Blake Burke — OGILVIE

Blake Burke1B Biloxi Shuckers

Age 23 L/L 6'3" / 236 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION330 act + 220 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .284 / .392

PA220

HR8

SB8

K%31

BB%7

BABIP282

ISO176

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER61

scouting grade only

EYE36

scouting grade only

SPEED27

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1.0M
2031	Arb-2	$1M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-3	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.2M
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	17	3	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	176	222	176	399		250	28	6	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		333	22	11	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	567	507	109	19	2	9	48	204	7	15	5	215	292	314	605	99	334	36	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	567	490	143	27	2	16	65	135	7	15	5	292	383	453	836	161	369	24	11	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	MIL	—	330	300	68	16	2	18	21	99	5	20	5	227	288	473	762	247	267	30	6	325	107	+3	+2	+0	-6	+9	0.8
YTD	23	AA	MIL	—	330	288	75	19	2	20	33	77	5	20	5	260	347	549	895	288	282	23	10	384	152	+19	+2	+0	-6	+9	2.5
ROS	23	AA	MIL	2%	220	199	43	9	1	8	16	68	3	8	2	216	284	392	676	176	280	31	7	300	88	-3	+1	-0	-4	+6	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB	MIL	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						277	25	0	287	78	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	MIL	—	334	304	68	16	2	18	21	100	5	20	5	224	285	467	752	243	263	30	6	325	107	+2	+2	-0	-6	+9	0.8
TOT	23	AA	MIL	—	550	499	111	25	3	26	37	167	8	28	7	222	287	441	728	218	273	30	7	315	99	-1	+3	-0	-10	+16	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIL	31%	581	526	116	24	3	22	43	176	7	14	4	221	288	403	691	183	283	30	7	306	92	-5	+1	-1	-10	+16	0.1
2028	25	MLB	MIL	45%	604	546	123	25	3	24	46	178	7	12	3	225	294	414	708	189	284	29	8	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-11	+17	0.4
2029	26	MLB	MIL	51%	610	551	126	26	3	25	47	178	7	9	2	229	298	423	720	194	285	29	8	316	100	-0	+1	-1	-11	+17	0.6
2030	27	MLB	MIL	53%	609	549	125	25	3	25	48	177	7	8	2	228	298	421	719	193	285	29	8	316	100	-0	+1	-1	-11	+17	0.6
2031	28	MLB	MIL	53%	603	543	123	25	3	24	48	176	7	6	2	227	298	416	714	190	284	29	8	315	99	-1	+0	-2	-11	+17	0.4
2032	29	MLB	MIL	53%	596	536	120	24	2	24	48	175	7	5	1	224	296	410	707	187	282	29	8	313	97	-2	+1	-3	-11	+17	0.3
2033	30	MLB	MIL	52%	587	528	117	24	2	23	47	174	7	4	1	222	294	405	699	184	281	30	8	309	95	-3	+0	-3	-10	+17	-0.0
2027	24	MLB	MIL	31%	180	163	36	7	1	7	13	55	2	4	1	221	287	405	691	184	280	31	7	294	83	-3	+0	-0	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	MIL	45%	269	243	53	11	1	10	21	79	3	5	1	218	288	395	683	177	282	29	8	300	88	-4	+1	-1	-5	+8	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	MIL	51%	311	280	63	13	1	12	24	91	4	5	1	225	295	407	703	182	282	29	8	304	91	-3	+1	-1	-6	+9	-0.0
2030	27	MLB	MIL	53%	320	288	65	13	1	13	25	93	4	4	1	226	297	413	710	187	282	29	8	304	91	-3	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.0
2031	28	MLB	MIL	53%	322	289	65	13	1	13	26	94	4	3	1	225	298	412	710	187	281	29	8	303	90	-4	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.1
2032	29	MLB	MIL	53%	313	281	62	13	1	12	25	92	4	3	1	221	294	402	696	181	280	29	8	301	88	-4	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.2
2033	30	MLB	MIL	52%	306	274	60	12	1	12	25	91	4	2	1	219	294	401	695	182	278	30	8	298	86	-5	+0	-2	-5	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2025	1822	404	82	7	79	159	596	25	26	7	222	293	405	698	183	280	29	8	301	89	-26	+2	-6	-36	+57	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	129	26	2	25	51	191	8	8	2	221	292	400	692	179	279	29	8	301	89	-8	+1	-2	-12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	4995	4502	1005	201	22	184	392	1511	59	81	22	223	294	400	694	177	290	30	8	307	93	-40	+7	-13	-89	+142	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	131	26	3	24	51	197	8	11	3	224	295	401	696	177	290	30	8	307	93	-5	+1	-2	-12	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		333	22	11	279	71	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	159	140	42	6	0	11	16	41	2	3	1	300	380	579	958	279	348	26	10	414	175	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2025	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	408	350	101	21	2	5	49	94	5	12	4	289	384	403	787	114	376	23	12	354	129	+13	+1	—	—	+12	2.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	8	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
