Blake Burke — OGILVIE

Blake Burke1B Biloxi Shuckers

Age 23 L/L 6'3" / 236 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION547 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP289

ISO148

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER61

scouting grade only

EYE36

scouting grade only

SPEED27

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.8M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		333	22	11	279	75	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	159	140	42	6	0	11	16	41	2	3	1	300	380	579	958	279	348	26	10	414	166	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.7
2025	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	408	350	101	21	2	5	49	94	5	12	4	289	384	403	787	114	376	23	12	354	126	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		297	28	6	216	32	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	159	145	35	5	0	7	11	54	2	3	1	241	304	421	724	179	317	34	7	306	93	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	408	363	82	16	2	3	36	135	5	12	4	226	304	306	610	80	338	33	9	274	72	-14	+1	—	—	+9	-0.4
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		250	28	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		333	22	11	279	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	567	508	117	21	2	10	47	188	7	15	5	230	304	339	643	108	340	33	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	567	490	143	27	2	16	65	135	7	15	5	292	383	453	836	161	369	24	11	371	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		297	28	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	567	508	117	21	2	10	47	188	7	15	5	230	304	339	643	108	332	33	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		297	28	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	567	508	117	21	2	10	47	188	7	15	5	230	304	339	643	108	332	33	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	MIL	—	547	495	113	24	3	26	36	171	11	28	8	228	295	446	742	218	287	31	7	317	101	+0	+2	+0	-10	+12	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	MIL	—	431	375	107	25	2	30	44	102	7	28	7	285	371	603	974	317	310	24	10	415	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AAA RAW	MIL	—	116	101	22	3	1	4	11	39	4	0	1	218	319	386	705	168	310	34	9	320	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	MIL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		291	33	11	307	94	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	MIL	—	556	503	114	24	3	26	37	174	11	28	8	227	294	441	735	215	286	31	7	317	100	+0	+2	-0	-10	+12	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIL	31%	581	525	118	24	3	23	42	182	9	15	4	225	293	413	707	189	291	31	7	311	97	-2	+1	-1	-10	+13	0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	45%	604	545	125	25	3	25	45	184	9	13	4	229	299	424	723	194	292	30	7	317	100	+0	+1	-1	-11	+13	0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	610	550	127	25	3	26	46	183	9	11	3	231	301	429	730	198	292	30	8	319	102	+2	+1	-1	-11	+13	0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	609	548	126	25	3	25	47	182	9	9	3	230	301	423	725	193	291	30	8	319	102	+2	+1	-1	-11	+13	0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	603	542	124	25	2	25	47	181	9	8	2	229	301	421	722	192	290	30	8	318	101	+1	+1	-2	-11	+13	0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	596	535	121	24	2	24	47	180	9	6	2	226	299	413	713	187	289	30	8	316	100	-0	+0	-3	-11	+13	0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	587	528	118	23	2	24	46	179	8	5	1	223	296	411	707	188	287	30	8	313	98	-2	+1	-3	-10	+13	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIL	31%	180	162	37	7	1	8	13	56	3	5	1	228	298	432	730	204	290	31	7	303	97	-1	+1	-0	-3	+4	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	45%	269	243	56	11	1	12	20	82	4	6	2	230	300	432	732	202	290	30	7	308	100	+0	+0	-1	-5	+6	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	311	280	65	13	1	14	23	93	5	6	2	232	302	436	738	204	290	30	7	311	102	+1	+0	-1	-6	+7	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	320	287	66	13	1	14	25	96	5	5	1	230	303	429	731	199	290	30	8	312	102	+1	+1	-1	-6	+7	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	322	289	66	13	1	14	25	97	5	4	1	228	301	426	727	197	289	30	8	310	101	+1	+0	-1	-6	+7	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	313	281	63	12	1	13	24	95	5	3	1	224	297	413	710	189	288	30	8	308	100	-0	+0	-1	-6	+7	0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	306	275	62	12	1	13	24	93	4	3	1	225	297	418	715	193	286	30	8	305	98	-1	+0	-2	-5	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2021	1817	415	81	7	88	154	612	31	32	9	228	300	426	726	198	290	30	8	309	97	+1	+3	-6	-36	+44	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	133	26	2	28	50	197	10	10	3	228	300	423	723	195	289	30	8	309	97	+0	+1	-2	-12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4784	4306	980	192	20	182	369	1467	69	82	24	228	299	408	707	181	297	31	8	312	97	+1	+6	-12	-75	+91	1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	134	26	3	25	50	199	9	11	3	229	300	412	712	183	299	31	8	312	97	+0	+1	-2	-12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Davislast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,630 PA	8.5	5,630	295	19	233	315	459	-96	-102	6.3	9.8
