Kenya Huggins

P Midland RockHounds

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.8 · 2031

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2282ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ACIN	4	0	8	1.12	2.48	25.0%	10.7%	—	K 25.0% · BB 10.7% · FIP 2.35
2025	22	MIX2 levels	24	21	78	3.81	3.32	22.7%	10.1%	—	K 16.9% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.29
2026	23	AAOAK	31	11	91	6.63	3.48	23.7%	11.5%	—	K 19.2% · BB 12.6% · FIP 4.14
2027PROJ	24	MLBOAK	1	0	1	4.83	4.83	19.2%	12.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBOAK	28	0	29	4.62	4.56	20.1%	10.9%	-0.0
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBOAK	40	0	42	4.53	4.50	20.6%	10.6%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$2M

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.7 / P90 2.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsNick Hull (age 24) · Shohei Tomioka (age 25) · Hunter Adkins (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%19.2%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%7.0%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$7M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	1	1	1	5	3	0	1	100%	1.0	60.0%	0.0%	60.0%	20.0%	0.00	9.01	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	1	1	1	5	3	0	1	100%	1.0	60.0%	0.0%	60.0%	20.0%	0.00	10.10	—
2023	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	14	6	35	164	43	22	1	43%	2.5	19.4%	15.8%	3.6%	0.7%	4.67	3.88	—
2023	20	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	14	6	35	164	43	22	1	43%	2.5	26.2%	13.4%	12.8%	0.6%	4.67	2.90	—
2024	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	4	0	8	28	7	3	0	0%	2.0	25.0%	10.7%	14.3%	0.0%	1.12	2.35	—
2024	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	4	0	8	28	7	3	0	0%	2.0	25.0%	10.7%	14.3%	0.0%	1.12	2.35	—
2024	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	4	0	8	28	7	3	0	0%	2.0	25.0%	10.7%	14.3%	0.0%	1.12	2.48	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	78	317	72	32	5	88%	3.2	16.9%	11.9%	5.1%	2.0%	3.81	4.29	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	78	317	72	32	5	88%	3.2	16.9%	11.9%	5.1%	2.0%	3.81	4.29	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	21	78	317	72	32	5	88%	3.2	22.7%	10.1%	12.6%	1.6%	3.81	3.32	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	31	11	91	435	103	50	7	35%	2.9	19.2%	12.6%	6.5%	1.9%	6.63	4.14	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	31	11	91	435	103	50	7	35%	2.9	19.2%	12.6%	6.5%	1.9%	6.63	4.14	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	31	11	91	435	103	50	7	35%	2.9	23.7%	11.5%	12.2%	1.6%	6.63	3.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	OAK	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.2%	7.0%	2.6%	4.83	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	64	0	67	283	57	31	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.9%	9.3%	2.6%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	59	0	62	263	54	28	7	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.6%	10.0%	2.6%	4.57	4.54	+0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	56	0	59	250	52	26	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.5%	10.1%	2.7%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	59	0	62	261	59	26	7	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.8%	4.44	4.37	+0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	54	0	57	241	54	24	7	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.0%	12.3%	3.0%	4.47	4.50	+0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	49	0	51	217	48	22	7	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.3%	11.7%	3.2%	4.59	4.67	-0.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	OAK	43	0	45	192	41	20	7	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.7%	10.9%	3.4%	4.76	4.88	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	28	0	29	122	25	13	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.9%	9.3%	2.6%	4.62	4.56	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	40	0	42	177	37	19	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.6%	10.0%	2.6%	4.53	4.50	+0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	44	0	46	194	40	20	5	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.5%	10.1%	2.6%	4.52	4.52	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	50	0	52	220	50	22	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.8%	12.8%	2.8%	4.40	4.33	+0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	48	0	50	211	47	21	6	0%	1.0	22.3%	10.0%	12.3%	2.9%	4.43	4.46	+0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	44	0	46	194	43	20	6	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.3%	11.7%	3.1%	4.55	4.63	-0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	OAK	40	0	42	177	38	19	6	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.7%	10.9%	3.3%	4.71	4.83	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		292	0	307	1296	279	134	37	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.4%	11.2%	2.8%	4.53	4.16	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	87	24	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.4%	11.2%	2.8%	4.53	4.16	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		74	39	213	949	179	122	17	53%	2.9	18.9%	12.8%	6.1%	1.8%	5.04	4.12	+3.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	37	200	892	168	114	16	53%	2.9	18.9%	12.8%	6.1%	1.8%	5.04	4.12	+1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 91 IPFIP 3.44 → 4.14 (+0.70)K% 23.7% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.68%	—	×0.810	19.18%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.49%	—	×1.100	12.64%
HR / BF /BF	1.61%	÷1.000	×1.200	1.93%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.44 → 4.14, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADaytona Tortugas · 63 IPFIP 3.15 → 4.04 (+0.89)K% 22.4% → 16.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.44%	—	×0.740	16.61%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.24%	—	×1.180	12.08%
HR / BF /BF	1.18%	÷1.032	×1.300	1.49%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 106).

Result: FIP 3.15 → 4.04, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 15 IPFIP 4.04 → 5.30 (+1.27)K% 23.8% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.81%	—	×0.770	18.33%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.52%	—	×1.150	10.95%
HR / BF /BF	3.17%	÷0.921	×1.250	4.31%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 84).

Result: FIP 4.04 → 5.30, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADaytona Tortugas · 8 IPFIP 2.35 → 3.14 (+0.79)K% 25.0% → 18.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.00%	—	×0.740	18.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.71%	—	×1.180	12.64%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.078	×1.300	0.00%

Result: FIP 2.35 → 3.14, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ADaytona Tortugas · 35 IPFIP 2.92 → 3.88 (+0.96)K% 26.2% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.22%	—	×0.740	19.40%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.41%	—	×1.180	15.83%
HR / BF /BF	0.61%	÷1.060	×1.300	0.75%

Result: FIP 2.92 → 3.88, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kenya Huggins (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	2.6%	—	4.57	20.5%	9.8%	189	-0.26	—	—	—
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	85
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	85
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	84
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	84
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	84
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	83
Jackson Finley R 2024 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	18.0%	12.8%	1.7%	.361	3.97	20.9%	9.8%	67	-0.19	3.97	150	83
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	82
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	82
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	82
Thomas Ponticelli R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	17.2%	9.7%	3.0%	.264	5.25	15.1%	3.8%	163	+0.75	2.59	367	82
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	81
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	81
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	80
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	80
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	79
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Corey Baker R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	25	SW	3.77	17.4%	10.2%	1.5%	.295	4.97	15.5%	7.3%	170	+1.20	3.06	267	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	59	21.1%	10.7%	1.10	4.61
John Grabow ('11)	2.4	60	19.0%	10.5%	1.04	4.31
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.6	51	21.6%	10.5%	1.24	4.71
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*