Austin Emener

P Spokane Indians

Age 25 LHP 6'4" / 210 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ACOL	12	12	60	4.20	3.60	26.3%	7.8%	—	K 19.4% · BB 9.3% · FIP 4.86
2025	23	ROKCOL	2	0	2	4.50	-0.90	50.0%	0.0%	—	K 50.0% · BB 0.0% · FIP -1.12
2026	24	MIX2 levels	36	0	63	4.00	4.08	28.4%	13.6%	—	K 21.4% · BB 15.8% · FIP 5.38
2027PROJ	25	MLBCOL	—	—	0	5.26	5.26	20.9%	14.1%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCOL	17	0	18	5.15	5.15	21.4%	13.6%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCOL	22	0	23	5.11	5.12	21.5%	13.4%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGraeme Stinson (age 25) · Mitchell Tyranski (age 25) · Paul Fry (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117125vR 133

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%20.9%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%6.8%

Proj IP44

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	7	2	0	0%	0.9	43.8%	12.5%	31.2%	0.0%	4.91	0.99	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	7	2	0	0%	0.9	43.8%	12.5%	31.2%	0.0%	4.91	0.92	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	12	12	60	255	67	20	8	100%	5.0	19.4%	9.3%	10.2%	4.1%	4.20	4.86	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	12	12	60	255	67	20	8	100%	5.0	19.4%	9.3%	10.2%	4.1%	4.20	4.86	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	12	12	60	255	67	20	8	100%	5.0	26.3%	7.8%	18.4%	3.1%	4.20	3.60	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	8	4	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	4.50	-1.12	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	8	4	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	4.50	-1.12	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	8	4	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	4.50	-0.90	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	63	264	75	36	8	0%	1.8	21.4%	15.8%	5.6%	3.8%	4.00	5.38	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	63	264	75	36	8	0%	1.8	21.4%	15.8%	5.6%	3.8%	4.00	5.38	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	63	264	75	36	8	0%	1.8	28.4%	13.6%	14.8%	3.0%	4.00	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	COL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.9%	14.1%	6.8%	3.2%	5.26	5.26	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	41	0	43	181	39	25	6	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.6%	7.8%	3.2%	5.15	5.15	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	36	0	37	157	34	21	5	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.4%	8.2%	3.2%	5.11	5.12	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	17	0	18	76	16	10	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.6%	7.8%	3.2%	5.15	5.15	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	22	0	23	97	21	13	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	13.4%	8.2%	3.2%	5.11	5.12	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	0	42	177	38	24	6	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.5%	8.0%	3.2%	5.13	4.75	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	114	29	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.5%	8.0%	3.2%	5.13	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		54	12	129	543	117	67	20	22%	2.4	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	3.8%	4.13	4.91	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	19	200	844	182	105	32	22%	2.4	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	3.8%	4.13	4.91	-1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Spokane Indians · 40 IPFIP 5.35 → 6.59 (+1.25)K% 21.4% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.39%	—	×0.770	16.47%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.45%	—	×1.150	16.62%
HR / BF /BF	4.05%	÷1.000	×1.250	5.06%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 5.35 → 6.59, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 23 IPFIP 1.71 → 3.08 (+1.37)K% 41.8% → 30.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	41.76%	—	×0.740	30.90%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.09%	—	×1.180	14.26%
HR / BF /BF	1.10%	÷1.000	×1.300	1.43%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 1.71 → 3.08, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AFresno Grizzlies · 60 IPFIP 3.60 → 4.86 (+1.27)K% 26.3% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.27%	—	×0.740	19.44%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.84%	—	×1.180	9.25%
HR / BF /BF	3.14%	÷1.002	×1.300	4.07%

Result: FIP 3.60 → 4.86, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Emener (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	20.9%	14.1%	3.2%	—	5.14	21.4%	8.0%	80	-0.12	—	—	—
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	82
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	81
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	80
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	79
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	79
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	79
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	79
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	79
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	78
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	78
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.82	14.5%	3.2%	142	-0.92	3.41	239	78
Brendan Cellucci L 2023 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	21.2%	14.6%	3.3%	.381	4.21	23.7%	9.6%	137	-0.78	3.98	288	78
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	78
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	77
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	77
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	77
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	77
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	21.3%	13.7%	1.24	5.18
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*