.894.51+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBOAK11116326652278100%5.719.7%10.1%9.5%2.8%4.744.66-0.0
202825MLBOAK11116427055268100%5.820.5%9.5%11.0%2.8%4.594.51+0.1
202926MLBOAK11116427056258100%5.820.9%9.4%11.5%2.9%4.524.47+0.1
203027MLBOAK10106326656258100%6.321.0%9.5%11.4%2.9%4.514.51+0.1
203128MLBOAK10106125854258100%6.120.8%9.7%11.2%3.0%4.564.59-0.0
203229MLBOAK10105824651248100%5.820.6%9.9%10.7%3.2%4.664.72-0.1
203330MLBOAK995523147248100%6.120.2%10.2%10.1%3.4%4.814.90-0.2
202724MLBOAK552811823123100%5.619.7%10.1%9.5%2.8%4.704.62-0.0
202825MLBOAK774318237175100%6.120.5%9.5%11.0%2.8%4.554.47+0.0
202926MLBOAK885121545206100%6.420.9%9.4%11.5%2.8%4.484.43+0.1
203027MLBOAK995422848226100%6.021.0%9.5%11.4%2.8%4.474.47+0.0
203128MLBOAK995422848227100%6.020.8%9.7%11.2%2.9%4.524.55-0.0
203229MLBOAK995322446227100%5.920.6%9.9%10.7%3.1%4.624.68-0.1
203330MLBOAK885121544227100%6.420.2%10.2%10.1%3.3%4.774.86-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career5656334141129113841100%6.020.6%9.7%10.8%2.9%4.584.21+4.7
/ 200 IP34342008441748325100%5.920.6%9.7%10.8%2.9%4.584.21+2.8
Career60371807881471011562%3.018.7%12.8%5.9%1.9%4.844.17+2.6
/ 200 IP67412008741631121662%3.018.7%12.8%5.9%1.9%4.844.17+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kenya Huggins (OGILVIE) 4.93 18.2%11.2%2.9% 4.55 20.4%10.7%191 -0.38
Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 23 SP- 4.34 18.4%11.5%2.4%.306 4.68 16.2%5.7%316 +0.34 3.90 371 92
Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 23 SP- 4.36 17.9%12.0%2.3%.299 3.91 20.0%9.6%158 -0.45 3.34 236 90
Brandon Decker R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 23 SP- 3.90 18.3%12.6%1.4%.296 4.11 21.5%10.8%33 +0.21 3.90 117 85
Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 23 SP- 4.58 18.4%11.3%2.9%.315 4.53 21.6%9.0%305 -0.05 4.07 338 85
Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP 24 SP- 4.91 21.9%13.2%3.6%.314 4.49 18.6%4.7%123 -0.42 4.16 164 85
Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP 23 SP- 4.45 21.5%12.1%3.0%.275 4.09 25.9%14.9%121 -0.36 3.05 181 85
Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 24 SP- 4.50 17.8%9.3%3.1%.300 3.74 23.5%17.1%18 -0.76 3.74 107 84
Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP 23 SW 4.40 18.8%11.6%2.6%.330 3.82 25.6%15.0%145 -0.58 2.52 275 84
John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 23 SW 4.88 18.6%10.4%3.7%.351 4.67 15.5%1.6%145 -0.21 4.40 213 83
Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP 24 SP- 5.27 16.4%12.9%3.5%.321 4.42 23.3%12.6%51 -0.85 4.42 102 83
Jackson Finley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 23 SP- 4.04 18.0%12.8%1.5%.361 3.85 20.7%11.4%49 -0.19 3.85 132 83
Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 23 SW 4.58 16.4%10.5%2.8%.263 4.63 20.8%8.3%228 +0.05 3.57 389 82
Logan Evans R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 23 SP- 4.52 17.8%10.3%2.9%.257 4.20 18.1%10.1%125 -0.32 4.20 232 82
Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 23 SW 4.85 17.1%12.2%3.0%.292 2.69 24.2%15.6%68 -2.16 2.69 145 82
Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 23 SP- 4.25 17.2%12.1%2.0%.251 4.81 18.9%7.5%176 +0.56 3.93 268 82
Derek True R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 23 SP- 4.76 18.5%10.5%3.5%.333 4.67 17.6%5.9%73 -0.09 4.50 170 82
Dean Deetz R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 23 SP- 4.34 22.2%13.7%2.5%.298 4.84 29.1%10.7%68 +0.50 2.64 281 82
Ben Casparius R 2026 · 5.20 FIP 23 SP- 5.20 20.6%13.2%4.0%.306 4.44 21.7%10.6%274 -0.76 3.49 364 81
Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 18.1%8.1%3.2%.312 4.78 14.6%6.1%291 +0.43 4.25 412 81
Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 23 SP- 4.03 23.6%11.1%2.8%.312 5.16 22.3%9.9%93 +1.13 4.03 152 81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION86120.2%9.9%1.154.66
Bryan Shaw ('23)86421.4%9.4%1.124.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67
Buck Farmer ('24)105021.6%10.5%1.234.59
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Trevor Cahill ('21)76721.3%10.1%1.294.66