Blake Burke

1B Biloxi Shuckers
Age 24 L/L 6'3" / 236 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2407ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421A+MIL18.250/.333/.2500040—.235/.278/.235
202522AA/A+MIL567.292/.383/.453161584—.240/.313/.350
202623AAA/AAMIL568.263/.353/.5383429103—.231/.299/.457
2027PROJMLE24MLBMIL4.220/.287/.4120095-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB25MLBMIL160.222/.291/.41773970.0
2029PROJ45% MLB26MLBMIL243.224/.293/.419114980.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.2M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Max EV88
Speed64
Z-Con%61
BB%45
Whiff%30
K%14
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 9.3, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 70%
CompsSeth Beer (age 24) · Joe Koshansky (age 24) · Juan Yepez (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†95
AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .287 / .412
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%7
BABIP289
ISO195
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Arb-1$0.2M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1816 4000 240 00 250333250583 333 2211 279 40 — — — — — —
202522 AABiloxi Shuckers — 159140 426011 16412 31 300380579958 279348 2610 414 101 — — — — — —
202522 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 408350 1012125 49945 124 289384403787 114376 2312 354 78 — — — — — —
202623 AAANashville Sounds — 137119 23314 14444 11 193299336635 143268 3210 293 44 — — — — — —
202623 AABiloxi Shuckers — 431375 10725230 441027 287 285371603974 317310 2410 415 122 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1817 4000 150 00 235278235513 308 286 228 40 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 159145 35507 11542 31 241304421724 179328 347 318 101 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 408363 871723 361265 124 240317322639 83344 319 284 78 — — — — — —
202623 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 137123 20213 10534 11 163248268516 106253 397 233 44 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 431391 9924225 281257 287 253315517831 263289 296 348 122 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1817 4000 150 00 235278235513 333 286 228 40 — — — — — —
202421 A+ RAWWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1816 4000 240 00 250333250583 333 2211 279 40 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 567507 12222210 481807 155 241315351666 110348 328 294 85 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 567490 14327216 651357 155 292383453836 161369 2411 371 85 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 568513 11726327 3917711 298 228297448745 220287 317 320 103 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW2 teams — 568494 13028334 5814611 298 263353538892 275301 2610 385 103 — — — — — —
202421 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1817 4000 150 00 235278235513 308 286 228 40 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 567507 12222210 481807 155 241315351666 110340 328 294 85 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 568513 11726327 3917711 298 228297448745 220280 317 320 103 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 1817 4000 150 00 235278235513 308 286 228 40 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 567507 12222210 481807 155 241315351666 110340 328 294 85 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE2 teams — 568513 11726327 3917711 298 228297448745 220280 317 320 103 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEMIL 2% 380344 7715216 271266 93 221289409698 188294 337 308 95 -2 +1 -1 -7 +8 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXMIL 2% 44 0000 010 00 220287412699 192289 250 308 95 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEMIL 31% 517467 10521222 371688 113 224292415707 191294 327 312 97 -2 +1 -1 -9 +11 0.1
202926 MLB MLEMIL 45% 546493 11122223 401758 93 225294417710 192294 327 313 98 -1 +1 -1 -10 +12 0.1
203027 MLB MLEMIL 49% 553499 11222223 411758 82 225294413707 189293 327 312 97 -2 +1 -1 -10 +12 0.1
203128 MLB MLEMIL 52% 552498 11222222 411738 52 224293408701 184291 317 310 96 -3 +0 -1 -10 +12 -0.2
203229 MLB MLEMIL 52% 545492 10921221 411707 31 222291401692 179289 318 306 93 -4 +0 -2 -10 +12 -0.4
203330 MLB MLEMIL 52% 536484 10721220 401697 21 218287392679 174286 327 301 90 -6 +0 -3 -10 +12 -0.7
202825 MLB CTXMIL 31% 160145 33617 12522 31 222291417708 195289 328 312 97 -1 +0 -0 -3 +3 0.0
202926 MLB CTXMIL 45% 243219 499111 18784 41 224293419712 196289 327 314 98 -1 +0 -0 -4 +5 0.1
203027 MLB CTXMIL 49% 272246 5510112 20864 41 223293416709 192288 327 312 97 -1 +0 -0 -5 +6 0.0
203128 MLB CTXMIL 52% 285258 5811112 21904 31 222292410702 188286 327 310 96 -1 +0 -1 -5 +6 -0.1
203229 MLB CTXMIL 52% 281254 5510111 21884 21 221290403693 183284 317 306 93 -2 +0 -1 -5 +6 -0.2
203330 MLB CTXMIL 52% 276250 5510111 20874 11 217286394680 177281 327 301 90 -3 -0 -1 -5 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15171372 30556664 11248122 176 222292412703 190289 327 309 95 -9 +1 -4 -27 +33 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 13124327 482069 73 223291412703 189291 327 309 95 -4 +0 -2 -12 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 46124160 94118518177 343146267 8726 226296407703 181300 327 308 95 -20 +3 -8 -62 +75 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 13326325 482069 124 227295410705 183301 327 308 95 -4 +1 -2 -12 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 431 PAwOBA .406 → .348 (−58)K% 23.7% → 28.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.67%÷1.000×1.220——28.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.51%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0276.64%
HBP% /PA1.62%—×0.840—×1.0271.40%
Singles /BIP18.32%÷1.000×0.920×1.011×1.02717.49%
Doubles /BIP9.16%÷1.000×0.910×1.011×1.0278.65%
Triples /BIP0.73%÷1.000×0.880×1.011×1.0270.67%
Home runs /BIP10.99%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0279.03%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .406 → .348; ISO .317 → .269; BABIP .310 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 137 PAwOBA .285 → .233 (−52)K% 32.1% → 38.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.12%÷1.000×1.200——38.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.22%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0507.40%
HBP% /PA2.92%—×0.940—×1.0502.88%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.000×0.930×0.999×1.05019.51%
Doubles /BIP4.00%÷1.000×0.830×0.999×1.0503.48%
Triples /BIP1.33%÷1.000×0.970×0.999×1.0501.36%
Home runs /BIP5.33%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0503.92%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .285 → .233; ISO .143 → .106; BABIP .268 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 408 PAwOBA .349 → .284 (−65)K% 23.0% → 31.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.04%÷0.943×1.270——31.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.01%÷0.965×0.710—×1.0128.94%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.790—×1.0120.98%
Singles /BIP28.52%÷1.023×0.920×1.036×1.01226.88%
Doubles /BIP8.20%÷1.013×0.810×1.036×1.0126.88%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷0.900×0.850×1.036×1.0120.77%
Home runs /BIP1.95%÷1.246×0.800—×1.0121.27%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 89, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .349 → .284; ISO .114 → .084; BABIP .376 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 159 PAwOBA .405 → .318 (−87)K% 25.8% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.79%÷0.932×1.220——33.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.06%÷1.008×0.680—×1.0427.07%
HBP% /PA1.26%—×0.840—×1.0421.10%
Singles /BIP25.25%÷0.976×0.920×1.017×1.04225.22%
Doubles /BIP6.06%÷1.091×0.910×1.017×1.0425.36%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.083×0.880×1.017×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷1.170×0.800—×1.0427.91%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.

Result: wOBA .405 → .318; ISO .279 → .192; BABIP .348 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 18 PAwOBA .272 → .228 (−44)K% 22.2% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.993×1.270——28.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷0.995×0.710—×1.0278.15%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.022×0.920—×1.02730.83%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.991×0.810—×1.0270.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.979×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .272 → .228; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).