Devin Futrell
P
Salem RidgeYaks
+0.5
WAR
Age 23
LHP
6'5" / 218 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2027
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.0%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%11.7%
IP63
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2027
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 17 | 17 | 63 | 252 | 40 | 14 | 2 | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 1.87 | 3.57 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Salem RidgeYaks | 2 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 63 | 265 | 53 | 22 | 7 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 23 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 72 | 295 | 63 | 24 | 7 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 3.79 | 3.79 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 57 | 22 | 7 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.23 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 59 | 22 | 7 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 4.18 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 60 | 22 | 7 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.16 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 65 | 273 | 60 | 22 | 7 | 21.9% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.17 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 12 | 64 | 269 | 59 | 22 | 7 | 21.9% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.20 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 57 | 22 | 7 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.25 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 21.5% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +0.4 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 52 | 21 | 7 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 50 | 20 | 7 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 44 | 19 | 7 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.68 | +0.2 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 40 | 19 | 7 | 20.0% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 37 | 18 | 7 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 4.85 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 18 | 72 | 282 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 14.2% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 1.63 | 3.31 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 50 | 200 | 787 | 112 | 50 | 8 | 14.2% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 1.63 | 3.31 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Devin Futrell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.19 | 21.5% | 13.3% | 194 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.99 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.91 | 4.08 | 212 | 94 |
| Wyatt Short L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.83 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 2.5% | .262 | 3.96 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 91 | +0.13 | 2.73 | 288 | 94 |
| Chris Cotton L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.68 | 20.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | .288 | 4.17 | 9.7% | 3.3% | 61 | +0.49 | 3.68 | 128 | 92 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.31 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .324 | 4.65 | 16.6% | 10.0% | 125 | +0.34 | 4.31 | 201 | 92 |
| Michael Johnson L 2027 · 3.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .260 | 4.75 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.88 | 256 | 92 |
| Haylen Green L 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.98 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .291 | 4.09 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 49 | +0.11 | 3.98 | 104 | 89 |
| Jake Bennett L 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.40 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% | .339 | 3.17 | 17.4% | 10.3% | 83 | -0.23 | 1.70 | 146 | 89 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 4.0% | .332 | 4.36 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.40 | 3.70 | 186 | 89 |
| Hayden Howard L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.17 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.80 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 123 | -0.37 | 3.76 | 200 | 89 |
| Christian Jones L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.32 | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .319 | 3.98 | 15.0% | 3.7% | 89 | +0.66 | 3.32 | 161 | 89 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.9% | .298 | 4.50 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.05 | 3.50 | 300 | 88 |
| Diego Barrera L 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.2% | 1.8% | .310 | 3.67 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 44 | -0.05 | 3.67 | 111 | 88 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.26 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .265 | 3.49 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 147 | +0.23 | 2.88 | 206 | 88 |
| R.C. Orlan L 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.91 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .326 | 4.61 | 17.2% | 5.0% | 119 | +0.70 | 1.71 | 206 | 88 |
| Ben Onyshko L 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.50 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .349 | 5.44 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 100 | +1.94 | 3.50 | 219 | 87 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.02 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.38 | 3.83 | 491 | 87 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .382 | 3.86 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 381 | 87 |
| Jake Drehoff L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.95 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | .326 | 4.84 | 17.8% | 6.8% | 81 | +0.89 | 3.95 | 153 | 86 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 2.6% | .268 | 3.50 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.76 | 1.84 | 238 | 86 |
| Cesilio Pimentel L 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.38 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 1.2% | .267 | 6.03 | 12.2% | 4.5% | 148 | +2.65 | 3.38 | 199 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $5M | $11M | +$6M | ||