Austin Emener — OGILVIE

Austin Emener P Spokane Indians

Age 24 LHP 6'4" / 210 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%21.4%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP42

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	7	2	0	0%	0.9	43.8%	12.5%	31.2%	0.0%	4.91	0.99	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	7	2	0	0%	0.9	43.8%	12.5%	31.2%	0.0%	4.91	0.99	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	16	7	2	0	0%	0.9	43.8%	12.5%	31.2%	0.0%	4.91	0.92	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	12	12	60	255	67	20	8	100%	5.0	19.4%	9.3%	10.2%	4.1%	4.20	4.86	—
2024	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	12	12	60	255	67	20	8	100%	5.0	19.4%	9.3%	10.2%	4.1%	4.20	4.86	—
2024	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	12	12	60	255	67	20	8	100%	5.0	26.3%	7.8%	18.4%	3.1%	4.20	3.60	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	8	4	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	4.50	-1.12	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	8	4	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	4.50	-1.12	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	2	0	2	8	4	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	4.50	-0.90	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	36	0	63	264	75	36	8	0%	1.8	21.4%	15.8%	5.6%	3.8%	4.00	5.38	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	36	0	63	264	75	36	8	0%	1.8	21.4%	15.8%	5.6%	3.8%	4.00	5.38	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A RAW	COL	12	0	23	91	38	11	1	0%	1.9	41.8%	12.1%	29.7%	1.1%	1.54	1.71	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	COL	24	0	40	173	37	25	7	0%	1.7	21.4%	14.5%	6.9%	4.0%	5.45	5.35	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	60	0	62	264	58	24	8	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.46	4.44	+0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	60	0	62	264	59	24	8	0%	1.0	22.3%	8.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.42	4.40	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	59	0	62	260	58	24	8	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.0%	13.3%	3.1%	4.43	4.44	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	26	0	27	114	25	10	3	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.46	4.44	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	40	0	42	177	40	16	5	0%	1.1	22.3%	8.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.42	4.40	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	46	0	48	203	45	18	6	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.0%	13.3%	3.1%	4.43	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		111	0	116	490	109	44	15	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	3.1%	4.43	4.04	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	188	76	26	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	3.1%	4.43	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		54	12	129	543	117	67	20	22%	2.4	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	3.8%	4.13	4.91	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	19	200	844	182	105	32	22%	2.4	21.6%	12.4%	9.2%	3.8%	4.13	4.91	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Emener (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	21.4%	9.2%	3.1%	—	4.43	22.2%	13.2%	187	-0.10	—	—	—
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	88
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	86
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	85
Ben Wereski L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	24	SU	4.78	18.6%	7.6%	4.2%	.287	3.73	29.0%	21.6%	20	-1.05	3.73	132	85
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	85
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	84
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	83
Shane McCain L 2016 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	18.3%	8.7%	3.3%	.261	5.14	14.2%	10.7%	51	+0.66	4.34	201	83
Chris Cotton L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	20.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.288	4.17	9.7%	3.3%	61	+0.48	3.69	128	83
Haylen Green L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	16.9%	8.1%	2.4%	.291	4.09	18.6%	7.8%	49	+0.07	4.02	104	83
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	21.0%	9.8%	1.9%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	201	83
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	83
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	82
Trevor Lane L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	21.5%	7.3%	2.5%	.360	3.10	21.2%	12.6%	91	-0.46	2.13	246	82
Dalton Moats L 2019 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.5%	8.1%	3.8%	.286	4.48	22.2%	16.4%	83	-0.19	3.23	322	81
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	81
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.03	21.2%	11.6%	184	-0.26	3.43	311	81
Billy Strode L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	24	SU	3.64	17.6%	8.8%	1.7%	.306	2.85	16.0%	7.3%	47	-0.79	2.53	155	80
Jordan Harrison L 2015 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	15.6%	9.0%	2.0%	.263	4.14	16.3%	0.5%	152	+0.10	3.80	244	80
Josh Dye L 2021 · 3.51 FIP	24	SU	3.51	22.0%	7.0%	2.5%	.298	5.34	16.6%	10.4%	79	+1.83	2.79	238	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	57	22.1%	9.0%	1.19	4.45
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86