	/162	664	33	3	250	303	462	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#2Trey Mancinilast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,367 PA	6	3,367	126	2	262	327	445	-47	-48	6.3	6.3
	/162	664	25	0	262	327	445	-9.2	-9.4	1.2	pk7: 6
#3Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	2,027	81	27	226	293	415	-36	-5	1.6	1.6
	/162	664	26	9	226	293	415	-11.9	-1.5	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Burke (OGILVIE)	23	30→42	55→61	30→27	36	222/287/441	218	273	26	28	30%	7%	99	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tommy Joseph 2014 · AAA	23	41→47	45→60	36→30	39	209/255/327	118	275	13	3	29%	5%	58	-1.2	223/268/369	146	264	18	4	23%	5%	75	-0.0	243/294/446	203	274	28	1	23%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Jeff Clement 2007 · AAA	23	45→48	44→55	39→30	42	224/280/335	111	280	12	4	24%	5%	71	-0.3	233/302/397	164	280	18	2	23%	7%	97	+1.5	232/304/410	178	275	20	1	23%	8%	98	+1.4
●Matt Davidson 2013 · AA	22	41→44	48→60	38→30	43	211/281/355	143	279	16	2	30%	7%	77	+0.1	190/257/311	121	277	14	2	35%	7%	56	-1.3	221/293/427	206	292	29	0	34%	7%	99	+1.3
✕Wilyer Abreu 2022 · A	23	41→51	46→60	42→50	39	201/268/323	122	314	14	11	38%	7%	63	-0.8	218/306/379	161	299	20	16	31%	11%	94	+1.3	236/315/436	200	281	26	11	25%	10%	108	+1.7
●John Bowker 2006 · A	23	45→55	45→55	37→45	40	224/268/343	119	295	13	4	28%	5%	68	-0.5	243/286/380	137	310	13	5	25%	5%	85	+0.7	262/320/435	173	309	19	6	21%	7%	113	+2.3
✕Cal Mitchell 2022 · AAA	23	44→51	47→50	40→50	38	225/266/354	129	288	15	6	27%	4%	70	-0.3	231/281/366	135	295	15	11	26%	6%	79	+0.3	220/276/356	136	284	15	12	27%	7%	72	-0.2
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2013 · A	23	40→50	51→55	40→50	42	209/279/368	159	285	19	5	33%	7%	80	+0.4	225/288/356	131	306	14	10	29%	8%	80	+0.4	229/307/382	153	312	19	3	31%	9%	93	+1.0
●Chris Parmelee 2011 · AA	23	45→51	46→55	42→45	47	225/291/354	129	283	13	4	25%	8%	80	+0.4	242/308/392	150	288	16	2	21%	8%	97	+1.5	239/310/396	158	281	17	1	21%	9%	99	+1.6
✕Tyler Neslony 2018 · AA	24	47	40→55	34→55	42	224/277/312	88	293	7	3	25%	6%	63	-0.8	219/266/321	102	298	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.0	255/312/435	179	334	16	14	27%	7%	105	+0.9
✕Aaron Baker 2011 · A	23	40→50	49→50	39→40	41	210/267/361	151	265	17	4	28%	6%	72	-0.2	220/272/358	138	296	14	4	29%	6%	73	-0.1	216/267/351	135	293	13	3	29%	6%	68	-0.3
●Andrew Lambo 2012 · AAA	23	45→49	46→65	43→45	41	224/273/353	130	290	13	5	27%	6%	72	-0.2	235/286/423	188	307	24	6	31%	6%	97	+1.5	242/291/471	228	307	31	5	31%	6%	111	+1.4
✕Gabriel Martinez 2006 · AA	23	44→51	46→55	43→30	39	220/272/348	128	298	14	3	30%	6%	71	-0.3	235/290/364	129	322	15	3	30%	7%	82	+0.5	246/309/413	167	321	22	1	29%	8%	103	+1.1
●Joey Curletta 2017 · AA	23	37→47	46→55	40→45	37	192/245/319	127	287	14	3	37%	6%	52	-1.6	206/269/365	159	296	20	5	36%	8%	75	-0.0	199/268/356	157	278	21	5	35%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Josh Ockimey 2019 · AAA	23	41→43	47→50	40→30	42	200/271/332	132	312	15	3	38%	9%	67	-0.5	196/288/350	154	297	18	3	37%	11%	79	+0.3	177/279/330	153	255	19	1	36%	12%	68	-0.4
✕Art Charles 2014 · A	23	41	50	38→30	43	207/279/363	156	293	17	3	34%	8%	78	+0.2	196/256/334	138	300	15	3	37%	7%	61	-1.0	224/285/437	213	300	28	1	34%	8%	101	+0.7
✕Roman Pena 2010 · A	23	41→51	41→50	41→45	40	199/258/298	99	286	9	7	32%	7%	52	-1.6	213/277/330	117	294	10	9	29%	8%	68	-0.5	233/302/382	149	314	14	7	29%	9%	88	+0.6
●Brian Dopirak 2006 · A	22	40→50	45→55	37→30	39	204/247/325	120	261	13	3	28%	5%	54	-1.4	222/267/355	133	296	15	3	29%	5%	70	-0.3	248/291/428	180	317	23	1	29%	5%	97	+1.4
●Brad Nelson 2006 · AAA	23	48	44→50	40→50	45	234/295/352	117	305	12	6	26%	8%	81	+0.4	223/289/353	130	285	14	10	25%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/376	159	258	20	2	24%	9%	84	+0.5
●Matt Joyce 2008 · AA	23	42→52	47→60	41→50	44	214/270/357	142	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	230/304/416	186	286	20	7	26%	9%	102	+1.9	250/345/452	202	293	22	9	22%	12%	121	+2.5
✕Beau Mills 2010 · AA	23	46→47	48→50	39→30	40	234/275/375	141	286	15	2	24%	4%	79	+0.3	231/274/372	141	274	16	3	22%	5%	78	+0.2	226/272/369	143	264	16	1	21%	5%	74	-0.0