Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026
23
A+MLE
Hudson Valley Renegades
6
5
23
93
31
12
1
83%
3.8
25.7%
14.8%
10.8%
1.3%
1.99
3.55
—
2026
23
A+MLE
Hudson Valley Renegades
6
5
23
93
31
12
1
83%
3.8
25.7%
14.8%
10.8%
1.3%
1.99
3.55
—
2026
23
A+RAW
Hudson Valley Renegades
6
5
23
93
31
12
1
83%
3.8
33.3%
12.9%
20.4%
1.1%
1.99
2.53
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
24
MLB
NYY
10
10
57
241
60
31
7
100%
5.7
24.9%
12.7%
12.2%
2.9%
4.56
4.56
+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
25
MLBMLE
NYY
10
10
58
244
61
28
7
100%
5.8
25.1%
11.5%
13.6%
2.9%
4.45
4.40
+0.3
2029
26
MLBMLE
NYY
10
10
58
244
61
28
7
100%
5.8
25.2%
11.3%
13.9%
2.9%
4.40
4.37
+0.4
2030
27
MLBMLE
NYY
9
9
57
240
60
27
7
100%
6.3
25.1%
11.3%
13.8%
2.9%
4.40
4.40
+0.3
2028
25
MLBCTX
NYY
4
4
25
106
27
12
3
100%
6.2
25.1%
11.5%
13.6%
3.1%
4.56
4.51
+0.1
2029
26
MLBCTX
NYY
6
6
38
160
40
18
5
100%
6.3
25.2%
11.3%
13.9%
3.1%
4.51
4.48
+0.2
2030
27
MLBCTX
NYY
7
7
44
186
47
21
6
100%
6.3
25.1%
11.3%
13.8%
3.1%
4.51
4.51
+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
18
18
107
453
114
51
14
100%
6.0
25.1%
11.3%
13.8%
3.1%
4.52
4.12
+1.0
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
34
34
200
844
213
95
26
100%
6.0
25.1%
11.3%
13.8%
3.1%
4.52
4.12
+1.9
Career
—
MLE
6
5
23
93
24
14
1
83%
3.8
25.7%
14.8%
10.8%
1.3%
1.99
3.55
+1.0
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
53
44
200
821
211
122
11
83%
3.8
25.7%
14.8%
10.8%
1.3%
1.99
3.55
+1.2
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.