/162	664	35	2	-11.3	-12.0	0.7	pk7: 13
#2Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	6.6	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
/162	664	33	3	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#3Trey Mancinilast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,367 PA	5.1	3,367	126	2	262	327	445	-47	-48	6.3	6.3
/162	664	25	0	-9.2	-9.4	1.2	pk7: 6
#4Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#5Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#6Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3.1	2,027	84	31	229	296	421	-36	-5	2.3	2.3
/162	664	27	10	-11.9	-1.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Burke (OGILVIE)	23	30→42	55→61	30→27	36	219/287/403	184	291	13	12	32%	7%	94	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Wilyer Abreu 2022 · A	23	42→49	47→60	42→50	39	204/272/336	132	316	15	11	38%	8%	72	-0.7	219/308/375	156	300	18	16	31%	11%	94	+0.9	246/323/456	210	288	25	9	24%	10%	114	+1.9
✕Tommy Joseph 2014 · AAA	23	41→47	45→60	36→30	39	210/254/326	116	270	13	3	28%	5%	62	-1.4	222/268/362	140	264	17	4	23%	5%	76	-0.4	240/291/436	196	274	27	1	23%	6%	100	+1.0
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	46	52→50	38→30	41	240/310/403	163	295	21	3	26%	5%	102	+1.5	217/305/356	139	266	15	2	24%	7%	90	+0.6	204/296/332	127	256	14	0	24%	7%	80	-0.1
●John Bowker 2006 · A	23	45→54	45→55	37→45	40	224/268/343	119	295	13	4	28%	5%	72	-0.7	243/286/375	132	309	12	5	25%	5%	85	+0.2	262/320/430	168	309	18	6	21%	7%	110	+1.8
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→47	56→60	38→45	47	220/314/415	194	293	24	3	32%	10%	106	+1.8	229/303/387	158	305	17	7	29%	8%	95	+1.0	228/299/376	148	295	16	7	27%	7%	89	+0.3
●Ryan O'Hearn 2017 · AA	24	44→54	51→60	41→45	38	226/275/385	158	316	20	4	34%	6%	84	+0.1	216/277/383	167	287	20	3	31%	7%	84	+0.2	270/346/440	169	306	21	3	18%	9%	119	+2.1
●Michael Busch 2022 · AA	24	45→49	51→60	41→40	46	225/310/388	162	314	18	4	32%	9%	98	+1.2	230/309/413	183	304	22	4	30%	9%	103	+1.6	247/341/452	205	298	25	3	25%	11%	121	+2.9
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	41→43	50→60	45→50	45	206/286/361	155	299	18	9	36%	10%	83	+0.1	213/300/408	195	287	25	11	33%	10%	99	+1.3	203/294/400	197	265	26	11	33%	10%	92	+0.7
✕Richard Jones 2012 · A	24	47→49	52→60	38→30	33	238/270/402	164	322	20	2	33%	3%	86	+0.3	219/260/331	112	324	10	4	34%	4%	65	-1.2	184/223/240	56	298	0	0	36%	3%	28	-1.5
✕Aaron Baker 2011 · A	23	40→49	49→50	39→40	41	210/269/358	148	270	16	4	28%	6%	76	-0.4	220/272/363	143	294	15	4	29%	6%	78	-0.3	217/267/358	141	289	15	3	30%	6%	74	-0.4
●Allan Dykstra 2011 · A	24	39→49	48→50	38→30	52	197/300/341	144	270	16	2	31%	12%	84	+0.2	221/321/368	147	320	16	3	33%	12%	98	+1.2	225/341/384	159	315	18	1	31%	13%	108	+1.3
●Spencer Torkelson 2023 · MLB	23	41→45	50→60	41→40	50	211/295/365	154	264	18	4	27%	10%	88	+0.4	226/307/413	187	281	23	3	27%	10%	103	+1.5	228/314/430	201	280	26	2	27%	10%	106	+2.0
✕Matt Davidson 2013 · AA	22	42→44	48→60	38→30	43	215/283/359	144	283	16	2	29%	7%	81	-0.1	191/257/315	124	275	14	2	34%	7%	61	-1.5	216/288/412	197	287	27	0	34%	7%	94	+0.7
✕MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	38→48	60	40→50	46	217/288/430	213	270	29	5	32%	9%	99	+1.3	224/305/409	185	277	22	6	26%	10%	101	+1.4	218/301/397	179	270	20	5	26%	10%	94	+0.8
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2013 · A	23	41→51	49→50	40→50	43	208/282/355	148	291	16	5	33%	8%	80	-0.1	227/292/357	130	304	13	10	28%	8%	84	+0.1	227/303/369	142	310	17	3	30%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Jeff Clement 2007 · AAA	23	45→48	43→55	39→30	42	224/281/334	110	280	11	4	24%	5%	74	-0.5	232/301/393	161	279	18	2	23%	8%	96	+1.0	230/302/401	172	274	19	1	23%	8%	96	+0.9
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2022 · AA	23	36→46	52→55	45	41	201/254/364	163	248	21	7	29%	6%	72	-0.7	224/286/392	168	277	21	8	26%	8%	90	+0.6	220/286/384	164	268	21	8	26%	8%	86	+0.2
✕J.J. Matijevic 2019 · A	23	43→41	54→55	43→50	37	219/270/402	182	318	22	11	38%	6%	86	+0.3	210/265/369	159	316	18	10	37%	7%	76	-0.4	209/274/386	177	285	21	10	33%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Gabriel Martinez 2006 · AA	23	44→52	45→50	43→30	40	221/273/344	123	295	13	3	29%	6%	74	-0.6	236/291/357	121	319	13	3	28%	7%	83	+0.1	251/314/404	153	327	19	1	28%	8%	102	+0.8
✕Cal Mitchell 2022 · AAA	23	45→53	45→50	40→50	38	226/267/345	119	289	13	6	26%	4%	72	-0.7	235/286/366	131	299	14	11	25%	6%	83	+0.1	226/283/363	137	290	15	12	27%	7%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps